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Marseille v Strasbourg : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Jan, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Liam Rosenior takes his Strasbourg charges to the Stade Vélodrome in the Ligue 1 on Sunday evening, with Roberto De Zerbi's Marseille their challengers. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Ligue 1 match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Ligue 1 tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
51%
1.57
3%
1.57
1%
Draw
21%
4.33
4%
4.33
6%
Strasbourg
27%
5.25
5%
5.50
5%
Marseille 2-1
9%
8.507.50
Draw 1-1
9%
8.507.50
6%
Draw 2-2
7%
15.0012.00
8%
Strasbourg 2-1
7%
17.0013.00
Marseille 2-0
6%
8.508.00
Marseille 1-0
6%
9.008.00
Marseille 3-1
6%
12.00
9%
10.00
Marseille 3-2
5%
21.0015.00
Strasbourg 1-0
4%
17.0015.00
15%
Marseille 3-0
4%
12.0010.00
Strasbourg 2-0
3%
29.0023.00
10%
Strasbourg 3-2
3%
41.0026.00
Strasbourg 3-1
3%
41.0029.00
12%
Marseille 4-1
3%
21.0015.00
Draw 0-0
3%
15.00
12%
12.00
8%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1.571.57
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
2.382.30
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.361.48
Away 1st Goal
46%
3.102.90
No 1st Goal
2%
15.00
12%
12.00
BTTS - Yes
66%
1.671.67
BTTS - No
34%
2.102.10
BTTS - Home Win
31%
3.00
4%
2.88
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.00
9%
5.00
5%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9.00
6%
8.00
7%
Home/draw
73%
1.17
3%
1.14
3%
Away/draw
49%
2.30
3%
2.38
1%
Home/away
79%
1.20
2%
1.22
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1.171.18
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
5.004.50
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
2.382.38
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
1.571.53
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
4.334.00
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
1.221.22
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
8.007.50
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1.081.07
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.03
1%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
15.00
12%
12.00
8%
Home DNB
66%
1.221.20
2%
Away DNB
42%
4.004.00
3%
Marseille win to nil
20%
2.75-
Strasbourg win to nil
10%
11.00-
Marseille / Marseille
34%
2.38
3%
2.30
2%
Marseille / Strasbourg
3%
34.0029.00
Marseille / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Marseille
18%
4.504.33
2%
Draw / Strasbourg
8%
11.00
8%
10.00
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.00
8%
Strasbourg / Marseille
4%
19.0017.00
13%
Strasbourg / Strasbourg
9%
9.008.00
7%
Strasbourg / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 8 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 12 goals at home.

Strasbourg are in 9th position in the Ligue 1 on 23 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Strasbourg have conceded 19 goals, scored 15, scored in every game and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Strasbourg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG1713403143 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 16
May 4
l
 
4-2A
2
Marseille Home1711331936 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Jan 19
3
Monaco179441031 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 13
l
 
1-3F
Apr 20
4
Nice178631230 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 26
Apr 13
l
 
2-1F
5
Lille177821029 
d
 
1-1F
May 4
Jan 25
d
 
3-3A
6
Lyon17845728 
Feb 2
w
 
2-3A
Mar 30
l
 
4-3F
7
Lens17764527 
Mar 9
w
 
1-3F
d
 
2-2A
Feb 16
8
Toulouse17737024 
Apr 6
w
 
1-3F
Mar 16
w
 
1-2F
9
Strasbourg Away17656123 
Jan 19
l
 
1-0A
-
-
10
Auxerre17647-222 
l
 
1-3A
Feb 23
w
 
3-1A
Mar 2
11
Brest17719-422 
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
Feb 23
l
 
3-1A
12
Reims17557-220 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 30
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
13
Angers17548-819 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
d
 
1-1F
May 11
14
Rennes175210-217 
May 18
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
Feb 2
15
Nantes17377-716 
Mar 2
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 9
16
St Etienne175111-2116 
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
Apr 27
l
 
