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Bayer Leverkusen v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

BayArena, Leverkusen

the BayArena faithful welcome 1. FSV Mainz 05's travelling contingent on Tuesday evening, as Xabi Alonso's Bayer Leverkusen take on Bo Henriksen's side in the Bundesliga. Team form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We're tipping over 2.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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Bayer Leverkusen's next match is v B. M'gladbach at 17:30 on Saturday 18th January
1. FSV Mainz 05's next match is v Union Berlin at 14:30 on Sunday 19th January
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Leverkusen and Mainz was on Tuesday 14th January 2025
German Bundesliga
January 14th 2025
Leverkusen 1
0 Mainz
 
A. Grimaldo García 48'
 
B04
M05
Shots On
9
4
Shots Off
1
2
Corners
8
4
Possession
68%
32%
Fouls
4
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
LeverkusenMainz
 
M. Kovář
N. Mukiele Mulere
E. Tapsoba
P. Hincapié Reyna
A. Grimaldo Garcíafootball icon
G. Xhaka
J. Frimpong
E. Palacios
A. García Serrano
F. Wirtz (M. Terrier 88')
P. Schick (N. Tella 63')
R. Zentner
(M. Leitsch 80') S. Bell
A. Hanche-Olsen
D. Vieira da Costa
(S. Widmer 80') P. Mwene
A. Caci
P. Nebel
(H. Hong 66') J. Lee
K. Sano
D. Kohr
(A. Sieb 3') J. Burkardt

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Xabi Alonso prepares his side for kick-off, we're predicting a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the fixture. Statistics imply both sides are strong in attack, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the fixture, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leverkusen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
49%
1.361.36
3%
Draw
21%
5.25
5%
5.00
4%
Mainz
30%
8.00
14%
8.00
7%
Leverkusen 2-1
8%
9.007.50
Draw 1-1
8%
10.00
9%
8.50
Draw 2-2
7%
21.00
24%
17.00
31%
Mainz 2-1
7%
21.0019.00
12%
Leverkusen 3-1
6%
11.00
10%
10.00
5%
Leverkusen 2-0
5%
6.50
24%
6.50
13%
Leverkusen 3-2
5%
29.00
53%
19.00
12%
Leverkusen 1-0
5%
7.50
32%
6.50
19%
Mainz 3-2
4%
51.00
24%
41.00
21%
Mainz 1-0
4%
17.00
26%
15.00
12%
Mainz 3-1
4%
51.00
24%
41.00
21%
Leverkusen 3-0
4%
8.50
15%
8.00
11%
Leverkusen 4-1
3%
19.00
12%
15.00
Mainz 2-0
3%
41.0029.00
Draw 3-3
3%
67.00
63%
46.00
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
1.67
19%
1.65
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
2.20
27%
2.15
12%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.25
3%
1.30
Away 1st Goal
47%
4.00
14%
3.80
No 1st Goal
1%
15.00
29%
12.00
BTTS - Yes
72%
2.00
23%
1.95
13%
BTTS - No
28%
1.75
20%
1.75
13%
BTTS - Home Win
32%
3.20
28%
3.00
11%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7.00
17%
6.00
9%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
13.00
30%
12.00
20%
Home/draw
70%
1.08
2%
1.07
2%
Away/draw
51%
3.003.10
8%
Home/away
79%
1.171.17
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1.22
9%
1.20
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
4.33
28%
4.00
17%
Over 3.5 Goals
53%
2.75
38%
2.60
16%
Under 3.5 Goals
47%
1.44
20%
1.44
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
5.00
47%
4.50
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
67%
1.17
12%
1.18
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
10.00
67%
8.50
31%
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1.06
5%
1.06
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.03
2%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
15.00
29%
12.00
8%
Home DNB
63%
1.12
2%
1.10
2%
Away DNB
45%
6.00
9%
6.00
9%
Leverkusen win to nil
17%
2.20
16%
-
Mainz win to nil
10%
13.00
13%
-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
41%
2.001.95
3%
Leverkusen / Mainz
2%
41.0041.00
21%
Leverkusen / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
Draw / Leverkusen
20%
4.00
8%
3.90
7%
Draw / Mainz
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50
12%
6.50
7%
Mainz / Leverkusen
4%
21.00
24%
17.00
Mainz / Mainz
6%
15.00
25%
11.00
10%
Mainz / Draw
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Leverkusen have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Leverkusen have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Leverkusen have played 8 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 22 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 13 goals at home.

Mainz are in 5th position in the Bundesliga on 28 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Mainz have conceded 4 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leverkusen
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1612313539 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
2
Leverkusen Home1610511735 
-
-
May 17
l
 
1-0A
3
E.Frankfurt169341330 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
May 3
w
 
1-3F
4
RB Leipzig16934630 
l
 
2-3F
Jan 25
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
5
Mainz Away168441028 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
-
-
6
Freiburg16835-227 
w
 
5-1F
May 3
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
7
Stuttgart16754526 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
Jan 25
d
 
3-3A
8
Dortmund17746325 
May 10
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 29
9
W.Bremen16745-125 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2A
Jan 31
10
Wolfsburg16736524 
w
 
4-3A
Feb 8
Apr 19
l
 
4-3F
11
B. M'gladbach16736424 
Jan 18
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
12
Union Berlin16457-717 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
13
Augsburg16448-1616 
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
Feb 8
w
 
2-3F
14
St. Pauli164210-814 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
15
Hoffenheim16358-914 
Feb 2
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
16
Heidenheim164111-1313 
w
 
