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Chelsea v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Sep, 15:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Enzo Maresca welcomes Fabian Hürzeler to the Stamford Bridge on Saturday afternoon, as their Chelsea and Brighton and Hove Albion sides go head to head in the English Premier League. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Premier League showdown is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
54%
4/5
8%
5/6
10%
Draw
22%
11/414/5
12%
Brighton
24%
16/5
16%
3/1
8%
Draw 1-1
10%
7/16/1
13%
Chelsea 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
13/2
Chelsea 1-0
8%
10/1
16%
15/2
6%
Chelsea 2-0
8%
10/1
16%
17/2
6%
Chelsea 3-1
6%
14/110/1
10%
Brighton 2-1
6%
14/1
12%
10/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
Brighton 1-0
5%
18/1
12%
12/1
Chelsea 3-0
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
31%
11/1
20%
Chelsea 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
14/1
Brighton 2-0
3%
28/118/1
Chelsea 4-1
3%
25/118/1
12%
Chelsea 4-0
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
11%
Brighton 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
4/7
6%
11/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
11/8
8%
13/10
8%
Home 1st Goal
53%
1/2
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
8/5
10%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/15
8%
11/20
BTTS - No
40%
11/8
13%
13/10
BTTS - Home Win
29%
11/5
2%
21/10
11%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
9%
17/5
8%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
11/2
24%
5/1
Home/draw
76%
2/9
4%
1/4
4%
Away/draw
46%
19/20
9%
19/20
9%
Home/away
78%
1/41/4
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/6
4%
2/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4/1
15%
7/2
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
11/8
13%
11/8
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/7
9%
11/20
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
10/3
13%
3/1
11%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
2/9
4%
2/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1
20%
6/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
1/12
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/66
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
20%
Home DNB
70%
1/3
3%
4/11
5%
Away DNB
39%
9/4
7%
19/10
11%
Chelsea win to nil
26%
11/4
15%
-
Brighton win to nil
10%
8/1
10%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
29%
15/8
5%
7/4
12%
Chelsea / Brighton
3%
33/122/1
12%
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Chelsea
17%
4/1
5%
19/5
4%
Draw / Brighton
9%
17/2
14%
15/2
6%
Draw / Draw
13%
6/1
8%
19/4
12%
Brighton / Chelsea
4%
20/116/1
13%
Brighton / Brighton
13%
6/1
13%
5/1
8%
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Chelsea
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Brighton
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-2A
Jan 25
 Man City4400812 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Nov 10
Mar 15
 Arsenal4310510 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
Oct 27
May 10
 Newcastle4310310 
May 3
Oct 19
May 3
Oct 20
 Liverpool430169 
May 18
Nov 2
Dec 1
Feb 22
 A Villa430119 
Apr 1
Dec 29
Sep 28
Feb 15
 Brighton Away422048 
-
-
Oct 6
May 25
 Nottm Forest422028 
Sep 22
Feb 1
-
-
 Chelsea Home421137 
Feb 15
Sep 28
Dec 14
Apr 5
 Brentford420206 
Dec 26
Apr 19
May 18
Nov 3
 Man Utd420206 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
Jan 15
w
 
0-1F
 Bournemouth412105 
Feb 25
Nov 23
Dec 26
Apr 19
 Fulham412105 
Mar 8
Dec 3
Apr 2
Dec 7
 Spurs411224 
Oct 6
May 25
Feb 1
Sep 21
 West Ham4112-14 
Apr 26
Dec 21
Mar 8
Nov 23
 Leicester4022-22 
Apr 12
Dec 7
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
 C Palace4022-32 
Dec 14
Apr 5
Apr 12
Dec 29
 Ipswich4022-52 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 14
Jan 18
w
 
