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Dallas v Houston Dynamo : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Toyota Stadium, Frisco

Nicolás Estévez Martínez's Dallas side enjoy home advantage in the Major League Soccer on Sunday morning, as Ben Olsen's Houston Dynamo travel to the Toyota Stadium. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our extensive database and dug out the statistics that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

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Dallas's next match is v Austin at 01:30 on Sunday 12th May
Houston Dynamo's next match is v Kansas City at 01:30 on Sunday 12th May
The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Dallas and Houston was on Sunday 28th April 2024
American Major League Soccer
April 28th 2024
Dallas 2
0 Houston
 
P. Musa 55'
S. Ibeagha 80'
 
DAL
HOU
Shots On
5
Shots Off
10
1
Corners
9
1
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
20
10
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/1
 
DallasHouston
 
M. Paes
M. Farfan (B. Kamungo 46')
S. Junqua
S. Ibeaghafootball icon
E. Twumasi
N. Burgess
L. Fraser
A. Illarramendi Andonegi (C. Sainte 90')
P. Delgado Villa (H. Herrera López 67')
P. Musafootball icon (L. Farrington 90')
P. Arriola (T. Ntsabeleng 82')
S. Clark
(J. Ferreira 66') F. Escobar
G. Dorsey
(E. Sviatchenko 84') M. dos Santos Silva
E. Bartlow
(D. Steres 19') L. Blessing
(B. Smith 46') A. Bassi
A. Carrasquilla Alcázar
J. de Lima Junior
(M. Gaines 84') S. Kowalczyk
A. Ibrahim
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Dallas and Houston have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dallas are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dallas
36%
17/10
8%
13/8
14%
Draw
27%
23/10
2%
2/1
3%
Houston
36%
13/8
6%
6/4
9%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
4%
Houston 1-0
10%
13/2
12%
6/1
7%
Dallas 1-0
10%
13/2
6%
6/1
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
6%
6/1
7%
Houston 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Dallas 2-1
8%
9/117/2
12%
Houston 2-0
6%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Dallas 2-0
6%
11/110/1
10%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Dallas 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Houston 3-1
3%
22/116/1
11%
Dallas 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
24%
Houston 3-0
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Dallas 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Houston 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/5
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
13/20
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10
15%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
10/11
13%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/20
8%
10/11
BTTS - No
49%
4/5
8%
4/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/1
9%
9/2
10%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
6%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/117/4
9%
Home/draw
64%
4/9
3%
10/21
6%
Away/draw
64%
4/9
4%
4/9
6%
Home/away
73%
1/37/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/11
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/1
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/1
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/9
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8/1
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1-
Home DNB
55%
5/6
2%
10/11
10%
Away DNB
55%
5/6
4%
4/5
10%
Dallas win to nil
21%
10/3
8%
-
Houston win to nil
21%
3/1
11%
-
Dallas / Dallas
18%
7/2
4%
17/5
16%
Dallas / Houston
3%
28/122/1
Dallas / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Dallas
13%
5/15/1
9%
Draw / Houston
14%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/416/5
7%
Houston / Dallas
3%
28/122/1
Houston / Houston
19%
10/3
9%
16/5
7%
Houston / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Dallas
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Houston
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Dallas have drawn with Houston in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Dallas have not lost to Houston in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Dallas since 2018
Dallas
Houston
Goals: Scored
18
7
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
DAL
5
D
2
All league games since 2018
Dallas
Houston
Goals: Scored
27
20
Games: Scored
13 / 16
13 / 16
Clean sheets
3 / 16
3 / 16
DAL
5
D
8
HOU
3
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Dallas of late. It has been 7 Major League Soccer games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday morning against Houston Dynamo.

Dallas Houston
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Dallas will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Houston will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Dallas have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
-13
Houston have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Major League Soccer - 2024/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/269061/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dallas
PG (predicted goals)
Houston
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
2%
better
DAL
HOU
view stats
Games scored8
7
Failed to score2
3
Scored first2
4
Goals scored10
9
Avg. goals scored1
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal10
10
Conversion rate10%
10%
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
DAL
HOU
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
7
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded15
10
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate16%
11%
KickOff rating
+16%

Dallas v Houston Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Dallas Major League Soccer squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10322
M PaesP MusaS JunquaL Fraser
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Paes GLK10
1
-
S Ibeagha DEF81
1
-
N Tafari DEF8
1
-
S Junqua DEF1012
1
-
E Twumasi MID71
1
-
L Fraser MID91
2
-
J Malik MID61
1
-
M Farfán MID2
-
P Arriola MID10
2
-
P Delgado MID9
-
P Musa FWD931
2
-
Subs
J Maurer GLK
-
M Luczak DEF4
-
C Sainte MID2
-
T Ntsabeleng MID5
-
D Sealy FWD91
2
-
B Kamungo FWD91
1
-
E Ansah FWD911
-
J Ferreira FWD412
-
L. Farrington FWD8
1
-
Houston Major League Soccer squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10323
S ClarkI AliyuA BassiG Dorsey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Clark GLK10
1
-
G Dorsey DEF9
2
1
E Bartlow DEF6
-
Micael DEF9
2
-
F Escobar DEF61
2
-
A Carrasquilla MID91
3
-
Artur MID101
2
-
L Blessing MID6
-
A Bassi MID82
-
I Aliyu MID1032
1
-
S Kowalczyk FWD101
3
-
Subs
A Tarbell GLK
-
T Schmitt DEF5
1
-
E Sviatchenko DEF7
1
-
B Smith  DEF91
-
D Steres DEF4
1
-
H Herrera MID2
-
J Gregus MID6
-
O II FWD1
1
-
G Segal FWD61
-