5-2A
Apr 5
l
 
0-2A
Feb 16
17
Holstein173212-1811 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 22
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
18
VfL Bochum161312-246 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
3
Mainz have won 3 consecutive league games
Leverkusen 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen5 - 1Freiburg
Leverkusen2 - 1St. Pauli
Leverkusen5 - 2Heidenheim
Leverkusen0 - 0Stuttgart
Leverkusen2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Leverkusen2 - 2Holstein
Leverkusen4 - 3Wolfsburg
Leverkusen2 - 3RB Leipzig
Leverkusen2 - 1Augsburg
Leverkusen2 - 2Stuttgart
Leverkusen5 - 0W.Bremen
Leverkusen2 - 1Hoffenheim
Leverkusen2 - 0Wolfsburg
Leverkusen2 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen3 - 0Bayern
Leverkusen0 - 0B. M'gladbach
Leverkusen4 - 0VfL Bochum
Leverkusen3 - 0E.Frankfurt
Leverkusen1 - 1Dortmund
Leverkusen4 - 0Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeverkusen3 - 2Dortmund
HLeverkusen5 - 1Freiburg
ALeverkusen2 - 0Augsburg
HLeverkusen2 - 1St. Pauli
ALeverkusen2 - 1Union Berlin
HLeverkusen5 - 2Heidenheim
ALeverkusen1 - 1VfL Bochum
HLeverkusen0 - 0Stuttgart
ALeverkusen2 - 2W.Bremen
HLeverkusen2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HLeverkusen2 - 2Holstein
ALeverkusen1 - 1Bayern
HLeverkusen4 - 3Wolfsburg
ALeverkusen4 - 1Hoffenheim
HLeverkusen2 - 3RB Leipzig
ALeverkusen3 - 2B. M'gladbach
HLeverkusen2 - 1Augsburg
ALeverkusen5 - 0VfL Bochum
ALeverkusen5 - 1E.Frankfurt
HLeverkusen2 - 2Stuttgart
Mainz 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
Holstein0 - 3Mainz
Freiburg0 - 0Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
Augsburg2 - 3Mainz
Stuttgart3 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 3Mainz
Heidenheim1 - 1Mainz
Freiburg1 - 1Mainz
RB Leipzig0 - 0Mainz
Bayern8 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen2 - 1Mainz
Stuttgart3 - 1Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 0Mainz
Dortmund1 - 1Mainz
Köln0 - 0Mainz
Hoffenheim1 - 1Mainz
Darmstadt0 - 0Mainz
VfL Bochum2 - 2Mainz
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
AMainz3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz2 - 1Bayern
AMainz3 - 4Wolfsburg
HMainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
AMainz3 - 0Holstein
HMainz3 - 1Dortmund
AMainz0 - 0Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HMainz0 - 2RB Leipzig
AMainz3 - 0St. Pauli
HMainz0 - 2Heidenheim
AMainz3 - 2Augsburg
HMainz1 - 2W.Bremen
AMainz3 - 3Stuttgart
HMainz1 - 1Union Berlin
AMainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
HMainz3 - 0Dortmund
AMainz1 - 1Heidenheim
HMainz1 - 1Köln
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leverkusen since 2012
Leverkusen
Mainz
Goals: Scored
14
11
Games: Scored
9 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
3 / 12
B04
6
D
3
M05
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leverkusen
Leverkusen2 - 1
2 - 3Mainz
Leverkusen1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Leverkusen1 - 0
Leverkusen1 - 0
Leverkusen2 - 0
0 - 2Mainz
Leverkusen1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Mainz
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
16
27
Games: Scored
8 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
4 / 12
B04
8
M05
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
0 - 3Leverkusen
0 - 3Leverkusen
Mainz3 - 2
0 - 1Leverkusen
0 - 1Leverkusen
1 - 5Leverkusen
Mainz3 - 1
2 - 3Leverkusen
Mainz3 - 1
2 - 3Leverkusen
1 - 4Leverkusen
Mainz1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 6 consecutive Bundesliga games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday evening.

1. FSV Mainz 05 have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.7 against Bayer Leverkusen on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Leverkusen 2nd Mainz 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Leverkusen will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
Mainz have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283565/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
2.1
1.7
Attack rating
20%
better
B04
M05
view stats
Games scored15
13
Failed to score1
3
Scored first12
11
Goals scored40
30
Avg. goals scored2.5
1.9
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for21
21
Avg. XG for2
1.4
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
B04
M05
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets2
5
Conceded first3
4
Goals conceded23
20
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against18%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%

Leverkusen v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161174
E TapsobaP Schick F WirtzR Andrich
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kovář GLK1
-
N Mukiele DEF6
1
-
E Tapsoba DEF16
2
-
P Hincapié DEF1611
3
-
J Frimpong MID1624
3
-
E Palacios MID1015
-
G Xhaka MID1625
1
-
A Grimaldo MID1613
3
-
A García FWD132
-
F Wirtz FWD1677
1
-
P Schick  FWD1311
3
-
Subs
N Lomb GLK
-
L Hradecky GLK15
-
Arthur DEF71
-
N Tella MID1212
-
J Hofmann MID41
-
R Andrich MID1321
4
-
M Terrier  FWD1321
1
-
A. Stepanov FWD
-
F. Onyeka FWD
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161258
R ZentnerJ Burkardt P MweneD Kohr
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK16
1
-
D Costa DEF71
-
D Hoof DEF111
1
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF71
2
1
A Caci MID164
2
-
K Sano MID16
-
D Kohr MID15
8
-
P Mwene MID165
4
-
P Nebel FWD1451
2
-
J Lee FWD1552
2
-
J Burkardt  FWD15121
-
Subs
L Rieß GLK
1
-
D Batz GLK
-
M Leitsch  DEF91
1
-
S Widmer  DEF121
3
-
A Barkok MID4
-
H Hyun-seok MID141
-
D. Gleiber MID
-
A Sieb FWD1522
1
-
N Weiper FWD6
-