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Botafogo v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Nov, 22:30 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Artur Jorge Torres Gomes Araújo Amorim and Thiago Carpini Barbosa pit their wits in the Serie A on Saturday night, as Botafogo face Vitória at the Estádio Nilton Santos. Stats power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 76% chance of Botafogo and Vitoria 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A match according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Botafogo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Botafogo
57%
1.40
5%
1.40
9%
Draw
24%
4.75
5%
4.80
4%
Vitoria
19%
8.00
20%
7.50
6%
Botafogo 1-0
13%
6.50
8%
5.75
10%
Draw 1-1
11%
8.50
11%
8.50
6%
Botafogo 2-0
11%
6.50
18%
6.00
14%
Botafogo 2-1
10%
8.50
6%
7.50
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
11.00
10%
10.00
Vitoria 1-0
7%
17.00
11%
13.00
13%
Botafogo 3-0
6%
9.00
20%
8.00
14%
Botafogo 3-1
5%
12.00
8%
11.00
Vitoria 2-1
5%
23.00
21%
17.00
19%
Draw 2-2
4%
21.00
19%
17.00
19%
Vitoria 2-0
3%
41.0026.00
10%
Botafogo 4-0
3%
17.00
31%
13.00
8%
Botafogo 3-2
2%
29.00
15%
21.00
9%
Botafogo 4-1
2%
21.0017.00
Vitoria 3-1
1%
51.00
37%
41.00
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
1.80
5%
1.80
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
2.00
5%
1.95
7%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.29
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
4.33
13%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
11.00
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
2.05
14%
2.10
12%
BTTS - No
53%
1.70
11%
1.67
11%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3.40
9%
3.30
8%
BTTS - Draw
16%
6.50
13%
6.00
14%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
15.00
29%
12.00
20%
Home/draw
81%
1.08
2%
1.08
2%
Away/draw
43%
2.75
15%
2.90
12%
Home/away
76%
1.18
1%
1.18
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.25
3%
1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
4.00
7%
3.60
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.20
6%
3.00
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.36
2%
1.36
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
5.50
8%
5.50
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.14
2%
1.13
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
13.0011.00
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.041.04
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.05
1%
1.04
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11.00
10%
10.00
11%
Home DNB
74%
1.12
4%
1.11
3%
Away DNB
36%
6.00
25%
5.50
21%
Botafogo win to nil
35%
2.10
15%
-
Vitoria win to nil
11%
13.00
13%
-
Botafogo / Botafogo
39%
2.10
8%
2.05
7%
Botafogo / Vitoria
2%
41.00
20%
41.00
11%
Botafogo / Draw
5%
17.00
11%
17.00
Draw / Botafogo
21%
4.00
11%
3.90
5%
Draw / Vitoria
6%
15.00
21%
13.00
13%
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.50
Vitoria / Botafogo
4%
21.00
9%
19.00
Vitoria / Vitoria
6%
15.00
21%
11.00
15%
Vitoria / Draw
5%
19.00
10%
17.00
11%
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
12
Botafogo have not lost in 12 consecutive league games
4
Botafogo have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games
Botafogo 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
12
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo0 - 0Cuiaba
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo1 - 1Criciuma
Botafogo0 - 0Gremio
Botafogo2 - 1Corinthians
Botafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
Botafogo4 - 1Flamengo
Botafogo0 - 3Cruzeiro
Botafogo1 - 0Internacional
Botafogo1 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo3 - 0A Mineiro
Botafogo2 - 1Bragantino
Botafogo1 - 1Athletico PR
Botafogo1 - 0Fluminense
Botafogo1 - 2Bahia
Botafogo5 - 1Juventude
Botafogo1 - 0Atletico Go
Botafogo0 - 0Cruzeiro
Botafogo1 - 1Santos
Botafogo3 - 4Gremio
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABotafogo0 - 0A Mineiro
HBotafogo0 - 0Cuiaba
HBotafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABotafogo1 - 0Bragantino
HBotafogo1 - 1Criciuma
ABotafogo1 - 0Athletico PR
HBotafogo0 - 0Gremio
ABotafogo1 - 0Fluminense
HBotafogo2 - 1Corinthians
HBotafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
ABotafogo0 - 0Bahia
HBotafogo4 - 1Flamengo
ABotafogo2 - 3Juventude
ABotafogo4 - 1Atletico Go
HBotafogo0 - 3Cruzeiro
ABotafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
HBotafogo1 - 0Internacional
HBotafogo1 - 0Palmeiras
ABotafogo1 - 0Vitoria
HBotafogo3 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Criciuma0 - 1Vitoria
Athletico PR1 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Internacional3 - 1Vitoria
Atletico Go0 - 2Vitoria
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Fortaleza3 - 1Vitoria
Corinthians3 - 2Vitoria
Fluminense0 - 1Vitoria
Bragantino2 - 1Vitoria
Juventude1 - 1Vitoria
Cuiaba0 - 0Vitoria
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Vitoria
Cruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
Chapecoense3 - 1Vitoria
Novorizontin1 - 2Vitoria
Sampaio0 - 1Vitoria
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVitoria1 - 0Criciuma
HVitoria1 - 2Corinthians
AVitoria2 - 1Athletico PR
HVitoria2 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria1 - 0Bragantino
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 3Internacional
HVitoria1 - 0Juventude
AVitoria2 - 0Atletico Go
HVitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
AVitoria1 - 2Sao Paulo
HVitoria2 - 2Cruzeiro
AVitoria0 - 2Bahia
HVitoria1 - 0Cuiaba
AVitoria2 - 0Palmeiras
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria0 - 2Gremio
AVitoria1 - 3Fortaleza
HVitoria0 - 1Botafogo
HVitoria2 - 1Criciuma
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Botafogo have not lost to Vitoria in 5 consecutive league meetings
3
Botafogo have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Vitoria
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
BOT
1
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Botafogo1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
BOT
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
0 - 1Botafogo
Draw0 - 0Draw
3 - 4Botafogo
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Vitória look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Botafogo have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive Serie A matches, and it could be a long night for T. Carpini Barbosa's men.