2-6F
 Wolves4013-71 
Oct 26
May 10
Feb 26
Dec 4
 Southampton4004-70 
Nov 29
Feb 22
Apr 26
Dec 21
 Everton4004-90 
Jan 25
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea1 - 1C Palace
Chelsea0 - 2Man City
Chelsea2 - 1Bournemouth
Chelsea5 - 0West Ham
Chelsea2 - 0Spurs
Chelsea6 - 0Everton
Chelsea4 - 3Man Utd
Chelsea2 - 2Burnley
Chelsea3 - 2Newcastle
Chelsea2 - 4Wolves
Chelsea1 - 0Fulham
Chelsea2 - 1C Palace
Chelsea2 - 0Sheff Utd
Chelsea3 - 2Brighton
Chelsea4 - 4Man City
Chelsea0 - 2Brentford
Chelsea2 - 2Arsenal
Chelsea0 - 1A Villa
Chelsea0 - 1Nottm Forest
Chelsea3 - 0Luton
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea1 - 0Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 1C Palace
AChelsea6 - 2Wolves
HChelsea0 - 2Man City
HChelsea2 - 1Bournemouth
AChelsea2 - 1Brighton
AChelsea3 - 2Nottm Forest
HChelsea5 - 0West Ham
HChelsea2 - 0Spurs
AChelsea2 - 2A Villa
AChelsea0 - 5Arsenal
HChelsea6 - 0Everton
AChelsea2 - 2Sheff Utd
HChelsea4 - 3Man Utd
HChelsea2 - 2Burnley
HChelsea3 - 2Newcastle
AChelsea2 - 2Brentford
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea2 - 4Wolves
Brighton 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal1 - 1Brighton
Everton0 - 3Brighton
Newcastle1 - 1Brighton
Bournemouth3 - 0Brighton
Burnley1 - 1Brighton
Brentford0 - 0Brighton
Liverpool2 - 1Brighton
Fulham3 - 0Brighton
Sheff Utd0 - 5Brighton
Spurs2 - 1Brighton
Luton4 - 0Brighton
West Ham0 - 0Brighton
C Palace1 - 1Brighton
Arsenal2 - 0Brighton
Chelsea3 - 2Brighton
Nottm Forest2 - 3Brighton
Everton1 - 1Brighton
Man City2 - 1Brighton
A Villa6 - 1Brighton
Man Utd1 - 3Brighton
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrighton0 - 0Ipswich
ABrighton1 - 1Arsenal
HBrighton2 - 1Man Utd
ABrighton3 - 0Everton
HBrighton0 - 2Man Utd
HBrighton1 - 2Chelsea
ABrighton1 - 1Newcastle
HBrighton1 - 0A Villa
ABrighton0 - 3Bournemouth
HBrighton0 - 4Man City
ABrighton1 - 1Burnley
HBrighton0 - 3Arsenal
ABrighton0 - 0Brentford
ABrighton1 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 0Nottm Forest
ABrighton0 - 3Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton5 - 0Sheff Utd
ABrighton1 - 2Spurs
HBrighton4 - 1C Palace
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Chelsea since 2017
Chelsea
Brighton
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
CHE
4
D
2
BHA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea3 - 2
1 - 2Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
League games at Brighton since 2018
Brighton
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
9
14
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
CHE
4
D
2
BHA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
1 - 2Chelsea
Brighton4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
Goal Statistics
Chelsea 8th Brighton 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Chelsea have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
-14
Brighton have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277854/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
19%
better
CHE
BHA
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first3
2
Goals scored8
6
Avg. goals scored2
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal4
8
Conversion rate for23
13
Avg. XG for1.6
1.8
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
CHE
BHA
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
2
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded5
2
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
14
Conversion rate against13%
7%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+37%

Chelsea v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4342
R SánchezN MaduekeC PalmerW Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK4
1
-
W Fofana DEF4
2
-
L Colwill DEF4
1
-
M Cucurella  DEF4
2
-
C Nkunku  MID41
-
M Caicedo MID4
1
-
C Palmer MID414
2
-
P Neto FWD41
1
-
N Jackson FWD421
2
-
M Gusto DEF3
1
-
R Veiga DEF3
1
-
E Fernández MID3
-
J Félix FWD31
1
-
N Madueke FWD33
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID2
-
M Mudryk FWD2
-
T Adarabioyo DEF1
-
A Disasi DEF1
-
R Lavia MID1
-
J Sancho FWD11
1
-
M Guiu FWD1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4212
L DunkD WelbeckD WelbeckY Minteh
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Dunk DEF4
-
J Veltman DEF4
1
-
J Hecke DEF4
1
-
J Hinshelwood DEF4
1
-
Y Ayari MID4
-
D Welbeck FWD421
-
K Mitoma FWD411
-
S Adingra FWD411
-
Y Minteh FWD41
2
-
J Milner  MID3
1
-
J Enciso MID3
-
C Quomah MID3
-
G Rutter FWD3
-
J Pedro  FWD32
1
-
B Verbruggen GLK2
1
-
J Steele GLK2
-
A Webster DEF1
-
F Kadioglu DEF1
-
P Estupiñán DEF1
-
M Wieffer MID11
-
E Ferguson FWD1
-