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Sao Paulo v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

We’ve Serie A action to look forward to on Tuesday morning, as Thiago Carpini Barbosa and his Sao Paulo side host Fernando Diniz Silva’s Fluminense at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. This preview has odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.

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Sao Paulo's next match is v Corinthians at 20:00 on Sunday 2nd June
Fluminense's next match is v Atletico Go at 22:00 on Saturday 1st June
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Sao Paulo and Fluminese was on Tuesday 14th May 2024
Brazillian Serie A
May 14th 2024
Sao Paulo 2
1 Fluminese
 
D. Bobadilla 33'29' (OG)I. de Souza
R. Arboleda Escobar 84'
 
SAO
FLU
Shots On
8
2
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
7
4
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
15
12
Yellow/red cards
5/0
3/0
 
Sao PauloFluminese
 
R. Monteiro
R. Arboleda Escobarfootball icon
P. Lanza dos Reis (Welington 90')
A. Franco
I. de Souzafootball icon
D. Bobadillafootball icon (G. Galoppo 52')
R. Bertalia (R. Huendra Almeida Mendonça 52')
A. de Freitas Castro
A. Oliveira Silva (A. dos Santos Ferreira 79')
Juan (E. de Arruda Serafim 52')
L. da Rocha Neves
F. Lopes Maciel
(M. Vieira da Silva Júnior 85') D. Barbosa Mendanha
(F. de Andrade Vieira 46') M. Silva Carvalho
A. Cunha Capocasali Junior
V. Moreira de Lima
J. Arias Andrade
A. Gomes da Costa
(J. Kennedy Batista de Souza 46') M. Martinelli
(M. Terans Pérez 79') K. Elias Nogueira
(C. Rodrigues Gomes 79') M. da Silva França
M. Oliveira Alencar
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Sao Paulo and Fluminese combined during 90 minutes. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we think there's a 78% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
57%
7/10
17%
4/6
17%
Draw
24%
13/5
11%
12/5
10%
Fluminese
19%
17/4
40%
18/5
31%
Sao Paulo 1-0
13%
5/119/4
4%
Sao Paulo 2-0
11%
6/1
22%
6/1
18%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
11/2
Sao Paulo 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
12%
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
13%
13/2
7%
Fluminese 1-0
7%
10/1
22%
9/1
18%
Sao Paulo 3-0
6%
12/1
32%
10/1
27%
Sao Paulo 3-1
5%
14/1
21%
11/1
20%
Fluminese 2-1
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Fluminese 2-0
3%
22/1
35%
18/1
27%
Sao Paulo 4-0
3%
25/1
37%
18/1
34%
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
20/1
28%
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
19%
Fluminese 3-1
1%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
7/10
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/9
14%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
21/10
18%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/20
3%
21/20
BTTS - No
54%
7/10
3%
7/10
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/3
13%
29/10
19%
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
16%
4/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/1
29%
17/2
27%
Home/draw
81%
1/6
6%
1/6
9%
Away/draw
43%
11/10
21%
11/10
20%
Home/away
76%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5
16%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1
11%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
19%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
20%
-
Home DNB
74%
1/4
13%
1/4
13%
Away DNB
35%
11/4
43%
13/5
38%
Sao Paulo win to nil
35%
13/8
19%
-
Fluminese win to nil
11%
7/1
33%
-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
31%
7/4
19%
13/8
19%
Sao Paulo / Fluminese
2%
40/1
21%
33/1
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Sao Paulo
19%
10/3
13%
16/5
13%
Draw / Fluminese
8%
9/1
33%
17/2
27%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
11%
19/5
9%
Fluminese / Sao Paulo
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
17%
Fluminese / Fluminese
9%
15/2
31%
13/2
25%
Fluminese / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
13%
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
see results
HOME FORM
Sao Paulo0 - 0Palmeiras
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo0 - 0Cuiaba
Sao Paulo1 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo3 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo2 - 1Cortiba
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Sao Paulo0 - 0Botafogo
Sao Paulo0 - 2A Mineiro
Sao Paulo0 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo4 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 0Fluminese
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Sao Paulo0 - 2Palmeiras
Sao Paulo2 - 1Goias
Sao Paulo4 - 2Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo2 - 0Internacional
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
ASao Paulo3 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo0 - 0Palmeiras
ASao Paulo3 - 0Atletico Go
ASao Paulo1 - 2Flamengo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
HSao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
ASao Paulo1 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 0Bahia
HSao Paulo0 - 0Cuiaba
ASao Paulo0 - 1Fluminese
ASao Paulo0 - 0Santos
HSao Paulo1 - 0Bragantino
HSao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo0 - 5Palmeiras
HSao Paulo3 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo0 - 2Goias
ASao Paulo0 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo2 - 1Cortiba
Fluminese 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
see results
AWAY FORM
Corinthians3 - 0Fluminese
Bahia2 - 1Fluminese
Palmeiras1 - 0Fluminese
Santos0 - 3Fluminese
Flamengo1 - 1Fluminese
Internacional0 - 0Fluminese
Bahia1 - 0Fluminese
A Mineiro2 - 0Fluminese
Bragantino1 - 0Fluminese
Cuiaba3 - 0Fluminese
Vasco d Gama4 - 2Fluminese
Athletico PR2 - 2Fluminese
Gremio2 - 1Fluminese
Cortiba2 - 0Fluminese
Sao Paulo1 - 0Fluminese
Goias2 - 2Fluminese
Corinthians2 - 0Fluminese
Botafogo1 - 0Fluminese
Cruzeiro0 - 2Fluminese
Fortaleza4 - 2Fluminese
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
see results
OVERALL FORM
HFluminese2 - 2A Mineiro
AFluminese0 - 3Corinthians
HFluminese2 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFluminese1 - 2Bahia
HFluminese2 - 2Bragantino
HFluminese2 - 3Gremio
AFluminese0 - 1Palmeiras
AFluminese3 - 0Santos
HFluminese2 - 1Cortiba
HFluminese1 - 0Sao Paulo
AFluminese1 - 1Flamengo
AFluminese0 - 0Internacional
AFluminese0 - 1Bahia
AFluminese0 - 2A Mineiro
HFluminese5 - 3Goias
AFluminese0 - 1Bragantino
HFluminese3 - 3Corinthians
HFluminese0 - 2Botafogo
AFluminese0 - 3Cuiaba
HFluminese1 - 0Cruzeiro
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Fluminese
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
SAO
2
D
3
FLU
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo3 - 1
0 - 2Fluminese
Draw1 - 1Draw
All league games since 2018
Sao Paulo
Fluminese
Goals: Scored
14
15
Games: Scored
9 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
3 / 12
SAO
4
D
4
FLU
4
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Fluminese1 - 0
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Fluminese3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Fluminese2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo3 - 1
0 - 2Fluminese
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Sao Paulo's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday morning, not least because Fluminense have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A games. A PG of 1.7 for T. Carpini Barbosa's side suggests that run should continue.

