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Casa Pia v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Feb, 20:30 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

Estrela Amadora, led by manager Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins, visit João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira and his Casa Pia side at the Estádio Pina Manique on Sunday night in the Liga NOS. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 78% chance of Casa Pia and Estrela Amadora a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Liga NOS match according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Casa Pia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Casa Pia 57%	-	5/6
Draw 25%	-	12/5
Estrela Amadora 18%	-	7/2
Casa Pia 1-0 15%	-	9/2
Casa Pia 2-0 12%	-	6/1
Draw 1-1 12%	-	11/2
Draw 0-0 9%	-	6/1
Casa Pia 2-1 9%	-	7/1
Estrela Amadora 1-0 7%	-	8/1
Casa Pia 3-0 6%	-	11/1
Casa Pia 3-1 5%	-	12/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1 5%	-	12/1
Draw 2-2 4%	-	14/1
Estrela Amadora 2-0 3%	-	16/1
Casa Pia 4-0 3%	-	22/1
Casa Pia 4-1 2%	-	25/1
Casa Pia 3-2 2%	-	22/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1 1%	-	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	-	6/5
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	-	8/13
Home 1st Goal 56%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 38%	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	-	11/10
BTTS - No 57%	-	4/6
BTTS - Home Win 20%	-	10/3
BTTS - Draw 16%	-	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 7%	-	15/2
Home/draw 82%	-	1/5
Away/draw 43%	-	19/20
Home/away 75%	-	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	-	2/5
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	-	7/4
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	-	3/1
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	-	2/9
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	-	7/1
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	-	1/16
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	1/150
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	1/12
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	6/1
Home DNB 74%	-	3/10
Away DNB 36%	-	21/10
Casa Pia win to nil 36%	-	-
Estrela Amadora win to nil 11%	-	-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia 27%	-	15/8
Casa Pia / Estrela Amadora 3%	-	28/1
Casa Pia / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Casa Pia 18%	-	17/5
Draw / Estrela Amadora 9%	-	15/2
Draw / Draw 17%	-	7/2
Estrela Amadora / Casa Pia 4%	-	20/1
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora 11%	-	6/1
Estrela Amadora / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 6 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Casa Pia have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Casa Pia have played 10 games at home winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 10 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 17 points having played 20 matches so far this season. Estrela Amadora are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Estrela Amadora have conceded 30 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Casa Pia Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	S. Lisbon	20	16	2	2	41	50	Mar 9	l 2-0A	Mar 30	l 5-1A
2	Benfica	20	14	2	4	30	44	w 3-1A	l 3-0A	l 2-3A	l 1-0A
3	Porto	20	13	3	4	27	42	Apr 13	l 2-0A	Apr 27	l 2-0A
4	Braga	20	12	4	4	16	40	May 11	w 1-2F	l 0-1A	d 1-1A
5	Santa Clara	20	11	2	7	2	35	l 0-2A	l 2-1F	Feb 23	l 1-0A
6	Casa Pia Home	20	8	6	6	1	30	-	-	l 0-1A	Feb 9
7	V. Guimaraes	20	7	8	5	5	29	d 1-1F	Mar 2	d 2-2A	Mar 16
8	Estoril	20	7	6	7	-7	27	Apr 27	w 0-2F	l 2-4A	May 17
9	Famalicao	20	5	9	6	-2	24	d 1-1F	May 17	l 0-3A	d 0-00-0
10	Rio Ave	20	6	6	8	-12	24	Mar 30	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	May 4
11	Moreirense	20	6	5	9	-5	23	w 3-1A	Feb 15	w 2-1F	Mar 2
12	Gil Vicente	20	5	7	8	-7	22	Feb 23	d 1-1A	Mar 9	l 3-0A
13	Arouca	20	6	4	10	-13	22	w 3-1F	May 4	w 2-1A	Apr 19
14	Nacional	20	5	4	11	-11	19	w 1-0F	Mar 16	w 2-0F	Apr 6
15	AVS	20	3	9	8	-14	18	d 1-1F	Apr 19	May 11	d 1-1F
16	Estrela Amadora A	20	4	5	11	-15	17	Feb 9	w 0-1F	-	-
17	Sporting Farense	20	3	6	11	-15	15	d 1-1A	Apr 6	Apr 13	l 1-0A
18	Boavista	20	2	6	12	-21	12	l 0-1A	w 2-3F	d 2-2A	Feb 14

	UEFA Champions League
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	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Casa Pia have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games

