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Real Madrid v Arsenal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Home advantage can be vital in the Champions League, and Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid will have the blessing of it on Wednesday night. Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal are their visitors to the Santiago Bernabéu. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Celta at 13:00 on Sunday 4th May
Arsenal's next match is v PSG at 20:00 on Tuesday 29th April
The last European Champions League meeting between Real Madrid and Arsenal was on Wednesday 16th April 2025
European Champions League
April 16th 2025
Real Madrid 1
2 Arsenal
 
V. Júnior 67'65' B. Saka
90' G. Martinelli Silva
 
RMD
ARS
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
10
4
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
18
15
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
Real MadridArsenal
 
T. Courtois
D. Olatukunbo Alaba (F. García Torres 61')
A. Rüdiger
L. Vázquez Iglesias (E. Moreira de Sousa 61')
R. Asencio del Rosario (L. Modrić 74')
A. Tchouaméni
F. Valverde Dipetta
J. Bellingham
R. Silva de Goes (D. Ceballos Fernández 61')
K. Mbappé (B. Abdelkader Diaz 75')
V. Júniorfootball icon
D. Raya Martin
J. Kiwior
M. Lewis-Skelly
W. Saliba
(B. White 90') J. Timber
M. Ødegaard
M. Merino Zazón
T. Partey
(O. Zinchenko 90') D. Rice
(K. Tierney 90') football iconG. Martinelli Silva
(L. Trossard 77') football iconB. Saka

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our prediction for Wednesday's fixture is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Real Madrid and Arsenal to score 3 goals or more between them during the traditional 90 mins. 2 goals or less would mean a losing bet but, with stats below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think it could well be a winner.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
53%
3/4
8%
-
Draw
22%
3/1
11%
-
Arsenal
25%
16/5
11%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
7%
-
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
-
Real Madrid 1-0
8%
9/1
9%
-
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
9/1
9%
-
Arsenal 2-1
6%
12/1-
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
18%
-
Arsenal 1-0
5%
14/1-
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1-
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
20/1-
Arsenal 2-0
3%
22/1-
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
20/1
9%
-
Arsenal 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Arsenal 3-2
3%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/7-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
11/8-
Home 1st Goal
53%
1/2
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
8/5
8%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
62%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - No
38%
5/4
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
11/5
2%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/2
8%
-
Home/draw
75%
2/9
2%
-
Away/draw
47%
1/1
5%
-
Home/away
78%
2/9
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/15
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
-
Home DNB
68%
4/11
3%
-
Away DNB
41%
2/1
9%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
24%
5/2
13%
-
Arsenal win to nil
10%
8/1
13%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
29%
7/4
11%
-
Real Madrid / Arsenal
3%
28/1-
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Real Madrid
17%
4/1-
Draw / Arsenal
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Arsenal / Real Madrid
4%
18/1-
Arsenal / Arsenal
13%
11/2
8%
-
Arsenal / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
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Win / draw / win Champions League table

Real Madrid have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 3. Real Madrid have conceded 12 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Real Madrid have played 6 games at home, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Arsenal lay in 3rd place on 19 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 28 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 5 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool87011221 
-
l
 
2-0A
-
-
2
Barcelona86111519 
-
-
-
-
3
Arsenal Away86111319 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
-
-
4
Inter86111019 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
5
A.Madrid8602818 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
6
Leverkusen8512816 
-
-
-
-
7
Lille8512716 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
8
A Villa8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Atalanta84311415 
-
w
 
2-3F
-
d
 
0-00-0
10
Dortmund85031015 
w
 
5-2A
-
-
-
11
Real Madrid H8503815 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
12
Bayern8503815 
-
-
-
-
13
Milan8503315 
l
 
1-3A
-
-
-
14
PSV8422414 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-7F
15
PSG8413513 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
May 7
16
Benfica8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
Monaco8413013 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
18
Brest8413-113 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
19
Feyenoord8413-313 
-
-
-
-
20
Juventus8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8332-112 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City8323411 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3A
-
-
23
S. Lisbon8323111 
-
-
-
w
 
1-5F
24
Brugge8323-411 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb8323-711 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
26
Stuttgart8314-410 
w
 
3-1F
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar8215-87 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
28
Bologna8134-56 
-
-
-
-
29
Red Star Bel.8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Sturm Graz8206-96 
-
-
-
-
31
Sparta8116-144 
-
-
-
-
32
RB Leipzig8107-73 
-
-
-
-
33
Girona8107-83 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2A
34
Salzburg8107-223 
w
 
