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Toronto FC v New York City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

BMO Field, Toronto

Home advantage can be vital in the Major League Soccer, and John Herdman’s Toronto FC will have the luxury of it on Sunday morning. Nick Cushing’s New York City are their visitors to the BMO Field. Analysing both sides' last 20 Major League Soccer matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Toronto FC's next match is v Cincinnati at 00:30 on Sunday 26th May
New York City's next match is v New England at 00:30 on Sunday 26th May

The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Toronto and NY City was on Sunday 12th May 2024

American Major League Soccer

May 12th 2024

Toronto 2	3 NY City

F. Bernardeschi 55'	23' S. Rodríguez Molina
R. Petretta 89'	44' M. Jones
	78' A. Perea Castañeda

	TOR NYC
Shots On	11 4
Shots Off	2 2
Corners	6 4
Possession	60% 40%
Fouls	12 12
Yellow/red cards	3/1 3/0

Toronto	NY City

S. Johnson N. Gomis K. Long (K. Thompson 79') S. Rosted (R. Petretta 67') D. Etienne Jr. (L. Insigne 76') D. Flores (A. Coello Camarero 76') J. Osorio M. Longstaff T. Spicer F. Bernardeschi P. Owusu	F. Matthew T. Martins Bueno B. Risa K. O'Toole T. Gray J. Sands A. Perea Castañeda (A. Jasson 90') S. Rodríguez Molina (S. Tanasijević 90') H. Wolf (K. Alexander Parks 69') A. Martínez Batista (A. Ojeda 69') M. Jones

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are tipping a relatively tight affair here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Toronto and NY City go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below point in this direction too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toronto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toronto 52%	29/20 23%	13/10 5%
Draw 27%	5/2 3%	11/5 3%
NY City 22%	7/4 24%	17/10 2%
Toronto 1-0 15%	8/1 29%	7/1 14%
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	5/1 8%
Toronto 2-0 11%	12/1 44%	10/1 10%
Draw 0-0 11%	11/1 33%	17/2 6%
Toronto 2-1 9%	17/2 6%	15/2 6%
NY City 1-0 9%	9/1	8/1 13%
Toronto 3-0 5%	22/1 35%	16/1
NY City 2-1 5%	9/1 23%	8/1 10%
Toronto 3-1 4%	18/1 12%	14/1 12%
Draw 2-2 4%	12/1 13%	10/1 27%
NY City 2-0 4%	14/1 21%	11/1
Toronto 4-0 2%	50/1 24%	28/1 15%
Toronto 3-2 2%	25/1 10%	18/1 17%
Toronto 4-1 2%	40/1	25/1 24%
NY City 3-1 1%	20/1 38%	16/1 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	17/20 11%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	19/20 13%	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/5 11%	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	11/10 19%	-
No 1st Goal 7%	11/1 33%	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	4/6 13%	13/20 11%
BTTS - No 57%	11/10 10%	11/10 15%
BTTS - Home Win 18%	7/2	16/5 13%
BTTS - Draw 16%	10/3 9%	16/5 13%
BTTS - Away Win 8%	4/1 33%	19/5 17%
Home/draw 79%	2/5 9%	2/5
Away/draw 49%	8/15 15%	8/15 4%
Home/away 73%	2/7 1%	3/10 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1/4 6%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	11/4 15%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	2/1 20%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	4/11 9%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	5/1 25%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/8 4%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	12/1 24%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/25 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/25 3%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	12/1 44%	-
Home DNB 70%	8/11 20%	8/11 4%
Away DNB 40%	1/1 24%	1/1 5%
Toronto win to nil 34%	10/3 27%	-
NY City win to nil 13%	4/1 17%	-
Toronto / Toronto 19%	3/1 23%	14/5 3%
Toronto / NY City 3%	25/1 24%	20/1 19%
Toronto / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	11/1 8%
Draw / Toronto 14%	5/1 20%	9/2 5%
Draw / NY City 14%	11/2 13%	5/1 8%
Draw / Draw 16%	9/2 10%	19/5 4%
NY City / Toronto 3%	25/1	18/1 17%
NY City / NY City 19%	7/2 25%	7/2 2%
NY City / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	11/1 8%