Estrela Amadora have not won in 22 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia	3 - 1	Benfica
Casa Pia	1 - 1	Famalicao
Casa Pia	3 - 1	Arouca
Casa Pia	1 - 1	AVS
Casa Pia	1 - 1	Sporting Farense
Casa Pia	1 - 0	Nacional
Casa Pia	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia	3 - 1	Moreirense
Casa Pia	0 - 2	Santa Clara
Casa Pia	0 - 1	Boavista
Casa Pia	0 - 1	Moreirense
Casa Pia	3 - 1	Chaves
Casa Pia	1 - 2	Porto
Casa Pia	0 - 0	Estoril
Casa Pia	0 - 1	Benfica
Casa Pia	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
Casa Pia	1 - 0	Arouca
Casa Pia	0 - 0	Boavista
Casa Pia	1 - 3	Sporting Farense
Casa Pia	0 - 2	Famalicao

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Casa Pia	1 - 2	Santa Clara
H	Casa Pia	3 - 1	Benfica
A	Casa Pia	3 - 2	Boavista
H	Casa Pia	1 - 1	Famalicao
A	Casa Pia	2 - 1	Braga
H	Casa Pia	3 - 1	Arouca
A	Casa Pia	2 - 0	Estoril
H	Casa Pia	1 - 1	AVS
A	Casa Pia	0 - 2	Porto
H	Casa Pia	1 - 1	Sporting Farense
A	Casa Pia	2 - 2	Rio Ave
H	Casa Pia	1 - 0	Nacional
A	Casa Pia	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
H	Casa Pia	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes
A	Casa Pia	1 - 1	Gil Vicente
H	Casa Pia	3 - 1	Moreirense
A	Casa Pia	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	Casa Pia	0 - 2	Santa Clara
A	Casa Pia	0 - 3	Benfica
H	Casa Pia	0 - 1	Boavista

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

14 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
AVS	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Porto	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon	5 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente	3 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Benfica	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Braga	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Vizela	4 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Arouca	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Boavista	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Moreirense	2 - 2	Estrela Amadora
Famalicao	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Braga	3 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Porto	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Estoril	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes	3 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Estrela Amadora	2 - 3	Benfica
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 0	Famalicao
H	Estrela Amadora	0 - 1	Braga
H	Estrela Amadora	2 - 4	Estoril
A	Estrela Amadora	1 - 1	AVS
H	Estrela Amadora	1 - 0	Rio Ave
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 2	Porto
H	Estrela Amadora	2 - 1	Arouca
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 1	Sporting Farense
H	Estrela Amadora	2 - 0	Nacional
A	Estrela Amadora	1 - 5	S. Lisbon
H	Estrela Amadora	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 3	Gil Vicente
H	Estrela Amadora	2 - 1	Moreirense
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 1	Santa Clara
H	Estrela Amadora	2 - 2	Boavista
H	Estrela Amadora	0 - 1	Casa Pia
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 1	Benfica
H	Estrela Amadora	0 - 3	Famalicao
A	Estrela Amadora	1 - 1	Braga

Goal Statistics

Casa Pia have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.6 against Estrela Amadora on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Casa Pia 6th	Estrela Amadora 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals	0 46% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Casa Pia have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	-62 Estrela Amadora have scored 62% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.0 average goals scored	0.4 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season

better

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Casa Pia v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	6	5	6
L Lelo	Cassiano	N Moreira	G Larrazabal

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Lelo DEF	20	1	2	-
J Goulart DEF	20	2		2 -
P Sequeira GLK	19			2 -
G Larrazabal DEF	19		2	5 1
N Moreira FWD	19	5	5	2 1
A Geraldes DEF	17		1	2 -
M Svensson FWD	17		2	1 -
A Kraev MID	15			6 -
Cassiano FWD	15	6		2 -
J Fonte DEF	14			2 -
R Kluivert DEF	14	1		3 -
R Brito MID	14		1	3 -
D Tchamba DEF	13	1		2 -
M Sousa MID	13			2 -
J Livolant FWD	13	3	2	1 -
H. Martins Pereira FWD	11	1		-
Pablo MID	9			-
T Dias DEF	2			-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF	2			-
R Batista GLK	1			1

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	5	23
Cassiano	N Moreira	N Moreira	L Lelo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Cassiano FWD	6	12		7
N Moreira FWD	5	16	5	11
J Livolant FWD	3	4	2	5
J Goulart DEF	2	3		4
L Lelo DEF	1	5	2	23
H. Martins Pereira FWD	1	3		3
D Tchamba DEF	1	2		2
R Kluivert DEF	1	2		1
A Kraev MID				2
J Fonte DEF		1
M Svensson FWD		10	2	4
R Brito MID			1	4
A Geraldes DEF		1	1	4
M Sousa MID		1		5
G Larrazabal DEF		1	2	7
P Sequeira GLK				1
Pablo MID		2
T Dias DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
851	32	81
J Goulart	L Lelo	N Moreira

