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Holstein Kiel v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Marcel Rapp welcomes Nuri Şahin to the Holstein-Stadion on Tuesday evening, as their Holstein Kiel and Borussia Dortmund charges clash in the Bundesliga. Bundesliga stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

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Holstein Kiel's next match is v Hoffenheim at 14:30 on Saturday 18th January
Borussia Dortmund's next match is v E.Frankfurt at 19:30 on Friday 17th January
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Holstein and Dortmund was on Tuesday 14th January 2025
German Bundesliga
January 14th 2025
Holstein 4
2 Dortmund
 
S. Machino 27'71' G. Reyna
P. Harres 32'77' J. Bynoe-Gittens
A. Bernhardsson 45'
J. Arp 90'
 
SVE
BVB
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
1
8
Possession
25%
75%
Fouls
13
11
Yellow/red cards
1/1
2/0
 
HolsteinDortmund
 
T. Weiner
M. Komenda (M. Geschwill 76')
D. Zec
L. Rosenboom
T. Becker
M. Knudsen
N. Remberg
F. Porath (D. Javorček 84')
P. Harresfootball icon (J. Arp 76')
A. Bernhardssonfootball icon (A. Gigovic 69')
S. Machinofootball icon (L. Holtby 76')
G. Kobel
(W. Anton 46') J. Ryerson
N. Schlotterbeck
(M. Beier 46') R. Bensebaini
F. Nmecha
J. Brandt
(G. Reyna 59') M. Sabitzer
E. Can
S. Guirassy
football iconJ. Bynoe-Gittens
(Y. Couto 59') J. Duranville

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of Dortmund prepare themselves for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After studying the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) performance, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a bet worth taking, as both teams know they have goals in them and either could win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Dortmund coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Holstein
27%
6.50
18%
6.00
Draw
22%
4.754.80
4%
Dortmund
52%
1.45
2%
1.48
1%
Draw 1-1
9%
9.00
10%
8.50
Dortmund 2-1
9%
8.50
6%
7.50
Dortmund 1-0
7%
9.50
21%
8.50
11%
Dortmund 2-0
7%
8.50
15%
8.00
11%
Holstein 2-1
7%
19.0015.00
Draw 2-2
7%
15.00
15%
13.00
8%
Dortmund 3-1
6%
11.009.50
Holstein 1-0
5%
21.00
9%
17.00
Dortmund 3-0
4%
11.00
8%
10.00
9%
Dortmund 3-2
4%
21.00
24%
15.00
15%
Draw 0-0
3%
19.00
17%
15.00
Holstein 2-0
3%
41.00
21%
26.00
Dortmund 4-1
3%
19.00
12%
15.00
15%
Holstein 3-1
3%
41.0029.00
Holstein 3-2
3%
41.00
21%
29.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1.50
10%
1.48
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
2.62
18%
2.50
9%
Home 1st Goal
45%
3.252.75
2%
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.331.48
No 1st Goal
2%
19.00
17%
15.00
BTTS - Yes
65%
1.67
11%
1.65
8%
BTTS - No
35%
2.10
16%
2.15
10%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
10.00
25%
8.50
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.505.25
5%
BTTS - Away Win
30%
2.75
10%
2.62
5%
Home/draw
48%
2.622.62
1%
Away/draw
73%
1.11
3%
1.12
Home/away
78%
1.181.18
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.14
3%
1.15
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
5.50
15%
5.00
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
2.20
15%
2.15
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
1.67
13%
1.62
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3.75
17%
3.60
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1.29
5%
1.25
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
7.00
27%
6.50
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1.10
4%
1.10
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.02
1%
1.02
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
17.00
26%
15.00
Home DNB
42%
5.00
15%
4.60
5%
Away DNB
67%
1.17
3%
1.17
1%
Holstein win to nil
10%
13.00-
Dortmund win to nil
22%
2.75
15%
-
Holstein / Holstein
8%
10.00
5%
9.00
Holstein / Dortmund
5%
17.0015.00
Holstein / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
Draw / Holstein
6%
13.0012.00
9%
Draw / Dortmund
19%
4.33
4%
4.33
3%
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50
6%
7.00
Dortmund / Holstein
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
Dortmund / Dortmund
38%
2.202.10
5%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Holstein have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Holstein have conceded 39 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Holstein have played 8 games at home, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 8th place on 25 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 7 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Holstein
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1612313539 
l
 
1-6A
Feb 1
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
2
Leverkusen1610511735 
Feb 22
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-3A
May 10
3
E.Frankfurt169341330 
l
 
2-4A
Feb 16
w
 
2-0F
Jan 17
4
RB Leipzig16934630 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
5
Mainz168441028 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 5
Mar 29
l
 
3-1A
6
Freiburg16835-227 
May 10
l
 
3-2A
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
7
Stuttgart16754526 
Mar 8
l
 
2-1A
Feb 8
l
 
5-1A
8
Dortmund Away17746325 
w
 
4-2F
May 17
-
-
9
W.Bremen16745-125 
Mar 29
l
 
2-1A
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
10
Wolfsburg16736524 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 24
May 3
w
 
1-3F
11
B. M'gladbach16736424 
Apr 26
l
 
4-1A
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
12
Union Berlin16457-717 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 2
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
13
Augsburg16448-1616 
w
 
5-1A
May 3
Mar 8
l
 
2-1F
14
St. Pauli164210-814 
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
15
Hoffenheim16358-914 
Jan 18
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 26
16
Heidenheim164111-1313 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
w
 
4-2F
Feb 1
17
Holstein Home173212-1811 
-
-
May 17
l
 
4-2A
18
VfL Bochum161312-246 
Feb 9
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-2A
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
Holstein 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
1
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Holstein5 - 1Augsburg
Holstein0 - 2RB Leipzig
Holstein0 - 3Mainz
Holstein1 - 0Heidenheim
Holstein0 - 2Union Berlin
Holstein2 - 4E.Frankfurt
Holstein1 - 6Bayern
Holstein0 - 2Wolfsburg
Holstein1 - 1Dusseldorf
Holstein1 - 3Kaiserslautern
Holstein4 - 0Osnabruck
Holstein2 - 0Rostock
Holstein1 - 0Karlsruher
Holstein3 - 4St. Pauli
Holstein1 - 0Schalke
Holstein1 - 2E. Braun
Holstein3 - 0Hannover
Holstein3 - 2Wiesbaden
Holstein4 - 2Hamburg
Holstein0 - 2Nurnberg
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHolstein2 - 3Freiburg
HHolstein5 - 1Augsburg
AHolstein1 - 4B. M'gladbach
HHolstein0 - 2RB Leipzig
AHolstein1 - 3St. Pauli
HHolstein0 - 3Mainz
AHolstein1 - 2W.Bremen
HHolstein1 - 0Heidenheim
AHolstein1 - 2Stuttgart
HHolstein0 - 2Union Berlin
AHolstein2 - 2Leverkusen
HHolstein2 - 4E.Frankfurt
AHolstein2 - 2VfL Bochum
HHolstein1 - 6Bayern
HHolstein0 - 2Wolfsburg
AHolstein2 - 3Hoffenheim
AHolstein2 - 1Hannover
HHolstein1 - 1Dusseldorf
AHolstein1 - 0Wiesbaden
HHolstein1 - 3Kaiserslautern
Dortmund 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolfsburg1 - 3Dortmund
B. M'gladbach1 - 1Dortmund
Mainz3 - 1Dortmund
Augsburg2 - 1Dortmund
Union Berlin2 - 1Dortmund
Stuttgart5 - 1Dortmund
W.Bremen0 - 0Dortmund
Mainz3 - 0Dortmund
RB Leipzig4 - 1Dortmund
B. M'gladbach1 - 2Dortmund
Bayern0 - 2Dortmund
W.Bremen1 - 2Dortmund
Union Berlin0 - 2Dortmund
Wolfsburg1 - 1Dortmund
Heidenheim0 - 0Dortmund
Köln0 - 4Dortmund
Darmstadt0 - 3Dortmund
Augsburg1 - 1Dortmund
Leverkusen1 - 1Dortmund
Stuttgart2 - 1Dortmund
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDortmund2 - 3Leverkusen
ADortmund3 - 1Wolfsburg
HDortmund1 - 1Hoffenheim
ADortmund1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HDortmund1 - 1Bayern
HDortmund4 - 0Freiburg
ADortmund1 - 3Mainz
HDortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig
ADortmund1 - 2Augsburg
HDortmund2 - 1St. Pauli
ADortmund1 - 2Union Berlin
HDortmund4 - 2VfL Bochum
ADortmund1 - 5Stuttgart
HDortmund4 - 2Heidenheim
ADortmund0 - 0W.Bremen
HDortmund2 - 0E.Frankfurt
HDortmund4 - 0Darmstadt
ADortmund0 - 3Mainz
HDortmund5 - 1Augsburg
ADortmund1 - 4RB Leipzig
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Borussia Dortmund in their meeting with Holstein Kiel, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 17 consecutive Bundesliga games.

Holstein 17th Dortmund 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Holstein will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Holstein’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
Dortmund have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283563/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Holstein
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.4
2
Attack rating
SVE
BVB
36%
better
view stats
Games scored12
15
Failed to score4
1
Scored first2
9
Goals scored21
30
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.9
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
21
Avg. XG for1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
SVE
BVB
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
13
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first14
6
Goals conceded41
25
Avg. goals conceded2.6
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against21%
20%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+31%

Holstein v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Holstein Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16625
T WeinerS MachinoF PorathM Knudsen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Weiner GLK16
3
-
T Becker DEF13
1
-
D Zec DEF1
-
M Komenda  DEF7
1
-
L Rosenboom MID101
-
N Remberg MID161
4
-
M Knudsen MID141
5
-
F Porath MID162
2
-
A Bernhardsson FWD711
2
-
S Machino FWD1561
1
-
P Harres FWD96
1
-
Subs
T Dähne  GLK
-
M Geschwill DEF1312
2
-
D Javorcek  DEF5
2
-
M Ivezic MID11
2
-
L Holtby MID131
1
-
A. Kelati MID31
1
1
A Gigovic MID153
4
-
B Pichler FWD1411
-
F Arp FWD111
2
1
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14745
G KobelS Guirassy R BensebainiN Schlotterbeck
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK14
-
J Ryerson DEF1311
2
-
E Can DEF132
1
1
N Schlotterbeck DEF142
4
1
R Bensebaini DEF1414
5
-
M Sabitzer  MID14
2
-
F Nmecha MID1621
2
-
J Duranville MID4
-
J Brandt MID1324
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens MID1663
3
-
S Guirassy  FWD1371
-
Subs
A Meyer GLK2
-
Y Couto DEF10
4
-
W Anton DEF11
2
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF4
1
1
Y Luhrs DEF3
-
G Reyna MID71
1
-
K. Wätjen MID2
-
M Beier FWD1532
2
-
W Campbell FWD4
-