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Bayern Munich v VfL Wolfsburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Allianz Arena, München

We’ve Bundesliga action to enjoy on Sunday afternoon, as Thomas Tuchel and his Bayern Munich side host Ralph Hasenhuttl’s VfL Wolfsburg at the Allianz Arena. All of the key stats for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds across 17 markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.

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The last German Bundesliga meeting between Bayern and Wolfsburg was on Sunday 12th May 2024
German Bundesliga
May 12th 2024
Bayern 2
0 Wolfsburg
 
L. Zvonarek 4'
L. Goretzka 13'
 
FCB
WOB
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
4
Possession
59%
41%
Fouls
7
8
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
BayernWolfsburg
 
M. Neuer (D. Peretz 74')
D. Upamecano
A. Davies
M. Kim (M. de Ligt 74')
L. Goretzkafootball icon (K. Laimer 74')
J. Kimmich
L. Zvonarekfootball icon (J. Asp Jensen 90')
A. Pavlović
B. Zaragoza Martínez (M. Vinlöf 74')
T. Müller
M. Tel
K. Casteels
(T. de Melo Tomás 79') R. Baku
S. Bornauw
M. Lacroix
(C. Zesiger 46') M. Jenz
J. Mæhle
(V. Černý 79') K. Paredes
M. Arnold
L. Majer
(D. Pejcinovic 85') J. Older Wind
(J. Kamiński 46') P. Wimmer
Best Tip: Bayern to win

As the Bayern players ready themselves for this fixture, the bookies are predicting success for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we use in our predictive algorithms. The Allianz Arena has rarely been an easy place to go for Wolfsburg in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
63%
1/2
15%
10/21
9%
Draw
21%
17/4
13%
19/5
13%
Wolfsburg
17%
17/4
30%
5/1
14%
Bayern 2-0
11%
8/1
6%
7/1
6%
Bayern 1-0
10%
9/1
9%
15/2
11%
Bayern 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Draw 1-1
10%
10/1
8%
15/2
11%
Bayern 3-0
7%
10/1
16%
9/1
5%
Bayern 3-1
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Draw 0-0
5%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Wolfsburg 1-0
5%
18/1
27%
16/1
11%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
11%
11/1
8%
Wolfsburg 2-1
5%
14/1
29%
14/1
12%
Bayern 4-0
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Bayern 4-1
3%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Bayern 3-2
3%
18/1
10%
14/1
Wolfsburg 2-0
2%
28/1
29%
25/1
10%
Bayern 4-2
2%
28/122/1
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/9
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
7/4
14%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/3
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
9/4
13%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
20/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/68/13
1%
BTTS - No
47%
11/106/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
7/4
15%
13/8
10%
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/2
7%
17/4
9%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
7/1
27%
7/1
16%
Home/draw
83%
1/6
6%
2/15
4%
Away/draw
37%
6/4
26%
8/5
13%
Home/away
79%
1/6
4%
2/11
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
9/2
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
6/5
15%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/6
13%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
11/4
17%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
2/7
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11/2
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/9
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/50
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/1
17%
-
Home DNB
77%
2/9
10%
2/11
5%
Away DNB
31%
3/1
38%
17/5
20%
Bayern win to nil
34%
7/4
10%
-
Wolfsburg win to nil
8%
10/1
35%
-
Bayern / Bayern
37%
6/5
20%
11/10
8%
Bayern / Wolfsburg
3%
33/1
17%
28/1
15%
Bayern / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Draw / Bayern
18%
7/2
4%
7/2
7%
Draw / Wolfsburg
6%
12/1
32%
11/1
8%
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
21%
6/1
13%
Wolfsburg / Bayern
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
Wolfsburg / Wolfsburg
9%
9/1
33%
15/2
15%
Wolfsburg / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Bayern have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 21, drawn 2 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Bayern have outscored their opponents by 90 goals to 40 goals.

Home League Performance

Bayern have played 16 games at home winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 51 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Wolfsburg are in 12th position in the Bundesliga on 37 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Wolfsburg have conceded 36 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Bayern
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Wolfsburg
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
 Leverkusen3428606590 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Stuttgart3423473973 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1F
-
-
 Bayern Home3423384972 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
 RB Leipzig3419873865 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-4F
 Dortmund3418972563 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
5-1A
 E.Frankfurt3411149147 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2F
 Hoffenheim3413714046 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-2F
 Heidenheim34101212-542 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-4F
 W.Bremen3411914-642 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
 Freiburg3411914-1342 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Augsburg3410915-1039 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Wolfsburg Away3410717-1537 
-
-
w
 
8-1F
w
 
1-3F
 Mainz3471413-1235 
l
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2A
 B. M'gladbach3471314-1134 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-5F
 Union Berlin349619-2533 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
7-0F
l
 
3-2F
 VfL Bochum3471215-3233 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Köln3451217-3227 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
8-0F
w
 
2-5A
 Darmstadt343823-5617 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Bayern 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
61
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
Wolfsburg 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Bayern have beaten Wolfsburg in 5 consecutive home league meetings
16
Bayern have not lost to Wolfsburg in 16 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Wolfsburg
Goals: Scored
32
4
Games: Scored
10 / 10
3 / 10
Clean sheets
7 / 10
0 / 10
FCB
9
D
1
All league games since 2012
Bayern
Wolfsburg
Goals: Scored
63
18
Games: Scored
21 / 21
11 / 21
Clean sheets
10 / 21
0 / 21
FCB
18
D
2
WOB
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Bayern Munich in their meeting with VfL Wolfsburg, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 147 consecutive Bundesliga games.

Bayern 2nd Wolfsburg 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Wolfsburg scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Bayern’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-20
Wolfsburg have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
3.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Statistics Bundesliga - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263646/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
Wolfsburg
2
0.9
Attack rating
38%
better
FCB
WOB
view stats
Games scored31
27
Failed to score3
7
Scored first24
16
Goals scored94
41
Avg. goals scored2.8
1.2
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate20%
13%
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
22%
better
FCB
WOB
view stats
Games conceded23
28
Clean sheets11
6
Conceded first10
18
Goals conceded45
56
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate16%
17%
KickOff rating
+22%

Bayern v Wolfsburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27796
J KimmichM TelT MüllerA Pavlović
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK23
1
-
J Kimmich DEF2816
1
1
D Upamecano DEF251
2
-
M Kim DEF2512
3
-
A Davies DEF2925
-
A Pavlović MID1922
6
-
L Goretzka MID3067
3
-
M Tel MID2975
2
-
L. Zvonarek MID51
-
B Zaragoza MID6
-
T Müller FWD3159
-
Subs
D Peretz GLK1
-
S Ulreich GLK11
1
-
M. Vinlöf DEF1
-
M Ligt DEF222
5
-
E Dier DEF15
1
-
K Laimer MID293
3
-
J. Asp Jensen MID1
-
Wolfsburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311179
J WindJ WindJ WindM Arnold
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Casteels GLK25
2
-
M Lacroix DEF2841
4
2
S Bornauw DEF20
5
-
M Jenz DEF221
6
-
R Baku MID331
4
-
P Wimmer MID142
3
1
M Arnold MID3021
9
-
K Paredes MID283
4
-
J Maehle MID3023
5
-
J Wind FWD33117
3
-
L Majer FWD3255
5
-
Subs
P Pervan GLK9
1
-
K Fischer DEF6
1
-
C Zesiger DEF23
5
-
V Cerny MID224
2
-
J Kaminski MID172
-
K. Amoako MID2
-
T Tomás FWD2611
3
-
K Behrens FWD1311
1
-
D Pejčinović FWD4
1
-
German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds