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Sunderland v Stoke City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Jan, 15:00 BST, Stadium of Light, Sunderland

the Stadium of Light is the setting on Saturday afternoon, as Régis Le Bris's Sunderland welcome Steven Schumacher's Stoke City in the FA Cup. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookmakers suggest that this FA Cup showdown will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to on over 2.5 goals top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sunderland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
56%
1.70
6%
1.70
17%
Draw
21%
4.10
17%
4.20
20%
Stoke
22%
4.20
7%
4.33
20%
Sunderland 2-1
10%
8.50
6%
7.50
6%
Draw 1-1
10%
8.00
23%
7.50
25%
Sunderland 2-0
8%
9.50
19%
8.50
Sunderland 1-0
8%
9.50
46%
8.00
23%
Sunderland 3-1
7%
13.00
24%
11.00
15%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
24%
12.00
8%
Stoke 2-1
6%
15.0012.00
9%
Sunderland 3-0
5%
15.0012.00
20%
Stoke 1-0
5%
15.00
36%
13.00
53%
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00
100%
13.00
63%
Sunderland 3-2
4%
21.00
28%
15.00
29%
Sunderland 4-1
3%
23.00
32%
17.00
35%
Stoke 2-0
3%
26.00
24%
19.00
27%
Sunderland 4-0
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
27%
Stoke 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.57
25%
1.55
23%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.38
38%
2.30
33%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.44
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.75
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00
100%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.62
19%
1.60
14%
BTTS - No
39%
2.20
26%
2.20
19%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.10
28%
3.00
29%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.75
5%
4.80
7%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
7.00
26%
6.50
Home/draw
78%
1.22
3%
1.22
5%
Away/draw
44%
2.10
8%
2.10
20%
Home/away
79%
1.22
5%
1.22
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.17
14%
1.18
11%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.00
67%
4.50
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.38
37%
2.38
32%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.53
22%
1.53
19%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4.33
46%
4.00
38%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.20
11%
1.22
12%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9.00
53%
7.50
42%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.07
5%
1.07
5%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.02
5%
1.02
4%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.00
100%
13.00
53%
Home DNB
71%
1.30
2%
1.30
12%
Away DNB
37%
3.40
5%
3.20
28%
Sunderland win to nil
26%
3.40
24%
-
Stoke win to nil
9%
9.00
29%
-
Sunderland / Sunderland
31%
2.62
9%
2.50
22%
Sunderland / Stoke
3%
29.00
29%
26.00
Sunderland / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
13.00
Draw / Sunderland
17%
5.00
11%
4.60
4%
Draw / Stoke
8%
10.00
11%
9.00
29%
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
37%
6.00
25%
Stoke / Sunderland
4%
19.00
17%
17.00
11%
Stoke / Stoke
11%
7.50
6%
6.50
18%
Stoke / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Sunderland
20 games
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSunderland1 - 0Portsmouth
HSunderland2 - 1Sheff Utd
ASunderland0 - 1Stoke
ASunderland2 - 2Blackburn
HSunderland2 - 1Norwich
ASunderland3 - 2Swansea
HSunderland1 - 1Bristol C
HSunderland2 - 1Stoke
ASunderland0 - 1Sheff Utd
HSunderland0 - 0West Brom
ASunderland1 - 1Millwall
HSunderland2 - 2Coventry
ASunderland0 - 0Preston
ASunderland0 - 0QPR
HSunderland2 - 0Oxford Utd
ASunderland2 - 1Luton
ASunderland1 - 0Hull
HSunderland2 - 2Leeds
HSunderland2 - 0Derby
ASunderland1 - 2Watford
Stoke
20 games
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke0 - 0Plymouth
AStoke0 - 0Burnley
HStoke1 - 0Sunderland
HStoke0 - 2Leeds
AStoke0 - 2Sheff Wed
HStoke2 - 2Cardiff
AStoke1 - 2Luton
AStoke1 - 2Sunderland
HStoke0 - 2Burnley
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke1 - 1QPR
HStoke1 - 1Millwall
AStoke2 - 0Blackburn
HStoke2 - 1Derby
AStoke2 - 3Southampton
AStoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke2 - 2Bristol C
HStoke1 - 1Norwich
AStoke0 - 0Swansea
HStoke6 - 1Portsmouth
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Stoke City of late. It has been 5 FA Cup matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Sunderland.

Sunderland Stoke
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Sunderland will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288960/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
2
1.2
Attack rating
13%
better
SUN
STK
view stats
Games scored15
12
Failed to score5
8
Scored first9
9
Goals scored26
22
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
7%
better
SUN
STK
view stats
Games conceded13
14
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded18
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Sunderland v Stoke will show here when available.

Sunderland FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Stoke FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE