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Monterrey v Pachuca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 28th Apr, 02:30 BST, Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Guadalupe

Martín Gastón Demichelis welcomes Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves to the Estadio BBVA Bancomer on Monday morning, as their Monterrey and Pachuca sides go head to head in the Liga MX. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our extensive database and pulled out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Liga MX tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monterrey are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Monterrey 51%	9/10 3%	-
Draw 22%	5/2 5%	-
Pachuca 27%	5/2	-
Draw 1-1 9%	6/1 7%	-
Monterrey 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Pachuca 2-1 7%	12/1 8%	-
Draw 2-2 7%	12/1 8%	-
Monterrey 1-0 7%	8/1 10%	-
Monterrey 2-0 7%	9/1 9%	-
Monterrey 3-1 6%	14/1 15%	-
Pachuca 1-0 5%	12/1 13%	-
Monterrey 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Monterrey 3-0 4%	16/1	-
Pachuca 2-0 3%	20/1	-
Draw 0-0 3%	12/1 24%	-
Pachuca 3-1 3%	28/1 12%	-
Pachuca 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Monterrey 4-1 3%	28/1 12%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 66%	7/10 6%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 34%	11/10 9%	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/7	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	6/4 4%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	12/1 24%	-
BTTS - Yes 65%	8/13 3%	-
BTTS - No 35%	6/5 2%	-
BTTS - Home Win 30%	13/5 6%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	11/2 8%	-
Home/draw 73%	1/4	-
Away/draw 49%	4/5	-
Home/away 78%	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	2/9 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	3/1 11%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 44%	13/8 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 56%	4/9 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 26%	4/1 15%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 74%	1/6 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 13%	10/1 22%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 87%	1/20 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/25 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	12/1 24%	-
Home DNB 66%	4/9	-
Away DNB 43%	13/8	-
Monterrey win to nil 21%	11/4	-
Pachuca win to nil 10%	6/1 13%	-
Monterrey / Monterrey 27%	21/10 3%	-
Monterrey / Pachuca 3%	28/1	-
Monterrey / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Monterrey 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Pachuca 10%	7/1 6%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 8%	-
Pachuca / Monterrey 4%	20/1	-
Pachuca / Pachuca 14%	5/1	-
Pachuca / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monterrey	1 - 0	America
Monterrey	3 - 1	Guadalajara
Monterrey	1 - 2	Tijuana
Monterrey	4 - 2	S. Laguna
Monterrey	3 - 1	A. San Luis
Monterrey	1 - 0	Necaxa
Monterrey	2 - 3	Pachuca
Monterrey	1 - 1	Puebla
Monterrey	1 - 1	America
Monterrey	5 - 1	A. San Luis
Monterrey	1 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Monterrey	2 - 1	Leon
Monterrey	4 - 0	Atlas
Monterrey	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Monterrey	4 - 2	Tigres
Monterrey	0 - 0	Mazatlan
Monterrey	3 - 2	Juarez
Monterrey	1 - 2	Toluca
Monterrey	2 - 1	Queretaro
Monterrey	0 - 4	Cruz Azul

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Monterrey	2 - 0	Leon
H	Monterrey	1 - 0	America
A	Monterrey	1 - 2	Tigres
H	Monterrey	3 - 1	Guadalajara
H	Monterrey	1 - 2	Tijuana
A	Monterrey	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Monterrey	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Monterrey	4 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Monterrey	0 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Monterrey	3 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Monterrey	4 - 2	Queretaro
A	Monterrey	1 - 2	Juarez
H	Monterrey	1 - 0	Necaxa
A	Monterrey	3 - 3	Atlas
H	Monterrey	2 - 3	Pachuca
A	Monterrey	1 - 1	Toluca
H	Monterrey	1 - 1	Puebla
H	Monterrey	1 - 1	America
A	Monterrey	1 - 2	America
H	Monterrey	5 - 1	A. San Luis

