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Orlando City v Philadelphia Union : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Feb, 00:30 BST, Orlando City Stadium, Orlando

Home advantage can be vital in the Major League Soccer, and Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez’s Orlando City will have the blessing of it on Sunday morning. Bradley Wellmen’s Philadelphia Union are their visitors to the Orlando City Stadium. Major League Soccer statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Major League Soccer tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Orlando are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Orlando
56%
7/10
6%
7/10
Draw
21%
3/1
7%
11/4
1%
Philadelphia
22%
7/2
20%
29/10
3%
Orlando 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Draw 1-1
10%
7/113/2
Orlando 2-0
8%
9/1
9%
17/2
Orlando 1-0
8%
17/2
14%
8/1
Orlando 3-1
7%
11/1
8%
10/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
Philadelphia 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Orlando 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Philadelphia 1-0
5%
16/112/1
Orlando 3-2
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Orlando 4-1
3%
22/118/1
Philadelphia 2-0
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Orlando 4-0
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Philadelphia 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
4/7
5%
8/15
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
27/20
6%
13/10
3%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7
5%
11/20
BTTS - No
39%
5/4
10%
13/10
BTTS - Home Win
30%
21/10
3%
2/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
6%
18/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/1
17%
11/2
8%
Home/draw
78%
2/11
6%
2/9
2%
Away/draw
44%
11/10
8%
21/20
Home/away
79%
2/9
2%
1/4
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
3%
1/6
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
11/8
8%
13/10
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
8/15
6%
11/20
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
10/3
15%
29/10
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/5
4%
2/9
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8/1
29%
6/1
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/14
3%
1/12
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Home DNB
71%
3/10
4%
1/3
1%
Away DNB
37%
12/5
13%
21/10
3%
Orlando win to nil
26%
12/5
9%
-
Philadelphia win to nil
9%
8/1-
Orlando / Orlando
31%
13/8
5%
13/8
Orlando / Philadelphia
3%
28/128/1
Orlando / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Orlando
17%
15/4
5%
19/5
Draw / Philadelphia
9%
17/2
6%
8/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
8%
Philadelphia / Orlando
4%
18/116/1
Philadelphia / Philadelphia
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Philadelphia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Philadelphia have lost 3 consecutive league games
Orlando
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Orlando0 - 1NY Red Bulls
Orlando1 - 0Atlanta
Orlando1 - 1Charlotte
Orlando2 - 0Charlotte
Orlando1 - 2Atlanta
Orlando2 - 1Philadelphia
Orlando2 - 0Charlotte
Orlando3 - 0New England
Orlando3 - 0Nashville
Orlando1 - 1NY City
Orlando5 - 0DC United
Orlando4 - 2Chicago
Orlando1 - 3LAFC
Orlando0 - 2Columbus
Orlando0 - 0Miami
Orlando0 - 1Cincinnati
Orlando1 - 2Toronto
Orlando1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Orlando2 - 0Austin
Orlando2 - 3Minnesota
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HOrlando0 - 1NY Red Bulls
HOrlando1 - 0Atlanta
HOrlando1 - 1Charlotte
AOrlando0 - 0Charlotte
HOrlando2 - 0Charlotte
HOrlando1 - 2Atlanta
AOrlando3 - 1Cincinnati
HOrlando2 - 1Philadelphia
AOrlando3 - 1Dallas
AOrlando3 - 4Columbus
HOrlando2 - 0Charlotte
HOrlando3 - 0New England
HOrlando3 - 0Nashville
AOrlando0 - 3Sporting KC
HOrlando1 - 1NY City
AOrlando3 - 0Nashville
AOrlando3 - 1New England
HOrlando5 - 0DC United
AOrlando2 - 1Toronto
AOrlando2 - 4NY City
Philadelphia
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Columbus3 - 2Philadelphia
Orlando2 - 1Philadelphia
NY City1 - 5Philadelphia
Miami3 - 1Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls0 - 2Philadelphia
Toronto2 - 1Philadelphia
Chicago4 - 3Philadelphia
Montreal4 - 2Philadelphia
Cincinnati4 - 3Philadelphia
Charlotte0 - 0Philadelphia
New England0 - 3Philadelphia
DC United2 - 2Philadelphia
Atlanta2 - 2Philadelphia
Nashville1 - 2Philadelphia
Portland1 - 3Philadelphia
Austin2 - 2Philadelphia
Sporting KC1 - 1Philadelphia
New England0 - 0Philadelphia
New England2 - 1Philadelphia
Columbus1 - 1Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPhiladelphia1 - 2Cincinnati
APhiladelphia2 - 3Columbus
APhiladelphia1 - 2Orlando
HPhiladelphia1 - 1Atlanta
HPhiladelphia4 - 0DC United
APhiladelphia5 - 1NY City
APhiladelphia1 - 3Miami
APhiladelphia2 - 0NY Red Bulls
HPhiladelphia0 - 1Columbus
HPhiladelphia3 - 0Nashville
HPhiladelphia5 - 1New England
APhiladelphia1 - 2Toronto
HPhiladelphia0 - 0NY Red Bulls
APhiladelphia3 - 4Chicago
APhiladelphia2 - 4Montreal
HPhiladelphia0 - 2Charlotte
APhiladelphia3 - 4Cincinnati
HPhiladelphia1 - 2Miami
HPhiladelphia2 - 2Montreal
HPhiladelphia0 - 0Toronto
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Orlando since 2018
Orlando
Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
ORL
2
D
2
PHI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Orlando
Orlando2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Philadelphia
Orlando2 - 1
1 - 3Philadelphia
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Philadelphia since 2018
Philadelphia
Orlando
Goals: Scored
14
12
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
ORL
3
D
2
PHI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Philadelphia
2 - 3Orlando
1 - 2Orlando
Philadelphia5 - 1
Philadelphia3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Orlando
Goal Statistics

Philadelphia Union have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Major League Soccer games. This run could continue, with Orlando City's PG an impressive 2.0.

Orlando City's defensive record is very strong, Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Major League Soccer outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Philadelphia Union makes sense in this context.

Orlando Philadelphia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Orlando will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Philadelphia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Orlando’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+25
Philadelphia have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290766/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Orlando
PG (predicted goals)
Philadelphia
2
1.2
Attack rating
0%
better
ORL
PHI
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
ORL
PHI
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Orlando v Philadelphia Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Orlando Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE