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Nacional Asunción v Cerro Porteno : Division 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción

Cerro Porteno pay Division 1 rivals Nacional Asunción a visit on Wednesday morning, as Diego Hernán Martínez leads his team into an away clash with Pedro Alcídes Sarabia Achucarro & co. at the Estadio Arsenio Erico. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while there's also head-to-head history later on in the preview.

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Nacional Asunción's next match is v Deportivo Recoleta at 00:15 on Tuesday 22nd April
Cerro Porteno's next match is v Sportivo Trinidense at 00:15 on Monday 21st April
The last Paraguayan Division 1 meeting between Nacional and C. Porteno was on Wednesday 16th April 2025
Paraguayan Division 1
April 16th 2025
Nacional 1
3 C. Porteno
 
T. Caballero Fleytas 31'18' J. Iturbe Arévalo
45' J. Iturbe Arévalo
53' J. Torres
 
NAC
POR
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
1
2
Possession
35%
65%
Fouls
12
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
NacionalC. Porteno
 
S. Rojas López
G. Benítez Ibarra
J. Monteagudo (J. Cáceres Ovelar 68')
C. Núñez Aquino
O. Gaona Lugo (J. Alfaro 55')
C. Ortiz Gamarra (D. Duarte Garcete 68')
C. Arrua (V. Quintana Herrera 86')
J. Alfaro
G. Caballero
T. Caballero Fleytasfootball icon (C. Colmán 55')
R. Prieto
A. Martín Arias
V. Velázquez Ramos
L. Quintana Rodríguez
Á. Benítez
F. Carrizo
(W. Viera Caballero 46') A. Soñora
J. Morel Barrios
(N. Eliseche 78') G. Giménez
(A. Benítez Domínguez 65') R. Gómez
(C. Domínguez Ruiz 70') football iconfootball iconJ. Iturbe Arévalo
(F. da Costa Aragão 77') football iconJ. Torres

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Nacional and C. Porteno go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the sides in terms of who might win. The statistics do not provide any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.57 with the bookies, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 34% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
34%
12/5-
Draw
32%
2/1
3%
-
C. Porteno
35%
13/10
2%
-
Draw 0-0
15%
11/2
7%
-
C. Porteno 1-0
14%
5/1
8%
-
Nacional 1-0
14%
7/1
6%
-
Draw 1-1
14%
5/1-
C. Porteno 2-0
7%
9/1
5%
-
Nacional 2-0
7%
14/1-
C. Porteno 2-1
7%
9/1-
Nacional 2-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1-
C. Porteno 3-0
2%
20/1-
C. Porteno 3-1
2%
20/1-
Nacional 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Nacional 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
C. Porteno 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
-
Nacional 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
6/4
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
70%
1/2
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
6/4-
Away 1st Goal
45%
4/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
10%
11/2
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
38%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - No
62%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
7/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
5/1
9%
-
Home/draw
65%
4/7
3%
-
Away/draw
66%
3/10-
Home/away
68%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
43%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
4/1
11%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
1/6
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
85%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
15%
6/1-
Home DNB
56%
5/4-
Away DNB
57%
4/7-
Nacional win to nil
23%
4/1-
C. Porteno win to nil
24%
5/2-
Nacional / Nacional
15%
9/2-
Nacional / C. Porteno
3%
28/1-
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Nacional
12%
6/1-
Draw / C. Porteno
17%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
C. Porteno / Nacional
2%
33/1-
C. Porteno / C. Porteno
21%
3/1
7%
-
C. Porteno / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Nacional 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional1 - 02 de Mayo
Nacional1 - 0General C.
Nacional1 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional1 - 0Atletico Tembetary
Nacional1 - 2Guarani
Nacional0 - 3Libertad
Nacional0 - 0Guarani
Nacional2 - 2C. Porteno
Nacional1 - 0General C.
Nacional0 - 02 de Mayo
Nacional2 - 1Libertad
Nacional2 - 0Olimpia
Nacional1 - 0Tacuary
Nacional3 - 1Sol America
Nacional1 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
Nacional0 - 0S. Ameliano
Nacional0 - 0Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional0 - 2C. Porteno
Nacional3 - 0Sol America
Nacional3 - 12 de Mayo
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional0 - 1Libertad
HNacional1 - 02 de Mayo
HNacional1 - 0General C.
ANacional1 - 0Olimpia
HNacional1 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
ANacional1 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
HNacional1 - 0Atletico Tembetary
ANacional1 - 2S. Ameliano
HNacional1 - 2Guarani
ANacional0 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
ANacional1 - 3C. Porteno
HNacional0 - 3Libertad
ANacional0 - 02 de Mayo
HNacional0 - 0Guarani
ANacional1 - 1Olimpia
ANacional0 - 1Tacuary
HNacional2 - 2C. Porteno
ANacional2 - 3Sol America
HNacional1 - 0General C.
ANacional2 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
C. Porteno 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Libertad1 - 0C. Porteno
2 de Mayo1 - 1C. Porteno
General C.0 - 1C. Porteno
Olimpia2 - 1C. Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense1 - 0C. Porteno
Sportivo Luqueño1 - 1C. Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense3 - 2C. Porteno
Nacional2 - 2C. Porteno
Olimpia3 - 0C. Porteno
Sol America0 - 1C. Porteno
Sportivo Luqueño1 - 0C. Porteno
S. Ameliano0 - 1C. Porteno
Libertad2 - 1C. Porteno
Guarani1 - 0C. Porteno
Tacuary0 - 1C. Porteno
General C.2 - 1C. Porteno
2 de Mayo1 - 1C. Porteno
Nacional0 - 2C. Porteno
Tacuary1 - 3C. Porteno
Sol America0 - 3C. Porteno
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HC. Porteno0 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
AC. Porteno0 - 1Libertad
HC. Porteno1 - 0Atletico Tembetary
AC. Porteno1 - 12 de Mayo
HC. Porteno2 - 0S. Ameliano
AC. Porteno1 - 0General C.
HC. Porteno0 - 1Guarani
AC. Porteno1 - 2Olimpia
HC. Porteno2 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
AC. Porteno0 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
HC. Porteno3 - 1Nacional
AC. Porteno1 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
HC. Porteno2 - 2Libertad
HC. Porteno2 - 3Libertad
AC. Porteno2 - 3Sportivo Trinidense
HC. Porteno1 - 2Guarani
AC. Porteno2 - 2Nacional
HC. Porteno1 - 1Tacuary
AC. Porteno0 - 3Olimpia
AC. Porteno1 - 0Sol America
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
C. Porteno have not lost to Nacional in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nacional since 2018
Nacional
C. Porteno
Goals: Scored
17
25
Games: Scored
9 / 14
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
5 / 14
NAC
4
D
5
POR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2C. Porteno
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nacional2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3C. Porteno
1 - 5C. Porteno
Nacional2 - 0
Nacional4 - 3
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3C. Porteno
0 - 3C. Porteno
Nacional2 - 1
League games at C. Porteno since 2018
C. Porteno
Nacional
Goals: Scored
27
10
Games: Scored
12 / 14
8 / 14
Clean sheets
6 / 14
2 / 14
NAC
1
D
5
POR
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT C. Porteno
C. Porteno3 - 1
C. Porteno2 - 1
C. Porteno1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
C. Porteno4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
C. Porteno1 - 0
0 - 2Nacional
Draw2 - 2Draw
C. Porteno1 - 0
C. Porteno5 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
C. Porteno5 - 0
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Nacional Asunción fans, as should a 16 Division 1 matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Nacional Asunción's defensive record is to be admired, Pedro Alcídes Sarabia Achucarro's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Division 1 outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Cerro Porteno makes sense in this context.

