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CD Nacional v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

CD Nacional and their boss Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido will be hoping for victory against Vasco Seabra and his Arouca side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the Estadio da Madeira in the Liga NOS. We have predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every major market, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Liga NOS clash.

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CD Nacional's next match is v Sporting Farense at 15:30 on Sunday 9th February
Arouca's next match is v Rio Ave at 20:15 on Monday 10th February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Nacional and Arouca was on Saturday 1st February 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 1st 2025
Nacional 1
2 Arouca
 
U. Rocha 45'5' P. Gozalbez Gilabert
26' H. Pereira Araújo
 
NAC
ARO
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
13
2
Corners
3
3
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
15
19
Yellow/red cards
6/0
1/1
 
NacionalArouca
 
L. Oliveira de França
J. Lima Cardoso
G. García dos Santos (R. Fonseca Macedo 87')
J. Mendes Gomes
U. Rochafootball icon (Matheus Dias 67')
L. Leite Esteves
D. dos Santos Penha (F. Yamada 77')
B. Almeida Costa (C. Abidi 77')
D. Soumaré
D. Tagueu Tadjo (I. Aguiar Tomich 76')
L. Teodora da Silva
N. Mantl
W. Moreira da Costa
C. Camará Lamba
B. Popović
T. Sousa Esgaio
(M. Rocha Calderón 64') football iconP. Gozalbez Gilabert
(M. Ndiaye 72') T. Fukui
(M. Puche García 82') D. Martins Simão
(P. Carvalho Santos 72') M. Sylla
(D. Nandín Berrutti 65') football iconH. Pereira Araújo
A. Trezza Hernández

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Nacional and Arouca will score a minimum of 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookies have it priced at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
46%
13/10
6%
11/8
9%
Draw
25%
11/521/10
5%
Arouca
29%
21/10
11%
9/4
20%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/119/4
4%
Nacional 1-0
10%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Nacional 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Arouca 1-0
8%
15/2
6%
7/1
14%
Nacional 2-0
8%
9/1
9%
9/1
9%
Arouca 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
Draw 0-0
7%
15/26/1
7%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Nacional 3-1
5%
20/114/1
12%
Arouca 2-0
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
18%
Nacional 3-0
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Arouca 3-1
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
24%
Nacional 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Arouca 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Arouca 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
6/5
2%
23/20
111%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
13/20
1%
13/20
1%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/8
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
54%
19/20
2%
17/20
BTTS - No
46%
4/5
6%
17/20
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1
17%
5/1
14%
Home/draw
71%
4/11
3%
1/3
8%
Away/draw
54%
4/7
3%
4/7
6%
Home/away
75%
4/114/11
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
4/112/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
2/115/8
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3/1
7%
11/4
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/9
2%
1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
8/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/141/14
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/141/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/1
6%
6/1
7%
Home DNB
63%
8/13
6%
8/13
11%
Away DNB
47%
6/5
10%
6/5
19%
Nacional win to nil
25%
11/4
6%
-
Arouca win to nil
15%
4/1
11%
-
Nacional / Nacional
21%
11/4
6%
11/4
11%
Nacional / Arouca
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Nacional
15%
9/217/4
9%
Draw / Arouca
12%
11/211/2
13%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/416/5
7%
Arouca / Nacional
3%
28/120/1
9%
Arouca / Arouca
16%
4/1
5%
4/1
19%
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Both Nacional and Arouca have scored 16 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Nacional have played 9 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Arouca are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 19 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Arouca have conceded 26 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2016224150 
l
 
1-6A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
Feb 15
2
Benfica2014243044 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 9
l
 
0-2A
Apr 13
3
Porto2013342742 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga2012441640 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
l
 
1-2A
Mar 30
5
Santa Clara201127235 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 30
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
6
Casa Pia20866130 
Mar 16
l
 
1-0A
May 4
l
 
3-1A
7
V. Guimaraes20785529 
May 4
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
8
Estoril20767-727 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
Mar 16
l
 
4-1F
9
Famalicao20596-224 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
10
Rio Ave20668-1224 
May 11
l
 
