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Vitoria Guimaraes v Sporting Braga : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Alvaro Pacheco's Vitoria Guimaraes side are on home soil in the Liga NOS on Saturday night, as Rui Pedro Viegas Silva Gomes Duarte's Sporting Braga travel to the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques. Statistics drive the predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between V. Guimaraes and Braga was on Saturday 11th May 2024

Portuguese Liga NOS

May 11th 2024

V. Guimaraes 2	3 Braga

B. Boialvo Gaspar 10'	24' A. Tué Na Bangna
R. Chaby Mangas 80'	75' R. Horta
	90' M. Mesquita Lopes

	GUI BRG
Shots On	4 8
Shots Off	5 4
Corners	6 8
Possession	47% 53%
Fouls	13 14
Yellow/red cards	4/0 3/0

V. Guimaraes	Braga

B. Semedo Varela T. Borevković B. Boialvo Gaspar J. Oliveira Fernandes T. Machado Ribeiro (N. Valente Santos 80') R. Chaby Mangas A. Bras André (K. Andrade Lima 86') T. Maia da Silva M. Silva J. Ferreira Silva N. Castro Oliveira	M. Lima Magalhães C. Borja González V. Gómez Perea J. da Rocha Fonte S. Niakate (M. Mesquita Lopes 86') R. Zalazar Martínez (C. Ndour 65') L. Fernandes J. Iria Santos Moutinho (S. Banza 86') A. Ruiz Ortega A. Tué Na Bangna (V. Carvalho Vieira 90') R. Horta

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that V. Guimaraes and Braga will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookies have it priced at 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
V. Guimaraes 38%	23/10 6%	9/4 5%
Draw 25%	12/5 3%	13/5 6%
Braga 37%	23/20 2%	23/20 8%
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	11/2
V. Guimaraes 2-1 8%	11/1 9%	9/1 9%
Braga 2-1 8%	8/1	7/1 6%
V. Guimaraes 1-0 8%	11/1	17/2 14%
Braga 1-0 8%	8/1 5%	7/1 6%
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1 8%	10/1 8%
V. Guimaraes 2-0 6%	16/1	14/1
Braga 2-0 6%	10/1 8%	9/1
Draw 0-0 5%	11/1 8%	9/1 9%
V. Guimaraes 3-1 4%	22/1	18/1
Braga 3-1 4%	16/1	12/1
V. Guimaraes 3-2 3%	28/1	20/1 9%
Braga 3-2 3%	22/1	16/1 11%
V. Guimaraes 3-0 3%	33/1	25/1
Braga 3-0 3%	20/1	14/1 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	17/20 7%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	19/20 6%	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	13/10 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	4/6	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	4/6 3%	13/20 2%
BTTS - No 41%	11/10 5%	23/20
BTTS - Home Win 20%	5/1 9%	17/4 5%
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	10/3 2%
BTTS - Away Win 20%	3/1	14/5 3%
Home/draw 63%	4/6	7/10 2%
Away/draw 62%	1/3 2%	1/3
Home/away 75%	3/10 1%	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1/4 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	11/4 6%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	2/1 9%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	4/11 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	5/1 9%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/8 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	12/1 18%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/25 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/20 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	10/1 15%	-
Home DNB 55%	11/8 6%	13/10 3%
Away DNB 54%	8/15 3%	11/20 1%
V. Guimaraes win to nil 18%	5/1	-
Braga win to nil 18%	3/1 8%	-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes 16%	4/1	4/1 5%
V. Guimaraes / Braga 4%	22/1	18/1 10%
V. Guimaraes / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	11/1 8%
Draw / V. Guimaraes 11%	13/2 7%	6/1 7%
Draw / Braga 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 8%	17/4
Braga / V. Guimaraes 3%	28/1 12%	22/1 12%
Braga / Braga 24%	5/2 3%	23/10 2%
Braga / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1 8%

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 2. V. Guimaraes have conceded 15 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 16 games at home, winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Braga lay in 4th place on 65 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 20, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 66 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Braga have conceded 35 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Braga have played 16 away games, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