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. San Luis	2 - 1	Pachuca
Necaxa	3 - 5	Pachuca
Toluca	3 - 2	Pachuca
Juarez	2 - 2	Pachuca
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Pachuca
Cruz Azul	2 - 1	Pachuca
Queretaro	0 - 1	Pachuca
Monterrey	2 - 3	Pachuca
America	2 - 1	Pachuca
Tigres	2 - 1	Pachuca
S. Laguna	1 - 1	Pachuca
Tijuana	2 - 1	Pachuca
Puebla	2 - 3	Pachuca
Atlas	2 - 0	Pachuca
Mazatlan	3 - 0	Pachuca
Pumas UNAM	2 - 0	Pachuca
Leon	0 - 0	Pachuca
America	1 - 1	Pachuca
S. Laguna	0 - 2	Pachuca
Tigres	0 - 3	Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Pachuca	1 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Pachuca	0 - 0	Tigres
A	Pachuca	5 - 3	Necaxa
H	Pachuca	1 - 0	America
A	Pachuca	2 - 3	Toluca
H	Pachuca	4 - 1	Tijuana
H	Pachuca	1 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Pachuca	2 - 2	Juarez
H	Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
A	Pachuca	1 - 2	Guadalajara
H	Pachuca	2 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Pachuca	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
H	Pachuca	1 - 2	Leon
H	Pachuca	0 - 0	Atlas
A	Pachuca	1 - 0	Queretaro
A	Pachuca	3 - 2	Monterrey
H	Pachuca	2 - 1	S. Laguna
H	Pachuca	0 - 1	Juarez
A	Pachuca	1 - 2	America
H	Pachuca	6 - 2	Necaxa

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Monterrey

Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

3 / 7

MON

PAC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
	2 - 3	Pachuca
Monterrey	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Pachuca
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Monterrey	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Pachuca
Monterrey	5 - 0

Pachuca

Monterrey

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

3 / 8

MON

PAC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
	0 - 1	Monterrey
	0 - 2	Monterrey
	1 - 2	Monterrey
Pachuca	5 - 2
Pachuca	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	2 - 3	Monterrey
	0 - 1	Monterrey

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Monterrey in their meeting with Pachuca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 26 consecutive Liga MX matches.

	Monterrey 5th	Pachuca 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Monterrey will score 1 or more goals	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Pachuca will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+8 Monterrey’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+15 Pachuca have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season

28%

better

MON

PAC

view stats

Games scored	35		25
Failed to score	5		9
Scored first	25		13
Goals scored	72		49
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.4
Avg. shots per game	11		12
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	16		12
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.2
KickOff rating		+28%

14%

better

MON

PAC

view stats

Games conceded	30		28
Clean sheets	10		6
Conceded first	13		18
Goals conceded	51		52
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1
KickOff rating		+14%

Monterrey v Pachuca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	17	12	8
S Canales	G Berterame	S Canales	S Medina

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Medina DEF	37		1	8 -
G Arteaga DEF	36	2	1	4 -
S Canales MID	36	16	12	4 -
J Rodríguez MID	35	1		5 -
G Berterame FWD	34	17		4 2
Óliver Torres MID	33	6	2	3 1
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	31	4	1	3 -
Tecatito FWD	31	2	9	2 -
R Rosa FWD	30	1	3	-
F Ambríz MID	26	1		2 -
V Guzmán DEF	25			2 -
E Andrada GLK	24			6 -
H Moreno DEF	24			3 -
L Ocampos FWD	24	2	4	2 1
J Cortizo FWD	23	2	1	5 -
Érick Aguirre DEF	21		3	4 -
N Deossa MID	17	3	1	2 -
L Cárdenas GLK	16			-
R Chávez DEF	14	2	1	3 -
A Alvarado FWD	12	1		-
S Ramos DEF	8	3		2 1
L Reyes DEF	5			1 -
A Leone DEF	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	46	12	45
G Berterame	S Canales	S Canales	S Canales

