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Bayern Munich v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 15th Jan, 19:30 BST, Allianz Arena, München

Home advantage can be vital in the Bundesliga, and Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich will have the joy of it on Wednesday evening. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are their opponents at the Allianz Arena. Statistics for our tip of Bayern to win are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


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Best Tip: Bayern to win

A Bundesliga home win for Vincent Kompany's Bayern team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Bayern win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 79% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.13.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
79%
1.12
5%
1.12
1%
Draw
14%
9.00
13%
10.00
11%
Hoffenheim
7%
17.00
42%
17.00
Bayern 2-0
13%
9.00
6%
8.00
Bayern 3-0
11%
8.00
6%
7.50
Bayern 1-0
10%
15.00
15%
11.00
Bayern 2-1
8%
12.00
20%
9.50
Bayern 4-0
7%
9.50
14%
8.50
6%
Bayern 3-1
7%
11.00
10%
9.00
Draw 1-1
6%
19.00
12%
15.00
Bayern 4-1
5%
12.00
8%
11.00
Bayern 5-0
4%
13.00
24%
11.00
8%
Draw 0-0
4%
34.00
17%
26.00
Draw 2-2
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
Bayern 5-1
3%
17.00
11%
15.00
15%
Hoffenheim 1-0
2%
41.0034.00
Bayern 3-2
2%
26.00
13%
19.00
12%
Hoffenheim 2-1
2%
41.00
41%
29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1.25
3%
1.25
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
4.00
7%
3.75
4%
Home 1st Goal
65%
1.17
1%
1.18
Away 1st Goal
33%
5.00
11%
4.80
No 1st Goal
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
BTTS - Yes
44%
1.91
9%
1.85
3%
BTTS - No
56%
1.91
5%
1.85
5%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
2.25
2%
2.25
5%
BTTS - Draw
10%
10.00
18%
10.00
5%
BTTS - Away Win
3%
23.00
35%
19.00
Home/draw
93%
1.02
3%
1.02
1%
Away/draw
21%
6.00
33%
6.00
4%
Home/away
86%
1.07
1%
1.06
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.07
1%
1.06
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
9.00
13%
8.00
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
1.62
6%
1.62
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
2.30
10%
2.20
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
2.38
9%
2.30
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.57
5%
1.55
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
4.00
11%
3.70
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.25
4%
1.25
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.011.00
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
29.0026.00
13%
Home DNB
89%
1.03
2%
1.02
Away DNB
16%
15.00
36%
13.00
Bayern win to nil
49%
2.00
9%
-
Hoffenheim win to nil
3%
29.00
26%
-
Bayern / Bayern
56%
1.44
8%
1.48
Bayern / Hoffenheim
1%
67.00
31%
51.00
Bayern / Draw
3%
26.00
24%
23.00
10%
Draw / Bayern
20%
4.004.33
3%
Draw / Hoffenheim
3%
34.00
31%
26.00
Draw / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
13.00
8%
Hoffenheim / Bayern
5%
15.0017.00
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
3%
29.00
26%
21.00
Hoffenheim / Draw
3%
29.00
26%
23.00
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Bayern have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Bundesliga league table. Bayern are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 3 and lost 1 match. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Bayern have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Bayern have played 7 games at home winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Hoffenheim are in 15th position in the Bundesliga on 14 points having played 16 matches so far this season. Hoffenheim are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Hoffenheim have conceded 26 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
Hoffenheim
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern Home1612313539 
-
-
May 17
Jan 15
2
Leverkusen1610511735 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
l
 
1-4A
Feb 2
3
E.Frankfurt169341330 
Feb 23
d
 
3-3F
Jan 26
l
 
3-1A
4
RB Leipzig16934630 
w
 
5-1F
May 3
w
 
4-3A
Apr 5
5
Mainz168441028 
Apr 26
l
 
2-1A
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
6
Freiburg16835-227 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
7
Stuttgart16754526 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 28
Feb 23
d
 
1-1F
8
Dortmund17746325 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
d
 
1-1A
9
W.Bremen16745-125 
Feb 7
w
 
0-5F
l
 
3-4F
Feb 16
10
Wolfsburg16736524 
Jan 18
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-1A
May 10
11
B. M'gladbach16736424 
May 10
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
May 3
12
Union Berlin16457-717 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
13
Augsburg16448-1616 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
14
St. Pauli164210-814 
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
Mar 15
15
Hoffenheim Away16358-914 
Jan 15
May 17
-
-
16
Heidenheim164111-1313 
w
 
4-2F
Apr 19
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
17
Holstein173212-1811 
Feb 1
w
 