2-0A
17
Le Havre174013-2312 
w
 
5-1F
May 11
May 18
w
 
0-3F
18
Montpellier172312-269 
Apr 20
w
 
0-5F
Feb 9
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
3
Strasbourg have won 3 consecutive league games
6
Marseille have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille4 - 1Montpellier
Marseille1 - 1Metz
Marseille2 - 2Monaco
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille2 - 1Clermont
Marseille3 - 0Lyon
Marseille2 - 0Rennes
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille2 - 1Rennes
HMarseille5 - 1Le Havre
HMarseille1 - 1Lille
AMarseille2 - 0St Etienne
HMarseille2 - 1Monaco
AMarseille3 - 1Lens
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
AMarseille2 - 1Nantes
HMarseille0 - 3PSG
AMarseille5 - 0Montpellier
HMarseille1 - 1Angers
AMarseille0 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille3 - 2Lyon
HMarseille2 - 0Nice
AMarseille3 - 1Toulouse
HMarseille2 - 2Reims
AMarseille5 - 1Brest
AMarseille2 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille0 - 1Reims
HMarseille3 - 1Lorient
Strasbourg 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
Le Havre0 - 3Strasbourg
Brest3 - 1Strasbourg
Nice2 - 1Strasbourg
St Etienne2 - 0Strasbourg
PSG4 - 2Strasbourg
Lille3 - 3Strasbourg
Lyon4 - 3Strasbourg
Montpellier1 - 1Strasbourg
Lyon2 - 1Strasbourg
Le Havre3 - 1Strasbourg
Lille1 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse0 - 0Strasbourg
Nantes1 - 3Strasbourg
Montpellier2 - 2Strasbourg
Lens3 - 1Strasbourg
Clermont1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Lorient1 - 2Strasbourg
Brest1 - 1Strasbourg
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStrasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
HStrasbourg3 - 1Auxerre
AStrasbourg3 - 0Le Havre
HStrasbourg0 - 0Reims
AStrasbourg1 - 3Brest
AStrasbourg1 - 2Nice
HStrasbourg1 - 3Monaco
AStrasbourg0 - 2St Etienne
HStrasbourg3 - 1Nantes
AStrasbourg2 - 4PSG
HStrasbourg2 - 2Lens
HStrasbourg1 - 0Marseille
AStrasbourg3 - 3Lille
HStrasbourg1 - 1Angers
AStrasbourg3 - 4Lyon
HStrasbourg3 - 1Rennes
AStrasbourg1 - 1Montpellier
AStrasbourg1 - 2Lyon
HStrasbourg2 - 1Metz
AStrasbourg1 - 3Le Havre
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Marseille have not lost to Strasbourg in 7 consecutive home league meetings
5
Strasbourg have not lost to Marseille in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2018
Marseille
Strasbourg
Goals: Scored
15
6
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
MAR
4
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Marseille4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 0
Marseille3 - 2
Marseille2 - 0
League games at Strasbourg since 2017
Strasbourg
Marseille
Goals: Scored
8
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
MAR
2
D
4
SBG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Strasbourg
Strasbourg1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Marseille
0 - 1Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Marseille in their clash with Strasbourg, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 41 consecutive Ligue 1 outings.

Marseille's defensive record is to be admired, Roberto De Zerbi's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Ligue 1 games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Strasbourg makes sense in this context.

Marseille 2nd Strasbourg 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Strasbourg will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Marseille have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+22
Strasbourg have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279107/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Strasbourg
2
1.4
Attack rating
10%
better
MAR
SBG
view stats
Games scored15
15
Failed to score2
2
Scored first11
10
Goals scored39
30
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal4
5
Conversion rate for24
22
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
11%
better
MAR
SBG
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first6
6
Goals conceded20
29
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+11%

Marseille v Strasbourg Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171145
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK17
-
M Murillo DEF172
-
M Greenwood  FWD17113
1
-
L Henrique FWD1764
-
P Höjbjerg MID162
3
-
J Rowe FWD1522
1
-
L Balerdi DEF14
4
1
G Kondogbia MID13
1
-
N Maupay FWD1334
2
1
E Wahi FWD1331
1
-
V Rongier MID122
3
-
D Cornelius DEF11
3
1
U Garcia DEF1021
1
-
Q Merlin DEF1013
1
-
L Brassier DEF9
2
-
A Harit  MID923
1
P Lirola DEF811
1
I Koné MID8
-
B Nadir MID51
1
-
V Carboni MID4
1
-
B Meïté DEF3
-
E. Sternal FWD2
1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD1
-
Strasbourg Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17654
D BakwaA SantosD BakwaG Doué
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Bakwa FWD1725
1
-
D Moreira FWD1714
3
-
G Doué DEF161
4
-
A Santos MID166
3
-
H Diarra MID1642
3
-
S Nanasi MID1643
-
I Doukouré DEF151
4
-
S Mara FWD1511
2
-
Đorđe Petrović GLK14
1
-
A Sylla DEF121
2
-
S Sow DEF121
2
-
E Emegha FWD1262
2
-
M Sarr DEF111
2
-
F Lemaréchal MID1011
-
J Sebas FWD10
-
M Senaya DEF8
3
-
J Mwanga MID8
-
C Wiley DEF61
1
-
P. Diongu MID61
-
E Sobol DEF4
2
-
K Johnsson GLK3
-
M. Luković FWD2
-
K Fila DEF1
1
-
O Perea FWD1
-