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Flamengo v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Adenor Leonardo Bacchi's Flamengo side are on home soil in the Serie A on Sunday afternoon, as Artur Jorge Torres Gomes Araújo Amorim's Botafogo travel to the Estádio Nilton Santos. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Serie A Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Botafogo's next match is v Fortaleza at 20:00 on Sunday 12th May

The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Flamengo and Botafogo was on Sunday 28th April 2024

Brazillian Serie A

April 28th 2024

Flamengo 0	2 Botafogo

	53' L. Rosa da Silva
	90' J. Savarino Quintero

	FLA BOT
Shots On	3
Shots Off	11 1
Corners	8 3
Possession	60% 40%
Fouls	11 14
Yellow/red cards	1/0 4/0

Flamengo	Botafogo

A. Rossi F. Soares de Faria G. Varela Olivera (W. França Lima 66') A. Dantas de Medeiros (M. Viña Susperreguy 84') L. Pereira G. De Arrascaeta Benedetti (L. Pereira de Sousa 70') D. De La Cruz Arcosa E. Pulgar Farfán (A. Rodrigues de Souza 46') P. Abreu dos Santos L. de Araujo Guimarães Neto (G. Santos da Silva 66') B. Pinto	J. Furtado D. Suárez Suárez (A. Barboza Ullúa 72') L. Halter B. Quissanga Hugo M. Rodrigues Freitas (D. das Neves Pinheiro 60') C. de Oliveira Alves (G. Magalhaes Silva 68') D. Barbosa da Silva (D. Hernández González 68') J. dos Santos Junior J. Savarino Quintero (Jefferson 60') L. Rosa da Silva

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but good reason to think Flamengo and Botafogo will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Adenor Leonardo Bacchi or Artur Jorge Torres Gomes Araújo Amorim has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.30 equating to roughly a 75% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Flamengo 58%	4/7	11/20 1%
Draw 23%	16/5 5%	27/10 1%
Botafogo 19%	9/2	4/1
Flamengo 1-0 12%	11/2	5/1
Draw 1-1 11%	7/1 7%	6/1
Flamengo 2-0 11%	6/1	11/2
Flamengo 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Draw 0-0 7%	10/1 10%	8/1
Flamengo 3-0 6%	10/1	9/1 5%
Botafogo 1-0 6%	12/1	10/1
Flamengo 3-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Botafogo 2-1 5%	16/1	14/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Flamengo 4-0 3%	22/1	16/1
Botafogo 2-0 3%	25/1 10%	20/1
Flamengo 3-2 3%	28/1	18/1
Flamengo 4-1 3%	25/1	18/1
Botafogo 3-1 1%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	19/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	17/20	-
Home 1st Goal 56%	2/5	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	9/4	-
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1 10%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	1/1	1/1
BTTS - No 51%	3/4	3/4 1%
BTTS - Home Win 24%	11/4	13/5
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	17/4
BTTS - Away Win 9%	10/1	17/2
Home/draw 81%	1/7	1/7
Away/draw 42%	13/10	13/10
Home/away 77%	2/9	1/4 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	3/10	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	5/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	12/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	1/3	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	11/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1 10%	-
Home DNB 74%	2/9	1/5
Away DNB 35%	3/1	3/1
Flamengo win to nil 34%	6/4	-
Botafogo win to nil 10%	8/1	-
Flamengo / Flamengo 32%	6/4	7/5
Flamengo / Botafogo 2%	40/1	33/1
Flamengo / Draw 6%	14/1	14/1
Draw / Flamengo 19%	10/3	3/1
Draw / Botafogo 8%	10/1	9/1
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4 5%
Botafogo / Flamengo 4%	20/1	18/1
Botafogo / Botafogo 10%	17/2	15/2
Botafogo / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM
Flamengo	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	2 - 1	Cuiaba
Flamengo	0 - 3	A Mineiro
Flamengo	1 - 0	Bragantino
Flamengo	1 - 1	Fluminese
Flamengo	3 - 0	Palmeiras
Flamengo	1 - 2	Santos
Flamengo	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
Flamengo	0 - 3	Athletico PR
Flamengo	0 - 0	Internacional
Flamengo	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	1 - 1	America
Flamengo	2 - 0	Fortaleza
Flamengo	3 - 0	Gremio
Flamengo	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Flamengo	1 - 0	Corinthians
Flamengo	2 - 0	Goias
Flamengo	2 - 3	Botafogo
Flamengo	3 - 0	Cortiba

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Flamengo	0 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Flamengo	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Atletico Go
A	Flamengo	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Flamengo	2 - 1	Cuiaba
H	Flamengo	0 - 3	A Mineiro
A	Flamengo	3 - 0	America
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Bragantino
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Fluminese
H	Flamengo	3 - 0	Palmeiras
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Flamengo	1 - 2	Santos
A	Flamengo	2 - 3	Gremio
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Corinthians
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
A	Flamengo	0 - 0	Goias
H	Flamengo	0 - 3	Athletico PR
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Botafogo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Cruzeiro	3 - 2	Botafogo
Internacional	3 - 1	Botafogo
Cortiba	1 - 1	Botafogo
Fortaleza	2 - 2	Botafogo
Bragantino	2 - 2	Botafogo
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Botafogo
America	1 - 2	Botafogo
Fluminese	0 - 2	Botafogo
Corinthians	1 - 0	Botafogo
A Mineiro	1 - 0	Botafogo
Sao Paulo	0 - 0	Botafogo
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Botafogo
Santos	2 - 2	Botafogo
Gremio	0 - 2	Botafogo
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Botafogo
Cuiaba	0 - 1	Botafogo
Athletico PR	1 - 0	Botafogo
Goias	2 - 1	Botafogo
Flamengo	2 - 3	Botafogo
Bahia	1 - 2	Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Botafogo	5 - 1	Juventude
H	Botafogo	1 - 0	Atletico Go
A	Botafogo	2 - 3	Cruzeiro
A	Botafogo	1 - 3	Internacional
H	Botafogo	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Botafogo	1 - 1	Cortiba
H	Botafogo	1 - 1	Santos
A	Botafogo	2 - 2	Fortaleza
A	Botafogo	2 - 2	Bragantino
H	Botafogo	3 - 4	Gremio
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama
H	Botafogo	3 - 4	Palmeiras
H	Botafogo	0 - 1	Cuiaba
H	Botafogo	1 - 1	Athletico PR
A	Botafogo	2 - 1	America
A	Botafogo	2 - 0	Fluminese
H	Botafogo	1 - 1	Goias
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Botafogo	1 - 2	Flamengo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Flamengo

Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

FLA

BOT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
	2 - 3	Botafogo
	0 - 1	Botafogo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Flamengo	3 - 2
Flamengo	2 - 0

Flamengo

Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 10

6 / 10

Clean sheets

4 / 10

1 / 10

FLA

BOT

FIXTURE HISTORY
	1 - 2	Flamengo
	2 - 3	Botafogo
	0 - 1	Flamengo
	0 - 1	Botafogo
	0 - 1	Flamengo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Flamengo
Flamengo	3 - 2
Botafogo	2 - 1
Flamengo	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Flamengo 1st	Botafogo 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Botafogo scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-17 Flamengo have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted	+9 Botafogo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.2 conceded

Statistics Serie A - 2024/2024 Season

FLA

BOT

40%

better

view stats

Games scored	4		5
Failed to score	2		0
Scored first	3		4
Goals scored	7		11
Avg. goals scored	1.2		2.2
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		4
Conversion rate	11%		23%
KickOff rating		+40%

better

FLA

BOT

view stats

Games conceded	4		3
Clean sheets	2		2
Conceded first	2		1
Goals conceded	5		6
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		7
Conversion rate	11%		14%
KickOff rating		0%

Flamengo v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	2	3
A Rossi	N Cruz	N Cruz	L Pereira

