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Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th May, 17:00 BST, Puskás Aréna, Budapest

Arsenal, led by manager Mikel Arteta Amatriain, visit Luis Enrique Martínez García and his Paris Saint-Germain side at the Puskás Aréna on Saturday evening in the Champions League. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither PSG or Arsenal are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 77% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
43%
2.30
7%
2.30
2%
Draw
26%
3.30
8%
3.30
6%
Arsenal
32%
3.20
3%
3.10
Draw 1-1
12%
6.00
14%
6.00
8%
PSG 1-0
10%
8.00
6%
7.50
6%
PSG 2-1
9%
9.50
6%
8.50
Arsenal 1-0
8%
10.009.00
10%
Arsenal 2-1
7%
12.00
9%
10.00
PSG 2-0
7%
11.0011.00
10%
Draw 0-0
7%
10.00
17%
9.00
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
13%
13.00
8%
Arsenal 2-0
5%
17.0013.00
13%
PSG 3-1
4%
19.00
12%
15.00
PSG 3-0
4%
21.0017.00
Arsenal 3-1
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
11%
PSG 3-2
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
Arsenal 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
13%
Arsenal 3-0
2%
34.0026.00
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
2.00
5%
1.91
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1.80
6%
1.80
6%
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.83
2%
1.85
3%
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.20
5%
2.20
No 1st Goal
4%
10.00
17%
8.50
11%
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.75
3%
1.75
5%
BTTS - No
45%
2.00
2%
2.00
5%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4.75
10%
4.33
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33
4%
4.20
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6.005.50
5%
Home/draw
68%
1.361.36
1%
Away/draw
57%
1.57
6%
1.60
3%
Home/away
74%
1.33
3%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.30
1%
1.30
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3.50
7%
3.30
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
3.40
6%
3.30
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1.33
2%
1.30
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6.50
8%
6.50
18%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.11
2%
1.10
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
13.0012.00
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.041.02
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.06
1%
1.06
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10.00
9%
8.50
15%
Home DNB
61%
1.621.62
1%
Away DNB
49%
2.202.15
2%
PSG win to nil
23%
4.00
7%
-
Arsenal win to nil
16%
5.50-
PSG / PSG
22%
3.75
7%
3.50
3%
PSG / Arsenal
3%
29.0023.00
PSG / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
9%
Draw / PSG
14%
5.505.50
Draw / Arsenal
11%
7.00
7%
7.00
Draw / Draw
16%
5.00
9%
4.80
4%
Arsenal / PSG
4%
26.00
13%
19.00
Arsenal / Arsenal
17%
5.004.60
4%
Arsenal / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Win / draw / win Champions League table

PSG have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 7. PSG have conceded 15 goals, scored 27, scored in every game and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

PSG have played 8 games at home, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Arsenal lay in 1st place on 24 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches. Arsenal are unbeaten in 14 games against teams below them in the league and kept 9 clean sheets out of 14 games. Arsenal are unbeaten away after 7 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 7 away games, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
May 30
-
-
-
2
Bayern87011421 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
-
3
Liverpool86021218 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
4
Spurs85211017 
w
 
5-3A
-
-
-
5
Barcelona8512816 
-
w
 
1-2A
-
-
6
Chelsea8512716 
w
 
5-2F
w
 
0-3F
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
-
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
8
Man City8512616 
-
-
-
-
9
Real Madrid8503915 
-
-
-
-
10
Inter8503815 
-
-
-
w
 
1-3F
11
PSG84221014 
-
-
-
May 30
12
Newcastle84221014 
d
 
1-1F
-
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
-
-
14
A.Madrid8413213 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Atalanta8413013 
w
 
4-0F
-
-
-
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
-
w
 
2-7F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
17
Dortmund8323211 
-
-
-
-
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
-
19
Brugge8314-210 
-
-
-
w
 
0-3F
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
-
-
-
-
21
Monaco8242-610 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-3A
-
-
22
Qarabag8314-810 
-
-
-
-
23
Bodø8233-19 
-
-
-
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
-
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
-
-
-
-
28
PSV822408 
-
-
-
-
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
w
 
0-2F
30
Napoli8224-68 
-
-
-
-
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
-
-
w
 
0-3F
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
-
-
w
 
3-2F
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
PSG have won 3 consecutive home european games
9
PSG have not lost in 9 consecutive european games
14
Arsenal have not lost in 14 consecutive european games
PSG 11TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
14
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at PSG since 2016
PSG
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
3
2
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
PSG
1
D
1
League games at Arsenal since 2016
Arsenal
PSG
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
PSG
1
D
1
ARS
1
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 19 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Arsenal on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

PSG 11th Arsenal 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Arsenal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+24
PSG have scored 24% more goals at home than predicted
+11
Arsenal have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
34%
better
PSG
ARS
view stats
Games scored20
18
Failed to score0
2
Scored first15
14
Goals scored48
28
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
14
Avg. XG for2
1.7
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
PSG
ARS
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
10
Clean sheets10
10
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded21
14
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against13%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between PSG v Arsenal will show here when available.

PSG Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161083
N Mendes K KvaratskheliaA HakimiN Mendes 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mendes  DEF1622
3
-
W Pacho DEF1621
-
Vitinha MID1661
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID161
1
-
B Barcola FWD1524
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD15106
3
-
Marquinhos DEF142
2
-
J Neves MID1323
-
A Hakimi DEF1218
2
-
D Doué FWD1254
-
O Dembélé FWD1272
-
S. Mayulu MID112
-
M Safonov GLK10
1
-
L Hernández  DEF10
1
K Lee FWD101
-
G Ramos FWD102
-
F Ruiz MID811
1
-
L Chevalier GLK6
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF6
1
1
I. Mbaye FWD4
-
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD31
-
L Beraldo DEF2
-
P. Fernández Sarmiento MID1
-
Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13654
D RayaG MartinelliL TrossardM Zubimendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK13
-
G Martinelli FWD1362
1
-
M Zubimendi MID122
4
-
E Eze MID1211
-
D Rice MID1212
3
-
V Gyökeres FWD1252
-
W Saliba DEF11
1
-
B White DEF111
1
-
G Magalhães DEF1111
1
-
B Saka FWD1032
-
L Trossard FWD1015
-
C Mosquera DEF9
-
P Hincapié DEF9
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF92
1
-
N Madueke FWD93
1
-
J Timber DEF711
-
M Merino MID72
3
-
M Ødegaard MID71
-
R Calafiori DEF61
1
-
C Nörgaard MID6
2
-
G Jesus  FWD62
-
K Havertz FWD531
1
-
M. Dowman FWD3
-
K Arrizabalaga GLK1
1
-
European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds