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Toulouse v Paris Saint-Germain : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Feb, 20:05 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Paris Saint-Germain, led by manager Luis Enrique Martínez García, visit Carles Martínez Novell and his Toulouse side at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse on Saturday night in the Ligue 1. All statistics, including 20-game form for both teams and head to head (H2H) records, will change as you explore each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Ligue 1 showdown will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 58% chance of PSG coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
21%
19/419/4
10%
Draw
21%
10/318/5
2%
PSG
58%
1/28/15
1%
PSG 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
10%
15/27/1
PSG 2-0
8%
8/17/1
PSG 1-0
8%
9/17/1
6%
PSG 3-1
7%
10/117/2
5%
PSG 3-0
6%
11/19/1
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Toulouse 2-1
6%
18/114/1
15%
Toulouse 1-0
5%
20/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
16/112/1
PSG 3-2
4%
18/114/1
PSG 4-1
3%
18/114/1
PSG 4-0
3%
20/114/1
12%
Toulouse 2-0
3%
33/122/1
Toulouse 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1/21/2
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/829/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
43%
21/10-
Away 1st Goal
55%
4/11-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/1313/20
2%
BTTS - No
40%
6/523/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
8/17/1
7%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/117/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
30%
7/47/4
Home/draw
42%
6/46/4
4%
Away/draw
79%
1/71/7
1%
Home/away
79%
1/51/5
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/72/13
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
9/219/5
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/55/4
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
4/63/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
3/111/4
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6/111/2
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/101/11
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/112/1
Home DNB
36%
7/216/5
8%
Away DNB
72%
2/111/5
2%
Toulouse win to nil
9%
12/1-
PSG win to nil
27%
2/1-
Toulouse / Toulouse
9%
17/27/1
7%
Toulouse / PSG
5%
16/114/1
Toulouse / Draw
5%
16/114/1
15%
Draw / Toulouse
7%
11/110/1
10%
Draw / PSG
18%
7/210/3
2%
Draw / Draw
11%
13/211/2
PSG / Toulouse
3%
33/128/1
PSG / PSG
36%
5/46/5
4%
PSG / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Toulouse have conceded 18 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 11 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

PSG lay in 1st place on 50 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 20 matches. PSG are unbeaten in 20 games against teams below them in the league and kept 5 clean sheets out of 20 games. PSG are unbeaten away after 10 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 54 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. PSG have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

PSG have played 10 away games, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
PSG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG Away2015503550 
Feb 15
l
 
3-0A
-
-
2
Marseille2012441840 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 6
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
3
Monaco2011451237 
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
Feb 7
w
 
2-4F
4
Lille209831335 
Apr 13
l
 
2-1F
Mar 2
w
 
1-3F
5
Nice209741334 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
6
Lens20965733 
May 11
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
7
Lyon20866630 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
Feb 23
8
Brest209110-528 
Mar 30
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-5F
9
Strasbourg20767127 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 16
w
 
4-2F
May 4
10
Toulouse Home20758-126 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Feb 15
11
Auxerre20659-623 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
12
Angers20659-723 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
Apr 6
w
 
2-4F
13
Reims20578-322 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
14
Nantes20497-621 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
15
Rennes206212-320 
May 4
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 9
16
St Etienne205312-2418 
w
 
2-1A
May 18
w
 
2-1F
Mar 30
17
Montpellier204313-2615 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
6-0F
May 11
18
Le Havre204214-2414 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 23
Apr 20
w
 