Sao Paulo 5th Fluminese 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Fluminese scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Fluminese have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2024/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273112/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminese
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
SAO
FLU
3%
better
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
5
Goals scored10
8
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate15%
14%
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
23%
better
SAO
FLU
view stats
Games conceded4
6
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first3
1
Goals conceded6
12
Avg. goals conceded1
2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate17%
16%
KickOff rating
+23%

Sao Paulo v Fluminese Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6314
RafaelLucianoI Vinícius Luciano
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK6
-
I Vinícius  DEF61
3
-
R Arboleda DEF61
-
A Franco DEF4
1
-
Patryck DEF1
-
Alisson MID61
1
-
D Bobadilla MID41
1
-
A Silva MID611
-
R Nestor MID41
2
-
Juan MID21
-
Luciano FWD63
4
-
Subs
Jandrei GLK
-
D Costa DEF5
1
-
Welington  DEF4
-
J Moreira  DEF
-
N Ferraresi  DEF31
-
Sabino DEF
-
G Galoppo  MID4
2
-
L Gustavo MID
-
Rodrigo MID2
-
Ferreira FWD42
-
Erick FWD41
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD1
-
Fluminese Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6213
F FábioLimaMarquinhosLima
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK6
-
Marquinhos DEF61
1
-
Manoel DEF5
1
-
A Carlos DEF2
-
D Barbosa DEF3
1
-
Lima MID62
3
-
Martinelli MID61
1
-
Alexsander MID31
2
-
Keno MID1
-
J Arias MID61
1
-
K Nogueira FWD4
-
Subs
F Alves GLK
-
Marcelo DEF51
-
F Vieira DEF4
-
Guga DEF2
2
-
F Melo DEF4
2
-
Calegari  DEF
-
D Terans MID3
-
A Sanches MID
-
J Kennedy FWD4
1
-
G Cano FWD52
1
-
J. Lucumií González FWD
-
I Lima FWD1
-