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Real Madrid v Arsenal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Apr, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Real Madrid and their boss Carlo Ancelotti will be hoping for victory against Mikel Arteta and his Arsenal side on Wednesday night, as the pair go head to head at the Santiago Bernabéu in the Champions League. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
47%
--
Draw
23%
--
Arsenal
30%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
--
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
--
Arsenal 2-1
7%
--
Real Madrid 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Arsenal 1-0
6%
--
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Arsenal 2-0
4%
--
Real Madrid 3-0
4%
--
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
--
Arsenal 3-1
3%
--
Arsenal 3-2
3%
--
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
63%
--
BTTS - No
37%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
18%
--
Home/draw
70%
--
Away/draw
53%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
21%
--
Arsenal win to nil
12%
--
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Win / draw / win Champions League table

Real Madrid have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won 3. Real Madrid have conceded 9 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Real Madrid have played 6 games at home, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Arsenal lay in 3rd place on 19 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 25 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 5 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool87011221 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona86111519 
-
-
-
-
3
Arsenal Away86111319 
Apr 16
Apr 8
-
-
4
Inter86111019 
-
-
-
-
5
A.Madrid8602818 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
6
Leverkusen8512816 
-
-
-
-
7
Lille8512716 
-
-
-
-
8
A Villa8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Atalanta84311415 
-
-
-
-
10
Dortmund85031015 
-
-
-
-
11
Real Madrid H8503815 
-
-
Apr 8
Apr 16
12
Bayern8503815 
-
-
-
-
13
Milan8503315 
-
-
-
-
14
PSV8422414 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-7F
15
PSG8413513 
-
-
-
-
16
Benfica8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
Monaco8413013 
-
-
-
-
18
Brest8413-113 
-
-
-
-
19
Feyenoord8413-313 
-
-
-
-
20
Juventus8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8332-112 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City8323411 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3A
-
-
23
S. Lisbon8323111 
-
-
-
-
24
Brugge8323-411 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb8323-711 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart8314-410 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar8215-87 
-
-
-
-
28
Bologna8134-56 
-
-
-
-
29
Red Star Bel.8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Sturm Graz8206-96 
-
-
-
-
31
Sparta8116-144 
-
-
-
-
32
RB Leipzig8107-73 
-
-
-
-
33
Girona8107-83 
-
-
-
-
34
Salzburg8107-223 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava8008-200 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys8008-210 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Real Madrid have won 3 consecutive home european games
3
Arsenal have won 3 consecutive away european games
Real Madrid 11TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 1Man City
Real Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
Real Madrid1 - 3Milan
Real Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
Real Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
Real Madrid2 - 1Bayern
Real Madrid3 - 3Man City
Real Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
Real Madrid4 - 2Napoli
Real Madrid3 - 0Braga
Real Madrid1 - 0Union Berlin
Real Madrid1 - 1Man City
Real Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
Real Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
Real Madrid5 - 1Celtic
Real Madrid2 - 1Shakhtar
Real Madrid2 - 0RB Leipzig
Real Madrid3 - 1Man City
Real Madrid1 - 3Chelsea
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid0 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 1Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 0Brest
HReal Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
AReal Madrid3 - 2Atalanta
AReal Madrid0 - 2Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 3Milan
HReal Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
AReal Madrid0 - 1Lille
HReal Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
AReal Madrid2 - 0Dortmund
HReal Madrid2 - 1Bayern
AReal Madrid2 - 2Bayern
AReal Madrid1 - 1Man City
HReal Madrid3 - 3Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid1 - 0RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid3 - 2Union Berlin
Arsenal 3RD
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSV1 - 7Arsenal
Girona1 - 2Arsenal
S. Lisbon1 - 5Arsenal
Inter1 - 0Arsenal
Atalanta0 - 0Arsenal
Bayern1 - 0Arsenal
Porto1 - 0Arsenal
PSV1 - 1Arsenal
Sevilla1 - 2Arsenal
Lens2 - 1Arsenal
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arsenal
PSV2 - 0Arsenal
Bodø0 - 1Arsenal
Zurich1 - 2Arsenal
Villarreal2 - 1Arsenal
Slavia0 - 4Arsenal
Olympiakos1 - 3Arsenal
Benfica1 - 1Arsenal
Dundalk2 - 4Arsenal
Molde0 - 3Arsenal
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArsenal2 - 2PSV
AArsenal7 - 1PSV
AArsenal2 - 1Girona
HArsenal3 - 0D. Zagreb
HArsenal3 - 0Monaco
AArsenal5 - 1S. Lisbon
AArsenal0 - 1Inter
HArsenal1 - 0Shakhtar
HArsenal2 - 0PSG
AArsenal0 - 0Atalanta
AArsenal0 - 1Bayern
HArsenal2 - 2Bayern
HArsenal1 - 0Porto
AArsenal0 - 1Porto
AArsenal1 - 1PSV
HArsenal6 - 0Lens
HArsenal2 - 0Sevilla
AArsenal2 - 1Sevilla
AArsenal1 - 2Lens
HArsenal4 - 0PSV
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Arsenal on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Real Madrid 11th Arsenal 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Arsenal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Real Madrid have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Arsenal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/295342/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.8
1.4
Attack rating
13%
better
RMD
ARS
view stats
Games scored18
16
Failed to score2
4
Scored first13
11
Goals scored44
36
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
19
Avg. XG for2.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
RMD
ARS
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
14
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded24
18
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v Arsenal will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12734
F ValverdeK MbappéF ValverdeV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Valverde MID123
1
-
L Modric MID123
2
-
K Mbappé FWD1271
1
-
A Rüdiger DEF112
2
-
F Mendy DEF111
1
-
J Bellingham MID1133
3
-
T Courtois GLK10
-
A Tchouameni MID10
3
-
V Junior FWD1073
4
-
Rodrygo FWD1052
-
B Díaz MID921
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF81
1
-
L Vázquez DEF811
4
-
D Ceballos MID81
1
-
E Camavinga MID8
2
-
Endrick FWD81
2
-
F García DEF7
-
A Güler MID7
-
Éder Militão DEF4
2
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
A Lunin GLK2
-
D Carvajal DEF21
-
J. Naveros DEF1
-
Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9423
D RayaK HavertzL TrossardR Sterling
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Trossard FWD1022
-
D Raya GLK9
1
-
J Timber DEF911
2
-
G Magalhães DEF91
1
-
T Partey MID9
1
-
D Rice MID922
2
-
G Martinelli FWD911
2
-
M Merino MID812
1
-
K Havertz FWD842
-
W Saliba DEF7
-
R Calafiori DEF711
1
-
M Ødegaard MID731
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF61
1
-
J Kiwior DEF6
1
-
Jorginho MID61
-
E Nwaneri MID62
-
R Sterling FWD62
3
-
O Zinchenko DEF51
-
B White DEF5
1
-
B Saka FWD542
-
G Jesus  FWD51
1
-
K Tierney DEF3
-
Neto  GLK1
-