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Milan v Cagliari : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Jan, 19:45 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

It's an away match for Davide Nicola's Cagliari side on Saturday evening, as they head to the Giuseppe Meazza for a Serie A clash with Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's Milan. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping Milan to win, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Milan to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this match, and it's Milan. Their latest form statistics show their ability at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Cagliari too. The odds point towards Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Saturday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
60%
1.38
1%
1.36
1%
Draw
23%
5.00
5%
5.00
Cagliari
17%
8.50
11%
8.00
11%
Milan 1-0
13%
7.50
25%
6.50
24%
Milan 2-0
12%
7.00
27%
6.50
18%
Draw 1-1
11%
9.50
6%
8.50
Milan 2-1
10%
8.50
11%
7.50
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
15.00
58%
12.00
26%
Milan 3-0
7%
9.00
13%
8.00
7%
Cagliari 1-0
6%
21.00
24%
17.00
13%
Milan 3-1
6%
11.00
15%
10.00
9%
Cagliari 2-1
5%
23.00
12%
19.00
10%
Draw 2-2
4%
19.00
27%
17.00
19%
Milan 4-0
3%
15.0012.00
Milan 4-1
3%
19.00
17%
15.00
12%
Cagliari 2-0
3%
41.0029.00
Milan 3-2
2%
26.00
24%
19.00
27%
Cagliari 3-1
1%
51.00
24%
41.00
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1.62
15%
1.62
15%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
2.30
20%
2.20
20%
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.25-
Away 1st Goal
38%
4.00
16%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15.00
58%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
1.95
18%
1.95
18%
BTTS - No
53%
1.80
18%
1.80
16%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3.00
20%
2.90
19%
BTTS - Draw
16%
6.50
7%
6.00
8%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
13.00
32%
12.00
20%
Home/draw
83%
1.08
1%
1.07
1%
Away/draw
40%
3.003.10
Home/away
77%
1.17
1%
1.17
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1.20
8%
1.20
8%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
4.50
29%
4.20
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
2.62
23%
2.50
22%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1.50
13%
1.48
14%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
4.50
31%
4.33
28%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.20
8%
1.18
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9.00
31%
8.00
33%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.07
3%
1.06
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.03
3%
1.02
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15.00
58%
12.00
26%
Home DNB
76%
1.11
1%
1.10
1%
Away DNB
33%
6.50
7%
6.00
8%
Milan win to nil
36%
2.25
18%
-
Cagliari win to nil
9%
15.00
15%
-
Milan / Milan
41%
2.001.95
3%
Milan / Cagliari
2%
41.0041.00
11%
Milan / Draw
5%
17.00
11%
15.00
12%
Draw / Milan
20%
4.00
7%
4.00
8%
Draw / Cagliari
5%
17.0013.00
13%
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50
15%
7.00
17%
Cagliari / Milan
4%
19.00
17%
17.00
11%
Cagliari / Cagliari
7%
13.00
24%
11.00
15%
Cagliari / Draw
4%
19.00
10%
17.00
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Milan have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Milan have played 9 games at home winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 14 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Cagliari are in 17th position in the Serie A on 17 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Cagliari have conceded 28 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Cagliari
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli1914231844 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
l
 
0-4A
May 25
2
Atalanta1813232341 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 16
3
Inter1712413040 
Feb 2
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-3A
Apr 13
4
Lazio201136636 
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
Feb 3
l
 
2-1A
5
Juventus1871101532 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 18
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
6
Fiorentina189541332 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
Apr 20
l
 
1-0A
7
Bologna17773428 
May 11
-
l
 
0-2A
Mar 2
8
Milan Home17764927 
-
-
d
 
3-3F
Jan 11
9
Udinese19748-525 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
May 4
l
 
2-0A
10
Roma19658223 
d
 
1-1F
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 16
11
Torino19568-521 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 23
w
 
3-2F
Jan 24
12
Empoli19487-420 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 9
l
 
0-2A
Apr 6
13
Genoa19487-1120 
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
Mar 9
d
 
2-2F
14
Parma19478-919 
Jan 26
l
 
2-1A
Feb 9
w
 
2-3F
15
Como 190719478-1019 
Mar 16
Jan 14
d
 
1-1F
May 11
16
Verona196112-1819 
Feb 16
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
17
Cagliari Away194510-1417 
Jan 11
d
 
3-3A
-
-
18
Lecce194510-2017 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
Jan 19
l
 
1-0A
19
Venezia193511-1414 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
May 18
l
 
