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Atlanta United v Nashville SC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 19:45 BST, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

The Major League Soccer is the focus for both Atlanta United and Nashville SC on Saturday evening, as bosses Ronny Deila and Brian Joseph Callaghan II face one another at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Below you'll find unique statistics for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Atlanta and Nashville will score a minimum of two between them during 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookies have it priced at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atlanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Atlanta 51%	4/5	-
Draw 23%	12/5	-
Nashville 26%	7/2	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1 8%	-
Atlanta 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Atlanta 1-0 9%	8/1 20%	-
Atlanta 2-0 8%	17/2 6%	-
Nashville 2-1 7%	14/1	-
Nashville 1-0 6%	14/1 15%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1 20%	-
Atlanta 3-1 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1 18%	-
Atlanta 3-0 5%	14/1	-
Nashville 2-0 4%	22/1	-
Atlanta 3-2 3%	20/1 19%	-
Nashville 3-1 3%	33/1	-
Atlanta 4-1 3%	25/1 10%	-
Nashville 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	7/10 8%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	11/10 8%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	1/2 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	13/8 5%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1 18%	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	8/13 7%	-
BTTS - No 41%	6/5 10%	-
BTTS - Home Win 26%	12/5 9%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	13/2 12%	-
Home/draw 74%	2/11	-
Away/draw 49%	19/20	-
Home/away 77%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	1/5 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	10/3 15%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	13/8 19%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	4/9 8%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	4/1 17%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/6 4%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	9/1 23%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/16 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1 18%	-
Home DNB 67%	1/3	-
Away DNB 42%	9/4	-
Atlanta win to nil 25%	5/2 8%	-
Nashville win to nil 12%	8/1 13%	-
Atlanta / Atlanta 29%	15/8	-
Atlanta / Nashville 2%	33/1	-
Atlanta / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw / Atlanta 17%	15/4	-
Draw / Nashville 9%	8/1	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 9%	-
Nashville / Atlanta 4%	20/1	-
Nashville / Nashville 13%	11/2 7%	-
Nashville / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlanta	0 - 1	New England
Atlanta	1 - 1	Dallas
Atlanta	4 - 3	NY City
Atlanta	1 - 2	Miami
Atlanta	0 - 0	NY Red Bulls
Atlanta	3 - 2	Montreal
Atlanta	2 - 1	Miami
Atlanta	2 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Atlanta	1 - 2	Montreal
Atlanta	2 - 2	Miami
Atlanta	0 - 2	Nashville
Atlanta	2 - 1	Columbus
Atlanta	2 - 2	NY City
Atlanta	2 - 1	Toronto
Atlanta	2 - 2	Houston
Atlanta	2 - 3	Charlotte
Atlanta	0 - 1	LAFC
Atlanta	2 - 3	DC United
Atlanta	1 - 2	Minnesota
Atlanta	1 - 2	Cincinnati

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Atlanta	0 - 3	Philadelphia
H	Atlanta	0 - 1	New England
H	Atlanta	1 - 1	Dallas
H	Atlanta	4 - 3	NY City
A	Atlanta	2 - 2	Cincinnati
H	Atlanta	1 - 2	Miami
H	Atlanta	0 - 0	NY Red Bulls
A	Atlanta	0 - 2	Charlotte
H	Atlanta	3 - 2	Montreal
A	Atlanta	0 - 1	Orlando
A	Atlanta	3 - 2	Miami
H	Atlanta	2 - 1	Miami
A	Atlanta	1 - 2	Miami
A	Atlanta	2 - 2	Montreal
A	Atlanta	2 - 1	Orlando
H	Atlanta	2 - 1	NY Red Bulls
H	Atlanta	1 - 2	Montreal
A	Atlanta	1 - 1	Philadelphia
A	Atlanta	2 - 2	NY Red Bulls
H	Atlanta	2 - 2	Miami

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Seattle	3 - 0	Nashville
Charlotte	2 - 1	Nashville
Philadelphia	1 - 3	Nashville
NY Red Bulls	2 - 0	Nashville
Chicago	0 - 3	Nashville
NY City	3 - 1	Nashville
New England	1 - 0	Nashville
Atlanta	0 - 2	Nashville
Orlando	3 - 0	Nashville
Philadelphia	3 - 0	Nashville
DC United	2 - 1	Nashville
Portland	4 - 1	Nashville
Columbus	2 - 0	Nashville
Toronto	1 - 2	Nashville
NY Red Bulls	0 - 0	Nashville
Cincinnati	0 - 2	Nashville
Montreal	0 - 0	Nashville
Charlotte	1 - 0	Nashville
Miami	3 - 1	Nashville
LAFC	5 - 0	Nashville