5-1F
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava8008-200 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys8008-210 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Real Madrid have won 3 consecutive home european games
Real Madrid 11TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 1Man City
Real Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
Real Madrid1 - 3Milan
Real Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
Real Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
Real Madrid2 - 1Bayern
Real Madrid3 - 3Man City
Real Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
Real Madrid4 - 2Napoli
Real Madrid3 - 0Braga
Real Madrid1 - 0Union Berlin
Real Madrid1 - 1Man City
Real Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
Real Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
Real Madrid5 - 1Celtic
Real Madrid2 - 1Shakhtar
Real Madrid2 - 0RB Leipzig
Real Madrid2 - 1Man City
Real Madrid1 - 3Chelsea
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid0 - 3Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 1Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 0Brest
HReal Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
AReal Madrid3 - 2Atalanta
AReal Madrid0 - 2Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 3Milan
HReal Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
AReal Madrid0 - 1Lille
HReal Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
AReal Madrid2 - 0Dortmund
HReal Madrid2 - 1Bayern
AReal Madrid2 - 2Bayern
AReal Madrid1 - 1Man City
HReal Madrid3 - 3Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid1 - 0RB Leipzig
Arsenal 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSV1 - 7Arsenal
Girona1 - 2Arsenal
S. Lisbon1 - 5Arsenal
Inter1 - 0Arsenal
Atalanta0 - 0Arsenal
Bayern1 - 0Arsenal
Porto1 - 0Arsenal
PSV1 - 1Arsenal
Sevilla1 - 2Arsenal
Lens2 - 1Arsenal
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arsenal
PSV2 - 0Arsenal
Bodø0 - 1Arsenal
Zurich1 - 2Arsenal
Villarreal2 - 1Arsenal
Slavia0 - 4Arsenal
Olympiakos1 - 3Arsenal
Benfica1 - 1Arsenal
Dundalk2 - 4Arsenal
Molde0 - 3Arsenal
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArsenal3 - 0Real Madrid
HArsenal2 - 2PSV
AArsenal7 - 1PSV
AArsenal2 - 1Girona
HArsenal3 - 0D. Zagreb
HArsenal3 - 0Monaco
AArsenal5 - 1S. Lisbon
AArsenal0 - 1Inter
HArsenal1 - 0Shakhtar
HArsenal2 - 0PSG
AArsenal0 - 0Atalanta
AArsenal0 - 1Bayern
HArsenal2 - 2Bayern
HArsenal1 - 0Porto
AArsenal0 - 1Porto
AArsenal1 - 1PSV
HArsenal6 - 0Lens
HArsenal2 - 0Sevilla
AArsenal2 - 1Sevilla
AArsenal1 - 2Lens
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Arsenal on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Real Madrid 11th Arsenal 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Arsenal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Real Madrid have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Arsenal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/295342/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.9
1.3
Attack rating
RMD
ARS
1%
better
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first12
12
Goals scored35
36
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.8
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
RMD
ARS
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
14
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded25
18
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+9%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v Arsenal will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12734
F ValverdeK MbappéF ValverdeL Vázquez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK10
-
L Vázquez DEF811
4
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF81
1
-
A Rüdiger DEF112
2
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
F Valverde MID123
1
-
A Tchouameni MID10
3
-
J Bellingham MID1133
3
-
Rodrygo FWD1052
-
K Mbappé FWD1271
1
-
V Junior FWD1073
4
-
Subs
F. González Pérez GLK
-
S Mestre GLK
-
Vallejo DEF
-
F García DEF7
-
L Modric MID123
2
-
A Güler MID7
-
D Ceballos MID81
1
-
B Díaz MID921
1
-
Endrick FWD81
2
-
Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9423
D RayaB SakaD RiceR Sterling
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK9
1
-
J Timber DEF911
2
-
W Saliba DEF7
-
J Kiwior DEF6
1
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF61
1
-
M Ødegaard MID731
-
T Partey MID9
1
-
D Rice MID922
2
-
B Saka FWD542
-
M Merino FWD812
1
-
G Martinelli FWD911
2
-
Subs
Neto  GLK1
-
T. Hogan Setford GLK
-
M. Rosiak DEF
-
K Tierney DEF3
-
B White DEF5
1
-
O Zinchenko DEF51
-
J. Gower MID
-
J Henry-Francis MID
-
E Nwaneri MID62
-
L Trossard FWD1022
-
R Sterling FWD62
3
-
N Butler-Oyedeji FWD1
-