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Parma v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Nov, 19:45 BST, Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma), Parma

It's a long trek for Gian Piero Gasperini's Atalanta side on Saturday evening, as they travel to the Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma) for a Serie A clash with Fabio Pecchia's Parma. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 81% probability of Parma and Atalanta scoring a minimum of 2 goals in this Serie A tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Atalanta coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Parma
25%
4.75
10%
4.60
15%
Draw
23%
4.20
3%
4.20
Atalanta
53%
1.65
3%
1.65
6%
Draw 1-1
10%
8.507.50
6%
Atalanta 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Atalanta 1-0
8%
10.00
9%
8.50
6%
Atalanta 2-0
8%
9.50
5%
9.00
5%
Parma 2-1
6%
15.0013.00
18%
Atalanta 3-1
6%
12.0010.00
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0011.00
Parma 1-0
6%
17.00
11%
15.00
15%
Atalanta 3-0
5%
13.00
13%
12.00
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
17.00
11%
13.00
13%
Atalanta 3-2
4%
19.0015.00
Parma 2-0
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
11%
Atalanta 4-1
3%
21.0017.00
Parma 3-1
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
10%
Parma 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.53
2%
1.50
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.50
5%
2.45
2%
Home 1st Goal
44%
2.75
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.44-
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.57
3%
1.55
3%
BTTS - No
40%
2.25
5%
2.30
4%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
7.50
15%
7.00
17%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.00
5%
4.80
BTTS - Away Win
28%
2.882.80
3%
Home/draw
47%
2.20
5%
2.20
7%
Away/draw
75%
1.18
2%
1.18
6%
Home/away
77%
1.22
2%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.17
3%
1.15
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5.00
9%
4.80
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2.38
8%
2.20
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.57
6%
1.60
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4.00
7%
3.70
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.25
3%
1.25
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8.00
23%
6.50
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.08
3%
1.09
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.021.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
17.00
11%
13.00
13%
Home DNB
41%
3.50
3%
3.50
17%
Away DNB
68%
1.29
1%
1.29
4%
Parma win to nil
11%
10.00-
Atalanta win to nil
25%
3.40
3%
-
Parma / Parma
11%
7.50
7%
7.50
25%
Parma / Atalanta
5%
19.0017.00
Parma / Draw
5%
15.0015.00
15%
Draw / Parma
8%
10.0010.00
11%
Draw / Atalanta
17%
4.75
5%
4.60
4%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.50
Atalanta / Parma
3%
29.0029.00
12%
Atalanta / Atalanta
33%
2.50
4%
2.45
6%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
13.00
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Parma have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Parma have conceded 10 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Parma have played 6 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Atalanta lay in 2nd place on 25 points in the Serie A league table having played 12 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Atalanta have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Atalanta have played 6 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Parma
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli128221026 
May 18
l
 
2-1F
Jan 19
w
 
0-3F
2
Atalanta 128131625 
Nov 23
May 25
-
-
3
Fiorentina127411525 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
4
Inter127411225 
Apr 6
Dec 6
Mar 16
l
 
4-0A
5
Lazio128131125 
Dec 1
Apr 27
Apr 6
Dec 28
6
Juventus126601424 
Apr 20
d
 
2-2F
Jan 14
Mar 9
7
Milan11533618 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 26
Dec 6
Apr 20
8
Bologna11461218 
Feb 23
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
9
Udinese12516-316 
l
 
2-3F
Mar 2
w
 
2-1A
Jan 11
10
Empoli12363-115 
d
 
1-1A
May 11
Dec 22
Feb 23
11
Torino12426-314 
Mar 9
Jan 5
Feb 2
l
 
2-1F
12
Roma12345-313 
Feb 16
Dec 22
May 11
Dec 2
13
Parma 12264-212 
-
-
May 25
Nov 23
14
Verona12408-1012 
Dec 15
Mar 30
w
 
6-1F
Feb 9
15
Como 190712246-1010 
May 4
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3F
Jan 26
16
Cagliari12246-1010 
l
 
2-3A
Feb 9
Feb 16
Dec 14
17
Genoa12246-1310 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 12
w
 