1-6F
w
 
3-2F
Jan 18
18
VfL Bochum161312-246 
Mar 8
w
 
0-5F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
5
Bayern have won 5 consecutive home league games
10
Bayern have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
7
Hoffenheim have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
60
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern4 - 2Heidenheim
Bayern3 - 0Augsburg
Bayern3 - 0Union Berlin
Bayern4 - 0Stuttgart
Bayern1 - 1Leverkusen
Bayern2 - 0Freiburg
Bayern2 - 0Wolfsburg
Bayern2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Bayern2 - 0Köln
Bayern0 - 2Dortmund
Bayern8 - 1Mainz
Bayern2 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Bayern1 - 0Union Berlin
Bayern0 - 1W.Bremen
Bayern3 - 0Hoffenheim
Bayern3 - 0Stuttgart
Bayern4 - 2Heidenheim
Bayern8 - 0Darmstadt
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern1 - 0B. M'gladbach
HBayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
ABayern1 - 2Mainz
HBayern4 - 2Heidenheim
ABayern1 - 1Dortmund
HBayern3 - 0Augsburg
ABayern1 - 0St. Pauli
HBayern3 - 0Union Berlin
ABayern5 - 0VfL Bochum
HBayern4 - 0Stuttgart
ABayern3 - 3E.Frankfurt
HBayern1 - 1Leverkusen
ABayern5 - 0W.Bremen
ABayern6 - 1Holstein
HBayern2 - 0Freiburg
ABayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
ABayern2 - 4Hoffenheim
HBayern2 - 0Wolfsburg
ABayern1 - 3Stuttgart
HBayern2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Hoffenheim 15TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund1 - 1Hoffenheim
Mainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
Augsburg0 - 0Hoffenheim
Heidenheim0 - 0Hoffenheim
Stuttgart1 - 1Hoffenheim
Union Berlin2 - 1Hoffenheim
E.Frankfurt3 - 1Hoffenheim
Darmstadt0 - 6Hoffenheim
VfL Bochum3 - 2Hoffenheim
Mainz4 - 1Hoffenheim
Leverkusen2 - 1Hoffenheim
E.Frankfurt3 - 1Hoffenheim
Dortmund2 - 3Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg2 - 2Hoffenheim
Freiburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
Bayern3 - 0Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
B. M'gladbach2 - 1Hoffenheim
Augsburg1 - 1Hoffenheim
Stuttgart2 - 3Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHoffenheim0 - 1Wolfsburg
HHoffenheim1 - 2B. M'gladbach
AHoffenheim1 - 1Dortmund
HHoffenheim1 - 1Freiburg
AHoffenheim0 - 2Mainz
HHoffenheim4 - 3RB Leipzig
AHoffenheim0 - 0Augsburg
HHoffenheim0 - 2St. Pauli
AHoffenheim0 - 0Heidenheim
HHoffenheim3 - 1VfL Bochum
AHoffenheim1 - 1Stuttgart
HHoffenheim3 - 4W.Bremen
AHoffenheim1 - 2Union Berlin
HHoffenheim1 - 4Leverkusen
AHoffenheim1 - 3E.Frankfurt
HHoffenheim3 - 2Holstein
HHoffenheim4 - 2Bayern
AHoffenheim6 - 0Darmstadt
HHoffenheim1 - 1RB Leipzig
AHoffenheim2 - 3VfL Bochum
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
33
11
Games: Scored
12 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
0 / 12
FCB
8
D
3
TSG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Bayern3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bayern4 - 0
Bayern4 - 1
1 - 2Hoffenheim
Bayern3 - 1
Bayern5 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bayern2 - 0
Bayern4 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Bayern2 - 0
League games at Hoffenheim since 2013
Hoffenheim
Bayern
Goals: Scored
15
22
Games: Scored
8 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
4 / 12
FCB
7
D
1
TSG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim4 - 2
0 - 2Bayern
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hoffenheim4 - 1
0 - 6Bayern
1 - 3Bayern
Hoffenheim2 - 0
Hoffenheim1 - 0
1 - 2Bayern
0 - 2Bayern
1 - 2Bayern
0 - 1Bayern
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.6 is decent for Bayern Munich in their clash with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 165 consecutive Bundesliga matches.

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.6 should cause concerns for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim fans, as should a 5 Bundesliga games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Bayern 1st Hoffenheim 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
5+
20%
There is a 81% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
52%
1
34%
2
3
4+
There is a 52% probability that Hoffenheim will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Bayern’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Hoffenheim’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.0
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283567/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
Hoffenheim
2.6
0.6
Attack rating
52%
better
FCB
TSG
view stats
Games scored16
11
Failed to score0
5
Scored first13
4
Goals scored48
20
Avg. goals scored3
1.3
Avg. shots per game14
10
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for21
13
Avg. XG for2.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+52%
Defence rating
39%
better
FCB
TSG
view stats
Games conceded8
14
Clean sheets8
2
Conceded first3
10
Goals conceded13
29
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded4
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against20%
18%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+39%

Bayern v Hoffenheim Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161565
M KimH KaneH KaneD Upamecano
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kim DEF161
2
-
J Kimmich MID1614
2
-
T Müller FWD1611
1
-
M Olise FWD1655
1
-
D Upamecano DEF142
5
-
A Davies DEF1413
-
K Laimer MID141
4
-
H Kane FWD14156
2
-
K Coman FWD1332
-
J Musiala FWD1392
2
-
M Neuer  GLK12
-
R Guerreiro DEF121
-
L Sané FWD1232
1
-
L Goretzka MID1111
-
S Gnabry FWD1023
-
A Pavlović MID91
1
-
J Palhinha MID8
1
-
E Dier DEF7
-
M Tel FWD7
-
S Boey DEF61
1
-
D Peretz GLK3
1
-
S Ulreich GLK1
-
A. Aznou Ben Cheikh DEF1
-
A Ibrahimović FWD1
-
Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16624
O BaumannA KramaricA KramaricP Kaderabek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK16
-
A Stach MID161
3
-
A Prass DEF151
1
-
K Akpoguma DEF15
2
-
A Kramaric FWD1562
3
-
A Hlozek FWD1531
1
-
T Bischof MID1421
2
-
V Gendrey DEF131
1
-
J Larsen  FWD1222
-
P Kaderabek DEF11
4
-
M Bülter FWD1141
2
-
M Berisha FWD1111
1
-
S Nsoki DEF10
1
H Tabakovic FWD1011
-
A Chaves DEF9
1
-
T. Drexler DEF8
2
-
D Geiger MID8
2
-
U Tohumcu MID81
2
-
F Grillitsch  MID8
1
-
M. Moerstedt FWD8
2
-
D Jurásek DEF5
-
D Samassékou MID5
-
R Hranáč DEF3
-
G Prömel  MID2
-