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New York City v Cincinnati : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 20:00 BST, Citi Field, Bronx

It's an away trip for Pat Noonan's Cincinnati side on Sunday night, as they visit the Citi Field for a Major League Soccer tie with Pascal Gastien's New York City. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both NY City and Cincinnati's recent form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
NY City
46%
13/10-
Draw
25%
9/4-
Cincinnati
29%
2/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
NY City 1-0
9%
15/2-
NY City 2-1
9%
17/2-
NY City 2-0
8%
11/1-
Cincinnati 1-0
7%
9/1-
Cincinnati 2-1
7%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
NY City 3-1
5%
18/1-
Cincinnati 2-0
4%
14/1-
NY City 3-0
4%
20/1-
NY City 3-2
3%
25/1-
Cincinnati 3-1
3%
22/1-
Cincinnati 3-2
2%
28/1-
NY City 4-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
19/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
17/20-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
45%
5/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
7/10-
BTTS - No
44%
21/20-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
7/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/1-
Home/draw
71%
4/11-
Away/draw
54%
4/7-
Home/away
75%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1-
Home DNB
63%
4/6-
Away DNB
47%
11/10-
NY City win to nil
23%
3/1-
Cincinnati win to nil
14%
9/2-
NY City / NY City
22%
11/4-
NY City / Cincinnati
3%
28/1-
NY City / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / NY City
15%
9/2-
Draw / Cincinnati
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
Cincinnati / NY City
3%
25/1-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati
17%
15/4-
Cincinnati / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win form
3
Cincinnati have won 3 consecutive away league games
NY City 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY City1 - 0Philadelphia
NY City1 - 2Minnesota
NY City2 - 1New England
NY City2 - 1Orlando
NY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
NY City3 - 1Cincinnati
NY City3 - 1Nashville
NY City3 - 2Cincinnati
NY City1 - 1Miami
NY City1 - 5Philadelphia
NY City2 - 2Chicago
NY City2 - 0Montreal
NY City4 - 2Orlando
NY City2 - 3Columbus
NY City5 - 1San Jose
NY City2 - 1NY Red Bulls
NY City0 - 2Colorado
NY City2 - 1Charlotte
NY City2 - 0DC United
NY City2 - 0New England
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANY City0 - 2New England
HNY City1 - 0Philadelphia
HNY City1 - 2Minnesota
ANY City3 - 4Atlanta
ANY City0 - 0Columbus
HNY City2 - 1New England
HNY City2 - 1Orlando
ANY City0 - 1LAFC
ANY City2 - 2Miami
HNY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
ANY City0 - 0Cincinnati
HNY City3 - 1Cincinnati
ANY City0 - 1Cincinnati
ANY City0 - 2Montreal
HNY City3 - 1Nashville
HNY City3 - 2Cincinnati
ANY City5 - 1NY Red Bulls
HNY City1 - 1Miami
HNY City1 - 5Philadelphia
ANY City1 - 1DC United
Cincinnati 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chicago2 - 3Cincinnati
DC United0 - 1Cincinnati
Nashville1 - 2Cincinnati
Charlotte2 - 0Cincinnati
Philadelphia4 - 1Cincinnati
NY City3 - 1Cincinnati
Philadelphia1 - 2Cincinnati
NY City3 - 2Cincinnati
Nashville2 - 2Cincinnati
Minnesota1 - 2Cincinnati
Miami2 - 0Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls3 - 1Cincinnati
DC United2 - 3Cincinnati
Dallas0 - 1Cincinnati
San Jose2 - 4Cincinnati
Toronto3 - 4Cincinnati
Columbus1 - 2Cincinnati
Orlando0 - 1Cincinnati
Atlanta1 - 2Cincinnati
Montreal2 - 1Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACincinnati3 - 2Chicago
ACincinnati1 - 0DC United
HCincinnati1 - 0New England
ACincinnati2 - 1Nashville
HCincinnati2 - 2Atlanta
ACincinnati0 - 2Charlotte
HCincinnati2 - 0Toronto
ACincinnati1 - 4Philadelphia
HCincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
HCincinnati0 - 0NY City
ACincinnati1 - 3NY City
HCincinnati1 - 0NY City
ACincinnati2 - 1Philadelphia
HCincinnati1 - 3Orlando
ACincinnati2 - 3NY City
HCincinnati1 - 2LAFC
ACincinnati2 - 2Nashville
ACincinnati2 - 1Minnesota
HCincinnati0 - 0Columbus
HCincinnati4 - 1Montreal
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at NY City since 2019
NY City
Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
24
10
Games: Scored
8 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
0 / 8
NYC
6
D
1
CIN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
NY City3 - 1
NY City3 - 2
1 - 3Cincinnati
Draw1 - 1Draw
NY City5 - 0
NY City4 - 0
NY City2 - 1
NY City5 - 2
League games at Cincinnati since 2019
Cincinnati
NY City
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
NYC
2
D
2
CIN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
Draw0 - 0Draw
Cincinnati1 - 0
Cincinnati1 - 0
Cincinnati3 - 0
Draw4 - 4Draw
1 - 2NY City
1 - 4NY City
Goal Statistics
NY City 10th Cincinnati 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that NY City will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Cincinnati will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
NY City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Cincinnati have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290912/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
NY City
PG (predicted goals)
Cincinnati
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
NYC
CIN
26%
better
view stats
Games scored6
8
Failed to score3
1
Scored first3
5
Goals scored11
13
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
NYC
CIN
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
5
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded13
11
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+18%

NY City v Cincinnati Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7422
M FreeseA MartínezJ FernándezK Parks
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Freese GLK7
1
-
M Moralez MID71
1
-
K Parks MID71
2
-
J Haak MID7
-
J Fernández FWD712
-
H Wolf FWD731
-
M. Bakrar FWD7
1
-
A Ojeda FWD7
-
K O'Toole DEF6
1
1
B Risa DEF6
1
-
T Martins DEF6
-
J. Shore MID6
1
-
A Martínez FWD64
-
S Tanasijević DEF4
1
-
A Perea MID2
-
T Gray DEF1
-
Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7423
R CelentanoEvanderP BuchaO Nwobodo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Celentano GLK7
-
L Engel DEF7
1
-
D Yedlin DEF71
1
-
P Bucha MID72
-
C Baird FWD7
1
-
G Melgarejo DEF6
1
1
A Powell DEF6
1
-
Evander MID641
1
-
O Nwobodo MID6
3
-
T Anunga MID6
-
K Denkey FWD63
1
-
M Robinson  DEF5
-
Y Kubo MID51
1
-
L Orellano FWD5
1
-
S Santos FWD51
-
T Hadebe DEF4
-
N Hagglund DEF3
-
G Valenzuela MID3
-
B Halsey DEF1
-