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Luton Town v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Oct, 12:30 BST, Kenilworth Road, Luton

Luton Town are in Championship action on Saturday lunch time, as Rob Edwards looks to get one over on Tom Cleverley and his Watford side at the Kenilworth Road. We have predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Championship clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Championship tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Luton
48%
10/11
1%
19/20
3%
Draw
22%
12/527/10
Watford
30%
3/1
2%
13/5
6%
Draw 1-1
9%
11/211/2
Luton 2-1
9%
15/27/1
Watford 2-1
7%
12/110/1
10%
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
20%
10/1
8%
Luton 1-0
6%
8/1
29%
7/1
7%
Luton 2-0
6%
9/1
11%
17/2
Luton 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Watford 1-0
5%
12/1
18%
10/1
10%
Luton 3-2
4%
22/1
21%
16/1
Luton 3-0
4%
16/112/1
13%
Watford 2-0
4%
20/114/1
Watford 3-1
3%
28/1
15%
18/1
Watford 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
Draw 0-0
3%
12/1
37%
10/1
10%
Luton 4-1
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
8/11
14%
4/6
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
11/10
17%
11/10
5%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/4
9%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
12/1
37%
-
BTTS - Yes
66%
8/13
11%
8/13
3%
BTTS - No
34%
6/5
20%
23/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
13/5
17%
5/2
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
6/1
13%
19/4
Home/draw
70%
2/92/7
1%
Away/draw
52%
5/6
4%
5/6
2%
Home/away
78%
3/101/4
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
2/9
8%
2/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
10/3
27%
29/10
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
7/4
21%
13/8
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
4/9
11%
4/9
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
4/1
29%
19/5
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1/6
6%
1/6
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
9/1
33%
8/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/16
3%
1/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/25
2%
1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
12/1
37%
10/1
Home DNB
63%
2/5
3%
4/9
3%
Away DNB
46%
7/4
8%
8/5
4%
Luton win to nil
19%
11/4
15%
-
Watford win to nil
11%
7/1
14%
-
Luton / Luton
26%
21/102/1
3%
Luton / Watford
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Luton / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw / Luton
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
4%
Draw / Watford
10%
15/213/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
20%
9/2
5%
Watford / Luton
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Watford / Watford
14%
5/1
8%
9/2
5%
Watford / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Luton have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 21st position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Luton have conceded 13 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Luton have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Watford lay in 6th place on 16 points in the Championship league table having played 9 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 12 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Watford have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.5 goals per away game.

Luton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Watford
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Oct 23
Feb 12
 Sunderland96121019 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 8
Apr 5
Nov 27
 Leeds105411019 
Feb 11
Oct 22
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
 Sheff Utd10631719 
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-4A
Mar 8
 Burnley95311018 
Apr 18
Dec 21
Nov 1
May 3
 West Brom9522617 
Dec 15
Apr 12
Oct 19
Feb 22
 Watford Away9513016 
-
-
Jan 1
Nov 30
 Norwich9432615 
Feb 1
l
 
4-1A
Apr 12
Dec 14
 Blackburn9432415 
Oct 26
Apr 26
Mar 15
Nov 9
 M'Boro9423314 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 15
d
 
2-2F
Jan 21
 Oxford Utd9333212 
Nov 8
Mar 15
Dec 7
Dec 29
 Swansea9333212 
Mar 12
Nov 5
Dec 20
Apr 18
 Derby9405012 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 18
Nov 23
Mar 29
 Hull9333-112 
Apr 8
Dec 11
Feb 8
l
 
3-1A
 Plymouth9324-311 
Mar 29
Nov 22
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
 Sheff Wed9324-411 
May 3
Nov 2
Apr 21
Dec 26
 Bristol C9252-411 
Nov 26
Apr 5
Dec 10
Apr 8
 Stoke9315-210 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
 Millwall923419 
Mar 8
w
 
2-3F
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
 Preston9234-59 
Jan 21
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
Oct 26
 Coventry9225-38 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
-
-
 Luton Home9225-78 
Feb 22
Oct 19
l
 