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Toronto	3 - 1	Dallas
Toronto	1 - 0	New England
Toronto	1 - 3	Kansas City
Toronto	2 - 0	Atlanta
Toronto	1 - 0	Charlotte
Toronto	0 - 2	Orlando
Toronto	2 - 3	Cincinnati
Toronto	1 - 2	Vancouver
Toronto	3 - 1	Philadelphia
Toronto	2 - 3	Montreal
Toronto	0 - 1	Saint Louis City
Toronto	0 - 1	Salt Lake
Toronto	1 - 1	Nashville
Toronto	0 - 0	Chicago
Toronto	2 - 1	DC
Toronto	0 - 0	New York
Toronto	0 - 2	New England
Toronto	1 - 0	NY City
Toronto	2 - 2	Atlanta
Toronto	2 - 2	Charlotte

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Toronto	3 - 1	Dallas
A	Toronto	2 - 1	Orlando
H	Toronto	1 - 0	New England
A	Toronto	2 - 3	Charlotte
A	Toronto	0 - 4	Vancouver
H	Toronto	1 - 3	Kansas City
H	Toronto	2 - 0	Atlanta
A	Toronto	1 - 2	NY City
H	Toronto	1 - 0	Charlotte
A	Toronto	1 - 0	New England
A	Toronto	0 - 0	Cincinnati
H	Toronto	0 - 2	Orlando
A	Toronto	0 - 3	New York
A	Toronto	0 - 3	Charlotte
H	Toronto	2 - 3	Cincinnati
A	Toronto	0 - 3	NY City
A	Toronto	0 - 4	Miami
H	Toronto	1 - 2	Vancouver
H	Toronto	3 - 1	Philadelphia
A	Toronto	0 - 2	Columbus

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Miami	1 - 1	NY City
Cincinnati	1 - 0	NY City
Saint Louis City	2 - 0	NY City
Charlotte	1 - 0	NY City
DC	2 - 0	NY City
Miami	1 - 1	NY City
Cincinnati	3 - 0	NY City
Philadelphia	2 - 1	NY City
Columbus	1 - 1	NY City
Montreal	0 - 1	NY City
Portland	1 - 1	NY City
Atlanta	2 - 2	NY City
Salt Lake	0 - 0	NY City
Orlando	1 - 1	NY City
New York	1 - 0	NY City
Charlotte	3 - 2	NY City
Toronto	1 - 0	NY City
New England	1 - 1	NY City
Houston	1 - 0	NY City
Chicago	1 - 1	NY City

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	NY City	0 - 2	Colorado
H	NY City	2 - 1	Charlotte
H	NY City	2 - 0	DC
H	NY City	2 - 0	New England
H	NY City	1 - 1	Atlanta
A	NY City	1 - 1	Miami
A	NY City	0 - 1	Cincinnati
H	NY City	2 - 1	Toronto
H	NY City	1 - 2	Portland
A	NY City	0 - 2	Saint Louis City
A	NY City	0 - 1	Charlotte
H	NY City	1 - 0	Chicago
A	NY City	0 - 2	DC
A	NY City	1 - 1	Miami
H	NY City	3 - 0	Toronto
H	NY City	2 - 0	Orlando
H	NY City	0 - 0	New York
H	NY City	1 - 1	Vancouver
H	NY City	2 - 0	Montreal
A	NY City	0 - 3	Cincinnati

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toronto

NY City

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

1 / 8

TOR

NYC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
Toronto	1 - 0
Toronto	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	NY City
	1 - 3	NY City
Toronto	1 - 0
Toronto	4 - 0
	2 - 3	NY City

Toronto

NY City

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

14 / 16

12 / 16

Clean sheets

4 / 16

2 / 16

TOR

NYC

FIXTURE HISTORY
NY City	2 - 1
NY City	3 - 0
Toronto	1 - 0
NY City	5 - 4
Toronto	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	NY City
	0 - 1	Toronto
	1 - 3	NY City
Toronto	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Toronto
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toronto	4 - 0
	2 - 3	NY City
NY City	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Toronto 5th	NY City 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Toronto will score 1 or more goals	0 44% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 80% probability of NY City scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-21 Toronto have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted	-43 NY City have scored 43% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.3 conceded

Statistics Major League Soccer - 2024/2024 Season

14%

better

TOR

NYC

view stats

Games scored	11		10
Failed to score	3		4
Scored first	7		7
Goals scored	21		18
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		8
Conversion rate	19%		13%
KickOff rating		+14%

better

TOR

NYC

view stats

Games conceded	9		12
Clean sheets	5		2
Conceded first	6		7
Goals conceded	20		16
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate	15%		12%
KickOff rating		+7%

Toronto v NY City Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	6	4	5
F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi	K Long

