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Monaco v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Apr, 16:00 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

We’ve Ligue 1 action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Adi Hutter and his Monaco side host Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille at the Stade Louis II. Stats drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Ligue 1 tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
49%
1.90
5%
-
Draw
21%
4.00
5%
-
Marseille
29%
3.60
6%
-
Monaco 2-1
9%
9.00-
Draw 1-1
9%
8.50
13%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
12.00-
Marseille 2-1
7%
13.00
8%
-
Monaco 3-1
6%
13.00
13%
-
Monaco 2-0
6%
12.00-
Monaco 1-0
6%
12.00
9%
-
Monaco 3-2
5%
17.00
11%
-
Marseille 1-0
4%
17.00
13%
-
Monaco 3-0
4%
19.00-
Marseille 3-2
4%
23.00
12%
-
Marseille 3-1
3%
23.00-
Marseille 2-0
3%
23.00
10%
-
Monaco 4-1
3%
23.00
21%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
21.00
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
1.44
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
2.75
16%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.57
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.38
3%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
21.00
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
68%
1.44
4%
-
BTTS - No
32%
2.62
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.10
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5.50-
Home/draw
71%
1.29
1%
-
Away/draw
51%
1.91
6%
-
Home/away
79%
1.22
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1.14
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5.50
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
2.10
12%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
1.73
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
3.50
19%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
1.30
7%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
6.50
19%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1.11
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.02-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
19.00
12%
-
Home DNB
64%
1.44
4%
-
Away DNB
44%
2.62
5%
-
Monaco win to nil
19%
4.33-
Marseille win to nil
10%
9.00
29%
-
Monaco / Monaco
28%
3.00
6%
-
Monaco / Marseille
3%
26.00-
Monaco / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Monaco
15%
5.50-
Draw / Marseille
10%
8.50
6%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00
8%
-
Marseille / Monaco
4%
19.00
10%
-
Marseille / Marseille
15%
5.50-
Marseille / Draw
6%
13.00-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Monaco have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Monaco have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 3 matches and failed to score in 0 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won zero. Monaco have conceded 10 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Monaco have played 14 games at home, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 33 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Marseille lay in 2nd place on 52 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 56 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Marseille have conceded 32 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Marseille have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2823505474 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Marseille Away2816481952 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
-
-
3
Monaco Home2815581950 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
4
Strasbourg2814771149 
Apr 19
w
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
Lyon2814681648 
May 11
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
6
Nice2813871747 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
7
Lille2813871247 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 4
8
Brest2813411143 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
9
Lens2912611042 
d
 
1-1F
May 18
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
10
Auxerre2810810038 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
11
Toulouse289712134 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
12
Rennes2810216032 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2F
May 18
w
 
1-2A
13
Nantes287912-1430 
w
 
7-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
14
Reims297814-1129 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
15
Angers287615-2027 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
16
Le Havre288317-2627 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
w
 
