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Gremio v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th May, 21:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Dorival Silvestre Júnior guides his Corinthians charges to the Arena do Grêmio in the Serie A on Saturday night, with Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro's Gremio the opponent. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Serie A clash.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this match will serve up 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Gremio and Corinthians haven't typically been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite WDW or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
47%
2.60
21%
2.45
7%
Draw
27%
3.10
5%
3.20
2%
Corinthians
26%
2.80
15%
3.00
6%
Gremio 1-0
13%
7.006.50
Draw 1-1
13%
6.005.75
4%
Draw 0-0
9%
7.00
22%
7.00
7%
Gremio 2-0
9%
12.00
20%
9.50
Corinthians 1-0
9%
7.50
17%
7.00
18%
Gremio 2-1
9%
11.00
16%
8.50
6%
Corinthians 2-1
6%
11.00
8%
10.00
Corinthians 2-0
4%
13.00
13%
12.00
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
17.00
13%
15.00
25%
Gremio 3-0
4%
26.00
24%
19.00
12%
Gremio 3-1
4%
23.00
21%
19.00
12%
Gremio 3-2
2%
41.00
41%
26.00
13%
Corinthians 3-1
2%
26.00
10%
21.00
Gremio 4-0
2%
51.00
24%
34.00
Gremio 4-1
1%
51.00
24%
34.00
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
2.40
14%
2.30
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
1.53
10%
1.55
9%
Home 1st Goal
51%
2.00
11%
1.95
7%
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.10
7%
2.20
4%
No 1st Goal
6%
7.00
22%
7.00
7%
BTTS - Yes
47%
2.00
5%
2.00
8%
BTTS - No
53%
1.75
8%
1.75
5%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
6.00
26%
5.25
14%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.504.40
2%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
6.50
7%
6.00
Home/draw
74%
1.40
5%
1.40
5%
Away/draw
53%
1.44
14%
1.53
6%
Home/away
73%
1.36
2%
1.35
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.44
6%
1.44
7%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
2.75
14%
2.62
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
4.50
13%
4.33
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.20
4%
1.18
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
10.00
25%
9.00
29%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.06
2%
1.06
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
21.00
24%
19.00
27%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.02
1%
1.00
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.10
3%
1.08
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7.00
22%
7.00
13%
Home DNB
66%
1.80
15%
1.70
6%
Away DNB
45%
1.91
15%
2.05
7%
Gremio win to nil
29%
4.00
7%
-
Corinthians win to nil
15%
4.33
21%
-
Gremio / Gremio
20%
4.33
20%
3.80
9%
Gremio / Corinthians
3%
34.0026.00
Gremio / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Draw / Gremio
14%
6.00
9%
5.50
Draw / Corinthians
13%
6.00
14%
6.50
7%
Draw / Draw
19%
4.33
13%
4.33
4%
Corinthians / Gremio
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
Corinthians / Corinthians
17%
4.75
14%
4.50
6%
Corinthians / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
8%
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Win / draw / win form
7
Corinthians have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Gremio 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio3 - 2Santos
Gremio0 - 1Flamengo
Gremio1 - 0Cortiba
Gremio0 - 0Remo
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio5 - 3Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Gremio3 - 1Juventude
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Gremio0 - 1Mirassol
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Gremio2 - 1Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio3 - 2Santos
AGremio1 - 1Bahia
HGremio0 - 1Flamengo
AGremio0 - 0Athletico PR
HGremio1 - 0Cortiba
AGremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 0Internacional
HGremio0 - 0Remo
AGremio1 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
HGremio2 - 0Vitoria
AGremio1 - 1Chapecoense
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Corinthians 15TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo3 - 1Corinthians
Mirassol2 - 1Corinthians
Vitoria0 - 0Corinthians
Fluminense3 - 1Corinthians
Chapecoense0 - 0Corinthians
Santos1 - 1Corinthians
Cruzeiro1 - 1Corinthians
Athletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
Fortaleza2 - 1Corinthians
Cruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
Bragantino2 - 1Corinthians
Vitoria0 - 1Corinthians
Santos3 - 1Corinthians
Internacional1 - 1Corinthians
S. Recife1 - 0Corinthians
Fluminense0 - 1Corinthians
Vasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
Juventude2 - 1Corinthians
Botafogo1 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCorinthians1 - 0A Mineiro
ACorinthians1 - 3Botafogo
HCorinthians3 - 2Sao Paulo
ACorinthians1 - 2Mirassol
HCorinthians1 - 0Vasco d Gama
ACorinthians0 - 0Vitoria
HCorinthians0 - 0Palmeiras
HCorinthians0 - 1Internacional
ACorinthians1 - 3Fluminense
HCorinthians1 - 1Flamengo
ACorinthians0 - 0Chapecoense
ACorinthians1 - 1Santos
HCorinthians0 - 2Cortiba
ACorinthians1 - 1Cruzeiro
ACorinthians1 - 0Athletico PR
HCorinthians2 - 0Bragantino
HCorinthians1 - 2Bahia
HCorinthians1 - 1Juventude
ACorinthians1 - 2Fortaleza
HCorinthians2 - 2Botafogo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Corinthians have not lost to Gremio in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
2
6
Games: Scored
2 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
5 / 7
GRE
1
D
3
CTH
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Corinthians
0 - 1Corinthians
0 - 1Corinthians
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Gremio1 - 0
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
Gremio
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
GRE
1
D
5
CTH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Corinthians2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Gremio
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Gremio of late. It has been 9 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday night against Corinthians.

Gremio 14th Corinthians 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 59% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Corinthians scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Gremio have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-16
Corinthians have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Corinthians
1.4
1
Attack rating
1%
better
GRE
CTH
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score6
5
Scored first5
7
Goals scored19
15
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1
0.7
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
GRE
CTH
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first9
7
Goals conceded20
18
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1
KickOff rating
+11%

Gremio v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE