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Benfica v Moreirense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Feb, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Saturday evening at the Estádio da Luz, and it’s a Liga NOS showdown between Benfica and Moreirense . Bruno Lage and Cesar Peixoto will be doing all they can to claim victory. Analysing both teams' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

We are predicting Benfica will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home fans when the game draws to a close at Estádio da Luz.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
76%
-1/5
Draw
15%
-6/1
Moreirense
9%
-14/1
15%
Benfica 2-0
12%
-9/2
5%
Benfica 3-0
10%
-11/2
8%
Benfica 1-0
9%
-11/2
8%
Benfica 2-1
9%
-15/2
Benfica 3-1
8%
-9/1
9%
Draw 1-1
7%
-10/1
Benfica 4-0
6%
-8/1
Benfica 4-1
5%
-14/1
Draw 0-0
4%
-12/1
Draw 2-2
3%
-22/1
12%
Benfica 5-0
3%
-14/1
Benfica 3-2
3%
-25/1
Moreirense 1-0
3%
-20/1
11%
Moreirense 2-1
3%
-28/1
12%
Benfica 5-1
2%
-22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
-3/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
-5/4
5%
Home 1st Goal
62%
--
Away 1st Goal
36%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
49%
-7/5
4%
BTTS - No
51%
-1/2
1%
BTTS - Home Win
33%
-11/5
6%
BTTS - Draw
11%
-15/2
6%
BTTS - Away Win
5%
-20/1
Home/draw
91%
-1/40
1%
Away/draw
24%
-7/2
Home/away
85%
-1/10
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
-2/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
-10/3
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
-29/20
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
-1/2
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
-16/5
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
-1/5
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
-13/2
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
-1/14
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
-1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
-12/1
Home DNB
86%
-1/33
1%
Away DNB
20%
-10/1
10%
Benfica win to nil
43%
--
Moreirense win to nil
4%
--
Benfica / Benfica
48%
-13/20
2%
Benfica / Moreirense
1%
-55/1
10%
Benfica / Draw
4%
-20/1
Draw / Benfica
20%
-29/10
Draw / Moreirense
4%
-20/1
Draw / Draw
10%
-7/1
6%
Moreirense / Benfica
4%
-18/1
Moreirense / Moreirense
4%
-18/1
12%
Moreirense / Draw
4%
-20/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 46 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 10 games at home winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 31 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Moreirense are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 23 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Moreirense have conceded 19 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Moreirense
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2016224150 
May 11
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
2
Benfica Home2014243044 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
3
Porto2013342742 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 6
l
 
0-3A
May 4
4
Braga2012441640 
l
 
1-2A
May 17
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
5
Santa Clara201127235 
w
 
4-1A
Feb 15
w
 
1-0F
Mar 9
6
Casa Pia20866130 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
Feb 15
l
 
3-1F
7
V. Guimaraes20785529 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
Mar 30
l
 
1-0A
8
Estoril20767-727 
w
 
3-0F
May 4
May 11
d
 
2-2F
9
Famalicao20596-224 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 23
10
Rio Ave20668-1224 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 16
Apr 13
l
 
3-2A
11
Moreirense Away20659-523 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
-
-
12
Gil Vicente20578-722 
w
 
5-1A
Mar 2
w
 
3-2A
Apr 6
13
Arouca206410-1322 
Apr 13
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
14
Nacional205411-1119 
Mar 9
w
 
0-2F
Apr 27
l
 
1-0A
15
AVS20398-1418 
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 17
16
Estrela Amadora204511-1517 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
Mar 2
l
 
2-1A
17
Sporting Farense203611-1515 
Mar 30
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
18
Boavista202612-2112 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
Mar 16
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
5
Moreirense have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
65
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
19
L
1
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Moreirense 11TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Benfica have not lost to Moreirense in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Benfica since 2015
Benfica
Moreirense
Goals: Scored
15
7
Games: Scored
8 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
0 / 8
BEF
5
D
2
MOR
1
League games at Moreirense since 2016
Moreirense
Benfica
Goals: Scored
5
17
Games: Scored
5 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
4 / 9
BEF
6
D
3
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.5 is decent for Benfica in their meeting with Moreirense , as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 42 consecutive Liga NOS games.

Benfica 2nd Moreirense 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
25%
There is a 72% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Moreirense scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
Benfica have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
-22
Moreirense have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
3.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285237/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Moreirense
2.5
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
BEF
MOR
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BEF
MOR
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Benfica v Moreirense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20756
A TrubinÁngel Di MaríaK AktürkogluO Kökcü
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK20
-
V Pavlidis FWD2064
2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1921
5
-
O Kökcü MID1933
6
-
Ángel Di María FWD1874
4
-
A Bah DEF171
3
-
T Araújo DEF171
1
-
N Otamendi DEF1722
2
-
F Aursnes MID1712
1
-
Florentino MID162
2
-
L Barreiro MID1631
4
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD1665
-
Z Amdouni FWD1651
1
-
A Cabral FWD162
3
-
A Silva DEF1011
2
-
A Schjelderup FWD1012
-
B Rollheiser FWD911
1
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
R Sanches  MID6
1
-
Manu MID22
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID2
-
T Gouveia FWD211
1
-
A Bajrami DEF1
-
Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20536
MarceloL NlavoAlanzinhoIsmael
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Marcelo DEF20
4
-
L Nlavo FWD2051
1
-
Kewin GLK19
3
-
G Frimpong DEF192
5
-
Ismael MID1911
6
-
G Schettine FWD1941
3
-
M Maracás DEF1811
3
-
S Tavares MID18
2
1
Alanzinho MID1823
4
-
Bernardo FWD1811
2
-
P. Costa Santos FWD17
4
-
J Antonisse FWD16
-
D Pinto DEF1521
3
-
L Ofori MID1511
1
-
G. Liberato Tomas Aquino MID4
-
L Buta DEF2
-
I Rodrigues FWD2
-
C Secco GLK1
-
J Jorquera FWD1
-