5-1F
May 11
17
St Etienne286517-3623 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
18
Montpellier284321-4315 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
Apr 19
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
5
Monaco have won 5 consecutive home league games
3
Marseille have lost 3 consecutive away league games
5
Monaco have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Monaco 3RD
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco2 - 1Nice
Monaco3 - 0Reims
Monaco7 - 1Nantes
Monaco4 - 2Auxerre
Monaco3 - 2Rennes
Monaco2 - 4PSG
Monaco2 - 0Toulouse
Monaco3 - 2Brest
Monaco0 - 1Angers
Monaco0 - 0Lille
Monaco2 - 1Montpellier
Monaco3 - 1Le Havre
Monaco1 - 1Lens
Monaco1 - 0St Etienne
Monaco4 - 0Nantes
Monaco4 - 1Clermont
Monaco1 - 0Lille
Monaco1 - 0Rennes
Monaco2 - 2Lorient
Monaco0 - 0PSG
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMonaco1 - 2Brest
HMonaco2 - 1Nice
AMonaco2 - 0Angers
AMonaco1 - 1Toulouse
HMonaco3 - 0Reims
AMonaco1 - 2Lille
HMonaco7 - 1Nantes
AMonaco1 - 4PSG
HMonaco4 - 2Auxerre
HMonaco3 - 2Rennes
AMonaco1 - 2Montpellier
AMonaco2 - 2Nantes
HMonaco2 - 4PSG
AMonaco0 - 0Reims
HMonaco2 - 0Toulouse
AMonaco1 - 2Marseille
HMonaco3 - 2Brest
AMonaco3 - 1Strasbourg
HMonaco0 - 1Angers
AMonaco1 - 2Nice
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Reims3 - 1Marseille
PSG3 - 1Marseille
Auxerre3 - 0Marseille
Angers0 - 2Marseille
Nice2 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 2Marseille
St Etienne0 - 2Marseille
Lens1 - 3Marseille
Nantes1 - 2Marseille
Montpellier0 - 5Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 0Marseille
Lyon2 - 3Marseille
Toulouse1 - 3Marseille
Brest1 - 5Marseille
Le Havre1 - 2Marseille
Reims1 - 0Marseille
Toulouse2 - 2Marseille
Lille3 - 1Marseille
Rennes2 - 0Marseille
Clermont1 - 5Marseille
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille2 - 1Rennes
HMarseille5 - 1Le Havre
HMarseille1 - 1Lille
AMarseille2 - 0St Etienne
HMarseille2 - 1Monaco
AMarseille3 - 1Lens
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
AMarseille2 - 1Nantes
HMarseille0 - 3PSG
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monaco since 2014
Monaco
Marseille
Goals: Scored
28
17
Games: Scored
10 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
1 / 11
MCO
7
MAR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monaco
Monaco3 - 2
2 - 3Marseille
0 - 2Marseille
Monaco3 - 1
3 - 4Marseille
2 - 3Marseille
Monaco6 - 1
Monaco4 - 0
Monaco2 - 1
Monaco1 - 0
Monaco2 - 0
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
Monaco
Goals: Scored
17
19
Games: Scored
10 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
1 / 11
MCO
3
D
5
MAR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Monaco
Marseille2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Monaco
Draw3 - 3Draw
Marseille2 - 1
1 - 2Monaco
Goal Statistics

Marseille have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. This run could continue, with Monaco's PG an impressive 2.0.

Marseille have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.5 against Monaco on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Monaco 3rd Marseille 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Monaco will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 78% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Monaco have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+17
Marseille have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279207/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
2
1.5
Attack rating
3%
better
MCO
MAR
view stats
Games scored25
23
Failed to score3
5
Scored first16
15
Goals scored54
57
Avg. goals scored1.9
2
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
19
Avg. XG for2.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
13%
better
MCO
MAR
view stats
Games conceded20
23
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first10
13
Goals conceded35
38
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
18%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+13%

Monaco v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241289
T KehrerM Biereth M AklioucheL Camara
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Köhn GLK13
1
-
Vanderson DEF2312
5
1
T Kehrer DEF244
-
W Singo DEF2112
3
-
C Henrique DEF215
2
-
M Akliouche MID2648
2
-
D Zakaria MID2042
5
-
L Camara MID2426
8
1
T Minamino MID2543
3
-
M Biereth  FWD11122
-
B Embolo FWD2554
5
-
Subs
R Majecki GLK15
1
-
M Salisu DEF151
2
-
E Seghir MID2763
-
A Musrati MID81
-
A Golovin MID193
1
-
K Diatta MID14
1
-
S Magassa MID161
5
-
F Balogun FWD93
-
G Ilenikhena FWD2032
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281658
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueD Cornelius
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK28
1
-
M Murillo DEF2412
1
-
G Kondogbia DEF21
1
-
U Garcia DEF1521
1
-
L Henrique MID2875
-
V Rongier MID2031
4
-
P Höjbjerg MID2423
5
-
Q Merlin MID2113
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD28163
2
-
A Rabiot FWD2362
3
-
J Rowe FWD2222
1
-
Subs
J Lange GLK
-
D Cornelius DEF19
6
2
P Lirola DEF1612
1
1
A Dedic DEF81
-
B Nadir MID141
2
-
A Harit  MID923
1
I Bennacer MID71
1
-
N Maupay FWD2144
2
1
A Gouiri FWD843
-