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Johnson GLK	9			3 -
S Rosted DEF	12			3 -
K Long DEF	11			5 -
N Gomis DEF	10			3 -
F Bernardeschi MID	13	6	4	5 -
M Longstaff MID	12	2	2	1 -
D Flores MID	13		1	1 -
T. Spicer MID	10	2	1	1 -
D Junior MID	5			1 -
J Osorio MID	11	1	1	3 -
P Owusu FWD	13	6		1 -
Subs
L Gavran GLK	5			-
K Franklin DEF	11		1	-
R Petretta DEF	10	1		3 -
A Mabika DEF	3			-
Alonso MID	13		3	3 -
K Thompson MID	12			2 -
C Mailula FWD	1			-
L Insigne FWD	8	2	1	2 -
D Kerr FWD	9		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	21	4	7
F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Owusu FWD	6	11		4
F Bernardeschi MID	6	21	4	7
M Longstaff MID	2	3	2	4
T. Spicer MID	2	3	1	5
J Osorio MID	1	4	1	1
S Rosted DEF		2
K Long DEF		1
N Gomis DEF				2
D Flores MID		3	1	1
D Junior MID				3
Subs
L Insigne FWD	2	8	1	3
R Petretta DEF	1	2		1
K Franklin DEF		1	1	2
A Mabika DEF				1
Alonso MID		2	3	3
K Thompson MID				1
C Mailula FWD		1
D Kerr FWD		4	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
685	36	80
D Flores	D Flores	F Bernardeschi

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D Flores MID	685	36	65
K Long DEF	580	17	77
F Bernardeschi MID	519	12	80
N Gomis DEF	510	20	36
J Osorio MID	465	13	43
S Rosted DEF	453	15	30
M Longstaff MID	442	21	38
S Johnson GLK	293		2
T. Spicer MID	209	17	46
P Owusu FWD	155	12	43
D Junior MID	112	2	14
Subs
Alonso MID	627	30	47
R Petretta DEF	337	13	33
L Insigne FWD	310	4	21
K Thompson MID	177	12	26
L Gavran GLK	130	1	4
K Franklin DEF	128	3	9
A Mabika DEF	80		8
D Kerr FWD	49	2	25
C Mailula FWD	4		3

NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	5	4	5
M Freese	S Rodríguez	H Wolf	J Sands

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Freese GLK	14			1 -
T Gray DEF	9		1	1 -
T Martins DEF	14		1	1 -
B Risa DEF	13			1 -
K O'Toole DEF	14	1	1	-
A Perea MID	12	1		4 -
J Sands MID	12			4 1
A Martínez MID	8	3		1 -
S Rodríguez MID	14	5	3	3 -
H Wolf MID	14	2	4	-
M. Jones FWD	8	1	1	3 -
Subs
L Barraza GLK				-
S Tanasijević DEF	4			1 -
M Ilenič DEF	11			2 -
K Parks MID	13	1	1	3 1
A Jasson MID	3			-
A Ojeda MID	10	1		1 -
J Mijatovic FWD	5			-
J Fernández FWD	11	2	2	-
T Magno FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	15	4	9
S Rodríguez	S Rodríguez	H Wolf	H Wolf

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Rodríguez MID	5	15	3	5
A Martínez MID	3	6
H Wolf MID	2	8	4	9
K O'Toole DEF	1	2	1	1
A Perea MID	1	2		2
M. Jones FWD	1	3	1	2
T Gray DEF		2	1	2
T Martins DEF			1	3
B Risa DEF		1		1
J Sands MID				1
Subs
J Fernández FWD	2	6	2	1
K Parks MID	1	3	1	4
A Ojeda MID	1	5		2
M Ilenič DEF		1		1
T Magno FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
884	34	88
T Martins	J Sands	S Rodríguez

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
T Martins DEF	884	9	33
J Sands MID	727	34	74
B Risa DEF	664	6	37
S Rodríguez MID	605	15	88
K O'Toole DEF	515	29	54
M Freese GLK	498		8
H Wolf MID	381	23	58
A Perea MID	237	25	56
T Gray DEF	226	9	19
M. Jones FWD	68	8	26
A Martínez MID	55	2	8
Subs
K Parks MID	587	20	72
M Ilenič DEF	357	12	31
J Fernández FWD	177	8	22
A Ojeda MID	160	7	22
S Tanasijević DEF	104	2	6
A Jasson MID	43	9	18
J Mijatovic FWD	24		7
T Magno FWD	6	1	1