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Fluminense v Sport Recife : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 22:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Pepa leads his Sport Recife troops to the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in the Serie A on Saturday night, with Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes's Fluminense waiting for them. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head records, will update as you browse each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
56%
8/11-
Draw
24%
11/4-
S. Recife
20%
7/2-
Fluminense 1-0
13%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
Fluminense 2-0
11%
13/2-
Fluminense 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
17/2-
S. Recife 1-0
7%
10/1-
Fluminense 3-0
6%
12/1-
Fluminense 3-1
5%
14/1-
S. Recife 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
S. Recife 2-0
3%
22/1-
Fluminense 4-0
3%
28/1-
Fluminense 3-2
2%
28/1-
Fluminense 4-1
2%
28/1-
S. Recife 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
21/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
3/4-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
40%
2/1-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/1-
BTTS - No
52%
3/4-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/2-
Home/draw
80%
2/11-
Away/draw
44%
21/20-
Home/away
76%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
17/2-
Home DNB
73%
3/10-
Away DNB
37%
12/5-
Fluminense win to nil
33%
13/8-
S. Recife win to nil
11%
6/1-
Fluminense / Fluminense
30%
7/4-
Fluminense / S. Recife
2%
40/1-
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Fluminense
18%
7/2-
Draw / S. Recife
9%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
S. Recife / Fluminense
4%
22/1-
S. Recife / S. Recife
10%
7/1-
S. Recife / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Fluminense 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
Fluminense1 - 0Santos
Fluminense2 - 1Bragantino
Fluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
Fluminense0 - 0Criciuma
Fluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
Fluminense2 - 2Gremio
Fluminense1 - 0Athletico PR
Fluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense0 - 1Botafogo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense0 - 0Corinthians
Fluminense1 - 0Bahia
Fluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 1Internacional
Fluminense0 - 1Vitoria
Fluminense0 - 1Flamengo
Fluminense1 - 2Atletico Go
Fluminense1 - 1Juventude
Fluminense2 - 2A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense1 - 1Vitoria
AFluminense2 - 0Corinthians
HFluminense1 - 0Santos
HFluminense2 - 1Bragantino
AFluminense0 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
AFluminense1 - 1Athletico PR
HFluminense0 - 0Criciuma
HFluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense0 - 2Internacional
HFluminense2 - 2Gremio
AFluminense1 - 2Vitoria
HFluminense1 - 0Athletico PR
AFluminense2 - 0Flamengo
HFluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
AFluminense0 - 1Atletico Go
HFluminense0 - 1Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 2Juventude
HFluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians2 - 1S. Recife
Vasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Ponte Preta0 - 4S. Recife
Operario2 - 1S. Recife
America 2 - 1S. Recife
Novorizontin1 - 3S. Recife
Mirassol0 - 0S. Recife
Paysandu0 - 1S. Recife
CRB1 - 1S. Recife
Avai0 - 2S. Recife
Brusque1 - 0S. Recife
Vila Nova2 - 0S. Recife
Santos1 - 1S. Recife
Chapecoense1 - 1S. Recife
Guarani0 - 1S. Recife
Botafogo1 - 1S. Recife
Ceara0 - 0S. Recife
Goias3 - 0S. Recife
Ituano1 - 0S. Recife
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Recife1 - 2Corinthians
HS. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
AS. Recife1 - 3Vasco d Gama
HS. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
AS. Recife0 - 0Sao Paulo
HS. Recife2 - 1Santos
AS. Recife4 - 0Ponte Preta
HS. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
AS. Recife1 - 2Operario
AS. Recife1 - 2America
HS. Recife4 - 0Guarani
HS. Recife3 - 1Botafogo
HS. Recife1 - 2Operario
AS. Recife3 - 1Novorizontin
HS. Recife2 - 1Ceara
AS. Recife0 - 0Mirassol
AS. Recife1 - 0Paysandu
HS. Recife1 - 1Goias
HS. Recife2 - 0CRB
AS. Recife1 - 1CRB
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Fluminense have beaten S. Recife in 3 consecutive league meetings
3
Fluminense have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with S. Recife
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
2 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
1 / 3
FLU
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
3
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
FLU
2
REC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
1 - 2Fluminense
S. Recife1 - 0
1 - 2Fluminense
Goal Statistics
Fluminense 4th S. Recife 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of S. Recife scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Fluminense have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
S. Recife’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294512/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
S. Recife
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
42%
better
FLU
REC
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score1
2
Scored first4
1
Goals scored6
3
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.6
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
13
Conversion rate for13
8
Avg. XG for1.1
0.6
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
37%
better
FLU
REC
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded4
8
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+37%

Fluminense v S. Recife Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
F FábioLimaA CanobbioH Hércules
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK2
-
T Silva DEF2
-
Renê DEF2
-
Guga DEF2
-
J Freytes DEF2
-
Lima MID21
-
H Hércules MID2
1
-
Martinelli MID21
-
J Arias MID2
-
Everaldo FWD2
-
G Cano FWD2
-
A Canobbio FWD21
-
Keno FWD2
-
S Xavier DEF1
-
Ganso MID1
-
F Cruz MID1
-
K Serna FWD1
-
J Lavega FWD1
-
S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
C FrançaC BarlettaL LimaM Alexandre
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C França GLK2
-
J Silva DEF2
-
I Cariús DEF2
-
M Alexandre DEF2
2
-
Hereda DEF2
-
Chico DEF2
1
-
S Oliveira MID2
1
-
F Domínguez MID2
-
L Lima MID21
2
-
C Rivera MID2
1
-
C Barletta FWD21
-
L Lobato FWD2
-
C Alberto FWD2
-
Pablo FWD2
1
-
L Cunha DEF1
-