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Guaraní v Nacional Asunción : Division 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres, Asunción

It's an away match for Víctor Bernay's Nacional Asunción side on Sunday night, as they make their way to the Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres for a Division 1 clash with Francisco Javier Arce Rolón's Guaraní. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Division 1 match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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The last Paraguayan Division 1 meeting between Guarani and Nacional was on Sunday 28th April 2024

Paraguayan Division 1

April 28th 2024

Guarani 3	1 Nacional

J. Santacruz González 25'	40' D. Duarte Garcete
G. Servio 32'
W. González Sosa 85'

	GUA NAC
Shots On	4 1
Corners	3 4
Possession	50% 50%
Yellow/red cards	1/0 2/0

Guarani	Nacional

G. Servio A. Cantero Fernandez P. Riveros Allende (F. Román Torales 73') M. López Quintana J. Pérez Centurión A. Legüizamón Aquino (R. Prieto 69') Á. Cuello J. Santacruz González (W. González Sosa 79') M. Martínez (A. Benítez Cabrera 79') A. Manzur (G. Marecos Benítez 69') A. Alcaraz Torales	A. Silva Cano (I. Benegas Arévalos 71') B. Blasi L. Rivas (J. Alfaro 59') C. Núñez Aquino A. Cañete Torres (G. Caballero 46') A. González Román (A. Gómez Benítez 59') J. Santacruz Rodas B. Cáceres Garay L. Meza D. Duarte Garcete (R. Arévalo Portillo 87') I. Bailone

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals simply means there there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Guarani and Nacional during the regulation 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guarani are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Guarani 46%	5/4 7%	-
Draw 28%	21/10 5%	-
Nacional 26%	12/5 6%	-
Guarani 1-0 15%	6/1	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Draw 0-0 11%	13/2 12%	-
Nacional 1-0 10%	8/1 10%	-
Guarani 2-0 9%	9/1 5%	-
Guarani 2-1 8%	17/2 6%	-
Nacional 2-1 6%	12/1	-
Nacional 2-0 4%	16/1	-
Guarani 3-0 4%	20/1 11%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	-
Guarani 3-1 4%	20/1 24%	-
Nacional 3-1 2%	28/1	-
Guarani 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	-
Guarani 4-0 1%	40/1	-
Nacional 3-0 1%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 38%	5/4 7%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 62%	8/13 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	7/5 4%	-
No 1st Goal 8%	13/2 12%	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	10/11 4%	-
BTTS - No 57%	4/5 2%	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	4/1 5%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	13/2	-
Home/draw 75%	3/10 1%	-
Away/draw 54%	8/13 5%	-
Home/away 72%	4/11 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	2/5 5%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 36%	7/4 15%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	3/1 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	2/9 2%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	9/1 25%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/16 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	20/1 24%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/66 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/12 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	7/1 6%	-
Home DNB 66%	8/15 2%	-
Away DNB 45%	11/8 5%	-
Guarani win to nil 30%	5/2 3%	-
Nacional win to nil 16%	9/2 8%	-
Guarani / Guarani 23%	11/4 10%	-
Guarani / Nacional 2%	33/1	-
Guarani / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Guarani 15%	9/2 10%	-
Draw / Nacional 12%	6/1 7%	-
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4 5%	-
Nacional / Guarani 3%	28/1 12%	-
Nacional / Nacional 15%	9/2 8%	-
Nacional / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Guarani	1 - 0	Sol America
Guarani	1 - 2	Sportivo Trinidense
Guarani	1 - 1	C. Porteno
Guarani	1 - 3	Olimpia
Guarani	0 - 0	S. Ameliano
Guarani	3 - 0	Tacuary
Guarani	1 - 1	Libertad
Guarani	0 - 2	Sportivo Trinidense
Guarani	2 - 0	General C.
Guarani	0 - 0	Guairena
Guarani	0 - 1	Olimpia
Guarani	2 - 0	Tacuary
Guarani	2 - 1	Sportivo Luqueño
Guarani	1 - 0	C. Porteno
Guarani	3 - 2	Resistencia
Guarani	0 - 3	S. Ameliano
Guarani	1 - 1	Nacional
Guarani	0 - 3	Libertad
Guarani	1 - 2	Olimpia
Guarani	0 - 2	Sportivo Trinidense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Guarani	4 - 4	Tacuary
H	Guarani	1 - 0	Sol America
A	Guarani	1 - 2	Libertad
A	Guarani	1 - 0	2 de Mayo
H	Guarani	1 - 2	Sportivo Trinidense
A	Guarani	0 - 1	Sportivo Luqueño
H	Guarani	1 - 1	C. Porteno
H	Guarani	1 - 3	Olimpia
A	Guarani	0 - 0	General C.
H	Guarani	0 - 0	S. Ameliano
A	Guarani	4 - 1	Nacional
H	Guarani	3 - 0	Tacuary
A	Guarani	2 - 2	Sol America
H	Guarani	1 - 1	Libertad
A	Guarani	0 - 4	C. Porteno
H	Guarani	0 - 2	Sportivo Trinidense
A	Guarani	1 - 0	Resistencia
H	Guarani	2 - 0	General C.
A	Guarani	0 - 0	S. Ameliano
H	Guarani	0 - 0	Guairena

