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Milan v Cagliari : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Stefano Pioli's Milan side will have home backing in the Serie A on Saturday evening, as Claudio Ranieri's Cagliari visit the Giuseppe Meazza. We've got bespoke stats for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Milan's next match is v Salernitana at 01:00 on Sunday 26th May
Cagliari's next match is v Fiorentina at 01:00 on Sunday 26th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Milan and Cagliari was on Saturday 11th May 2024
Italian Serie A
May 11th 2024
Milan 5
1 Cagliari
 
I. Bennacer 35'63' N. Nández Acosta
C. Pulisic 59'
T. Reijnders 74'
R. Conceição Leão 83'
C. Pulisic 86'
 
ACM
CAG
Shots On
10
7
Shots Off
4
1
Corners
6
3
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
10
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
MilanCagliari
 
M. Sportiello
P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
M. Gabbia (F. Tomori 46')
A. Florenzi (T. Hernández 68')
M. Thiaw
I. Bennacerfootball icon (T. Pobega 84')
T. Reijndersfootball icon
Y. Musah
S. Chukwueze (R. Conceição Leão 46')
C. Pulisicfootball iconfootball icon
O. Giroud (N. Okafor 46')
S. Scuffet
A. Obert
G. Zappa
(M. Wieteska 88') Y. Mina González
(P. Dentello Azzi 76') A. Dossena
M. Prati
(G. Oristanio 76') A. Deiola
I. Sulemana
(G. Lapadula 76') football iconN. Nández Acosta
(K. Mutandwa 82') E. Shomurodov
Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
Best Tip: Milan to win

As the Milan players prepare themselves for this game, the bookmakers have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Giuseppe Meazza hasn't been a happy hunting ground for for Cagliari in the past, and we expect more of the same come Saturday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
63%
4/7
12%
8/15
9%
Draw
21%
7/2
5%
3/1
17%
Cagliari
16%
15/4
32%
4/1
29%
Milan 1-0
11%
15/27/1
7%
Milan 2-0
11%
15/2
13%
7/1
14%
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2
11%
7/1
6%
Milan 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Milan 3-0
7%
11/1
20%
10/1
22%
Milan 3-1
6%
11/1
9%
10/1
16%
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Cagliari 1-0
5%
14/1
29%
14/1
12%
Cagliari 2-1
4%
14/1
29%
14/1
12%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/112/1
13%
Milan 4-0
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Milan 4-1
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Milan 3-2
3%
20/116/1
Cagliari 2-0
2%
25/1
37%
22/1
21%
Milan 5-0
1%
40/1
21%
28/1
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/6
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
6/5
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/5
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
2/1
17%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
7/10
3%
4/6
7%
BTTS - No
50%
21/20
3%
21/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
21/10
8%
19/10
5%
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2
8%
4/1
13%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
7/1
27%
15/2
15%
Home/draw
84%
2/11
7%
2/13
6%
Away/draw
37%
13/10
16%
11/8
17%
Home/away
79%
2/112/9
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/9
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
10/3
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
7/4
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/9
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/1
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/6
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
12%
-
Home DNB
77%
1/4
10%
2/9
9%
Away DNB
31%
11/4
32%
3/1
24%
Milan win to nil
36%
7/4
10%
-
Cagliari win to nil
8%
9/1
23%
-
Milan / Milan
34%
7/5
14%
13/10
12%
Milan / Cagliari
3%
33/1
17%
33/1
Milan / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
14/1
Draw / Milan
18%
7/2
4%
17/5
10%
Draw / Cagliari
8%
10/1
27%
10/1
15%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
13%
5/1
8%
Cagliari / Milan
4%
18/118/1
12%
Cagliari / Cagliari
9%
15/2
29%
15/2
15%
Cagliari / Draw
5%
16/114/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below in the table, having won 21, drawn 8 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Milan have outscored their opponents by 67 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Milan have played 17 games at home winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 30 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Cagliari are in 15th position in the Serie A on 33 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Cagliari have conceded 48 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Milan
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Cagliari
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
 Inter3729626793 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
-
-
 Milan Home3722872774 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
5-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
 Bologna36181352467 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Juventus36181352167 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2A
 Atalanta36206102866 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Roma37189102063 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Lazio37186131060 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Fiorentina36159121354 
May 26
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-1A
 Torino37131410353 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Napoli37131311752 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
 Genoa37111313-246 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2A
 Monza37111214-1045 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Lecce3781316-2237 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-3A
 Cagliari Away3781217-2536 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Frosinone3781118-2435 
w
 
4-3A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Verona3681018-1434 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
 Udinese3751913-1734 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Empoli378920-2633 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3A
 Sassuolo377822-3229 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 26
d
 
2-2F
 Salernitana3621024-4816 
w
 
4-2F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Cagliari 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Milan have beaten Cagliari in 3 consecutive league meetings
11
Milan have not lost to Cagliari in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Cagliari
Goals: Scored
16
3
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
ACM
6
D
1
All league games since 2014
Milan
Cagliari
Goals: Scored
29
9
Games: Scored
14 / 15
8 / 15
Clean sheets
7 / 15
1 / 15
ACM
11
D
3
CAG
1
Goal Statistics
Milan 2nd Cagliari 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Cagliari scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Milan have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
-33
Cagliari have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264647/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Cagliari
2
0.9
Attack rating
39%
better
ACM
CAG
view stats
Games scored34
26
Failed to score3
11
Scored first25
11
Goals scored73
40
Avg. goals scored2
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate18%
12%
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
31%
better
ACM
CAG
view stats
Games conceded24
32
Clean sheets13
5
Conceded first11
23
Goals conceded46
65
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate13%
17%
KickOff rating
+31%

Milan v Cagliari Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3214912
T ReijndersO GiroudR LeãoT Hernández
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Sportiello GLK7
-
P Kalulu DEF9
-
M Gabbia DEF1721
5
-
M Thiaw DEF211
4
1
A Florenzi  DEF3013
5
-
Y Musah MID302
5
-
I Bennacer MID1822
2
-
T Reijnders MID3533
8
-
S Chukwueze FWD2413
1
-
O Giroud FWD34148
1
1
C Pulisic FWD35127
2
-
Subs
L Nava GLK
-
L. Torriani GLK
-
T Hernández DEF3154
11
1
F Tomori DEF254
7
-
M Caldara DEF
-
D Calabria DEF283
4
1
T Pobega MID11
-
F Terracciano MID3
1
-
K. Zeroli MID3
-
Y Adli MID2312
3
-
N Okafor FWD2862
1
-
R Leão FWD3389
5
-
L Jović  FWD2261
2
1
Cagliari Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33558
A DossenaN ViolaZ LuvumboA Deiola
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Scuffet GLK30
3
-
G Zappa DEF3713
2
-
Y Mina DEF132
3
-
A Dossena DEF3524
5
-
A Obert DEF16
1
-
N Nández MID3222
7
-
I Sulemana MID202
3
-
A Deiola MID26
8
-
M Prati MID251
4
-
Z Luvumbo MID2945
5
-
E Shomurodov FWD2233
1
-
Subs
B Radunović GLK7
-
S Aresti GLK
1
P Azzi DEF25
1
-
A Pardo DEF14
-
P Chatzidiakos DEF13
1
-
M Wieteska DEF191
4
-
M Mancosu MID5
-
N Viola MID2552
3
-
G Oristanio MID2521
1
-
G Lapadula FWD2231
3
-
L Pavoletti FWD1941
4
-
A Petagna FWD1811
2
-
K. Mutandwa FWD4
-