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Napoli v Roma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Daniele De Rossi will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Serie A on Sunday evening, as he takes his Roma side to the San Paolo to visit Napoli and Francesco Calzona. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Napoli's next match is v Bologna at 17:00 on Saturday 11th May
Roma's next match is v Atalanta at 19:45 on Sunday 12th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Napoli and Roma was on Sunday 28th April 2024
Italian Serie A
April 28th 2024
Napoli 2
2 Roma
 
M. Olivera Miramontes 64'59' P. Exequiel Dybala
V. Osimhen 84'88' K. Bakumo-Abraham
 
NAP
RMA
Shots On
9
4
Shots Off
12
4
Corners
9
2
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
10
4
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
NapoliRoma
 
A. Meret
J. Nunes Jesus
A. Rrahmani
M. Olivera Miramontesfootball icon
G. Di Lorenzo
S. Lobotka
A. Zambo Anguissa
J. Cajuste (C. Ngonge 69')
V. Osimhenfootball icon
K. Kvaratskhelia (G. Raspadori 86')
M. Politano (R. Luz Sanches 69')
M. Svilar
O. N'Dicka
(T. Baldanzi 86') R. Kristensen
L. Spinazzola
G. Mancini
L. Pellegrini
(H. Traorè 69') E. Bove
B. Cristante
football iconP. Exequiel Dybala
(K. Bakumo-Abraham 69') S. Azmoun
(J. Esmoris Tasende 61') S. El Shaarawy
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Napoli and Roma will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Francesco Calzona or Daniele De Rossi has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Napoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
37%
10/11
15%
20/21
3%
Draw
25%
13/5
11%
5/2
Roma
38%
14/5
19%
11/4
1%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
6/1
8%
Roma 1-0
9%
11/1
26%
11/1
Napoli 1-0
9%
7/1
7%
7/1
Roma 2-1
8%
12/1
8%
11/1
Napoli 2-1
8%
15/2
11%
15/2
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
16%
11/1
Roma 2-0
6%
20/1
40%
20/1
Napoli 2-0
6%
17/2
14%
9/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
Roma 3-1
4%
28/1
12%
28/1
Napoli 3-1
4%
14/1
21%
14/1
Roma 3-0
3%
40/1
21%
50/1
Napoli 3-0
3%
16/1
19%
16/1
11%
Roma 3-2
3%
33/133/1
Napoli 3-2
3%
22/1
21%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5
10%
3/4
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1
11%
19/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/7
9%
7/10
2%
Away 1st Goal
48%
6/4
9%
29/20
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
16%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
7/10
6%
4/6
BTTS - No
44%
21/20
5%
11/10
BTTS - Home Win
18%
11/4
21%
27/10
1%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
13/4
BTTS - Away Win
19%
6/1
8%
11/2
Home/draw
62%
1/4
8%
1/4
3%
Away/draw
63%
5/6
13%
4/5
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/4
6%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3/1
18%
11/4
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2/1
14%
19/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
2/5
8%
4/11
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/2
21%
9/2
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/7
4%
2/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1
27%
11/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20
2%
1/22
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
16%
11/1
9%
Home DNB
55%
2/5
14%
4/9
Away DNB
56%
7/4
25%
13/8
Napoli win to nil
19%
5/2
7%
13/5
Roma win to nil
19%
6/1
27%
6/1
Napoli / Napoli
27%
21/10
17%
9/4
2%
Napoli / Roma
2%
28/140/1
Napoli / Draw
6%
12/114/1
Draw / Napoli
17%
4/1
9%
19/5
Draw / Roma
10%
7/1
14%
7/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
9/2
5%
Roma / Napoli
4%
20/1
19%
25/1
Roma / Roma
13%
5/1
20%
11/2
Roma / Draw
6%
14/114/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Napoli have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Napoli have conceded 17 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Napoli have played 16 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Roma lay in 5th place on 58 points in the Serie A league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 7 and losing 2 games. They have scored 54 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Roma have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Roma have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Napoli
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Roma
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
 Inter3528526289 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Milan3521862571 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Juventus35181252166 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
May 11
d
 
0-00-0
 Bologna35171352264 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
 Atalanta34186102560 
d
 
1-1A
May 12
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Roma Away3517992060 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
 Lazio3517513856 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
 Napoli Home35131210951 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-3A
May 19
 Fiorentina34148121250 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
 Torino35111410047 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-4A
 Monza35111212-845 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
 Genoa35101312-243 
May 19
l
 
4-1A
May 26
w
 
0-4F
 Lecce3581314-1837 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
 Verona3581017-1334 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Cagliari3571216-2333 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-4F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-3A
 Frosinone3571117-2032 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Empoli358819-2432 
w
 