1-4F
Win / draw / win form
3
PSG have won 3 consecutive away league games
34
PSG have not lost in 34 consecutive away league games
Toulouse 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
Toulouse2 - 1St Etienne
Toulouse2 - 0Auxerre
Toulouse1 - 0Reims
Toulouse1 - 1Angers
Toulouse1 - 2Lyon
Toulouse2 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse1 - 3Marseille
Toulouse0 - 0Nantes
Toulouse0 - 3Brest
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse2 - 2Marseille
Toulouse0 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse2 - 3Lyon
Toulouse2 - 1Nice
Toulouse3 - 1Lille
Toulouse1 - 2Nantes
Toulouse0 - 2Lens
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse1 - 1Nice
HToulouse1 - 2Montpellier
AToulouse0 - 0Lyon
HToulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
AToulouse1 - 0Lens
HToulouse2 - 1St Etienne
AToulouse0 - 2Monaco
HToulouse2 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse0 - 3PSG
AToulouse2 - 0Rennes
HToulouse1 - 0Reims
AToulouse3 - 0Montpellier
HToulouse1 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse1 - 2Lyon
AToulouse0 - 2Brest
HToulouse2 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse1 - 3Marseille
AToulouse1 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 0Nantes
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brest2 - 5PSG
Lens1 - 2PSG
Monaco2 - 4PSG
Auxerre0 - 0PSG
Angers2 - 4PSG
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Nice1 - 1PSG
Reims1 - 1PSG
Lille1 - 3PSG
Le Havre1 - 4PSG
Metz0 - 2PSG
Nice1 - 2PSG
Lorient1 - 4PSG
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Montpellier2 - 6PSG
Monaco0 - 0PSG
Nantes0 - 2PSG
Strasbourg1 - 2PSG
Lens0 - 2PSG
Lille1 - 1PSG
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APSG5 - 2Brest
HPSG1 - 1Reims
APSG2 - 1Lens
HPSG2 - 1St Etienne
APSG4 - 2Monaco
HPSG3 - 1Lyon
APSG0 - 0Auxerre
HPSG1 - 1Nantes
HPSG3 - 0Toulouse
APSG4 - 2Angers
HPSG1 - 0Lens
APSG3 - 0Marseille
HPSG4 - 2Strasbourg
APSG1 - 1Nice
HPSG3 - 1Rennes
APSG1 - 1Reims
HPSG3 - 1Brest
APSG3 - 1Lille
HPSG6 - 0Montpellier
APSG4 - 1Le Havre
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
PSG
Goals: Scored
6
12
Games: Scored
4 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
4 / 8
TOU
1
D
2
PSG
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3PSG
0 - 1PSG
0 - 1PSG
Toulouse2 - 0
0 - 1PSG
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4PSG
League games at PSG since 2013
PSG
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
27
7
Games: Scored
9 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
1 / 10
TOU
1
D
1
PSG
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG3 - 0
1 - 3Toulouse
PSG2 - 1
PSG4 - 0
PSG1 - 0
PSG6 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG5 - 0
PSG3 - 1
PSG2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Toulouse 10th PSG 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Toulouse have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
+31
PSG have scored 31% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
2.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279142/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1.2
2
Attack rating
%
better
TOU
PSG
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
TOU
PSG
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Toulouse v PSG Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20637
G. RestesZ AboukhlalG SuazoC Yepes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK20
-
Y Gboho FWD2022
1
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD2062
4
-
A Dönnum MID191
3
-
C Yepes MID1911
7
-
S Babicka FWD194
1
-
G Suazo DEF183
-
M McKenzie DEF181
1
-
C Cresswell DEF18
1
-
J King FWD1842
2
-
F Magri FWD18
1
1
W Kamanzi DEF16
1
-
D Sidibé DEF162
1
-
V Sierro MID1511
2
-
M Zajc MID12
2
-
N Schmidt MID81
-
R Nicolaisen DEF71
-
U Akdag DEF5
1
-
PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171475
B BarcolaO DembéléJ NevesL Beraldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Lee FWD2064
1
-
B Barcola FWD20114
1
-
F Ruiz MID1921
-
W Pacho DEF181
2
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID1811
2
-
O Dembélé FWD18144
1
-
Vitinha MID173
1
-
D Doué FWD1713
-
G Donnarumma GLK16
2
-
A Hakimi DEF1625
2
-
J Neves MID1627
-
Marquinhos DEF14
3
-
N Mendes  DEF1311
1
-
L Beraldo DEF131
5
-
S. Mayulu MID111
1
-
G Ramos FWD942
-
L Hernández  DEF6
1
-
M Safonov GLK5
-
I. Mbaye FWD5
-
Y. Zague DEF3
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD21
-