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Sport Recife v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 20:00 BST, Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh, Recife

Sergiy Lavrinenko pays counterpart Pepa a visit on Sunday night in the Serie A, as their Cruzeiro and Sport Recife teams go head to head at the Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh. For every Serie A preview, KickOff delves into the stats for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but it's all-but impossible to predict a thriller here. The stats suggest S. Recife and Cruzeiro both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Recife
42%
6/5-
Draw
28%
9/4-
Cruzeiro
30%
23/10-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
S. Recife 1-0
13%
5/1-
Cruzeiro 1-0
10%
13/2-
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1-
S. Recife 2-1
8%
9/1-
S. Recife 2-0
8%
17/2-
Cruzeiro 2-1
7%
11/1-
Cruzeiro 2-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
S. Recife 3-1
4%
20/1-
S. Recife 3-0
3%
20/1-
Cruzeiro 3-1
2%
33/1-
S. Recife 3-2
2%
40/1-
Cruzeiro 3-0
2%
40/1-
Cruzeiro 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
7%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
11/10-
BTTS - No
54%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/1-
Home/draw
70%
1/3-
Away/draw
58%
4/6-
Home/away
72%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1-
Home DNB
62%
4/7-
Away DNB
49%
5/4-
S. Recife win to nil
26%
12/5-
Cruzeiro win to nil
18%
4/1-
S. Recife / S. Recife
22%
11/4-
S. Recife / Cruzeiro
2%
33/1-
S. Recife / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / S. Recife
16%
4/1-
Draw / Cruzeiro
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Cruzeiro / S. Recife
3%
28/1-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
15%
9/2-
Cruzeiro / Draw
5%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Cruzeiro 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Sport Recife of late. It has been 6 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday night against Cruzeiro.

S. Recife 20th Cruzeiro 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that S. Recife will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Cruzeiro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
S. Recife’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Cruzeiro have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294530/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Recife
PG (predicted goals)
Cruzeiro
1.3
1
Attack rating
%
better
REC
CRU
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
REC
CRU
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

S. Recife v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
C FrançaC BarlettaL LimaM Alexandre
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C França GLK2
-
Chico DEF2
1
-
J Silva DEF2
-
I Cariús DEF2
-
M Alexandre DEF2
2
-
Hereda DEF2
-
C Rivera MID2
1
-
S Oliveira MID2
1
-
F Domínguez MID2
-
L Lima MID21
2
-
C Barletta FWD21
-
L Lobato FWD2
-
C Alberto FWD2
-
Pablo FWD2
1
-
L Cunha DEF1
-
Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5323
C CássioK JorgeL SilvaF Bruno
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Cássio GLK5
2
-
Kaiki DEF51
1
-
F Bruno DEF5
3
-
L Romero MID51
2
-
Dudu FWD51
-
L Silva MID42
-
M Pereira MID4
2
-
Walace MID4
1
-
C Eduardo  MID4
-
K Jorge FWD43
2
-
G Barbosa FWD41
-
William DEF32
1
-
L Villalba DEF3
1
-
Christian MID31
1
-
Marquinhos FWD3
-
Fagner DEF2
1
-
J Alves DEF2
1
M Gamarra DEF2
-
M Henrique MID2
1
-
L Díaz FWD2
-
Marlon DEF1
-
Rodriguinho MID1
-
Y Bolasie FWD1
-
J Dinenno FWD1
-