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Athletico PR v Mirassol : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th May, 20:00 BST, Arena de Baixada, Curitiba

Rafael Silva Guanaes takes his Mirassol troops to the Arena de Baixada in the Serie A on Saturday night, with Odair Hellmann's Athletico PR their challengers. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during a standard 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Athletico PR are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Athletico PR
57%
1.76
3%
1.83
1%
Draw
24%
3.60
9%
3.50
3%
Mirassol
19%
4.50
4%
4.50
2%
Athletico PR 1-0
13%
6.005.75
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
6.506.00
Athletico PR 2-0
11%
7.50
6%
7.50
Athletico PR 2-1
10%
8.50
6%
8.00
Draw 0-0
8%
8.50
6%
8.00
14%
Mirassol 1-0
7%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
Athletico PR 3-0
6%
15.0012.00
Athletico PR 3-1
5%
17.0013.00
13%
Mirassol 2-1
5%
15.0013.00
Draw 2-2
4%
17.00
11%
15.00
Mirassol 2-0
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
Athletico PR 4-0
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
Athletico PR 3-2
2%
34.0021.00
19%
Athletico PR 4-1
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
12%
Mirassol 3-1
1%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
2.15
4%
2.10
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.67
3%
1.67
4%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.62
3%
1.60
1%
Away 1st Goal
39%
2.632.80
2%
No 1st Goal
5%
8.50
6%
8.00
14%
BTTS - Yes
47%
2.00
2%
2.00
2%
BTTS - No
53%
1.75
3%
1.75
3%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
4.33
9%
4.00
9%
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.004.80
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10.00
5%
8.50
Home/draw
81%
1.18
2%
1.20
Away/draw
43%
1.95
2%
1.95
2%
Home/away
76%
1.29
3%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.401.36
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.002.90
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
4.00
8%
3.70
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.25
2%
1.25
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8.00
11%
7.50
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.08
1%
1.07
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
19.0015.00
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.021.01
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.07
1%
1.06
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8.50
6%
8.00
7%
Home DNB
74%
1.30
2%
1.30
2%
Away DNB
35%
3.40
5%
3.20
7%
Athletico PR win to nil
35%
2.75-
Mirassol win to nil
11%
7.00
8%
-
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
29%
2.88
4%
2.70
4%
Athletico PR / Mirassol
2%
41.0029.00
Athletico PR / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Athletico PR
18%
4.50
5%
4.60
Draw / Mirassol
9%
9.50
12%
8.50
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
5%
4.80
7%
Mirassol / Athletico PR
4%
26.0021.00
Mirassol / Mirassol
11%
8.00
7%
7.00
8%
Mirassol / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
7
Athletico PR have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Athletico PR 4TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
Athletico PR0 - 0Gremio
Athletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
Athletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
Athletico PR4 - 1Botafogo
Athletico PR2 - 0Cortiba
Athletico PR2 - 1Cruzeiro
Athletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
Athletico PR2 - 1Santos
Athletico PR1 - 0America
Athletico PR2 - 0Volta Redonda
Athletico PR2 - 0Amazonas
Athletico PR1 - 1Avai
Athletico PR1 - 0Operario
Athletico PR2 - 0Vila Nova
Athletico PR2 - 1Novorizontin
Athletico PR1 - 1Cuiaba
Athletico PR1 - 1Paysandu
Athletico PR1 - 1Ferroviaria
Athletico PR0 - 1Goias
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAthletico PR2 - 1Remo
HAthletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
AAthletico PR0 - 1Vasco d Gama
HAthletico PR0 - 0Gremio
HAthletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
AAthletico PR0 - 1Palmeiras
HAthletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
AAthletico PR1 - 2A Mineiro
AAthletico PR0 - 3Bahia
HAthletico PR4 - 1Botafogo
HAthletico PR2 - 0Cortiba
HAthletico PR2 - 1Cruzeiro
AAthletico PR2 - 3Fluminense
AAthletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
HAthletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
HAthletico PR2 - 1Santos
AAthletico PR1 - 0Internacional
HAthletico PR1 - 0America
AAthletico PR2 - 1Ferroviaria
HAthletico PR2 - 0Volta Redonda
Mirassol 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro3 - 1Mirassol
Sao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
Internacional1 - 2Mirassol
Botafogo3 - 2Mirassol
Vitoria1 - 0Mirassol
Palmeiras1 - 0Mirassol
Remo2 - 2Mirassol
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
Vitoria2 - 0Mirassol
Santos1 - 1Mirassol
Fluminense1 - 0Mirassol
S. Recife1 - 2Mirassol
Corinthians3 - 0Mirassol
A Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
Botafogo3 - 3Mirassol
Gremio0 - 1Mirassol
Fortaleza0 - 1Mirassol
Flamengo2 - 1Mirassol
Ceara0 - 2Mirassol
Palmeiras1 - 1Mirassol
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMirassol1 - 0Fluminense
AMirassol1 - 3A Mineiro
HMirassol1 - 1Chapecoense
HMirassol2 - 1Corinthians
AMirassol0 - 1Sao Paulo
AMirassol2 - 1Internacional
HMirassol1 - 2Bahia
HMirassol0 - 1Bragantino
AMirassol2 - 3Botafogo
AMirassol0 - 1Vitoria
HMirassol0 - 1Cortiba
AMirassol0 - 1Palmeiras
HMirassol2 - 2Santos
HMirassol2 - 2Cruzeiro
AMirassol2 - 2Remo
HMirassol2 - 1Vasco d Gama
HMirassol3 - 3Flamengo
AMirassol2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AMirassol0 - 2Vitoria
HMirassol3 - 0Ceara
Goal Statistics

Athletico PR's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Mirassol have conceded in each of their last 16 Serie A games. A PG of 1.7 for O. Hellmann's side suggests that run should continue.

Athletico PR 4th Mirassol 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Athletico PR will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Mirassol scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Athletico PR’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Mirassol’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Athletico PR
PG (predicted goals)
Mirassol
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
15%
better
APR
view stats
Games scored12
11
Failed to score5
5
Scored first8
6
Goals scored23
18
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for14
10
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
24%
better
APR
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded18
23
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+24%

Athletico PR v Mirassol Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE