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Empoli v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Jan, 14:00 BST, Carlo Castellani, Empoli

Luca Gotti will be hoping for a precious away win in the Serie A on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Lecce side to the Carlo Castellani to visit Empoli and Roberto D'Aversa. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Serie A clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Roberto D'Aversa and Luca Gotti to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Empoli and Lecce go head-to-head. The stats belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.57 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Empoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Empoli
46%
2.00
11%
2.05
9%
Draw
32%
3.20
7%
3.00
6%
Lecce
22%
4.20
17%
4.20
24%
Empoli 1-0
19%
6.00
8%
5.75
4%
Draw 0-0
17%
7.50
7%
6.50
Draw 1-1
12%
6.005.75
4%
Lecce 1-0
11%
9.50
12%
8.50
13%
Empoli 2-0
10%
8.50
11%
8.00
11%
Empoli 2-1
7%
9.00
5%
8.50
Lecce 2-1
4%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
Empoli 3-0
4%
17.00
19%
15.00
12%
Lecce 2-0
4%
19.00
12%
17.00
31%
Empoli 3-1
3%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Draw 2-2
2%
17.0013.00
13%
Empoli 4-0
1%
41.0029.00
15%
Lecce 3-1
1%
34.0026.00
13%
Empoli 3-2
1%
34.0023.00
12%
Lecce 3-0
1%
41.0034.00
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
2.382.30
Under 2.5 Goals
74%
1.571.57
1%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.62
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
2.75
10%
-
No 1st Goal
13%
7.50
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
32%
2.002.00
2%
BTTS - No
68%
1.751.73
2%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
5.00
9%
4.60
8%
BTTS - Draw
15%
4.75
6%
4.50
2%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
9.00
13%
8.00
14%
Home/draw
78%
1.22
5%
1.22
6%
Away/draw
54%
1.80
11%
1.75
8%
Home/away
68%
1.361.36
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
53%
1.441.44
Under 1.5 Goals
47%
2.752.62
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
4.504.20
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
90%
1.201.20
Over 4.5 Goals
3%
10.008.50
Under 4.5 Goals
97%
1.061.06
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
21.0017.00
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1.011.01
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
83%
1.08
2%
1.10
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
17%
7.50
7%
6.50
Home DNB
69%
1.40
9%
1.40
10%
Away DNB
44%
2.75
16%
2.75
20%
Empoli win to nil
35%
3.25
7%
-
Lecce win to nil
16%
6.00
9%
-
Empoli / Empoli
25%
3.40
9%
3.25
10%
Empoli / Lecce
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
12%
Empoli / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Empoli
17%
4.75
5%
4.60
8%
Draw / Lecce
10%
8.00
14%
7.50
15%
Draw / Draw
19%
4.50
4%
4.00
5%
Lecce / Empoli
3%
29.0021.00
9%
Lecce / Lecce
12%
6.50
18%
6.50
24%
Lecce / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Empoli have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Empoli have outscored their opponents by 18 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Empoli have played 9 games at home winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 3 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Lecce are in 18th position in the Serie A on 17 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Lecce have conceded 30 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Empoli
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli1914231844 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
May 4
l
 
1-0A
2
Atalanta1813232341 
Feb 23
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-4A
Apr 27
3
Inter1712413040 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 19
Jan 26
l
 
2-0A
4
Lazio201136636 
May 4
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2A
May 25
5
Juventus1871101532 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 2
d
 
1-1A
Apr 13
6
Fiorentina189541332 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
l
 
0-6A
Mar 2
7
Bologna17773428 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
8
Milan17764927 
Feb 9
l
 
3-0A
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
9
Udinese19748-525 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 16
Feb 23
l
 
1-0A
10
Roma19658223 
Mar 9
w
 
1-2F
Mar 30
l
 
4-1A
11
Torino19568-521 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 16
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
12
Empoli Home19487-420 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Jan 11
13
Genoa19487-1120 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 16
14
Parma19478-919 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
Jan 31
15
Como 190719478-1019 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
16
Verona196112-1819 
May 25
w
 
1-4F
w
 
1-0F
May 11
17
Cagliari194510-1417 
Apr 6
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 19
18
Lecce Away194510-2017 
Jan 11
d
 
1-1F
-
-
19
Venezia193511-1414 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza191711-1010 
d
 
0-00-0
May 18
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
Win / draw / win form
Empoli 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Lecce 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Empoli since 2021
Empoli
Lecce
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
EMP
2
D
1
League games at Lecce since 2021
Lecce
Empoli
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
D
3
LEC
1
Goal Statistics
Empoli 12th Lecce 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Empoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 52% probability that Lecce will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-39
Empoli have scored 39% fewer goals at home than predicted
-49
Lecce have scored 49% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283229/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Empoli
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
1.1
0.7
Attack rating
33%
better
EMP
LEC
view stats
Games scored12
9
Failed to score7
10
Scored first9
5
Goals scored18
11
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.6
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
16
Conversion rate for14
6
Avg. XG for0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
20%
better
EMP
LEC
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first7
12
Goals conceded22
31
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+20%

Empoli v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Empoli Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19725
A IsmajliS EspositoG PezzellaL Henderson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Seghetti GLK
-
S. Goglichidze DEF16
1
A Ismajli DEF19
1
-
M Viti DEF17
1
-
E Gyasi MID192
3
-
A Grassi MID11
4
-
Y Maleh MID151
2
-
G Pezzella MID182
4
-
S Esposito FWD157
1
-
L Cacace FWD1512
4
-
L Colombo FWD1942
2
-
Subs
D Vásquez GLK19
2
-
S Perisan GLK
-
J Sambia DEF5
-
M Sciglio DEF6
1
L. Tosto DEF
-
D. Falcusan DEF
-
L Henderson MID181
5
-
J Fazzini MID9
2
-
S Zurkowski MID
-
J. Bacci MID
-
I. Konate FWD2
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19414
W FalconeN KrstovicS PierottiF Guilbert
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK19
1
-
F Guilbert DEF14
2
2
F Baschirotto DEF19
2
-
G Jean DEF8
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF183
2
1
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID3
-
L Coulibaly  MID19
2
-
B Pierret MID14
1
-
S Pierotti FWD1811
2
-
N Krstovic FWD1941
1
-
T Morente FWD152
1
-
Subs
J Samooja GLK
-
A Borbei GLK
-
C Früchtl GLK
-
C. Pehlivanov DEF
-
K Bonifazi  DEF1
-
E McJannet MID
-
F Marchwiński MID1
-
M Kaba MID7
1
-
Y Ramadani MID161
2
-
R Pop FWD
-
D. Daka FWD
-
J Karlsson FWD1
-
A Rebic  FWD171
3
-