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Bahia v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th May, 21:30 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

the Arena Fonte Nova crowd welcome Botafogo's travelling contingent on Saturday night, as Rogério Mücke Ceni's Bahia take on Davide Ancelotti's team in the Serie A. You'll find stats supporting our top of both teams to score below, but there are 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Having studied all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both elation and misery to both sets of supporters. We predict both Bahia and Botafogo to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate winner of the game seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that looks a wise bet to us.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
47%
43/50
2%
10/11
5%
Draw
23%
13/5
6%
27/10
6%
Botafogo
29%
3/1
7%
14/5
1%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
11/2
Bahia 2-1
9%
15/213/2
6%
Bahia 1-0
8%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Botafogo 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Bahia 2-0
7%
9/18/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Botafogo 1-0
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
10%
Bahia 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
16%
Bahia 3-0
4%
16/112/1
Botafogo 2-0
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Bahia 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Botafogo 3-1
3%
28/118/1
10%
Botafogo 3-2
3%
33/120/1
Bahia 4-1
2%
28/118/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
7/10
6%
4/6
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
11/10
5%
11/10
8%
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/13
3%
13/20
1%
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/8
3%
29/20
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
8%
10/1
16%
BTTS - Yes
61%
8/13
3%
8/13
5%
BTTS - No
39%
6/5
5%
23/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
5/2
7%
12/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6/1
8%
5/1
Home/draw
71%
2/9
2%
1/4
Away/draw
53%
10/11
6%
17/20
3%
Home/away
77%
2/7
1%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
7/4
8%
13/8
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/9
3%
4/9
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/6
3%
1/6
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
16%
Home DNB
64%
4/11
6%
2/5
3%
Away DNB
46%
2/1
14%
17/10
3%
Bahia win to nil
22%
5/2
7%
-
Botafogo win to nil
13%
7/1
14%
-
Bahia / Bahia
28%
15/8
7%
15/8
4%
Bahia / Botafogo
3%
28/125/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Bahia
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Botafogo
9%
8/1
13%
7/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
10%
Botafogo / Bahia
4%
20/116/1
11%
Botafogo / Botafogo
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
Botafogo / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Bahia 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 1Gremio
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 2Santos
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia3 - 0Athletico PR
Bahia2 - 0Bragantino
Bahia1 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Bahia2 - 0S. Recife
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 3Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia2 - 3Cortiba
HBahia1 - 1Gremio
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia2 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia2 - 2Santos
ABahia0 - 2Flamengo
ABahia2 - 1Mirassol
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
HBahia3 - 0Athletico PR
ABahia1 - 4Remo
HBahia2 - 0Bragantino
ABahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia1 - 1Vitoria
ABahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia1 - 1Fluminense
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
ABahia0 - 2Fluminense
HBahia2 - 0S. Recife
ABahia1 - 1Juventude
HBahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo1 - 1Botafogo
A Mineiro1 - 1Botafogo
Chapecoense1 - 4Botafogo
Vasco d Gama1 - 2Botafogo
Athletico PR4 - 1Botafogo
Bragantino1 - 2Botafogo
Palmeiras2 - 1Botafogo
Fluminense1 - 0Botafogo
Gremio5 - 3Botafogo
Cruzeiro2 - 2Botafogo
Corinthians2 - 2Botafogo
Vitoria0 - 0Botafogo
Mirassol0 - 0Botafogo
Ceara0 - 2Botafogo
Internacional2 - 0Botafogo
Fluminense2 - 0Botafogo
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Juventude1 - 3Botafogo
Fortaleza0 - 5Botafogo
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABotafogo1 - 1Sao Paulo
HBotafogo3 - 1Corinthians
ABotafogo1 - 1A Mineiro
HBotafogo1 - 2Remo
HBotafogo2 - 2Internacional
ABotafogo4 - 1Chapecoense
HBotafogo2 - 2Cortiba
ABotafogo2 - 1Vasco d Gama
HBotafogo3 - 2Mirassol
ABotafogo1 - 4Athletico PR
ABotafogo2 - 1Bragantino
ABotafogo1 - 2Palmeiras
HBotafogo0 - 3Flamengo
ABotafogo0 - 1Fluminense
ABotafogo3 - 5Gremio
HBotafogo4 - 0Cruzeiro
HBotafogo4 - 2Fortaleza
ABotafogo2 - 2Cruzeiro
ABotafogo2 - 2Corinthians
HBotafogo3 - 2Gremio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
BAH
3
D
2
BOT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0
Bahia2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
10
8
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
BAH
3
BOT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Botafogo2 - 1
1 - 2Bahia
Botafogo3 - 0
1 - 2Bahia
Botafogo3 - 2
0 - 1Bahia
Goal Statistics

Bahia's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Botafogo have conceded in each of their last 14 Serie A games. A PG of 1.7 for R. Mücke Ceni's side suggests that run should continue.

Bahia 8th Botafogo 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 73% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+34
Botafogo have scored 34% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Botafogo
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
BAH
BOT
4%
better
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score1
2
Scored first7
8
Goals scored23
30
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
22%
better
BAH
BOT
view stats
Games conceded12
15
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded22
29
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%

Bahia v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE