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Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 7th May, 20:00 BST, ,

Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
46%
--
Draw
24%
--
Arsenal
29%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
PSG 2-1
9%
--
PSG 1-0
9%
--
PSG 2-0
7%
--
Arsenal 2-1
7%
--
Arsenal 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
PSG 3-1
5%
--
Arsenal 2-0
4%
--
PSG 3-0
4%
--
PSG 3-2
3%
--
Arsenal 3-1
3%
--
Arsenal 3-2
2%
--
PSG 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
71%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
PSG win to nil
23%
--
Arsenal win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win Champions League table

PSG have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 2. PSG have conceded 11 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

PSG have played 7 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Arsenal lay in 3rd place on 19 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 30 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 6 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool87011221 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
-
-
2
Barcelona86111519 
-
-
-
-
3
Arsenal Away86111319 
May 7
l
 
2-0A
-
-
4
Inter86111019 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
5
A.Madrid8602818 
l
 
1-2F
-
-
-
6
Leverkusen8512816 
-
-
-
-
7
Lille8512716 
-
-
-
-
8
A Villa8512716 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-2F
-
-
9
Atalanta84311415 
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
10
Dortmund85031015 
-
-
-
-
11
Real Madrid8503815 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
12
Bayern8503815 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
13
Milan8503315 
-
-
-
-
14
PSV8422414 
d
 
1-1A
-
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-7F
15
PSG Home8413513 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
May 7
16
Benfica8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
Monaco8413013 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
18
Brest8413-113 
w
 
7-0F
w
 
0-3F
-
-
19
Feyenoord8413-313 
-
-
-
-
20
Juventus8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8332-112 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City8323411 
w
 
4-2A
-
-
-
23
S. Lisbon8323111 
-
-
-
w
 
1-5F
24
Brugge8323-411 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb8323-711 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
26
Stuttgart8314-410 
-
w
 
1-4F
-
-
27
Shakhtar8215-87 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
28
Bologna8134-56 
-
-
-
-
29
Red Star Bel.8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Sturm Graz8206-96 
-
-
-
-
31
Sparta8116-144 
-
-
-
-
32
RB Leipzig8107-73 
-
-
-
-
33
Girona8107-83 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
w
 
1-2A
34
Salzburg8107-223 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
35
S. Bratislava8008-200 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys8008-210 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
4
Arsenal have won 4 consecutive away european games
PSG 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG3 - 1A Villa
PSG0 - 1Liverpool
PSG7 - 0Brest
PSG4 - 2Man City
PSG1 - 2A.Madrid
PSG1 - 1PSV
PSG1 - 0Girona
PSG0 - 1Dortmund
PSG2 - 3Barcelona
PSG2 - 0R.Sociedad
PSG1 - 1Newcastle
PSG3 - 0Milan
PSG2 - 0Dortmund
PSG0 - 1Bayern
PSG7 - 2M. Haifa
PSG1 - 1Benfica
PSG2 - 1Juventus
PSG1 - 0Real Madrid
PSG4 - 1Brugge
PSG3 - 2RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APSG2 - 3A Villa
HPSG3 - 1A Villa
APSG1 - 0Liverpool
HPSG0 - 1Liverpool
HPSG7 - 0Brest
APSG3 - 0Brest
APSG4 - 1Stuttgart
HPSG4 - 2Man City
APSG3 - 0Salzburg
APSG0 - 1Bayern
HPSG1 - 2A.Madrid
HPSG1 - 1PSV
APSG0 - 2Arsenal
HPSG1 - 0Girona
HPSG0 - 1Dortmund
APSG0 - 1Dortmund
APSG4 - 1Barcelona
HPSG2 - 3Barcelona
APSG2 - 1R.Sociedad
HPSG2 - 0R.Sociedad
Arsenal 3RD
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid1 - 2Arsenal
PSV1 - 7Arsenal
Girona1 - 2Arsenal
S. Lisbon1 - 5Arsenal
Inter1 - 0Arsenal
Atalanta0 - 0Arsenal
Bayern1 - 0Arsenal
Porto1 - 0Arsenal
PSV1 - 1Arsenal
Sevilla1 - 2Arsenal
Lens2 - 1Arsenal
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arsenal
PSV2 - 0Arsenal
Bodø0 - 1Arsenal
Zurich1 - 2Arsenal
Villarreal2 - 1Arsenal
Slavia0 - 4Arsenal
Olympiakos1 - 3Arsenal
Benfica1 - 1Arsenal
Dundalk2 - 4Arsenal
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArsenal2 - 1Real Madrid
HArsenal3 - 0Real Madrid
HArsenal2 - 2PSV
AArsenal7 - 1PSV
AArsenal2 - 1Girona
HArsenal3 - 0D. Zagreb
HArsenal3 - 0Monaco
AArsenal5 - 1S. Lisbon
AArsenal0 - 1Inter
HArsenal1 - 0Shakhtar
HArsenal2 - 0PSG
AArsenal0 - 0Atalanta
AArsenal0 - 1Bayern
HArsenal2 - 2Bayern
HArsenal1 - 0Porto
AArsenal0 - 1Porto
AArsenal1 - 1PSV
HArsenal6 - 0Lens
HArsenal2 - 0Sevilla
AArsenal2 - 1Sevilla
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 16 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Arsenal on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Paris Saint-Germain's defensive record is very strong, L. Martínez García's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Champions League games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Arsenal makes sense in this context.

PSG 15th Arsenal 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Arsenal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
Arsenal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/302646/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
25%
better
PSG
ARS
view stats
Games scored19
17
Failed to score1
3
Scored first16
15
Goals scored63
41
Avg. goals scored3.2
2.1
Avg. shots per game14
10
Avg. shots per goal4
5
Conversion rate for22
21
Avg. XG for2.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
0%
better
PSG
ARS
view stats
Games conceded13
13
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded18
17
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1
0.8
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between PSG v Arsenal will show here when available.

PSG Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13753
A HakimiO DembéléA HakimiN Mendes 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Hakimi DEF1315
1
-
W Pacho DEF13
-
F Ruiz MID134
2
-
Vitinha MID1321
-
J Neves MID1311
1
-
B Barcola FWD1333
1
-
N Mendes  DEF1231
3
-
Marquinhos DEF12
3
-
D Doué FWD1233
-
G Donnarumma GLK11
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID111
-
O Dembélé FWD1172
1
1
K Lee FWD11
-
G Ramos FWD931
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD521
-
L Beraldo DEF4
-
L Hernández  DEF3
-
S. Mayulu MID31
-
M Safonov GLK2
-
P Kimpembe DEF1
-
Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9423
D RayaK HavertzL TrossardR Sterling
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Trossard FWD1022
-
D Raya GLK9
1
-
J Timber DEF911
2
-
G Magalhães DEF91
1
-
D Rice MID922
2
-
T Partey MID9
1
-
G Martinelli FWD911
2
-
M Merino MID812
1
-
K Havertz FWD842
-
W Saliba DEF7
-
R Calafiori DEF711
1
-
M Ødegaard MID731
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF61
1
-
J Kiwior DEF6
1
-
E Nwaneri MID62
-
Jorginho MID61
-
R Sterling FWD62
3
-
O Zinchenko DEF51
-
B White DEF5
1
-
B Saka FWD542
-
G Jesus  FWD51
1
-
K Tierney DEF3
-
Neto  GLK1
-