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
General C.	1 - 2	Nacional
C. Porteno	1 - 0	Nacional
Sol America	1 - 0	Nacional
2 de Mayo	2 - 0	Nacional
Sportivo Luqueño	2 - 0	Nacional
Olimpia	2 - 2	Nacional
S. Ameliano	1 - 0	Nacional
Sportivo Luqueño	1 - 1	Nacional
Sportivo Trinidense	1 - 1	Nacional
General C.	0 - 0	Nacional
Guairena	0 - 0	Nacional
Tacuary	0 - 3	Nacional
C. Porteno	1 - 1	Nacional
Resistencia	2 - 1	Nacional
S. Ameliano	2 - 0	Nacional
Guarani	1 - 1	Nacional
Olimpia	1 - 2	Nacional
Libertad	2 - 0	Nacional
Sportivo Trinidense	2 - 1	Nacional
Sportivo Luqueño	0 - 1	Nacional

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Nacional	0 - 1	Olimpia
H	Nacional	1 - 1	Libertad
A	Nacional	2 - 1	General C.
H	Nacional	1 - 1	S. Ameliano
A	Nacional	0 - 1	C. Porteno
H	Nacional	0 - 1	Tacuary
A	Nacional	0 - 1	Sol America
A	Nacional	0 - 2	2 de Mayo
H	Nacional	2 - 1	Sportivo Trinidense
A	Nacional	0 - 2	Sportivo Luqueño
H	Nacional	1 - 4	Guarani
A	Nacional	2 - 2	Olimpia
H	Nacional	2 - 2	General C.
A	Nacional	0 - 1	S. Ameliano
A	Nacional	1 - 1	Sportivo Luqueño
H	Nacional	1 - 1	C. Porteno
A	Nacional	1 - 1	Sportivo Trinidense
H	Nacional	5 - 0	Resistencia
A	Nacional	0 - 0	General C.
H	Nacional	2 - 1	S. Ameliano

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Guarani have drawn with Nacional in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Nacional have not lost to Guarani in 6 consecutive away league meetings

Guarani

Nacional

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 11

10 / 11

Clean sheets

1 / 11

2 / 11

GUA

NAC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guarani
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Nacional
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Guarani	1 - 0
	0 - 5	Nacional
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 4	Nacional

Guarani

Nacional

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

16 / 24

17 / 24

Clean sheets

7 / 24

8 / 24

GUA

NAC

FIXTURE HISTORY
	1 - 4	Guarani
Nacional	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Guarani
Nacional	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Guarani
	0 - 1	Nacional
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Nacional	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Guarani	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Guarani
	0 - 5	Nacional
	0 - 2	Guarani
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Guarani
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Nacional	3 - 0
	1 - 4	Nacional

Goal Statistics

Nacional Asunción's defensive record is very strong, V. Bernay's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Division 1 outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Guaraní makes sense in this context.

