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Palmeiras v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 21:30 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

the Allianz Parque is the stage on Sunday night, as Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's Palmeiras host Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Sao Paulo in the Serie A. Analysing both sides' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are tipping a relatively tight affair here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Palmeiras and Sao Paulo go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
53%
4/5-
Draw
27%
5/2-
Sao Paulo
20%
7/2-
Palmeiras 1-0
16%
4/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Palmeiras 2-0
11%
6/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
11/2-
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
17/2-
Sao Paulo 1-0
9%
15/2-
Palmeiras 3-0
5%
14/1-
Sao Paulo 2-1
5%
16/1-
Palmeiras 3-1
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1-
Sao Paulo 2-0
3%
20/1-
Palmeiras 4-0
2%
33/1-
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
40/1-
Palmeiras 4-1
1%
40/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
8/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
19/40-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
38%
11/5-
No 1st Goal
7%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
41%
11/8-
BTTS - No
59%
8/15-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/1-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11/1-
Home/draw
80%
2/11-
Away/draw
47%
19/20-
Home/away
73%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
4/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
11/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
9/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
12/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/9-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
11/2-
Home DNB
72%
1/3-
Away DNB
39%
9/4-
Palmeiras win to nil
35%
6/4-
Sao Paulo win to nil
13%
11/2-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
29%
15/8-
Palmeiras / Sao Paulo
2%
40/1-
Palmeiras / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Palmeiras
19%
10/3-
Draw / Sao Paulo
9%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Sao Paulo / Palmeiras
3%
28/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
10%
15/2-
Sao Paulo / Draw
5%
16/1-
Win / draw / win form
3
Sao Paulo have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
6
Sao Paulo have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Palmeiras 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Sao Paulo 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
13
6
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
PAL
4
D
1
SAO
2
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
3
8
Games: Scored
3 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
4 / 7
PAL
3
D
4
Goal Statistics
Palmeiras 1st Sao Paulo 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294524/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
PAL
SAO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
PAL
SAO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Palmeiras v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2102
WevertonJ PiquerezMurilo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK2
-
Micael DEF2
-
J Piquerez DEF21
-
Murilo DEF2
2
-
A Giay DEF2
-
B Fuchs DEF2
1
-
R Veiga MID2
-
E Martínez MID2
-
F Anderson FWD2
-
J López FWD21
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD2
1
-
F Torres FWD2
1
-
Mayke DEF1
1
-
Vanderlan DEF1
-
A Moreno  MID1
-
R Ríos MID1
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
RafaelFerreiraFerreiraE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK6
1
-
C Soares DEF61
1
-
E Díaz DEF6
3
-
Alisson MID6
2
-
M Antônio MID6
3
-
Ferreira FWD632
2
-
A Silva FWD621
2
-
N Ferraresi  DEF5
-
A Franco DEF5
1
-
M. Alves Nascimento MID51
3
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID5
-
Luciano FWD5
-
Wendell DEF4
-
I Vinícius  DEF3
1
-
Sabino DEF3
1
-
R Arboleda DEF3
1
-
R Tressoldi DEF3
-
D Bobadilla MID3
1
-
Rodrigo MID3
2
-
J Calleri FWD3
1
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD31
-