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Flamengo v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 01:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Bahia, led by manager Rogério Mücke Ceni, visit Filipe Luis Kasmirski and his Flamengo side at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho on Sunday morning in the Serie A. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
53%
4/5-
Draw
26%
5/2-
Bahia
21%
7/2-
Flamengo 1-0
14%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Flamengo 2-0
11%
13/2-
Draw 0-0
10%
13/2-
Flamengo 2-1
9%
8/1-
Bahia 1-0
8%
17/2-
Flamengo 3-0
5%
14/1-
Bahia 2-1
5%
14/1-
Flamengo 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Bahia 2-0
3%
20/1-
Flamengo 4-0
2%
33/1-
Flamengo 3-2
2%
40/1-
Flamengo 4-1
2%
40/1-
Bahia 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
39%
21/10-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2-
BTTS - Yes
44%
6/5-
BTTS - No
56%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/1-
Home/draw
79%
2/11-
Away/draw
47%
19/20-
Home/away
74%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
13/2-
Home DNB
71%
1/3-
Away DNB
39%
9/4-
Flamengo win to nil
34%
13/8-
Bahia win to nil
13%
11/2-
Flamengo / Flamengo
29%
15/8-
Flamengo / Bahia
2%
40/1-
Flamengo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Flamengo
18%
7/2-
Draw / Bahia
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2-
Bahia / Flamengo
3%
28/1-
Bahia / Bahia
10%
7/1-
Bahia / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Flamengo 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo6 - 0Juventude
Flamengo1 - 1Internacional
Flamengo2 - 2Vitoria
Flamengo3 - 2Internacional
Flamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo4 - 2Juventude
Flamengo0 - 2Fluminense
Flamengo1 - 0Athletico PR
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 1Bragantino
Flamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
Flamengo2 - 0Atletico Go
Flamengo2 - 1Criciuma
Flamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
Flamengo1 - 1Cuiaba
Flamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Flamengo2 - 1Gremio
Flamengo2 - 0Corinthians
Flamengo0 - 2Botafogo
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFlamengo0 - 0Vasco d Gama
HFlamengo6 - 0Juventude
AFlamengo2 - 0Gremio
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo2 - 2Vitoria
AFlamengo3 - 0Criciuma
HFlamengo3 - 2Internacional
AFlamengo0 - 0Fortaleza
AFlamengo2 - 1Cuiaba
HFlamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
AFlamengo1 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo4 - 2Juventude
HFlamengo0 - 2Fluminense
AFlamengo2 - 0Bahia
HFlamengo1 - 0Athletico PR
AFlamengo2 - 3Gremio
HFlamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo1 - 2Corinthians
Bahia 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro3 - 0Bahia
Santos2 - 2Bahia
Corinthians3 - 0Bahia
Cuiaba1 - 2Bahia
Juventude2 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
Cruzeiro1 - 1Bahia
Fortaleza4 - 1Bahia
Bragantino2 - 1Bahia
Gremio0 - 2Bahia
Fluminense1 - 0Bahia
Atletico Go1 - 1Bahia
Athletico PR1 - 3Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Criciuma2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
Botafogo1 - 2Bahia
Vitoria2 - 2Bahia
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
HBahia3 - 0A Mineiro
ABahia1 - 2Bragantino
HBahia0 - 0Botafogo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
15
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
FLA
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo2 - 1
Flamengo1 - 0
Flamengo3 - 0
Flamengo4 - 3
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo2 - 0
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
8
15
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
FLA
4
D
1
BAH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
0 - 2Flamengo
2 - 3Flamengo
0 - 5Flamengo
3 - 5Flamengo
Bahia3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Flamengo's defensive record is very strong, F. Kasmirski's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Bahia makes sense in this context.

Flamengo 2nd Bahia 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Flamengo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+7
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294522/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
FLA
BAH
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
FLA
BAH
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Flamengo v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
A RossiL PereiraMichaelN Cruz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK2
-
L Pereira DEF21
-
Wesley DEF2
-
L Ortiz  DEF2
-
A Sandro DEF2
-
N Cruz MID2
1
-
Michael MID21
-
G Plata MID2
-
E Farfán MID2
1
-
B Henrique FWD21
-
Éverton FWD2
-
L Araújo FWD21
-
Juninho FWD2
-
Ayrton DEF1
-
W Barreto MID1
-
Gerson MID1
-
G Arrascaeta MID11
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID1
-
M Gonçalves FWD1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5133
S MingoGilbertoL JubaS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Gilberto DEF51
1
-
L Juba DEF513
-
S Mingo DEF5
-
Erick MID51
2
-
Ademir FWD5
1
-
E Pulga FWD51
-
S Suay MID41
2
1
Cauly MID41
-
J Lucas MID4
1
-
C Alexandre MID4
2
-
L Rodriguez FWD4
-
Iago DEF3
-
D Duarte DEF3
-
R Nestor MID3
-
W José FWD3
-
M Felipe GLK2
-
Kanu DEF2
-
S Arias DEF2
1
-
N Acevedo MID2
-
Kayky FWD2
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
G Xavier DEF1
1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-