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Rio Ave v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Dos Arcos, Vila do Conde

Martin Svedik pays counterpart Armando Evangelista a visit on Monday night in the Liga NOS, as their FC Porto and Rio Ave charges go head to head at the Estadio Dos Arcos. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.

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Rio Ave's next match is v Arouca at 20:15 on Monday 10th February
FC Porto's next match is v S. Lisbon at 20:15 on Friday 7th February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Rio Ave and Porto was on Monday 3rd February 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 3rd 2025
Rio Ave 2
2 Porto
 
Clayton 37'51' N. Pérez
O. Pohlmann 73'76' Otavio Ataide
 
RIO
PTO
Shots On
3
8
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
3
5
Possession
31%
69%
Fouls
18
8
Yellow/red cards
1/1
3/0
 
Rio AvePorto
 
C. Miszta
F. Petrasso (A. Inácio da Silva 67')
M. Vrousai
A. Ntoi
O. Richards
D. Tıknaz
M. Carvalho Neto (J. Barradas Novais 68')
O. Pohlmannfootball icon (J. Salazar da Graça 81')
Claytonfootball icon
T. Fontoura Fonseca Morais (F. Ferreira Vieira 67')
F. Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso (J. Panzo 87')
D. Meireles Costa
F. Moura
(D. Gül 84') football iconN. Pérez
J. Neto Lopes
football iconOtavio Ataide
T. Embalo Djaló
A. Varela
(D. Loader 76') R. Mora Carvalho
S. Antunes Eustáquio
(E. Aquino Cossa 66') G. Albuquerque Borges
S. Omorodion Aghehowa

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Rio Ave and Porto will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 81%. Bookmakers have it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Porto coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rio Ave
27%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Draw
23%
7/27/2
2%
Porto
50%
21/50
1%
10/21
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
15/2
6%
7/1
Porto 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Porto 1-0
9%
6/15/1
Porto 2-0
8%
11/211/2
Rio Ave 2-1
7%
20/116/1
Rio Ave 1-0
6%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
6%
20/116/1
Porto 3-1
6%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
10/19/1
Porto 3-0
5%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Rio Ave 2-0
4%
33/125/1
Porto 3-2
4%
28/1
13%
20/1
Rio Ave 3-1
3%
50/133/1
Porto 4-1
3%
20/116/1
Rio Ave 3-2
2%
50/1
24%
40/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
17/20
4%
3/4
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
19/20
3%
1/1
3%
Home 1st Goal
45%
11/4
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
3/10-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
59%
1/1
2%
1/1
2%
BTTS - No
41%
3/4
6%
8/11
BTTS - Home Win
15%
12/110/1
10%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5/119/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
26%
12/5
5%
23/10
3%
Home/draw
50%
7/4
5%
17/10
5%
Away/draw
73%
1/10
1%
1/10
1%
Home/away
77%
2/111/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
11/4
8%
27/10
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2/1
5%
15/8
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/11
3%
2/5
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5/1
10%
17/4
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/8
3%
1/7
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/251/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
Home DNB
43%
9/24/1
4%
Away DNB
66%
1/71/7
1%
Rio Ave win to nil
12%
10/1-
Porto win to nil
24%
5/4
10%
-
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
7%
12/117/2
5%
Rio Ave / Porto
4%
20/118/1
Rio Ave / Draw
5%
18/114/1
Draw / Rio Ave
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Porto
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Draw
12%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Porto / Rio Ave
2%
40/133/1
Porto / Porto
37%
6/523/20
2%
Porto / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Rio Ave have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Rio Ave have conceded 27 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 5 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Rio Ave have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Porto lay in 3rd place on 41 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 41 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 9 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Rio Ave
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2016224150 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica2014243044 
Mar 16
l
 
5-0A
Apr 6
l
 
4-1A
3
Porto Away2013342742 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
-
-
4
Braga2012441640 
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
5
Santa Clara201127235 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
6
Casa Pia20866130 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 30
w
 
2-0F
Apr 13
7
V. Guimaraes20785529 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 27
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
8
Estoril20767-727 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 23
w
 
4-0F
Mar 30
9
Famalicao20596-224 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 9
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
10
Rio Ave Home20668-1224 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Moreirense20659-523 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
May 4
w
 
0-3F
12
Gil Vicente20578-722 
May 17
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
13
Arouca206410-1322 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 10
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
14
Nacional205411-1119 
w
 
2-1F
May 11
May 17
l
 
2-0A
15
AVS20398-1418 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
Mar 16
w
 
0-5F
16
Estrela Amadora204511-1517 
May 4
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
17
Sporting Farense203611-1515 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
18
Boavista202612-2112 
Apr 6
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
May 11
Win / draw / win form
Rio Ave 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
11
L
1
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Rio Ave since 2016
Rio Ave
Porto
Goals: Scored
9
17
Games: Scored
6 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
2 / 8
RIO
1
D
1
PTO
6
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
18
5
Games: Scored
8 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
1 / 9
D
3
PTO
6
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday night, not least because Rio Ave have conceded in each of their last 8 Liga NOS outings. A PG of 1.8 for Martin Svedik's side suggests that run should continue.

Rio Ave 10th Porto 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Rio Ave’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285229/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Rio Ave
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.2
1.8
Attack rating
RIO
PTO
43%
better
view stats
Games scored11
16
Failed to score7
2
Scored first7
13
Goals scored18
41
Avg. goals scored1
2.3
Avg. shots per game7
12
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
RIO
PTO
44%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
7
Clean sheets3
11
Conceded first11
5
Goals conceded31
14
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded13
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+44%

Rio Ave v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191136
M Vrousai ClaytonM Vrousai Clayton
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Miszta GLK12
1
-
M Vrousai  DEF1913
3
-
F. Petrasso DEF5
2
-
A Ndoj DEF3
-
O Richards DEF171
3
-
O Pohlmann MID1612
-
D Tıknaz MID152
2
1
M Neto MID1411
4
1
K Bondoso FWD1921
-
Clayton FWD19112
6
-
T Morais FWD191
1
-
Subs
M Teixeira GLK
-
J Panzo DEF8
2
1
N Abby DEF1
-
J Tomé DEF7
-
J Novais MID18
1
-
V Gomes MID51
-
J Graça MID6
-
A Luiz FWD2
-
K. Zoabi FWD2
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201357
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraO Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK20
-
T Djaló DEF6
1
-
N Pérez DEF1511
4
-
O Silva DEF142
7
-
J Mário MID143
4
-
A Varela MID182
6
-
S Eustaquio MID17
6
-
F Moura MID135
-
G Borges FWD1721
4
-
R. Mora Carvalho FWD1133
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD16132
2
1
Subs
C Ramos GLK
-
Zaidu  DEF1
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF8
1
-
F Vieira MID1312
3
-
V Sousa MID11
1
-
A Franco MID91
2
-
Pepê FWD1932
1
-
D Namaso FWD172
2
-
D Gül FWD71
-