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rossi GLK	6			-
G Varela DEF	4			-
F Bruno DEF	5			2 -
L Pereira DEF	6			3 -
Ayrton DEF	6			-
E Farfán MID	4			-
N Cruz MID	6	2	2	1 -
L Araújo MID	5	1		-
G Arrascaeta MID	3			1 -
B Henrique MID	5	1		-
Pedro FWD	6	2		-
Subs
M Cunha GLK				-
Wesley DEF	2			-
L Ortiz DEF	2			-
M Viña DEF	4			-
D Luiz DEF				-
V Hugo MID	3			-
I Jesus MID	2			1 -
Gerson MID	6		1	-
Lorran MID	4	1	1	-
Allan MID	5			2 -
M Gonçalves FWD				-
Carlinhos FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	2	3
N Cruz	Pedro	N Cruz	N Cruz

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Pedro FWD	2	6		2
N Cruz MID	2	4	2	3
L Araújo MID	1	2
B Henrique MID	1	4
G Varela DEF				2
F Bruno DEF		1
L Pereira DEF				1
Ayrton DEF				2
E Farfán MID		1
G Arrascaeta MID		1		1
Subs
Lorran MID	1	2	1	1
I Jesus MID				1
Gerson MID			1	1
Allan MID		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
332	14	40
L Pereira	N Cruz	Ayrton

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Pereira DEF	332	6	19
F Bruno DEF	309	7	19
N Cruz MID	289	14	39
A Rossi GLK	210		3
Ayrton DEF	210	12	40
E Farfán MID	161	7	13
G Varela DEF	157	3	13
B Henrique MID	105	4	33
G Arrascaeta MID	105	1	9
L Araújo MID	97	8	23
Pedro FWD	74	4	26
Subs
Allan MID	176	9	21
Gerson MID	158	6	27
Lorran MID	63	3	11
L Ortiz DEF	50	2	6
Wesley DEF	42	2	9
M Viña DEF	36	1	4
I Jesus MID	16	3	8
V Hugo MID	13		2
Carlinhos FWD	9	1	6

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	1	2
L Halter	D Barbosa	Hugo	D Barbosa

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
John GLK	2			-
D Suárez DEF	3			-
L Halter DEF	5			1 -
Bastos DEF	5			1 -
Hugo DEF	5		1	-
L Henrique MID	4	1	1	1 -
D Barbosa MID	5	2		2 -
M Freitas MID	4		1	-
J Santos MID	5	1	1	1 -
J Savarino FWD	5	2	1	1 -
C Eduardo FWD	2			-
Subs
G Fernández GLK	3			-
M Ponte DEF	3	1		-
A Barboza DEF	3			1 1
L Segovia DEF				-
Cuiabano DEF	1			-
Gregore MID	4			1 -
T Tchê MID	3			-
P Paula MID	1			1 -
Óscar Romero MID	2			-
Jeffinho FWD	5	1	1	2 -
Y. Augusto FWD				-
D Hernández FWD	3		1	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	1	2
D Barbosa	J Savarino	Hugo	J Santos

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Barbosa MID	2	2
J Savarino FWD	2	4	1
L Henrique MID	1	1	1
J Santos MID	1	3	1	2
L Halter DEF		1
Hugo DEF			1	1
M Freitas MID			1	1
Subs
M Ponte DEF	1	1
Jeffinho FWD	1	4	1
A Barboza DEF		1
Cuiabano DEF		1
T Tchê MID				2
Óscar Romero MID		1
D Hernández FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
261	8	30
L Halter	Hugo	J Santos

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Halter DEF	261	3	8
Bastos DEF	235	7	15
M Freitas MID	229	7	13
Hugo DEF	144	8	14
D Barbosa MID	126	3	9
J Savarino FWD	116	2	7
D Suárez DEF	90	2	4
J Santos MID	85	6	30
L Henrique MID	78	2	9
John GLK	73
C Eduardo FWD	30	1	5
Subs
Gregore MID	111	6	14
T Tchê MID	93	2	5
G Fernández GLK	85		2
M Ponte DEF	78	5	9
Jeffinho FWD	77	6	15
D Hernández FWD	32	1	3
Óscar Romero MID	31	4	7
Cuiabano DEF	18	1	1
A Barboza DEF	13		1
P Paula MID	3