	Guarani 6th	Nacional 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Guarani will score no more than 1 goal	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-25 Guarani have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted	-30 Nacional have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.0 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.2 conceded

Statistics Division 1 - 2024/2024 Season

41%

better

GUA

NAC

view stats

Games scored	13		8
Failed to score	3		8
Scored first	8		6
Goals scored	26		12
Avg. goals scored	1.6		0.8
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate	18%		10%
KickOff rating		+41%

35%

better

GUA

NAC

view stats

Games conceded	10		16
Clean sheets	6		0
Conceded first	6		10
Goals conceded	18		25
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate	15%		17%
KickOff rating		+35%

Guarani v Nacional Division 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Guarani Division 1 squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	4	2	6
G Servio	A Alcaraz	R Prieto	A Manzur

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Servio GLK	13			2 -
J Centurión DEF	13	2	1	2 -
M Quintana DEF	13		1	3 -
P Allende DEF	11	2	1	2 -
A Fernandez DEF	5			-
A Manzur MID	12	1		6 -
Á. Cuello MID	9	1		2 -
M Martínez MID	7			3 -
J Santacruz MID	7	2		-
A Alcaraz FWD	9	4		1 1
A. Legüizamón Aquino FWD	3			-
Subs
M Prantl GLK				-
W Ibarrola DEF	6		1	1 -
F Torales DEF	3			-
E Moreira MID	11		1	1 -
R Prieto MID	12		2	2 -
G Benítez MID	3			1 -
R Rodas MID	4			1 -
F Salomoni MID	13		2	1 -
A Cabrera FWD	6		1	-
P Charpentier FWD	10	2		-
C Miño FWD	7			1 -
W González FWD	9	2	2	2 1

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	0	2	0
A Alcaraz		R Prieto

Line-up	goals	Assists
A Alcaraz FWD	4
J Centurión DEF	2	1
P Allende DEF	2	1
J Santacruz MID	2
A Manzur MID	1
Á. Cuello MID	1
M Quintana DEF		1
Subs
P Charpentier FWD	2
W González FWD	2	2
W Ibarrola DEF		1
E Moreira MID		1
R Prieto MID		2
F Salomoni MID		2
A Cabrera FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won

Nacional Division 1 squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	3	1	3
A Silva	R Portillo	L Rivas	I Benegas

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Silva GLK	12			1 -
C Núñez DEF	10			1 -
A. Cañete Torres DEF	1			-
B Blasi DEF	10	1		2 -
L Rivas DEF	6		1	-
L Meza MID	2			-
J Santacruz MID	9			1 -
B Garay MID	5			1 -
A Román MID	4			-
D Duarte FWD	7	1	1	-
I Bailone FWD	5	1		-
Subs
F Vazquez GLK				-
I Benegas DEF	9			3 -
S Ojeda DEF	8			2 -
J. Nuñez DEF				-
J. Alfaro MID	2			2 -
J Alfaro MID	8	2		3 -
F Flores MID	10			3 -
M González MID	8			-
R Portillo FWD	10	3		-
T Fleytas FWD	7			3 -
G Caballero FWD				-
A Benítez FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	0	1	0
R Portillo		L Rivas

Line-up	goals	Assists
B Blasi DEF	1
D Duarte FWD	1	1
I Bailone FWD	1
L Rivas DEF		1
Subs
R Portillo FWD	3
J Alfaro MID	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won

Paraguayan Division 1 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Guaraní v Nacional Asunción : Division 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Guarani v Nacional Division 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

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