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AC Monza v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 13th Jan, 19:45 BST, Stadio Brianteo, Monza

Raffaele Palladino leads his Fiorentina troops to the Stadio Brianteo in the Serie A on Monday evening, with Alessandro Nesta's AC Monza their rivals. We've got bespoke stats for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Monza and Fiorentina have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Monday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Fiorentina coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monza
21%
31/10
22%
3/1
24%
Draw
25%
5/2
8%
5/2
7%
Fiorentina
54%
10/11
14%
10/11
14%
Fiorentina 1-0
13%
6/1
17%
11/2
18%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
13%
11/2
7%
Fiorentina 2-0
11%
8/1
29%
7/1
23%
Fiorentina 2-1
9%
15/27/1
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1
18%
15/2
6%
Monza 1-0
7%
10/117/2
5%
Fiorentina 3-0
6%
16/1
42%
12/1
18%
Monza 2-1
5%
12/1
24%
11/1
20%
Fiorentina 3-1
5%
14/112/1
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
29%
12/1
13%
Monza 2-0
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Fiorentina 4-0
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
25/1
24%
20/1
9%
Fiorentina 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Monza 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
5%
19/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
4%
4/5
6%
Home 1st Goal
40%
13/8
18%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/7
9%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
4/5
14%
17/20
10%
BTTS - No
53%
19/20
17%
17/20
9%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
7/1
27%
6/1
26%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
14%
18/5
12%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
3/1
8%
29/10
Home/draw
46%
5/6
15%
17/20
14%
Away/draw
79%
2/9
4%
2/9
6%
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/3
5%
3/10
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/5
13%
11/5
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
5/2
13%
23/10
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
3/10
4%
3/10
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/2
19%
11/2
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/9
3%
1/10
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1
18%
15/2
6%
Home DNB
38%
7/4
27%
15/8
22%
Away DNB
72%
2/5
12%
4/11
9%
Monza win to nil
12%
6/1
13%
-
Fiorentina win to nil
33%
9/4
30%
-
Monza / Monza
13%
11/2
28%
5/1
25%
Monza / Fiorentina
4%
22/118/1
Monza / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Draw / Monza
10%
15/2
15%
7/1
16%
Draw / Fiorentina
17%
15/4
10%
18/5
10%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
4%
Fiorentina / Monza
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
27%
21/10
18%
19/10
12%
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Monza have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league. Monza are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 7 and won 1. Monza have conceded 27 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Monza have played 10 games at home, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Fiorentina lay in 6th place on 32 points in the Serie A league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 25 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Fiorentina have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Fiorentina have played 9 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monza
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli1914231844 
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 9
2
Atalanta1813232341 
May 4
l
 
2-0A
Mar 30
l
 
3-2F
3
Inter1712413040 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
-
Feb 9
4
Lazio201136636 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 9
w
 
2-1A
Jan 26
5
Juventus1871101532 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 27
Mar 16
d
 
2-2A
6
Fiorentina Away189541332 
Jan 13
d
 
2-2F
-
-
7
Bologna17773428 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 18
May 18
l
 
1-0A
8
Milan17764927 
l
 
0-1A
May 25
w
 
2-1F
Apr 6
9
Udinese19748-525 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
l
 
1-2F
May 25
10
Roma19658223 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 23
w
 
5-1F
May 4
11
Torino19568-521 
Mar 2
d
 
1-1A
Jan 19
w
 
0-1F
12
Empoli19487-420 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
13
Genoa19487-1120 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 27
Feb 2
w
 
0-1F
14
Parma19478-919 
Mar 16
l
 
2-1A
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
15
Como 190719478-1019 
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
16
Verona196112-1819 
Feb 1
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 23
17
Cagliari194510-1417 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 30
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
18
Lecce194510-2017 
Feb 16
l
 
