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Bahia v Mirassol : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Ivan Lucas Baitello leads his Mirassol team to the Arena Fonte Nova in the Serie A on Sunday night, with Rogério Mücke Ceni's Bahia waiting for them. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Bahia's next match is v Palmeiras at 22:30 on Sunday 27th April
Mirassol's next match is v Bragantino at 23:00 on Monday 5th May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Bahia and Mirassol was on Sunday 13th April 2025
Brazillian Serie A
April 13th 2025
Bahia 1
1 Mirassol
 
E. da Costa Farias 40'17' G. Santana Pinto
 
BAH
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
7
2
Corners
10
2
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
11
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
BahiaMirassol
 
R. de Oliveira Strada
S. Ramos Mingo
Luciano
V. Soares dos Santos (D. de Duarte Macedo 13')
G. Moraes Junior (S. Arias Naranjo 76')
C. Souza e Silva (E. Conrado Carvalho 76')
J. de Souza Oliveira
É. de Barros Ribeiro (C. Oliveira Souza 66')
E. da Costa Fariasfootball icon
W. da Silva
A. da Silva Santos Junior (K. da Silva Chagas 75')
A. Santana Rafael
J. Ribeiro da Silva
J. Carroll Santana
L. Batista Silva
(R. da Silva 80') D. Fortunato Borges
(I. Freitas de Castilho 64') C. da Silva Vieira
(E. de Oliveira Santos 64') football iconG. Santana Pinto
A. Moura Neto
(R. Medeiros de Moura 63') J. Soares de Oliveira Filho
D. de Oliveira Sertanejo
(E. Mendes dos Santos 81') C. Gonçalves Riquelme

Best Tip: Bahia to win

After looking at the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding both teams ahead of this Serie A fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Bahia to win on home turf is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they will overpower Mirassol, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. There could be some bumps along the way, but Bahia winning is the bet come Sunday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
63%
1/2
6%
-
Draw
22%
29/10
4%
-
Mirassol
15%
6/1
22%
-
Bahia 1-0
13%
9/2
21%
-
Bahia 2-0
12%
5/1
20%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
7%
-
Bahia 2-1
10%
15/2-
Bahia 3-0
8%
9/1
17%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
15/2
15%
-
Bahia 3-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Mirassol 1-0
5%
14/1-
Mirassol 2-1
4%
20/1
11%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
24%
-
Bahia 4-0
4%
20/1
9%
-
Bahia 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Bahia 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
-
Mirassol 2-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Bahia 5-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
11/10
11%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
7/10
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
58%
1/3
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
3/1
23%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
15/2
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
6/5
13%
-
BTTS - No
53%
8/13
10%
-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
14/1
36%
-
Home/draw
85%
1/10
4%
-
Away/draw
37%
6/4
9%
-
Home/away
78%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
4/11
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
11/5
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3/1
18%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/4
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/1
33%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/12
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
16/1
31%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/40
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/1
10%
-
Home DNB
78%
1/6
3%
-
Away DNB
30%
4/1
15%
-
Bahia win to nil
38%
6/5
16%
-
Mirassol win to nil
8%
10/1
10%
-
Bahia / Bahia
34%
11/8
5%
-
Bahia / Mirassol
2%
50/1
24%
-
Bahia / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Bahia
21%
3/1
8%
-
Draw / Mirassol
7%
12/1
18%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Mirassol / Bahia
4%
22/1
10%
-
Mirassol / Mirassol
7%
11/1
26%
-
Mirassol / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Bahia 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Bahia1 - 2Cuiaba
Bahia2 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Bahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
Bahia1 - 0Fortaleza
Bahia1 - 0Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Gremio
Bahia2 - 1Fluminense
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
HBahia3 - 0A Mineiro
ABahia1 - 2Bragantino
HBahia0 - 0Botafogo
ABahia2 - 0Gremio
HBahia2 - 0Vitoria
ABahia0 - 1Fluminense
Mirassol 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro2 - 1Mirassol
Operario1 - 1Mirassol
Avai0 - 0Mirassol
CRB0 - 1Mirassol
Santos3 - 2Mirassol
Goias0 - 1Mirassol
Guarani1 - 0Mirassol
Ituano3 - 2Mirassol
Paysandu0 - 0Mirassol
Ceara1 - 2Mirassol
Chapecoense0 - 1Mirassol
Cortiba0 - 1Mirassol
Ponte Preta4 - 2Mirassol
Novorizontin1 - 1Mirassol
Vila Nova1 - 0Mirassol
S. Recife1 - 0Mirassol
Amazonas1 - 0Mirassol
America 0 - 0Mirassol
Botafogo0 - 0Mirassol
Brusque3 - 1Mirassol
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
AMirassol1 - 2Cruzeiro
HMirassol1 - 0Chapecoense
AMirassol1 - 1Operario
AMirassol0 - 0Avai
HMirassol4 - 1Cortiba
HMirassol3 - 0Ponte Preta
AMirassol1 - 0CRB
HMirassol1 - 0Novorizontin
AMirassol2 - 3Santos
HMirassol1 - 0Vila Nova
HMirassol0 - 0S. Recife
AMirassol1 - 0Goias
AMirassol0 - 1Guarani
HMirassol0 - 0Amazonas
AMirassol2 - 3Ituano
HMirassol1 - 0America
AMirassol0 - 0Paysandu
HMirassol1 - 2Botafogo
AMirassol2 - 1Ceara
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Mirassol fans, as should a 5 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Bahia 15th Mirassol 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Mirassol scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Bahia have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Mirassol have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294478/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Mirassol
1.9
0.8
Attack rating
31%
better
BAH
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score0
0
Scored first2
0
Goals scored3
2
Avg. goals scored1.5
1
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal6
13
Conversion rate for16
8
Avg. XG for1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
20%
better
BAH
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded3
3
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
4
Conversion rate against15%
25%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+20%

Bahia v Mirassol Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5133
S MingoGilbertoL JubaS Suay
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ronaldo  GLK4
-
Gilberto DEF51
1
-
Kanu DEF2
-
S Mingo DEF5
-
L Juba DEF513
-
S Suay MID41
2
1
C Alexandre MID4
2
-
J Lucas MID4
1
-
Ademir FWD5
1
-
W José FWD3
-
E Pulga FWD51
-
Subs
D Fernandes  GLK
-
M Felipe GLK2
-
S Arias DEF2
1
-
D Duarte DEF3
-
Rezende MID
-
Cauly MID41
-
R Nestor MID3
-
Erick MID51
2
-
N Acevedo MID2
-
J. Broad Moreira Guimaraes MID
-
Kayky FWD2
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD1
-
Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6422
A MuralhaReinaldoClaysonA Muralha
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Muralha GLK6
2
-
L Ramon DEF511
1
-
J Victor DEF6
1
-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF6
1
-
D Borges DEF42
2
-
N Moura  MID5
-
J Aldo MID5
1
-
Gabriel MID41
-
Danielzinho MID61
-
Clayson MID52
2
-
C Renato FWD511
1
-
Subs
Walter GLK
-
Reinaldo DEF64
2
-
Gabriel DEF
-
Roni MID2
1
-
Chico MID1
-
L Filipe MID1
-
M Bianqui MID
-
M Davó FWD21
-
F Daniel FWD5
-
I Castilho FWD61
1
-
Edson FWD512
1
-
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD5
-
MSG
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