V. Guimaraes

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Braga

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
w 3-2A	l 3-0A	S. Lisbon	34	29	3	2	67	90	d 1-1A	l 5-0A
d 2-2F	l 4-0A	Benfica	34	25	5	4	49	80	l 0-1A	l 3-1F
l 1-2F	w 1-2F	Porto	34	22	6	6	36	72	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
l 2-3F	d 1-1A	Braga Away	34	21	5	8	21	68	-	-
-	-	V. Guimaraes H	34	19	6	9	14	63	d 1-1F	w 2-3A
w 1-0F	l 1-0A	Moreirense	34	16	7	11	1	55	w 1-0F	w 2-3F
w 2-1A	w 1-3A	Arouca	34	13	7	14	4	46	l 0-3A	w 0-1F
w 1-0F	w 1-3F	Famalicao	34	10	12	12	-4	42	l 1-2F	w 1-2A
l 0-2A	d 0-00-0	Casa Pia	34	10	8	16	-12	38	w 4-3F	w 1-3F
d 1-1A	w 1-2F	Sporting Farense	34	10	7	17	-5	37	w 2-1F	l 3-1A
w 1-0F	l 2-1A	Rio Ave	34	6	19	9	-5	37	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0
w 2-1A	l 1-0A	Gil Vicente	34	9	9	16	-10	36	w 2-1F	d 3-3A
w 3-2A	w 1-3F	Estoril	34	9	6	19	-9	33	w 3-1A	w 0-1F
w 3-0F	w 0-1F	Estrela Amadora	34	7	12	15	-20	33	w 3-0F	w 2-4F
w 1-0F	d 1-1F	Boavista	34	7	11	16	-23	32	w 4-1F	w 0-4F
l 1-2F	d 1-1F	Portimonense	34	8	8	18	-33	32	w 6-1A	w 3-5F
w 2-0F	w 0-1F	Vizela	34	5	11	18	-30	26	w 2-1A	w 1-3F
w 5-0F	w 1-2F	Chaves	34	5	8	21	-41	23	d 1-1F	w 2-4F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

HOME FORM
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Boavista
V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Moreirense
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Famalicao
V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes	2 - 2	Benfica
V. Guimaraes	3 - 0	Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Arouca
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes	3 - 2	S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes	1 - 2	Porto
V. Guimaraes	5 - 0	Chaves
V. Guimaraes	3 - 2	Estoril
V. Guimaraes	1 - 2	Portimonense
V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Vizela
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes	3 - 0	Vizela
V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes	0 - 0	P. Ferreira

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 2	Rio Ave
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Boavista
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Sporting Farense
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Porto
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Moreirense
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Chaves
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Famalicao
A	V. Guimaraes	3 - 1	Estoril
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Casa Pia
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Portimonense
H	V. Guimaraes	2 - 2	Benfica
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Vizela
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 1	Gil Vicente
H	V. Guimaraes	3 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Arouca
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Braga
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Rio Ave
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Boavista
H	V. Guimaraes	3 - 2	S. Lisbon

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM
Benfica	3 - 1	Braga
Estoril	0 - 1	Braga
Portimonense	3 - 5	Braga
Rio Ave	0 - 0	Braga
Boavista	0 - 4	Braga
S. Lisbon	5 - 0	Braga
Famalicao	1 - 2	Braga
Porto	2 - 0	Braga
Casa Pia	1 - 3	Braga
Vizela	1 - 3	Braga
Arouca	0 - 1	Braga
Gil Vicente	3 - 3	Braga
Estrela Amadora	2 - 4	Braga
Sporting Farense	3 - 1	Braga
Moreirense	2 - 3	Braga
Chaves	2 - 4	Braga
Boavista	1 - 1	Braga
Benfica	1 - 0	Braga
Casa Pia	0 - 1	Braga
Chaves	1 - 2	Braga

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Braga	4 - 3	Casa Pia
A	Braga	1 - 3	Benfica
H	Braga	2 - 1	Vizela
A	Braga	1 - 0	Estoril
H	Braga	0 - 3	Arouca
A	Braga	5 - 3	Portimonense
H	Braga	2 - 1	Gil Vicente
A	Braga	0 - 0	Rio Ave
H	Braga	3 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	Braga	4 - 0	Boavista
H	Braga	2 - 1	Sporting Farense
A	Braga	0 - 5	S. Lisbon
H	Braga	1 - 0	Moreirense
H	Braga	1 - 1	Chaves
A	Braga	2 - 1	Famalicao
A	Braga	0 - 2	Porto
H	Braga	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes
A	Braga	3 - 1	Casa Pia
H	Braga	0 - 1	Benfica
A	Braga	3 - 1	Vizela

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

V. Guimaraes

Braga

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 8

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

5 / 8

GUI

BRG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Braga
	0 - 2	Braga
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 5	Braga
	0 - 1	Braga
	0 - 1	Braga

V. Guimaraes

Braga

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 17

16 / 17

Clean sheets

1 / 17

9 / 17

GUI

BRG

FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1
Braga	1 - 0
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Braga	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Braga
Braga	3 - 2
	0 - 2	Braga
Braga	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 5	Braga
Braga	2 - 1
	1 - 2	V. Guimaraes
	0 - 1	Braga
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 1	Braga

Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Sporting Braga have conceded in each of their last 7 Liga NOS matches. A PG of 1.5 for Alvaro Pacheco's side suggests that run should continue.