2-1A
Mar 2
w
 
0-6F
19
Venezia193511-1414 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 13
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
20
Monza Home191711-1010 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Jan 13
Win / draw / win form
5
Monza have lost 5 consecutive league games
14
Monza have not won in 14 consecutive home league games
Monza 20TH
20 league games
Home
14
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza1 - 2Cagliari
Monza1 - 2Juventus
Monza1 - 2Udinese
Monza0 - 1Lazio
Monza0 - 1Milan
Monza2 - 2Venezia
Monza1 - 1Roma
Monza1 - 2Bologna
Monza1 - 1Inter
Monza0 - 1Genoa
Monza0 - 1Frosinone
Monza2 - 2Lazio
Monza1 - 2Atalanta
Monza2 - 4Napoli
Monza1 - 0Cagliari
Monza1 - 4Roma
Monza4 - 2Milan
Monza0 - 0Verona
Monza1 - 0Sassuolo
Monza1 - 5Inter
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
1
Draw
7
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonza1 - 2Cagliari
AMonza1 - 2Parma
HMonza1 - 2Juventus
AMonza1 - 2Lecce
HMonza1 - 2Udinese
AMonza1 - 1Como 1907
AMonza1 - 1Torino
HMonza0 - 1Lazio
HMonza0 - 1Milan
AMonza0 - 2Atalanta
HMonza2 - 2Venezia
AMonza3 - 0Verona
HMonza1 - 1Roma
AMonza0 - 2Napoli
HMonza1 - 2Bologna
HMonza1 - 1Inter
AMonza2 - 2Fiorentina
HMonza0 - 1Genoa
AMonza0 - 0Empoli
AMonza0 - 2Juventus
Fiorentina 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus2 - 2Fiorentina
Bologna1 - 0Fiorentina
Como 19070 - 2Fiorentina
Torino0 - 1Fiorentina
Genoa0 - 1Fiorentina
Lecce0 - 6Fiorentina
Empoli0 - 0Fiorentina
Atalanta3 - 2Fiorentina
Parma1 - 1Fiorentina
Atalanta2 - 3Fiorentina
Cagliari2 - 3Fiorentina
Verona2 - 1Fiorentina
Salernitana0 - 2Fiorentina
Juventus1 - 0Fiorentina
Torino0 - 0Fiorentina
Empoli1 - 1Fiorentina
Bologna2 - 0Fiorentina
Lecce3 - 2Fiorentina
Sassuolo1 - 0Fiorentina
Monza0 - 1Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFiorentina0 - 3Napoli
AFiorentina2 - 2Juventus
HFiorentina1 - 2Udinese
AFiorentina0 - 1Bologna
HFiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
AFiorentina2 - 0Como 1907
HFiorentina3 - 1Verona
AFiorentina1 - 0Torino
AFiorentina1 - 0Genoa
HFiorentina5 - 1Roma
AFiorentina6 - 0Lecce
HFiorentina2 - 1Milan
AFiorentina0 - 0Empoli
HFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
AFiorentina2 - 3Atalanta
HFiorentina2 - 2Monza
HFiorentina0 - 0Venezia
AFiorentina1 - 1Parma
AFiorentina3 - 2Atalanta
AFiorentina3 - 2Cagliari
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monza since 2023
Monza
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
MON
1
FIO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monza
0 - 1Fiorentina
Monza3 - 2
League games at Fiorentina since 2023
Fiorentina
Monza
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
FIO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Draw2 - 2Draw
Fiorentina2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for AC Monza fans, as should a 10 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Fiorentina have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.6 against AC Monza on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Monza 20th Fiorentina 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Monza scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Fiorentina will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Monza have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+7
Fiorentina’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283232/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monza
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
0.9
1.6
Attack rating
MON
FIO
33%
better
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score6
4
Scored first4
10
Goals scored17
31
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
18
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
MON
FIO
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
11
Clean sheets2
7
Conceded first14
6
Goals conceded27
18
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+34%

Monza v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Monza Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18437
P MaríD MotaG KyriakopoulosA Izzo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Caprari FWD1921
2
-
P Marí DEF18
2
1
P Pereira DEF1812
4
-
W Bondo MID18
3
1
A Izzo DEF171
7
-
G Kyriakopoulos MID1723
2
-
D Maldini FWD171
5
-
S Turati GLK16
-
A Bianco MID161
5
-
D Mota FWD164
2
-
A Carboni DEF151
4
-
M Djuric FWD1441
3
-
D D'Ambrosio DEF12
2
1
M Pessina MID11
2
-
S Birindelli DEF91
1
-
L Caldirola DEF7
1
-
S Vignato MID7
-
M Marić FWD7
-
S Sensi  MID5
-
M Valoti MID4
1
-
R Gagliardini MID4
1
-
O. Forson FWD4
-
A Petagna FWD4
1
-
S Pizzignacco GLK3
-
P Ciurria MID3
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181155
DodôM KeanL BeltránDodô
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Colpani MID1921
1
-
L Ranieri DEF182
2
-
Dodô DEF18
5
-
M Kean FWD18112
3
-
R Gosens DEF1722
3
-
P. Comuzzo DEF17
4
-
Y Adli MID1724
1
-
D Gea GLK161
-
L Beltrán FWD1525
1
-
D Cataldi MID143
-
C Kouamé FWD141
1
-
J Ikoné FWD13
-
A Richardson MID12
3
-
R Sottil  FWD1211
1
-
E Bove MID1112
3
-
R Mandragora  MID11
3
-
F Parisi DEF101
-
C Biraghi DEF81
1
-
L Quarta DEF81
1
-
A Gudmundsson FWD83
-
M Kayode DEF5
-
P Terracciano GLK3
-
M Pongracic  DEF3
1
1
M Moreno DEF1
-
A Barak MID1
-