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Juventus v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jan, 17:00 BST, Allianz Stadium, Torino

Juventus and their boss Thiago Motta will be aiming to beat Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca and his Milan side on Saturday evening, as the pair meet at the Allianz Stadium in the Serie A. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 73% probability of Juventus and Milan serving up a minimum of two goals in this Serie A match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Juventus are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Juventus
45%
23/20
4%
23/20
7%
Draw
26%
23/10
3%
9/4
5%
Milan
30%
5/2
6%
12/5
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
Juventus 1-0
10%
6/1
8%
11/2
Juventus 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Milan 1-0
8%
17/2
12%
15/2
6%
Juventus 2-0
8%
17/2
5%
8/1
5%
Milan 2-1
7%
11/110/1
10%
Draw 0-0
7%
15/2
6%
13/2
7%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Milan 2-0
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Juventus 3-1
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
Juventus 3-0
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Milan 3-1
3%
28/120/1
Juventus 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Milan 3-2
2%
40/125/1
10%
Milan 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
11/10
9%
21/20
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
8/11
7%
7/10
6%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
10/11
2%
17/20
5%
BTTS - No
47%
10/11
6%
17/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
15/4
14%
17/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1
7%
11/2
Home/draw
70%
2/7
3%
3/10
2%
Away/draw
55%
4/6
3%
4/6
4%
Home/away
74%
1/3
2%
1/3
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/5
7%
2/1
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3/1
8%
13/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/1
11%
6/1
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/12
1%
1/12
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/1
13%
13/2
7%
Home DNB
63%
1/2
4%
8/15
3%
Away DNB
48%
6/4
11%
11/8
6%
Juventus win to nil
24%
5/2-
Milan win to nil
16%
9/2
10%
-
Juventus / Juventus
23%
5/2
7%
12/5
6%
Juventus / Milan
3%
33/125/1
Juventus / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Juventus
16%
4/1
9%
4/1
Draw / Milan
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
6%
17/5
5%
Milan / Juventus
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Milan / Milan
15%
9/29/2
5%
Milan / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Juventus have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Serie A league table. Juventus are unbeaten in 15 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 15 games. Juventus are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 9 and lost no matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Juventus have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Juventus have played 10 games at home winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Milan are in 8th position in the Serie A on 27 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Milan have conceded 9 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Juventus
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli1914231844 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
2
Atalanta1813232341 
Mar 9
Jan 14
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
3
Inter1712413040 
Feb 16
d
 
4-4A
Feb 2
w
 
1-2F
4
Lazio201136636 
w
 
1-0F
May 11
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
5
Juventus Home1871101532 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 18
6
Fiorentina189541332 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 16
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
7
Bologna17773428 
d
 
2-2A
May 4
May 11
-
8
Milan Away17764927 
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
9
Udinese19748-525 
May 18
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
10
Roma19658223 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
d
 
1-1F
May 18
11
Torino19568-521 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 11
d
 
2-2A
Feb 23
12
Empoli19487-420 
Feb 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Feb 9
13
Genoa19487-1120 
Mar 30
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
14
Parma19478-919 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 20
Jan 26
l
 
2-1A
15
Como 190719478-1019 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 9
Mar 16
Jan 14
16
Verona196112-1819 
Mar 2
w
 
0-3F
Feb 16
w
 
0-1F
17
Cagliari194510-1417 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 23
Jan 11
d
 
3-3A
18
Lecce194510-2017 
Apr 13
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
19
Venezia193511-1414 
d
 
2-2F
May 25
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
20
Monza191711-1010 
Apr 27
w
 
