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Vasco da Gama v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 20:00 BST, Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, Rio de Janeiro

Vasco da Gama and Palmeiras clash at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da on Sunday night, with both Fabio Pecchia and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira seeking a win in the Serie A. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 major betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Vasco d Gama and Palmeiras have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
22%
7/2
10%
-
Draw
26%
11/5
2%
-
Palmeiras
53%
9/10
6%
-
Palmeiras 1-0
13%
5/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
8%
-
Palmeiras 2-0
10%
7/1
7%
-
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
13/2-
Vasco d Gama 1-0
8%
10/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-1
5%
14/1
12%
-
Palmeiras 3-0
5%
14/1-
Palmeiras 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-0
3%
20/1
9%
-
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
33/1-
Palmeiras 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Palmeiras 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Vasco d Gama 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
5/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/13-
Home 1st Goal
41%
15/8
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/7
3%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2-
BTTS - Yes
47%
1/1-
BTTS - No
53%
3/4-
BTTS - Home Win
9%
9/1
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
7/2-
Home/draw
47%
10/11
2%
-
Away/draw
78%
2/11
1%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
13/2-
Home DNB
40%
9/4
7%
-
Away DNB
71%
1/3
3%
-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
13%
6/1
13%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
32%
2/1
9%
-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
12%
6/1
13%
-
Vasco d Gama / Palmeiras
3%
25/1-
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / Vasco d Gama
10%
15/2
11%
-
Draw / Palmeiras
18%
7/2
4%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4-
Palmeiras / Vasco d Gama
2%
40/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
27%
21/10
8%
-
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win form
5
Vasco d Gama have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Vasco d Gama 8TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
Vasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Santos
Vasco d Gama2 - 0A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Atletico Go
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Internacional
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
Vasco d Gama1 - 0Cuiaba
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Juventude
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Athletico PR
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Bragantino
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Corinthians
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Botafogo
Vasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 6Flamengo
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Vitoria
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Ceara
HVasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Corinthians
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Santos
AVasco d Gama2 - 1Cuiaba
HVasco d Gama2 - 0A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 2Atletico Go
AVasco d Gama1 - 3Corinthians
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Fortaleza
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 0Cuiaba
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Sao Paulo
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Juventude
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Flamengo
AVasco d Gama1 - 0Vitoria
Palmeiras 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fortaleza1 - 2Palmeiras
Internacional0 - 1Palmeiras
S. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
Cruzeiro1 - 2Palmeiras
Atletico Go0 - 1Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Corinthians2 - 0Palmeiras
Juventude3 - 5Palmeiras
Bragantino0 - 0Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Athletico PR0 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
Internacional1 - 1Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo1 - 0Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 2Palmeiras
Fortaleza3 - 0Palmeiras
A Mineiro0 - 4Palmeiras
Criciuma1 - 2Palmeiras
Cuiaba0 - 2Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APalmeiras2 - 1Fortaleza
APalmeiras1 - 0Internacional
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1S. Recife
HPalmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
HPalmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
APalmeiras2 - 1Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
APalmeiras1 - 0Atletico Go
APalmeiras2 - 1Bahia
HPalmeiras1 - 0Gremio
APalmeiras0 - 2Corinthians
HPalmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
APalmeiras5 - 3Juventude
APalmeiras0 - 0Bragantino
HPalmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
APalmeiras1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HPalmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
APalmeiras2 - 0Athletico PR
HPalmeiras5 - 0Cuiaba
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Palmeiras have beaten Vasco d Gama in 3 consecutive league meetings
10
Palmeiras have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 10 consecutive league meetings
3
Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Vasco d Gama
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
3
7
Games: Scored
2 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
3 / 5
D
1
PAL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
0 - 1Palmeiras
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Palmeiras
1 - 2Palmeiras
0 - 1Palmeiras
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
D
2
PAL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras2 - 0
Palmeiras1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Palmeiras1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is to be admired, Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Serie A games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Vasco da Gama makes sense in this context.

Vasco d Gama 8th Palmeiras 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Vasco d Gama scoring 1 goal or less
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Vasco d Gama have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+15
Palmeiras have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294513/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
0.9
1.5
Attack rating
VDG
PAL
27%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score2
1
Scored first1
4
Goals scored6
7
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
VDG
PAL
62%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first3
0
Goals conceded7
2
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
19
Conversion rate against16%
5%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+62%

Vasco d Gama v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
L JardimP VegettiD PayetL Piton 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK2
-
L Piton  DEF2
1
-
J Victor DEF2
1
-
D Payet MID21
-
Adson MID2
-
Jair MID2
1
-
H Moura MID2
-
T Tchê MID2
-
P Vegetti FWD211
-
J Bebanz DEF1
-
P Henrique DEF1
-
M Lemos  DEF1
-
L Freitas DEF1
-
Paulinho MID1
-
B Garré MID1
-
P Coutinho MID1
-
M Santos MID1
-
R Rocha FWD1
-
A Teixeira FWD1
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2102
WevertonJ PiquerezMurilo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK2
-
Micael DEF2
-
J Piquerez DEF21
-
Murilo DEF2
2
-
A Giay DEF2
-
B Fuchs DEF2
1
-
R Veiga MID2
-
E Martínez MID2
-
F Anderson FWD2
-
J López FWD21
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD2
1
-
F Torres FWD2
1
-
Mayke DEF1
1
-
Vanderlan DEF1
-
A Moreno  MID1
-
R Ríos MID1
-