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Sao Paulo v Fortaleza : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 01:30 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

It's a long trek for Juan Pablo Vojvoda's Fortaleza side on Saturday morning, as they head to the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo for a Serie A clash with Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Sao Paulo. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Sao Paulo and Fortaleza combined during the standard 90 minutes. Recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 75% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
51%
9/10
1%
-
Draw
25%
23/10-
Fortaleza
23%
16/5-
Sao Paulo 1-0
12%
11/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Sao Paulo 2-0
10%
15/2
6%
-
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
11%
-
Fortaleza 1-0
8%
10/1
8%
-
Fortaleza 2-1
6%
14/1-
Sao Paulo 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Sao Paulo 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
-
Fortaleza 2-0
4%
20/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
-
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
33/1-
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
33/1-
Fortaleza 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
7/10
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/20
8%
-
BTTS - No
51%
4/5
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/3
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
8/1
6%
-
Home/draw
77%
2/9-
Away/draw
49%
10/11
4%
-
Home/away
75%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1
14%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1
14%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/2
11%
-
Home DNB
69%
4/11-
Away DNB
41%
2/1-
Sao Paulo win to nil
30%
2/1
8%
-
Fortaleza win to nil
13%
6/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
27%
21/10-
Sao Paulo / Fortaleza
2%
33/1-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
18%
15/4-
Draw / Fortaleza
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Fortaleza / Sao Paulo
3%
25/1
13%
-
Fortaleza / Fortaleza
12%
6/1
8%
-
Fortaleza / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Sao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
Sao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 1Criciuma
Sao Paulo0 - 1Cuiaba
Sao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Fluminense
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo2 - 1Santos
ASao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cuiaba
HSao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 2Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Fortaleza 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
Mirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
Atletico Go3 - 1Fortaleza
Vitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
Fluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
Juventude0 - 3Fortaleza
Palmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
Gremio3 - 1Fortaleza
Athletico PR1 - 1Fortaleza
Internacional2 - 1Fortaleza
Botafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
Bragantino1 - 2Fortaleza
Cruzeiro1 - 2Fortaleza
Criciuma1 - 1Fortaleza
Flamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
A Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
Cuiaba5 - 0Fortaleza
Bahia1 - 0Fortaleza
Corinthians0 - 0Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFortaleza1 - 2Palmeiras
AFortaleza1 - 2Vitoria
HFortaleza0 - 0Internacional
AFortaleza1 - 1Mirassol
HFortaleza2 - 0Fluminense
HFortaleza3 - 0Internacional
AFortaleza1 - 3Atletico Go
AFortaleza0 - 2Vitoria
HFortaleza0 - 0Flamengo
AFortaleza2 - 2Fluminense
HFortaleza3 - 0Vasco d Gama
AFortaleza3 - 0Juventude
AFortaleza2 - 2Palmeiras
HFortaleza1 - 1A Mineiro
AFortaleza1 - 3Gremio
HFortaleza1 - 0Cuiaba
HFortaleza4 - 1Bahia
AFortaleza1 - 1Athletico PR
AFortaleza1 - 2Internacional
AFortaleza0 - 2Botafogo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Fortaleza have beaten Sao Paulo in 4 consecutive away league meetings
8
Fortaleza have not lost to Sao Paulo in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2019
Sao Paulo
Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
SAO
2
FOR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
1 - 2Fortaleza
1 - 2Fortaleza
0 - 1Fortaleza
0 - 1Fortaleza
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
League games at Fortaleza since 2019
Fortaleza
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
SAO
2
D
3
FOR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fortaleza
Fortaleza1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Sao Paulo
0 - 1Sao Paulo
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 10th Fortaleza 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Fortaleza scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Fortaleza’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294515/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Fortaleza
1.6
1
Attack rating
SAO
FOR
6%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score2
1
Scored first3
2
Goals scored5
5
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
24%
better
SAO
FOR
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded4
5
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
9
Conversion rate against8%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+24%

Sao Paulo v Fortaleza Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2001
RafaelA Franco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK2
-
N Ferraresi  DEF2
-
A Franco DEF2
1
-
R Arboleda DEF2
-
Wendell DEF2
-
C Soares DEF2
-
E Díaz DEF2
-
Alisson MID2
-
M. Alves Nascimento MID2
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID2
-
M Antônio MID2
-
J Calleri FWD2
1
Luciano FWD2
-
Ferreira FWD2
1
-
A Silva FWD2
1
-
I Vinícius  DEF1
-
Sabino DEF1
-
R Tressoldi DEF1
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD1
-
Fortaleza Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
J RicardoE Martínez P FernándezP Fernández
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Ricardo GLK2
-
D Luiz DEF2
-
B Kuscevic DEF2
-
Titi DEF2
-
P Fernández MID21
2
-
E Martínez  MID21
1
-
J Welison MID2
-
L Sasha MID2
-
M Moisés FWD21
1
-
Y Pikachu FWD2
-
J Lucero FWD21
-
B Pacheco DEF1
-
D Barbosa DEF1
-
Tinga DEF11
-
E Mancuso DEF1
1
-
T Pochettino MID1
-
Marinho FWD11
-