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Bahia v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 01:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

We’ve Serie A action to enjoy on Sunday morning, as Rogério Mücke Ceni and his Bahia side host Carlos Eduardo Gomes Santos’s Botafogo at the Arena Fonte Nova. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Bahia and Botafogo will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 76%. The bookmakers have it at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
42%
5/4
5%
-
Draw
25%
23/10-
Botafogo
32%
21/10
6%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Bahia 1-0
10%
7/1-
Bahia 2-1
9%
8/1-
Botafogo 1-0
8%
9/1
9%
-
Botafogo 2-1
8%
10/1
8%
-
Bahia 2-0
7%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Botafogo 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Bahia 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
-
Bahia 3-0
4%
20/1-
Botafogo 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Bahia 3-2
3%
25/1-
Botafogo 3-2
2%
33/1-
Botafogo 3-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
19/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
17/20-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/4-
BTTS - No
45%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/1
8%
-
Home/draw
68%
4/11
2%
-
Away/draw
58%
8/13
3%
-
Home/away
75%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1-
Home DNB
60%
8/13
6%
-
Away DNB
50%
6/5
8%
-
Bahia win to nil
22%
3/1
7%
-
Botafogo win to nil
16%
9/2
8%
-
Bahia / Bahia
22%
11/4
4%
-
Bahia / Botafogo
3%
28/1-
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Bahia
15%
9/2-
Draw / Botafogo
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Botafogo / Bahia
3%
25/1
13%
-
Botafogo / Botafogo
17%
4/1
9%
-
Botafogo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Bahia 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Bahia1 - 2Cuiaba
Bahia2 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Bahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
Bahia1 - 0Fortaleza
Bahia1 - 0Bragantino
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
HBahia3 - 0A Mineiro
ABahia1 - 2Bragantino
HBahia0 - 0Botafogo
Botafogo 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
Bragantino1 - 0Botafogo
Palmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
Internacional0 - 1Botafogo
Palmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
A Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
Bragantino0 - 1Botafogo
Athletico PR0 - 1Botafogo
Fluminense0 - 1Botafogo
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Juventude3 - 2Botafogo
Atletico Go1 - 4Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Vitoria0 - 1Botafogo
Cuiaba1 - 2Botafogo
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Botafogo
Criciuma2 - 1Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Botafogo
Corinthians0 - 1Botafogo
Fortaleza1 - 1Botafogo
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABotafogo0 - 1A Mineiro
HBotafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
ABotafogo0 - 1Bragantino
HBotafogo2 - 0Juventude
ABotafogo0 - 0Palmeiras
HBotafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
ABotafogo1 - 0Internacional
ABotafogo3 - 1Palmeiras
HBotafogo1 - 1Vitoria
ABotafogo0 - 0A Mineiro
HBotafogo0 - 0Cuiaba
HBotafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABotafogo1 - 0Bragantino
HBotafogo1 - 1Criciuma
ABotafogo1 - 0Athletico PR
HBotafogo0 - 0Gremio
ABotafogo1 - 0Fluminense
HBotafogo2 - 1Corinthians
HBotafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
ABotafogo0 - 0Bahia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
BAH
2
D
2
BOT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0
Bahia2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
8
7
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
BAH
3
BOT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
1 - 2Bahia
Botafogo3 - 0
1 - 2Bahia
Botafogo3 - 2
0 - 1Bahia
Goal Statistics
Bahia 13th Botafogo 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Botafogo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Bahia have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Botafogo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294518/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Botafogo
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
37%
better
BAH
BOT
view stats
Games scored4
2
Failed to score1
3
Scored first3
1
Goals scored5
4
Avg. goals scored1
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal9
14
Conversion rate for11
7
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
BAH
BOT
26%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
3
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded7
4
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
12
Conversion rate against16%
9%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+26%

Bahia v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5133
S MingoGilbertoL JubaS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Gilberto DEF51
1
-
L Juba DEF513
-
S Mingo DEF5
-
Erick MID51
2
-
Ademir FWD5
1
-
E Pulga FWD51
-
C Alexandre MID4
2
-
S Suay MID41
2
1
Cauly MID41
-
J Lucas MID4
1
-
L Rodriguez FWD4
-
Iago DEF3
-
D Duarte DEF3
-
R Nestor MID3
-
W José FWD3
-
M Felipe GLK2
-
Kanu DEF2
-
S Arias DEF2
1
-
N Acevedo MID2
-
Kayky FWD2
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
G Xavier DEF1
1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD1
-
Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
JohnI JesusCuiabanoA Barboza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
John GLK2
-
J Paula DEF2
-
Cuiabano DEF21
-
A Telles  DEF2
-
A Barboza DEF2
2
-
S Rodríguez MID2
-
P Paula MID2
-
M Freitas MID2
-
Gregore MID2
1
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID2
-
J Savarino FWD2
-
Artur FWD21
1
-
I Jesus FWD21
-
Vitinho  FWD2
-
M Ponte DEF11
-
M Martins FWD1
1
-