5-1F
May 18
18
Lecce12237-169 
Feb 2
d
 
2-2A
Apr 27
w
 
0-4F
19
Monza12156-58 
Dec 28
Mar 16
w
 
2-0F
May 4
20
Venezia12228-108 
Jan 19
w
 
1-2A
Mar 2
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
6
Atalanta have won 6 consecutive league games
7
Atalanta have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
Parma 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Parma0 - 1Genoa
Parma1 - 1Empoli
Parma2 - 3Cagliari
Parma2 - 3Udinese
Parma2 - 1Milan
Parma1 - 1Fiorentina
Parma1 - 1Cremonese
Parma4 - 0Lecco
Parma2 - 0Spezia
Parma0 - 2Catanzaro
Parma2 - 1Brescia
Parma1 - 1Cosenza
Parma3 - 2Pisa
Parma2 - 1Venezia
Parma1 - 1Ascoli
Parma3 - 1Ternana
Parma3 - 3Palermo
Parma1 - 1Modena
Parma2 - 0Sudtirol
Parma2 - 1Como 1907
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
11
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AParma2 - 1Venezia
HParma0 - 1Genoa
AParma2 - 2Juventus
HParma1 - 1Empoli
AParma1 - 1Como 1907
AParma0 - 0Bologna
HParma2 - 3Cagliari
AParma2 - 2Lecce
HParma2 - 3Udinese
AParma1 - 2Napoli
HParma2 - 1Milan
HParma1 - 1Fiorentina
AParma1 - 1Reggiana
HParma1 - 1Cremonese
AParma1 - 1Bari 1908
HParma4 - 0Lecco
AParma0 - 0Palermo
HParma2 - 0Spezia
AParma0 - 0Sudtirol
HParma0 - 2Catanzaro
Atalanta 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Napoli0 - 3Atalanta
Venezia0 - 2Atalanta
Bologna1 - 1Atalanta
Inter4 - 0Atalanta
Torino2 - 1Atalanta
Lecce0 - 4Atalanta
Lecce0 - 2Atalanta
Salernitana1 - 2Atalanta
Monza1 - 2Atalanta
Cagliari2 - 1Atalanta
Napoli0 - 3Atalanta
Juventus2 - 2Atalanta
Inter4 - 0Atalanta
Milan1 - 1Atalanta
Genoa1 - 4Atalanta
Roma1 - 1Atalanta
Bologna1 - 0Atalanta
Torino3 - 0Atalanta
Udinese1 - 1Atalanta
Empoli0 - 3Atalanta
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAtalanta2 - 1Udinese
AAtalanta3 - 0Napoli
HAtalanta2 - 0Monza
HAtalanta6 - 1Verona
AAtalanta2 - 0Venezia
HAtalanta5 - 1Genoa
AAtalanta1 - 1Bologna
HAtalanta2 - 3Como 1907
HAtalanta3 - 2Fiorentina
AAtalanta0 - 4Inter
AAtalanta1 - 2Torino
AAtalanta4 - 0Lecce
HAtalanta2 - 3Fiorentina
HAtalanta3 - 0Torino
AAtalanta2 - 0Lecce
HAtalanta2 - 1Roma
AAtalanta2 - 1Salernitana
HAtalanta2 - 0Empoli
AAtalanta2 - 1Monza
HAtalanta2 - 2Verona
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Atalanta have beaten Parma in 6 consecutive league meetings
8
Atalanta have not lost to Parma in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Parma since 2015
Parma
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
4
10
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
D
1
ATA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Parma
2 - 5Atalanta
1 - 2Atalanta
1 - 3Atalanta
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Atalanta since 2014
Atalanta
Parma
Goals: Scored
12
0
Games: Scored
4 / 4
0 / 4
Clean sheets
4 / 4
0 / 4
ATA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Atalanta3 - 0
Atalanta5 - 0
Atalanta3 - 0
Atalanta1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is to be admired, Gian Piero Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 14 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Parma makes sense in this context.

Atalanta have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.9 against Parma on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Parma 13th Atalanta 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Parma will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Parma’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+19
Atalanta have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283163/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Parma
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.2
1.9
Attack rating
PMA
ATA
31%
better
view stats
Games scored10
11
Failed to score2
1
Scored first6
8
Goals scored16
31
Avg. goals scored1.3
2.6
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
21
Avg. XG for1.4
2.1
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
PMA
ATA
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
8
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded18
15
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1
KickOff rating
+21%

Parma v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Parma Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11433
B BaloghA BonnyD ManM Keita
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Balogh DEF121
2
-
S Sohm MID121
2
-
D Man FWD1233
-
V Mihăilă FWD121
2
-
A Bonny FWD1241
-
Z Suzuki GLK11
1
1
E Prato DEF112
2
-
W Coulibaly DEF111
1
1
A Bernabé MID11
1
-
M Cancellieri FWD101
1
1
P Almqvist FWD1011
-
E Valeri DEF912
-
A Hainaut MID81
-
G Charpentier  FWD81
1
-
Hernani MID711
1
-
M Keita MID7
2
1
D Camara MID6
-
A Circati DEF4
1
-
N Estévez MID4
1
-
Y Osorio DEF3
-
A. Haj Mohamed FWD31
2
-
A Benedyczak FWD2
-
L Chichizola GLK1
-
G. Leoni DEF1
-
M Kowalski MID1
-
W Cyprien MID1
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
121153
M RoonM ReteguiC KetelaereM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Roon MID122
3
-
Éderson MID1211
3
-
M Retegui FWD12113
1
-
M Carnesecchi GLK11
-
B Djimsiti DEF11
3
-
D Zappacosta MID1121
1
-
M Pasalic MID1121
1
-
M Ruggeri DEF101
-
R Bellanova MID102
1
-
C Ketelaere MID1025
-
I Hien DEF9
2
-
L Samardžić MID921
-
A Lookman FWD964
1
-
M Brescianini MID82
-
S Kolasinac DEF7
2
-
N Zaniolo FWD71
1
-
O Kossounou  DEF5
1
-
J Cuadrado MID5
-
I Sulemana MID3
-
B Godfrey DEF1
-
R Tolói DEF1
-