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Goulart DEF	851	24	75
D Tchamba DEF	652	24	64
L Lelo DEF	553	32	70
P Sequeira GLK	539		16
J Fonte DEF	522	11	34
N Moreira FWD	443	30	81
G Larrazabal DEF	375	22	51
A Kraev MID	363	30	68
R Kluivert DEF	315	10	27
A Geraldes DEF	250	12	30
R Brito MID	242	12	36
J Livolant FWD	223	6	43
M Sousa MID	219	12	35
M Svensson FWD	145	10	50
Cassiano FWD	137	12	41
Pablo MID	71	5	17
H. Martins Pereira FWD	53	1	7
R Batista GLK	30		1
T Dias DEF	8	1	1
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF	5

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	4	2	6
Nilton	R Pinho	Nilton	L Bucca

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Nilton DEF	20		2	4 -
R Pinho FWD	20	4		2 -
L Bucca MID	18	2	1	6 -
L Cordeiro MID	18	1	1	2 -
Kikas FWD	18	4		2 -
A Ruiz MID	16		2	5 -
R Lima DEF	15			1 -
P. Valente Moreira MID	15	1		2 -
I Dramé DEF	13	1		-
M Keliano MID	13		1	4 -
J Cabral FWD	13		1	1 -
D. Martins Travassos DEF	12	1		3 -
M Lopes DEF	8	1		2 -
Ferro DEF	8			3 -
C. dos Santos Santana FWD	8			1 -
E. Gonçalves FWD	3			1 -
M. Gudžulić GLK	2			1 -
G. Serrão Montóia DEF	2			-
F Meixedo GLK	1			-
Amine MID	1			-
D Cabral MID	1		1	-
C Banza FWD	1			-
F Ronaldo FWD	1			-
T Ferreira FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	2	9
R Pinho	R Pinho	Nilton	A Ruiz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Pinho FWD	4	12		5
Kikas FWD	4	9		6
L Bucca MID	2	7	1	6
M Lopes DEF	1	1		1
L Cordeiro MID	1	1	1	8
P. Valente Moreira MID	1	1		7
I Dramé DEF	1	1
D. Martins Travassos DEF	1	2		6
C Banza FWD		1
D Cabral MID			1	1
Nilton DEF		2	2	5
C. dos Santos Santana FWD		1
Ferro DEF				2
J Cabral FWD		1	1	6
M Keliano MID		1	1	2
R Lima DEF		1		5
A Ruiz MID		1	2	9
T Ferreira FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
590	34	97
L Cordeiro	Nilton	Nilton

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Cordeiro MID	590	21	61
R Lima DEF	544	23	55
Nilton DEF	421	34	97
A Ruiz MID	377	17	90
M Lopes DEF	372	8	40
Ferro DEF	344	17	31
L Bucca MID	266	22	68
I Dramé DEF	245	11	38
D. Martins Travassos DEF	204	13	42
M Keliano MID	193	31	40
Kikas FWD	181	6	36
P. Valente Moreira MID	167	26	47
J Cabral FWD	148	17	41
R Pinho FWD	136	8	52
M. Gudžulić GLK	66		2
C. dos Santos Santana FWD	45	12	21
Amine MID	36	5	5
F Meixedo GLK	17		1
F Ronaldo FWD	11	1	1
G. Serrão Montóia DEF	10	2	4
T Ferreira FWD	10	3	3
C Banza FWD	8	1	5
E. Gonçalves FWD	2	1	1

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Famalicao v V. Guimaraes

Sat 8th Feb, 20:30

Sporting Farense v Nacional

Casa Pia v Estrela Amadora

Sun 9th Feb, 20:30

Arouca v Rio Ave

Mon 10th Feb, 20:15

Boavista v Estrela Amadora

Fri 14th Feb, 20:15

Nacional v Estoril

Sat 15th Feb, 15:30

Moreirense v Casa Pia

Sat 15th Feb, 15:30

Santa Clara v Benfica

Sporting Farense v Porto

Sun 16th Feb, 18:00

V. Guimaraes v Braga

Sun 16th Feb, 20:30

Gil Vicente v Famalicao

Mon 17th Feb, 20:15

Casa Pia v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Casa Pia have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Estrela Amadora are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 17 points having played 20 matches so far this season. Estrela Amadora are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Casa Pia v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

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