2-1A
Feb 10
l
 
1-0A
11
Moreirense20659-523 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
12
Gil Vicente20578-722 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 11
13
Arouca Away206410-1322 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
14
Nacional Home205411-1119 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
15
AVS20398-1418 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
16
Estrela Amadora204511-1517 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
17
Sporting Farense203611-1515 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
18
Boavista202612-2112 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 13
May 17
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
1
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Nacional1 - 0Moreirense
Nacional0 - 0Boavista
Nacional2 - 0Santa Clara
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Nacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 2Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 3Benfica
Nacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional1 - 5Portimonense
Nacional1 - 2Maratimo
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional2 - 3Sporting Farense
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional0 - 1Moreirense
Nacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional3 - 1AVS
HNacional2 - 0Porto
ANacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional2 - 2V. Guimaraes
HNacional0 - 2Benfica
HNacional1 - 0Moreirense
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional0 - 0Boavista
ANacional0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HNacional2 - 0Santa Clara
ANacional0 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 0Famalicao
HNacional0 - 3Braga
ANacional0 - 1Estoril
HNacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
ANacional0 - 1Arouca
HNacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1AVS
HNacional1 - 2Rio Ave
Arouca 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
Boavista1 - 3Arouca
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
Famalicao0 - 0Arouca
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Sporting Farense0 - 1Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Moreirense3 - 1Arouca
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Gil Vicente2 - 2Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 1Arouca
Braga0 - 3Arouca
Moreirense1 - 0Arouca
Chaves1 - 5Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Portimonense1 - 2Arouca
Estoril1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Arouca
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArouca1 - 0Moreirense
AArouca2 - 2V. Guimaraes
AArouca3 - 1Boavista
HArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 3Casa Pia
HArouca1 - 0Santa Clara
AArouca1 - 2Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 0Famalicao
HArouca1 - 2Braga
AArouca1 - 4Estoril
HArouca1 - 1AVS
AArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca1 - 0Sporting Farense
HArouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
AArouca0 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 0Nacional
AArouca1 - 3Moreirense
HArouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Arouca have not lost to Nacional in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Arouca
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
Nacional
Goals: Scored
6
0
Games: Scored
3 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
0 / 3
ARO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Arouca1 - 0
Arouca2 - 0
Arouca3 - 0
Goal Statistics
Nacional 14th Arouca 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Nacional have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Arouca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285230/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
NAC
ARO
8%
better
view stats
Games scored10
12
Failed to score8
6
Scored first7
8
Goals scored16
15
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal12
10
Conversion rate for9
10
Avg. XG for1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
15%
better
NAC
ARO
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets6
4
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded24
30
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+15%

Nacional v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20326
L FrançaI TomichG GarcíaZ Vitor
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK20
2
-
G García DEF202
2
-
Z Vitor DEF191
6
-
Ulisses DEF182
5
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2011
3
-
B Costa MID1521
-
D. Soumaré MID111
6
-
D Penha MID1711
1
-
L Esteves MID202
4
-
Dudu MID1221
-
J Tagueu FWD3
-
Subs
R Encarnação GLK1
1
-
J Aurélio DEF81
-
L Santos DEF7
1
-
C. Abidi MID8
2
-
A Sousa MID7
2
-
M Dias MID182
4
-
R Macedo FWD141
-
I Tomich FWD1831
3
-
F Yamada FWD1
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20316
N MantlH AraújoC LambaB Pinto
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK20
4
-
T Esgaio DEF201
2
-
C Lamba DEF1411
3
-
B Popovic DEF10
1
Weverson DEF131
4
-
B Pinto MID181
6
-
T Fukui MID171
2
-
A Trezza MID2021
3
-
P Gozálbez MID131
1
-
M Sylla MID201
3
-
H Araújo FWD133
1
-
Subs
J Valido GLK
-
A Pinto DEF4
-
M Rocha DEF4
1
1
M Loum MID12
3
-
P Santos MID18
3
-
M Puche FWD11
-
D Nandin FWD3
1
-
B Mansilla FWD
-
G Yalcin FWD1231
2
1