7-0F
May 26
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Udinese3541813-1930 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-6A
 Sassuolo357820-2929 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Salernitana352924-4815 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Napoli 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
see results
HOME FORM
Napoli2 - 2Frosinone
Napoli0 - 3Atalanta
Napoli1 - 1Torino
Napoli2 - 1Juventus
Napoli1 - 1Genoa
Napoli2 - 1Verona
Napoli2 - 1Salernitana
Napoli0 - 0Monza
Napoli2 - 1Cagliari
Napoli0 - 3Inter
Napoli0 - 1Empoli
Napoli2 - 2Milan
Napoli1 - 3Fiorentina
Napoli4 - 1Udinese
Napoli1 - 2Lazio
Napoli2 - 0Sassuolo
Napoli2 - 0Sampdoria
Napoli3 - 1Inter
Napoli1 - 0Fiorentina
Napoli1 - 1Salernitana
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
see results
OVERALL FORM
ANapoli0 - 1Empoli
HNapoli2 - 2Frosinone
ANapoli4 - 2Monza
HNapoli0 - 3Atalanta
ANapoli1 - 1Inter
HNapoli1 - 1Torino
HNapoli2 - 1Juventus
ANapoli6 - 1Sassuolo
ANapoli1 - 1Cagliari
HNapoli1 - 1Genoa
ANapoli0 - 1Milan
HNapoli2 - 1Verona
ANapoli0 - 0Lazio
HNapoli2 - 1Salernitana
ANapoli0 - 3Torino
HNapoli0 - 0Monza
ANapoli0 - 2Roma
HNapoli2 - 1Cagliari
ANapoli0 - 1Juventus
HNapoli0 - 3Inter
Roma 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
see results
AWAY FORM
Udinese1 - 2Roma
Lecce0 - 0Roma
Fiorentina2 - 2Roma
Monza1 - 4Roma
Frosinone0 - 3Roma
Salernitana1 - 2Roma
Milan3 - 1Roma
Juventus1 - 0Roma
Bologna2 - 0Roma
Sassuolo1 - 2Roma
Lazio0 - 0Roma
Inter1 - 0Roma
Cagliari1 - 4Roma
Genoa4 - 1Roma
Torino1 - 1Roma
Verona2 - 1Roma
Fiorentina2 - 1Roma
Bologna0 - 0Roma
Monza1 - 1Roma
Atalanta3 - 1Roma
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
see results
OVERALL FORM
ARoma2 - 1Udinese
HRoma1 - 3Bologna
HRoma1 - 0Lazio
ARoma0 - 0Lecce
HRoma1 - 0Sassuolo
ARoma2 - 2Fiorentina
ARoma4 - 1Monza
HRoma3 - 2Torino
ARoma3 - 0Frosinone
HRoma2 - 4Inter
HRoma4 - 0Cagliari
ARoma2 - 1Salernitana
HRoma2 - 1Verona
ARoma1 - 3Milan
HRoma1 - 1Atalanta
ARoma0 - 1Juventus
HRoma2 - 0Napoli
ARoma0 - 2Bologna
HRoma1 - 1Fiorentina
ARoma2 - 1Sassuolo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Napoli have not lost to Roma in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Napoli since 2014
Napoli
Roma
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
NAP
4
D
3
RMA
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Napoli
Napoli2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Napoli4 - 0
Napoli2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4Roma
1 - 3Roma
Draw0 - 0Draw
Napoli2 - 0
All league games since 2014
Napoli
Roma
Goals: Scored
26
19
Games: Scored
14 / 19
12 / 19
Clean sheets
7 / 19
5 / 19
NAP
9
D
4
RMA
6
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Roma2 - 0
Napoli2 - 1
0 - 1Napoli
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Napoli
Napoli4 - 0
Napoli2 - 1
Roma2 - 1
1 - 4Napoli
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4Roma
0 - 1Napoli
1 - 2Napoli
1 - 3Roma
Roma1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Roma1 - 0
Napoli2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Roma's defensive record is very strong, D. De Rossi's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Napoli makes sense in this context.

Napoli 8th Roma 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Napoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Roma will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Napoli have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Roma’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264625/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Roma
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
NAP
RMA
25%
better
view stats
Games scored24
30
Failed to score11
5
Scored first12
19
Goals scored53
62
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.8
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate13%
20%
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
NAP
RMA
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded29
25
Clean sheets6
10
Conceded first20
14
Goals conceded44
42
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate16%
13%
KickOff rating
+16%

Napoli v Roma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351567
S LobotkaV OsimhenG LorenzoJ Jesus
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Meret GLK28
-
G Lorenzo DEF3416
6
-
A Rrahmani DEF282
5
-
J Jesus DEF221
7
-
M Olivera DEF2011
3
-
F Anguissa MID312
2
-
S Lobotka MID351
4
-
J Cajuste MID232
5
-
M Politano FWD3486
2
1
V Osimhen FWD23153
5
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD31106
6
-
Subs
N Contini GLK1
-
H Idasiak GLK
-
M Rui DEF212
6
-
Natan DEF14
2
-
P Mazzocchi  DEF71
1
L Østigård DEF231
3
-
H Traorè MID7
1
-
J Lindström MID211
2
-
L Dendoncker MID3
-
G Simeone FWD251
3
-
C Ngonge FWD101
2
-
G Raspadori FWD3453
-
Roma Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
341399
B CristanteP DybalaP DybalaG Mancini
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK12
1
-
R Kristensen DEF2712
5
-
G Mancini DEF3341
9
-
E Ndicka DEF223
5
-
L Spinazzola DEF2412
-
E Bove MID282
2
-
B Cristante MID3434
8
-
L Pellegrini MID2673
7
-
P Dybala FWD26139
3
-
S Azmoun FWD213
4
-
S Shaarawy FWD3133
2
-
Subs
P Boer GLK
-
R Patrício GLK23
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF132
4
-
A Angeliño DEF13
2
-
Z Celik DEF15
1
-
N Zalewski MID211
2
-
R. Pagano MID4
-
R Sanches  MID61
2
-
H Aouar MID153
3
-
T Baldanzi MID11
2
-
T Abraham FWD51
1
-
J. e Costa Cesco FWD1
-