1-2F
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
3
Juventus have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
17
Juventus have not lost in 17 consecutive home league games
Juventus 5TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
12
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus2 - 2Fiorentina
Juventus2 - 2Venezia
Juventus2 - 2Bologna
Juventus2 - 0Torino
Juventus2 - 2Parma
Juventus1 - 0Lazio
Juventus1 - 1Cagliari
Juventus0 - 0Napoli
Juventus0 - 0Roma
Juventus3 - 0Como 1907
Juventus2 - 0Monza
Juventus1 - 1Salernitana
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Juventus1 - 0Fiorentina
Juventus0 - 0Genoa
Juventus2 - 2Atalanta
Juventus3 - 2Frosinone
Juventus0 - 1Udinese
Juventus1 - 1Empoli
Juventus3 - 0Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HJuventus2 - 2Fiorentina
AJuventus2 - 1Monza
HJuventus2 - 2Venezia
HJuventus2 - 2Bologna
AJuventus1 - 1Lecce
AJuventus0 - 0Milan
HJuventus2 - 0Torino
AJuventus2 - 0Udinese
HJuventus2 - 2Parma
AJuventus4 - 4Inter
HJuventus1 - 0Lazio
HJuventus1 - 1Cagliari
AJuventus3 - 0Genoa
HJuventus0 - 0Napoli
AJuventus0 - 0Empoli
HJuventus0 - 0Roma
AJuventus3 - 0Verona
HJuventus3 - 0Como 1907
HJuventus2 - 0Monza
AJuventus3 - 3Bologna
Milan 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Verona0 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Cagliari3 - 3Milan
Monza0 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Inter1 - 2Milan
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Parma2 - 1Milan
Torino3 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Sassuolo3 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Verona1 - 3Milan
Lazio0 - 1Milan
Monza4 - 2Milan
Frosinone2 - 3Milan
Udinese2 - 3Milan
Empoli0 - 3Milan
Salernitana2 - 2Milan
Atalanta3 - 2Milan
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan1 - 1Roma
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 0Genoa
AMilan1 - 2Atalanta
HMilan3 - 0Empoli
HMilan0 - 0Juventus
AMilan3 - 3Cagliari
AMilan1 - 0Monza
HMilan0 - 2Napoli
HMilan1 - 0Udinese
AMilan1 - 2Fiorentina
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
AMilan2 - 1Inter
HMilan4 - 0Venezia
AMilan2 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Parma
HMilan2 - 2Torino
HMilan3 - 3Salernitana
AMilan1 - 3Torino
HMilan5 - 1Cagliari
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Juventus have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Milan
League games at Juventus since 2015
Juventus
Milan
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
7 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
3 / 10
JUV
6
D
2
ACM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Juventus
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Milan
Juventus1 - 0
Juventus2 - 1
Juventus3 - 1
Juventus2 - 1
Juventus1 - 0
Juventus3 - 1
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Juventus
Goals: Scored
9
13
Games: Scored
5 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
6 / 11
JUV
6
D
2
ACM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Juventus
Milan2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Juventus
Milan4 - 2
0 - 2Juventus
0 - 2Juventus
Milan1 - 0
1 - 2Juventus
0 - 1Juventus
Goal Statistics

Juventus have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Milan on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Juventus 5th Milan 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Juventus will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Juventus have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+13
Milan have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283246/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Juventus
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
3%
better
JUV
ACM
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score4
3
Scored first11
9
Goals scored30
26
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
14%
better
JUV
ACM
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets10
8
Conceded first3
6
Goals conceded15
17
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against0.9
1
KickOff rating
+14%

Juventus v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Juventus Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16735
M LocatelliD VlahovićT KoopmeinersM Locatelli
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K. Yildiz FWD1832
-
A Cambiaso DEF172
3
-
M Locatelli MID172
5
-
F Gatti DEF161
2
-
K Thuram MID1622
2
-
D Vlahović FWD1671
3
-
N. Savona DEF152
2
-
P Kalulu DEF15
2
-
N Fagioli MID15
4
-
T Koopmeiners MID1413
2
-
M Gregorio GLK13
-
F Conceição FWD1313
3
1
Danilo DEF121
2
-
T Weah MID1241
1
-
W McKennie MID1222
2
-
S. Mbangula FWD1222
-
D Luiz MID9
1
-
J Cabal DEF7
1
-
N González FWD71
-
Bremer DEF6
1
-
M Perin GLK5
-
J. Rouhi DEF4
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18544
M Maignan T ReijndersY FofanaY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK18
1
-
Y Fofana MID1714
4
-
E Royal DEF16
4
-
T Reijnders MID1653
2
1
S Chukwueze FWD161
-
R Leão FWD1634
1
-
C Pulisic MID1554
-
T Hernández DEF1422
2
1
Álvaro Morata FWD144
4
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID13
1
-
Y Musah MID121
1
-
N Okafor FWD121
-
T Abraham FWD1221
-
M Thiaw DEF11
-
M Gabbia DEF111
3
-
S Pavlovic DEF101
1
-
F Tomori DEF10
1
-
F Terracciano DEF7
2
-
D Calabria DEF5
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF3
-
L Jović  FWD3
1
-
I Bennacer MID2
-
K. Zeroli MID1
-