Botafogo 1st Vitoria 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
There is a 81% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Botafogo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+24
Vitoria have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273400/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Botafogo
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
19%
better
BOT
VIT
view stats
Games scored29
26
Failed to score5
8
Scored first22
15
Goals scored52
39
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
40%
better
BOT
VIT
view stats
Games conceded17
26
Clean sheets17
8
Conceded first8
18
Goals conceded26
48
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
7
Conversion rate against9%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+40%

Botafogo v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31567
JohnJ SavarinoJ SavarinoGregore
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
John GLK31
2
-
Vitinho DEF8
-
Bastos DEF303
6
-
Adryelson DEF3
-
Cuiabano DEF2242
4
-
Gregore MID2912
7
-
T Tchê MID25
2
1
J Santos MID2041
2
-
J Savarino MID2456
3
-
T Almada MID131
-
I Jesus FWD1851
2
-
Subs
G Fernández GLK3
1
-
L Halter DEF171
4
-
M Ponte DEF143
3
-
A Telles  DEF71
-
M Marçal DEF131
5
-
C Eduardo  MID1321
1
-
Óscar Romero MID1714
6
-
D Barbosa MID2331
4
-
M Freitas MID295
7
-
Allan MID101
2
-
M Martins FWD102
1
-
T Soares FWD2653
4
-
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331069
L ArcanjoAlerrandroMatheuzinhoL Esteves
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arcanjo GLK33
4
-
R Cáceres DEF192
2
-
Edu DEF8
1
-
Neris DEF131
2
1
Wagner DEF325
3
1
L Esteves DEF3013
9
-
Matheuzinho MID3156
4
-
R Ryller MID151
-
W Oliveira MID3151
7
-
J Costa FWD2321
5
-
Alerrandro FWD30104
2
-
Subs
M Nurmela GLK1
2
-
Lepo DEF25
4
-
P Calmon DEF101
1
B Uvini DEF6
1
-
L Naldi MID18
6
-
Luan MID24
5
-
F Machado  MID13
2
-
P. Santos de Alcantara MID2
1
-
C Eduardo FWD141
2
-
G Mosquito  FWD911
2
-
Hugo FWD2612
2
-
Everaldo FWD122
2
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds
Juventude v Cuiaba
Sat 23rd Nov, 22:30
Botafogo v Vitoria
Sat 23rd Nov, 22:30
Atletico Go v Palmeiras
Sat 23rd Nov, 22:30
Sao Paulo v A Mineiro
Sun 24th Nov, 00:30
Bahia v Athletico PR
Sun 24th Nov, 19:00
Internacional v Bragantino
Sun 24th Nov, 19:00
Corinthians v Vasco d Gama
Sun 24th Nov, 19:00
Fluminense v Criciuma
Tue 26th Nov, 22:00
Fortaleza v Flamengo
Tue 26th Nov, 23:00
Palmeiras v Botafogo
Wed 27th Nov, 00:30
A Mineiro v Juventude
Wed 27th Nov, 00:30
Cruzeiro v Gremio
Thu 28th Nov, 00:00
Cuiaba v Bahia
Sat 30th Nov, 22:30
Criciuma v Corinthians
Sat 30th Nov, 22:30
Vasco d Gama v Atletico Go
Sun 1st Dec, 00:30
Gremio v Sao Paulo
Sun 1st Dec, 19:00
Flamengo v Internacional
Sun 1st Dec, 19:00
Vitoria v Fortaleza
Sun 1st Dec, 21:30
Bragantino v Cruzeiro
Sun 1st Dec, 21:30
Athletico PR v Fluminense
Sun 1st Dec, 21:30
Vitoria v Gremio
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Atletico Go v Fortaleza
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Athletico PR v Bragantino
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Internacional v Botafogo
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Fluminense v Cuiaba
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Vasco d Gama v A Mineiro
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Corinthians v Bahia
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Criciuma v Flamengo
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Cruzeiro v Palmeiras
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Sao Paulo v Juventude
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Cuiaba v Vasco d Gama
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Bahia v Atletico Go
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Fortaleza v Internacional
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
A Mineiro v Athletico PR
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Botafogo v Sao Paulo
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Flamengo v Vitoria
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Juventude v Cruzeiro
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Gremio v Corinthians
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Palmeiras v Fluminense
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Bragantino v Criciuma
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00