	V. Guimaraes 5th	Braga 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+7 V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+15 Braga have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	2.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.6 conceded

Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season

GUI

BRG

better

view stats

Games scored	28		28
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	20		19
Goals scored	52		71
Avg. goals scored	1.5		2.1
Avg. shots per game	10		12
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate	15%		17%
KickOff rating		+9%

18%

better

GUI

BRG

view stats

Games conceded	24		28
Clean sheets	10		6
Conceded first	13		14
Goals conceded	38		50
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate	14%		16%
KickOff rating		+18%

V. Guimaraes v Braga Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	11	5	9
J Silva	J Silva	T Silva	T Ribeiro

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Varela GLK	27			2 -
J Fernandes DEF	29	1	1	5 -
T Borevkovic DEF	23			2 1
T Ribeiro DEF	29	1	1	9 -
B Gaspar MID	28	2	3	7 -
A André MID	18		3	9 -
Manu MID	23	2		5 -
T Silva MID	29	5	5	8 -
R Mangas MID	23	1	3	2 -
J Silva FWD	33	11	5	7 -
N Oliveira FWD	15	2	2	5 -
Subs
Charles GLK	8			2 -
Maga DEF	22			2 -
M Villanueva DEF	6			1 -
Z Carlos DEF	23			4 -
A Baio DEF	1			-
A Freitas DEF	13			4 -
G Nogueira MID	1			-
N Santos MID	27	2	4	4 1
K César FWD	12			4 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	36	5	8
J Silva	J Silva	T Silva	J Silva

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Silva FWD	11	36	5	8
T Silva MID	5	18	5	6
Manu MID	2	5		1
B Gaspar MID	2	3	3	3
N Oliveira FWD	2	6	2	5
J Fernandes DEF	1	4	1	3
T Ribeiro DEF	1	3	1	1
R Mangas MID	1	3	3	6
T Borevkovic DEF		5		1
A André MID		1	3	4
Subs
N Santos MID	2	6	4	4
Maga DEF		1
M Villanueva DEF		1
Z Carlos DEF				1
K César FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1333	53	189
T Silva	J Fernandes	J Fernandes

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
T Silva MID	1333	45	116
J Fernandes DEF	1255	53	189
T Ribeiro DEF	1114	32	116
B Gaspar MID	934	36	100
Manu MID	900	51	129
T Borevkovic DEF	806	21	78
B Varela GLK	709		17
J Silva FWD	594	32	185
R Mangas MID	581	26	120
A André MID	368	9	56
N Oliveira FWD	141	5	32
Subs
N Santos MID	438	10	35
Maga DEF	266	30	49
M Villanueva DEF	253	4	26
Z Carlos DEF	233	10	34
A Freitas DEF	205	16	39
Charles GLK	161		5
K César FWD	101	11	32
A Baio DEF	11
G Nogueira MID	1		1

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	21	6	8
Matheus	S Banza	R Zalazar	J Fonte

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Matheus GLK	34			3 -
V Gómez DEF	30		2	2 1
J Fonte DEF	19			8 -
S Niakaté DEF	19			4 1
C Borja DEF	30	1	5	4 -
J Moutinho MID	30	1	1	8 -
R Zalazar MID	32	6	6	4 -
Pizzi MID	29	1	3	1 -
R Horta MID	28	9	4	3 -
Bruma MID	26	6	2	3 -
A Ruiz FWD	30	6	3	6 -
Subs
T Sá GLK				-
S Saatci DEF	17		3	5 -
J. Wooding Mendes DEF	15		2	1 -
A Marín DEF	8			-
C Ndour MID	9	1		1 -
V Carvalho MID	27	1	1	8 -
R Lopes FWD	23	2	1	1 -
S Banza FWD	28	21	4	2 -
K Silva FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
21	42	6	14
S Banza	S Banza	R Zalazar	R Horta

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Horta MID	9	25	4	14
R Zalazar MID	6	17	6	13
Bruma MID	6	22	2	3
A Ruiz FWD	6	17	3	2
C Borja DEF	1	4	5	10
J Moutinho MID	1	3	1	7
Pizzi MID	1	6	3	5
V Gómez DEF		3	2	5
J Fonte DEF		3		2
S Niakaté DEF		1		1
Subs
S Banza FWD	21	42	4	5
R Lopes FWD	2	8	1	1
C Ndour MID	1	1
V Carvalho MID	1	3	1
S Saatci DEF		3	3	1
J. Wooding Mendes DEF			2	5

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1702	63	161
J Moutinho	C Borja	S Banza

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Moutinho MID	1702	63	129
C Borja DEF	1296	63	121
R Zalazar MID	1084	41	127
Matheus GLK	1078	1	19
J Fonte DEF	1078	9	54
V Gómez DEF	1039	41	94
R Horta MID	1003	25	88
S Niakaté DEF	954	15	71
Bruma MID	729	22	109
Pizzi MID	601	6	30
A Ruiz FWD	427	8	42
Subs
S Saatci DEF	1068	28	82
V Carvalho MID	788	39	77
J. Wooding Mendes DEF	391	16	35
S Banza FWD	339	11	161
A Marín DEF	181	8	26
R Lopes FWD	172	6	15
C Ndour MID	114	7	11

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Vitoria Guimaraes v Sporting Braga : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

V. Guimaraes have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Braga lay in 4th place on 65 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes v Braga Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

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