2-1A
20
Monza191711-1010 
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Mar 30
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
Milan 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan1 - 1Roma
Milan0 - 0Genoa
Milan3 - 0Empoli
Milan0 - 0Juventus
Milan0 - 2Napoli
Milan1 - 0Udinese
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Milan4 - 0Venezia
Milan2 - 2Torino
Milan3 - 3Salernitana
Milan5 - 1Cagliari
Milan3 - 3Genoa
Milan1 - 2Inter
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Milan1 - 0Empoli
Milan1 - 1Atalanta
Milan1 - 0Napoli
Milan2 - 2Bologna
Milan3 - 1Roma
Milan1 - 0Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan1 - 1Roma
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 0Genoa
AMilan1 - 2Atalanta
HMilan3 - 0Empoli
HMilan0 - 0Juventus
AMilan3 - 3Cagliari
AMilan1 - 0Monza
HMilan0 - 2Napoli
HMilan1 - 0Udinese
AMilan1 - 2Fiorentina
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
AMilan2 - 1Inter
HMilan4 - 0Venezia
AMilan2 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Parma
HMilan2 - 2Torino
HMilan3 - 3Salernitana
AMilan1 - 3Torino
HMilan5 - 1Cagliari
Cagliari 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza1 - 2Cagliari
Venezia2 - 1Cagliari
Fiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
Genoa2 - 2Cagliari
Lazio2 - 1Cagliari
Udinese2 - 0Cagliari
Juventus1 - 1Cagliari
Parma2 - 3Cagliari
Lecce1 - 0Cagliari
Sassuolo0 - 2Cagliari
Milan5 - 1Cagliari
Genoa3 - 0Cagliari
Inter2 - 2Cagliari
Monza1 - 0Cagliari
Empoli0 - 1Cagliari
Udinese1 - 1Cagliari
Roma4 - 0Cagliari
Frosinone3 - 1Cagliari
Lecce1 - 1Cagliari
Verona2 - 0Cagliari
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACagliari2 - 1Monza
HCagliari0 - 3Inter
ACagliari1 - 2Venezia
HCagliari0 - 1Atalanta
ACagliari0 - 1Fiorentina
HCagliari1 - 0Verona
ACagliari2 - 2Genoa
HCagliari3 - 3Milan
ACagliari1 - 2Lazio
HCagliari0 - 2Bologna
ACagliari0 - 2Udinese
HCagliari3 - 2Torino
ACagliari1 - 1Juventus
ACagliari3 - 2Parma
HCagliari0 - 2Empoli
HCagliari0 - 4Napoli
ACagliari0 - 1Lecce
HCagliari1 - 1Como 1907
HCagliari0 - 0Roma
HCagliari2 - 3Fiorentina
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
13
Milan have not lost to Cagliari in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Cagliari
Goals: Scored
21
4
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
ACM
7
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan5 - 1
Milan4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Milan3 - 0
Milan3 - 0
Milan2 - 1
Milan1 - 0
Milan3 - 1
League games at Cagliari since 2014
Cagliari
Milan
Goals: Scored
9
16
Games: Scored
6 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
3 / 9
ACM
5
D
3
CAG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cagliari
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 3Milan
0 - 1Milan
0 - 2Milan
0 - 2Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Milan
Cagliari2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Milan's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Cagliari have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.8 for P. Rodrigues Fonseca's side suggests that run should continue.

Milan 8th Cagliari 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Cagliari scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Cagliari’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283235/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Cagliari
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
34%
better
ACM
CAG
view stats
Games scored14
10
Failed to score3
9
Scored first9
6
Goals scored26
18
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for14
10
Avg. XG for1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
42%
better
ACM
CAG
view stats
Games conceded9
17
Clean sheets8
2
Conceded first6
12
Goals conceded17
32
Avg. goals conceded1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against12%
16%
Avg. XG against1
1.6
KickOff rating
+42%

Milan v Cagliari Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18544
M Maignan T ReijndersY FofanaY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK18
1
-
Y Fofana MID1714
4
-
E Royal DEF16
4
-
T Reijnders MID1653
2
1
S Chukwueze FWD161
-
R Leão FWD1634
1
-
C Pulisic MID1554
-
T Hernández DEF1422
2
1
Álvaro Morata FWD144
4
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID13
1
-
Y Musah MID121
1
-
T Abraham FWD1221
-
N Okafor FWD121
-
M Thiaw DEF11
-
M Gabbia DEF111
3
-
S Pavlovic DEF101
1
-
F Tomori DEF10
1
-
F Terracciano DEF7
2
-
D Calabria DEF5
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF3
-
L Jović  FWD3
1
-
I Bennacer MID2
-
K. Zeroli MID1
-
Cagliari Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19536
S LupertoR PiccoliS LupertoY Mina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Augello DEF192
2
-
S Luperto DEF193
2
-
G Zappa DEF192
3
-
R Piccoli FWD195
2
-
R Marin MID183
4
-
Y Mina DEF16
5
1
N Zortea MID163
-
M Adopo MID161
2
1
Z Luvumbo FWD1611
2
-
A Makoumbou MID151
1
1
G Gaetano MID141
-
S Scuffet GLK13
-
A Deiola MID13
2
-
N Viola MID131
1
-
L Pavoletti FWD131
2
-
A Obert DEF111
2
-
G Lapadula FWD11
1
-
M Felici FWD92
-
J Palomino DEF81
1
-
A Sherri GLK6
-
P Azzi DEF6
2
-
M Prati MID5
1
-
M Wieteska DEF4
1
-
K. Mutandwa FWD2
-