Nacional 9th C. Porteno 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of C. Porteno scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
C. Porteno have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Division 1 - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291860/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
C. Porteno
0.9
1
Attack rating
NAC
POR
11%
better
view stats
Games scored9
9
Failed to score4
4
Scored first6
6
Goals scored9
14
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal13
11
Conversion rate for8
9
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
NAC
POR
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first6
6
Goals conceded15
11
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+5%

Nacional v C. Porteno Division 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11413
S RojasG CaballeroC ColmánC Núñez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Rojas GLK11
1
-
J. Alfaro DEF7
2
-
C Núñez DEF9
3
-
J. Monteagudo DEF101
3
-
G Benitez DEF8
-
C Ortiz MID6
-
O Lugo MID9
3
-
G Caballero MID114
-
C Arrua MID5
1
-
R Prieto MID5
2
-
T Fleytas FWD4
1
Subs
G Ortiz GLK
-
A. Cañete Torres DEF4
1
-
D Cáceres DEF2
-
C Espinola DEF2
-
F. Avalos Giménez MID
-
J Arza MID
-
J González MID
-
J Alfaro MID101
2
-
L Trezza MID3
-
V Herrera MID5
-
D Duarte FWD8
-
C Colmán FWD811
1
-
C. Porteno Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10424
G GiménezJ IturbeC DomínguezW Viera
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Arias GLK3
1
-
J Barrios DEF9
3
-
G Velázquez DEF91
2
1
L Rodríguez DEF3
1
-
G Benítez DEF9
-
F Carrizo MID1231
3
-
A Soñora MID71
1
-
G Giménez MID12
1
-
R. Gómez MID
-
J Torres FWD103
1
-
J Iturbe FWD84
1
-
Subs
A. Martínez Arevalos GLK
-
A Benítez DEF1111
3
-
L Rivas DEF41
-
A Duarte DEF
-
J. Roldán Villalba DEF
-
G Díaz MID5
-
W Viera MID9
4
-
A Romero MID91
1
-
N. Eliseche MID
-
C Domínguez FWD922
2
-
Chico FWD82
3
1
R. Marecos Ortigazo FWD
-