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Chicago Fire v Orlando City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 01:30 BST, Toyota Park, Bridgeview

Frank Klopas welcomes Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez to the Toyota Park on Sunday morning, as their Chicago Fire and Orlando City teams meet in the Major League Soccer. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Chicago and Orlando have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chicago
37%
6/5-
Draw
26%
9/4-
Orlando
36%
11/5-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Chicago 1-0
10%
17/2-
Orlando 1-0
10%
11/1-
Chicago 2-1
8%
8/1-
Orlando 2-1
8%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
11/1-
Chicago 2-0
6%
11/1-
Orlando 2-0
6%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
10/1-
Chicago 3-1
4%
16/1-
Orlando 3-1
3%
22/1-
Chicago 3-0
3%
20/1-
Orlando 3-0
3%
33/1-
Chicago 3-2
2%
22/1-
Orlando 3-2
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
43/40-
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
48%
5/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/7-
BTTS - No
47%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/2-
Home/draw
64%
4/11-
Away/draw
63%
4/6-
Home/away
74%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11/1-
Home DNB
56%
4/7-
Away DNB
55%
5/4-
Chicago win to nil
20%
10/3-
Orlando win to nil
20%
11/2-
Chicago / Chicago
23%
13/5-
Chicago / Orlando
3%
25/1-
Chicago / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Chicago
15%
9/2-
Draw / Orlando
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Orlando / Chicago
4%
22/1-
Orlando / Orlando
16%
4/1-
Orlando / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Chicago have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
Chicago 8TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chicago2 - 3Cincinnati
Chicago0 - 0Miami
Chicago1 - 1Montreal
Chicago2 - 2DC United
Chicago0 - 3Nashville
Chicago1 - 1Toronto
Chicago2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Chicago1 - 2DC United
Chicago1 - 4Miami
Chicago0 - 0NY City
Chicago4 - 3Philadelphia
Chicago2 - 1LA Galaxy
Chicago1 - 1Orlando
Chicago1 - 3Columbus
Chicago0 - 1Charlotte
Chicago0 - 1New England
Chicago0 - 0Atlanta
Chicago0 - 4Salt Lake
Chicago2 - 1Houston
Chicago4 - 3Montreal
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChicago2 - 3Cincinnati
HChicago0 - 0Miami
AChicago1 - 2NY Red Bulls
HChicago1 - 1Montreal
AChicago3 - 1Vancouver
AChicago2 - 1Toronto
AChicago3 - 1Dallas
HChicago2 - 2DC United
AChicago2 - 4Columbus
HChicago0 - 3Nashville
AChicago3 - 4Charlotte
HChicago1 - 1Toronto
AChicago0 - 2Montreal
AChicago0 - 1Nashville
HChicago2 - 1NY Red Bulls
HChicago1 - 2DC United
HChicago1 - 4Miami
AChicago2 - 2NY City
AChicago1 - 2Miami
AChicago1 - 0Cincinnati
Orlando 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montreal0 - 0Orlando
Philadelphia0 - 0Orlando
LA Galaxy1 - 2Orlando
NY Red Bulls2 - 2Orlando
NY City2 - 1Orlando
Charlotte0 - 0Orlando
Cincinnati1 - 3Orlando
Dallas1 - 3Orlando
Columbus4 - 3Orlando
Sporting KC3 - 0Orlando
Nashville0 - 3Orlando
New England1 - 3Orlando
Toronto1 - 2Orlando
NY City4 - 2Orlando
Charlotte2 - 2Orlando
NY Red Bulls1 - 0Orlando
Chicago1 - 1Orlando
San Jose0 - 1Orlando
Philadelphia2 - 3Orlando
Montreal2 - 2Orlando
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AOrlando0 - 0Montreal
HOrlando0 - 0NY Red Bulls
AOrlando0 - 0Philadelphia
AOrlando2 - 1LA Galaxy
HOrlando4 - 1DC United
AOrlando2 - 2NY Red Bulls
AOrlando1 - 2NY City
HOrlando4 - 2Toronto
HOrlando2 - 4Philadelphia
HOrlando0 - 1NY Red Bulls
HOrlando1 - 0Atlanta
HOrlando1 - 1Charlotte
AOrlando0 - 0Charlotte
HOrlando2 - 0Charlotte
HOrlando1 - 2Atlanta
AOrlando3 - 1Cincinnati
HOrlando2 - 1Philadelphia
AOrlando3 - 1Dallas
AOrlando3 - 4Columbus
HOrlando2 - 0Charlotte
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Orlando have not lost to Chicago in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Chicago since 2018
Chicago
Orlando
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
CHI
2
D
3
ORL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chicago
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Orlando
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chicago3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chicago4 - 0
League games at Orlando since 2018
Orlando
Chicago
Goals: Scored
16
11
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
CHI
2
ORL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Orlando
Orlando4 - 2
Orlando3 - 1
Orlando1 - 0
Orlando1 - 0
Orlando4 - 1
2 - 5Chicago
1 - 2Chicago
Goal Statistics

Orlando City's defensive record is very strong, Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Major League Soccer matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Chicago Fire makes sense in this context.

Chicago 8th Orlando 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Chicago will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Orlando will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Chicago have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
+15
Orlando have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290906/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Chicago
PG (predicted goals)
Orlando
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
19%
better
CHI
ORL
view stats
Games scored8
6
Failed to score1
3
Scored first4
4
Goals scored16
15
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
CHI
ORL
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first4
2
Goals conceded15
12
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+27%

Chicago v Orlando Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Chicago Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7532
C BradyH CuypersJ BambaA Gutman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Brady GLK7
-
M Pineda DEF7
1
-
A Gutman DEF721
2
-
S Oregel MID7
1
-
J Bamba FWD713
-
H Cuypers FWD751
-
T Barlow FWD7
1
-
S Rogers DEF6
1
-
J Elliott DEF61
1
-
O Glasgow MID6
-
P Zinckernagel FWD622
2
-
L. Caetano Barroso DEF411
-
J Dean DEF4
-
M Haile-Selassie MID41
-
K Acosta MID4
-
C Terán DEF3
-
R Kouamé MID31
-
B Gutiérrez MID32
2
-
M Luczak DEF2
-
J Reynolds DEF2
-
Orlando Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7433
R SchlegelM PašalićL MurielI Angulo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Freeman DEF721
-
D Þórhallsson DEF71
1
-
R Schlegel DEF7
-
M Pašalić FWD741
-
I Angulo FWD71
3
-
L Muriel FWD733
1
-
M Ojeda FWD743
-
P Gallese GLK6
3
-
R Santos DEF6
1
-
E Atuesta MID61
3
-
R Enrique FWD6
-
R Jansson DEF5
2
-
K Smith DEF51
-
C Araújo MID511
1
-
D Brekalo DEF4
-
D McGuire FWD4
-
J Otero GLK1
1
-
N. Rodríguez Calderón FWD1
-