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Berterame FWD	17	44		15
S Canales MID	16	46	12	45
Óliver Torres MID	6	13	2	25
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	4	13	1	12
N Deossa MID	3	7	1	8
S Ramos DEF	3	4
Tecatito FWD	2	5	9	19
R Chávez DEF	2	5	1	5
J Cortizo FWD	2	4	1	7
L Ocampos FWD	2	9	4	15
G Arteaga DEF	2	6	1	12
A Alvarado FWD	1	2
R Rosa FWD	1	8	3	6
J Rodríguez MID	1	3		17
F Ambríz MID	1	6		1
L Reyes DEF				2
S Medina DEF		3	1	13
Érick Aguirre DEF		1	3	12
H Moreno DEF		1
V Guzmán DEF				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1877	93	160
S Canales	J Rodríguez	J Rodríguez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Canales MID	1877	30	134
J Rodríguez MID	1877	93	160
S Medina DEF	1819	57	144
Óliver Torres MID	1353	46	90
G Arteaga DEF	1312	54	134
H Moreno DEF	1142	18	44
V Guzmán DEF	989	32	75
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	983	37	81
E Andrada GLK	801	1	15
Tecatito FWD	659	29	116
Érick Aguirre DEF	633	31	60
L Ocampos FWD	612	24	101
F Ambríz MID	610	40	80
G Berterame FWD	596	28	107
R Chávez DEF	553	37	70
N Deossa MID	509	39	139
L Cárdenas GLK	432	1	5
J Cortizo FWD	428	25	94
S Ramos DEF	415	11	31
R Rosa FWD	219	3	25
L Reyes DEF	154	10	21
A Alvarado FWD	72	3	18
A Leone DEF	45	1	4

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	14	9	10
C Moreno	S Rondón	O Idrissi	O Idrissi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Moreno GLK	32		1	5 -
O Idrissi FWD	32	3	9	9 1
B González DEF	30		1	2 2
P Reyna MID	30	1		8 -
S Rondón FWD	30	14	5	3 1
E Montiel MID	27	2	2	3 1
L Rodríguez DEF	23		1	3 -
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	22	1	4	2 -
A Gutiérrez MID	22	1	1	-
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	22	1	2	2 -
S Barreto DEF	19		1	5 1
A González FWD	19	4	1	1 1
A Aceves DEF	17			2 -
J Kennedy FWD	17	9	1	3 -
J Berlanga DEF	16		1	4 1
E Bauermann DEF	15		1	4 1
J López MID	15	1	1	1 1
G Cabral DEF	14			3 1
S. Hernández Hernández FWD	12	2	2	2 -
S Homenchenko MID	10	1		3 -
M Rodriguez FWD	10	1		-
A Micolta DEF	8			2 -
I Hernández FWD	4	1		-
J Téllez GLK	2			-
I Luna MID	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	35	9	34
S Rondón	S Rondón	O Idrissi	O Idrissi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Rondón FWD	14	35	5	13
J Kennedy FWD	9	20	1	3
A González FWD	4	7	1	4
O Idrissi FWD	3	17	9	34
E Montiel MID	2	13	2	23
S. Hernández Hernández FWD	2	5	2	7
J López MID	1	4	1	11
S Homenchenko MID	1	4
M Rodriguez FWD	1	6		3
A Gutiérrez MID	1	4	1	14
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	1	7	2	10
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	1	7	4	9
I Hernández FWD	1	3
P Reyna MID	1	4		3
A Micolta DEF		1
C Moreno GLK			1	1
A Aceves DEF		4		1
E Bauermann DEF		2	1	2
J Berlanga DEF			1	3
S Barreto DEF			1	3
L Rodríguez DEF		1	1	5
B González DEF		10	1	14

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1369	75	202
E Montiel	B González	O Idrissi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Montiel MID	1369	74	148
B González DEF	1294	75	167
O Idrissi FWD	1134	44	202
S Barreto DEF	789	27	82
L Rodríguez DEF	771	41	72
C Moreno GLK	748		14
P Reyna MID	748	58	92
A Aceves DEF	692	36	71
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	585	36	96
E Bauermann DEF	579	21	67
S Rondón FWD	578	9	97
G Cabral DEF	525	12	47
A Gutiérrez MID	440	19	46
J Berlanga DEF	402	23	41
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	382	12	49
S Homenchenko MID	340	20	36
A González FWD	296	25	59
J Kennedy FWD	267	4	52
J López MID	227	3	20
A Micolta DEF	199	7	23
M Rodriguez FWD	161	10	33
S. Hernández Hernández FWD	132	7	27
I Luna MID	37	1	2
J Téllez GLK	36
I Hernández FWD	13		3

Mexican Liga MX match betting previews, predictions and odds

Monterrey v Pachuca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Monterrey v Pachuca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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