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FC Porto v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 7th Feb, 20:15 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

FC Porto and their manager Martin Svedik will be aiming to beat Piero Braglia and his Sporting Lisbon side on Friday night, as the pair go head to head at the Estádio do Dragão in the Liga NOS. Liga NOS statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of strong, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Martin Svedik or Piero Braglia deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Latest form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
39%
-8/5
6%
Draw
23%
-23/10
6%
S. Lisbon
38%
-17/10
13%
Draw 1-1
10%
-5/1
4%
Porto 2-1
8%
-15/2
S. Lisbon 2-1
8%
-8/1
5%
Draw 2-2
7%
-10/1
10%
Porto 1-0
6%
-15/2
S. Lisbon 1-0
6%
-15/2
11%
Porto 2-0
5%
-10/1
S. Lisbon 2-0
5%
-11/1
8%
Porto 3-1
5%
-14/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
5%
-16/1
Porto 3-2
4%
-18/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
4%
-20/1
Draw 0-0
3%
-8/1
6%
Porto 3-0
3%
-18/1
S. Lisbon 3-0
3%
-20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
-4/5
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
-10/11
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
67%
-13/20
2%
BTTS - No
33%
-11/10
5%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
-17/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
-16/5
8%
BTTS - Away Win
23%
-18/5
8%
Home/draw
62%
-4/9
6%
Away/draw
61%
-1/2
2%
Home/away
77%
-3/10
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
-1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
-5/2
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
-19/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
-4/11
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
-17/4
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
-2/15
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
-9/1
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
-1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
-1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
-17/2
12%
Home DNB
55%
-4/5
8%
Away DNB
54%
-10/11
9%
Porto win to nil
15%
--
S. Lisbon win to nil
15%
--
Porto / Porto
19%
-3/1
3%
Porto / S. Lisbon
4%
-20/1
9%
Porto / Draw
6%
-11/1
9%
Draw / Porto
13%
-19/4
5%
Draw / S. Lisbon
13%
-5/1
8%
Draw / Draw
16%
-19/5
11%
S. Lisbon / Porto
4%
-20/1
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
18%
-16/5
13%
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
-11/1
9%
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Porto have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 2 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games. Porto are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won zero. Porto have conceded 6 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Porto have played 10 games at home, winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

S. Lisbon lay in 1st place on 50 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 56 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 10 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 3.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon Away2016224150 
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
-
-
2
Benfica2014243044 
Apr 6
l
 
4-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 11
3
Porto Home2013342742 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Feb 7
4
Braga2012441640 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
Apr 6
w
 
2-4A
5
Santa Clara201127235 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
6
Casa Pia20866130 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 13
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
7
V. Guimaraes20785529 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
May 17
d
 
4-4F
8
Estoril20767-727 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 30
Mar 2
w
 
0-3F
9
Famalicao20596-224 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
10
Rio Ave20668-1224 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
11
Moreirense20659-523 
May 4
w
 
0-3F
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
12
Gil Vicente20578-722 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
13
Arouca206410-1322 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
Feb 15
w
 
0-3F
14
Nacional205411-1119 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-6F
15
AVS20398-1418 
Mar 16
w
 
0-5F
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
16
Estrela Amadora204511-1517 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
w
 
5-1F
Mar 30
17
Sporting Farense203611-1515 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
18
Boavista202612-2112 
w
 
4-0F
May 11
w
 
3-2F
Apr 27
Win / draw / win form
13
Porto have not lost in 13 consecutive home league games
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Home
13
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto4 - 0Boavista
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Porto2 - 1Sporting Farense
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Porto2 - 1Boavista
Porto2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto2 - 2Famalicao
Porto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto4 - 1Vizela
Porto5 - 0Benfica
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto0 - 0Rio Ave
Porto5 - 0Moreirense
Porto2 - 0Braga
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto2 - 2Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 1Santa Clara
APorto1 - 3Gil Vicente
APorto0 - 2Nacional
HPorto4 - 0Boavista
APorto3 - 0Moreirense
HPorto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
APorto1 - 1Famalicao
HPorto2 - 0Casa Pia
APorto1 - 4Benfica
HPorto4 - 0Estoril
APorto5 - 0AVS
HPorto2 - 1Braga
HPorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto2 - 1Sporting Farense
APorto0 - 2S. Lisbon
HPorto2 - 0Rio Ave
APorto2 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente0 - 0S. Lisbon
Moreirense2 - 1S. Lisbon
Braga2 - 4S. Lisbon
Famalicao0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Sporting Farense0 - 5S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto2 - 2S. Lisbon
Famalicao0 - 1S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente0 - 4S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Rio Ave3 - 3S. Lisbon
Moreirense0 - 2S. Lisbon
Vizela2 - 5S. Lisbon
Chaves0 - 3S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Sporting Farense
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 4V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
AS. Lisbon0 - 0Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Moreirense
HS. Lisbon0 - 1Santa Clara
AS. Lisbon4 - 2Braga
HS. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Famalicao
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Arouca
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
AS. Lisbon5 - 0Sporting Farense
AS. Lisbon6 - 1Nacional
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Porto have not lost to S. Lisbon in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
16
10
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
PTO
5
D
3
SCL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Draw2 - 2Draw
Porto3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Porto2 - 0
Porto2 - 1
Porto2 - 1
Porto2 - 1
1 - 3S. Lisbon
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Porto
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
8 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
2 / 10
PTO
2
D
4
SCL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 0
1 - 2Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Porto
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
S. Lisbon2 - 1
S. Lisbon2 - 0
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday night, not least because Sporting Lisbon have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga NOS matches. A PG of 1.7 for Martin Svedik's side suggests that run should continue.

Porto 3rd S. Lisbon 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Porto have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
+27
S. Lisbon have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
2.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285239/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.7
1.7
Attack rating
%
better
PTO
SCL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
PTO
SCL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Porto v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201357
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaM. Moreira Moutinho FernandesO Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK20
-
Pepê FWD1932
1
-
A Varela MID182
6
-
N González  MID1753
5
-
S Eustaquio MID17
6
-
D Namaso FWD172
2
-
G Borges FWD1721
4
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF165
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD16132
2
1
N Pérez DEF1511
4
-
O Silva DEF142
7
-
J Mário DEF143
4
-
F Moura DEF135
-
F Vieira MID1312
3
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1133
2
-
V Sousa MID11
1
-
A Franco MID91
2
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF8
1
-
I Jaime MID822
1
-
D Gül FWD71
-
T Djaló DEF6
1
-
M Grujić MID2
-
Zaidu  DEF1
-
Wendell DEF1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
202294
F TrincãoV GyökeresF TrincãoM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Quenda FWD2012
1
-
F Trincão FWD2079
-
O Diomande DEF191
1
-
G Catamo  FWD1932
2
-
V Gyökeres FWD19223
2
-
M Hjulmand MID1821
2
-
M Reis DEF172
3
-
Z Debast DEF171
1
-
M Vilches MID1611
4
-
H Morita MID1623
1
-
D Bragança  MID1634
3
-
G Inácio DEF1512
3
-
C Harder FWD1543
-
F Israel GLK11
1
-
E Quaresma DEF10
-
I Fresneda DEF81
2
-
P Gonçalves FWD844
2
-
J Juste DEF7
1
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID71
-
N Santos MID7
-
V Kovacevic GLK6
-
R Silva GLK3
-
R Esgaio DEF3
-