1-2F
Jan 6
 QPR9144-77 
Nov 30
Jan 1
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
 Portsmouth9054-115 
Dec 26
Apr 21
Nov 6
Mar 11
 Cardiff9126-145 
Dec 29
Dec 7
Win / draw / win form
3
Watford have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Luton 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luton2 - 2Oxford Utd
Luton2 - 1Sheff Wed
Luton1 - 2QPR
Luton1 - 4Burnley
Luton2 - 4Fulham
Luton1 - 1Everton
Luton1 - 5Brentford
Luton2 - 1Bournemouth
Luton1 - 1Nottm Forest
Luton2 - 3A Villa
Luton1 - 2Man Utd
Luton1 - 3Sheff Utd
Luton4 - 0Brighton
Luton2 - 3Chelsea
Luton1 - 0Newcastle
Luton1 - 2Man City
Luton3 - 4Arsenal
Luton2 - 1C Palace
Luton1 - 1Liverpool
Luton0 - 1Spurs
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALuton0 - 2Sheff Utd
HLuton2 - 2Oxford Utd
ALuton1 - 3Plymouth
HLuton2 - 1Sheff Wed
ALuton1 - 0Millwall
HLuton1 - 2QPR
ALuton0 - 1Preston
ALuton0 - 0Portsmouth
HLuton1 - 4Burnley
HLuton2 - 4Fulham
ALuton1 - 3West Ham
HLuton1 - 1Everton
ALuton1 - 2Wolves
HLuton1 - 5Brentford
ALuton1 - 5Man City
HLuton2 - 1Bournemouth
ALuton0 - 2Arsenal
ALuton1 - 2Spurs
HLuton1 - 1Nottm Forest
ALuton3 - 4Bournemouth
Watford 6TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Preston3 - 0Watford
Norwich4 - 1Watford
Sheff Utd1 - 0Watford
Millwall2 - 3Watford
M'Boro3 - 1Watford
Southampton3 - 2Watford
Ipswich0 - 0Watford
West Brom2 - 2Watford
Birmingham0 - 1Watford
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Rotherham0 - 1Watford
Norwich4 - 2Watford
Sheff Wed0 - 0Watford
Bristol C1 - 1Watford
QPR1 - 2Watford
Plymouth3 - 3Watford
Blackburn1 - 2Watford
Preston1 - 5Watford
Hull1 - 2Watford
Leicester2 - 0Watford
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWatford2 - 1M'Boro
AWatford0 - 3Preston
HWatford2 - 1Sunderland
AWatford1 - 4Norwich
HWatford1 - 1Coventry
AWatford0 - 1Sheff Utd
HWatford2 - 1Derby
HWatford3 - 0Stoke
AWatford3 - 2Millwall
AWatford1 - 3M'Boro
HWatford1 - 0Sunderland
HWatford0 - 0Hull
AWatford2 - 3Southampton
AWatford0 - 0Ipswich
HWatford0 - 0Preston
AWatford2 - 2West Brom
HWatford2 - 2Leeds
AWatford1 - 0Birmingham
HWatford1 - 2Coventry
HWatford1 - 1Swansea
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Luton since 2006
Luton
Watford
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
LUT
2
WAT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Luton2 - 0
Luton1 - 0
1 - 2Watford
League games at Watford since 2006
Watford
Luton
Goals: Scored
6
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
D
1
WAT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford4 - 0
Watford1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Luton Town's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday lunch time, not least because Watford have conceded in each of their last 7 Championship games. A PG of 1.9 for Rob Edwards's side suggests that run should continue.

Luton 21st Watford 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Luton will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Watford will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Luton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Watford have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
2.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280201/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Luton
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.9
1.5
Attack rating
LUT
WAT
24%
better
view stats
Games scored6
7
Failed to score3
2
Scored first3
3
Goals scored8
14
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
8%
better
LUT
WAT
view stats
Games conceded7
8
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded15
14
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+8%

Luton v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9223
A DoughtyC MorrisA DoughtyR Burke
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK8
2
-
R Burke DEF6
3
-
M McGuinness DEF71
-
T Holmes DEF2
-
V Moses  MID41
-
T Krauß MID411
-
J Clark MID81
3
-
A Doughty MID92
3
-
T Chong MID71
3
-
C Morris FWD62
-
E Adebayo FWD9
1
-
Subs
T Krul GLK
-
D Hashioka DEF
-
J Johnson DEF1
-
M Nakamba MID4
-
P Mpanzu MID4
1
-
Z Nelson MID6
1
-
C Woodrow FWD4
-
J Brown FWD31
-
J Taylor FWD6
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9423
M PollockE KayembeM PollockR Porteous
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Bachmann GLK6
-
M Pollock DEF92
1
-
A Ogbonna DEF3
-
R Porteous DEF6
3
-
R Andrews MID821
-
E Kayembe MID84
-
M Sissoko MID91
1
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID82
-
K Sema MID81
-
G Chakvetadze FWD912
2
-
V Bayo FWD91
1
-
Subs
J Bond GLK4
-
F Ebosele DEF31
1
-
Y Larouci DEF81
-
F Carvallo DEF6
3
-
J Morris DEF7
-
T Ince MID5
-
K Baah FWD61
1
-
R Vata FWD3
-
D Jebbison FWD5
2
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Luton v Watford
Sat 19th Oct, 12:30
Cardiff v Plymouth
Sat 19th Oct, 12:30
Preston v Coventry
Sat 19th Oct, 12:30
Oxford Utd v West Brom
Sat 19th Oct, 12:30
Blackburn v Swansea
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
Millwall v Derby
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
Stoke v Norwich
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
M'Boro v Bristol C
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
QPR v Portsmouth
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
Sheff Wed v Burnley
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
Hull v Sunderland
Sun 20th Oct, 15:00
Cardiff v Portsmouth
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
Preston v Norwich
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
Stoke v Bristol C
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
Oxford Utd v Derby
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
Leeds v Watford
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
Sheff Wed v Swansea
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
QPR v Coventry
Tue 22nd Oct, 20:00
Blackburn v West Brom
Wed 23rd Oct, 19:45
Millwall v Plymouth
Wed 23rd Oct, 19:45
Luton v Sunderland
Wed 23rd Oct, 19:45
Hull v Burnley
Wed 23rd Oct, 19:45
M'Boro v Sheff Utd
Wed 23rd Oct, 20:00
Portsmouth v Sheff Wed
Fri 25th Oct, 20:00
Coventry v Luton
Sat 26th Oct, 12:30
Bristol C v Leeds
Sat 26th Oct, 12:30
Watford v Blackburn
Sat 26th Oct, 12:30
Sheff Utd v Stoke
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Swansea v Millwall
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Plymouth v Preston
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Burnley v QPR
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
West Brom v Cardiff
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Derby v Hull
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Sunderland v Oxford Utd
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Norwich v M'Boro
Sun 27th Oct, 15:00
Luton v West Brom
Fri 1st Nov, 20:00
Blackburn v Sheff Utd
Sat 2nd Nov, 12:30
Stoke v Derby
Sat 2nd Nov, 12:30
Oxford Utd v Swansea
Sat 2nd Nov, 12:30
Leeds v Plymouth
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
M'Boro v Coventry
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
QPR v Sunderland
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
Sheff Wed v Watford
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
Preston v Bristol C
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
Hull v Portsmouth
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
Cardiff v Norwich
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00