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Nashville	0 - 3	Seattle
H	Nashville	2 - 1	Salt Lake
A	Nashville	1 - 2	Charlotte
H	Nashville	1 - 2	Cincinnati
H	Nashville	3 - 0	Montreal
A	Nashville	3 - 1	Philadelphia
H	Nashville	2 - 0	Portland
A	Nashville	0 - 2	NY Red Bulls
H	Nashville	0 - 0	New England
A	Nashville	3 - 0	Chicago
A	Nashville	1 - 3	NY City
H	Nashville	3 - 4	DC United
A	Nashville	0 - 1	New England
H	Nashville	2 - 2	Cincinnati
H	Nashville	1 - 0	Chicago
A	Nashville	2 - 0	Atlanta
A	Nashville	0 - 3	Orlando
H	Nashville	0 - 2	Austin
A	Nashville	0 - 3	Philadelphia
H	Nashville	0 - 3	Orlando

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Atlanta

Nashville

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

ATL

NSH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlanta
	0 - 2	Nashville
Atlanta	4 - 0
	0 - 2	Nashville
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Atlanta	2 - 0

Nashville

Atlanta

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

ATL

NSH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nashville
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Nashville	3 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Nashville	4 - 2
	1 - 2	Atlanta

Goal Statistics

	Atlanta 12th	Nashville 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Atlanta will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Nashville will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-19 Atlanta have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted	-22 Nashville have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season

ATL

NSH

10%

better

view stats

Games scored	5		6
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	4		5
Goals scored	11		12
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	13		12
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.8
KickOff rating		+10%

ATL

NSH

30%

better

view stats

Games conceded	8		6
Clean sheets	1		3
Conceded first	4		3
Goals conceded	16		11
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate against	22%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+30%

Atlanta v Nashville Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlanta Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	5	2	4
B Guzan	E Lath	S Lobzhanidze	E Lath

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Guzan GLK	7			1 -
M Edwards DEF	7			2 -
S Lobzhanidze MID	7		2	-
A Miranchuk MID	7	1		-
E Lath FWD	7	5	1	4 -
S Gregersen DEF	6			1 -
D Williams DEF	6			-
B Slisz MID	6			1 -
M Almirón FWD	6	2	1	-
X Silva FWD	6		1	-
L Abram DEF	5			-
A Fortune MID	5			-
T Muyumba MID	5			1 -
B Lennon DEF	4		1	-
M Klich MID	4			1 -
E Mosquera FWD	4	1		2 -
P Amador DEF	3			1 -
R Pimentel DEF	3			-
N Cobb DEF	3			-
J Thiaré FWD	3			-
C Togashi FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	2	5
E Lath	E Lath	S Lobzhanidze	A Miranchuk

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Lath FWD	5	11	1	1
M Almirón FWD	2	6	1
A Miranchuk MID	1	6		5
E Mosquera FWD	1	1
B Lennon DEF			1	1
J Thiaré FWD		1
P Amador DEF				1
T Muyumba MID		2		2
A Fortune MID		1
M Edwards DEF		1		2
X Silva FWD			1	1
B Slisz MID		1		1
S Lobzhanidze MID		4	2	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
341	14	39
B Slisz	T Muyumba	E Lath

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Slisz MID	341	12	37
S Gregersen DEF	288	12	32
D Williams DEF	286	7	19
A Miranchuk MID	245	9	13
M Almirón FWD	235	10	36
M Edwards DEF	224	6	19
T Muyumba MID	224	14	20
B Guzan GLK	223		1
B Lennon DEF	174	1	10
S Lobzhanidze MID	165	5	14
L Abram DEF	160	3	10
A Fortune MID	127	3	11
E Lath FWD	117	5	39
P Amador DEF	111	1	2
M Klich MID	104	1	4
X Silva FWD	86	6	21
R Pimentel DEF	73	1	6
N Cobb DEF	42
E Mosquera FWD	24	1	2
C Togashi FWD	13	1	5
J Thiaré FWD	3		1

Nashville Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	3	3
J Willis	H Mukhtar	D Lovitz	E Tagseth

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Willis GLK	7			-
D Lovitz DEF	7		3	-
J Maher DEF	7			-
W Zimmerman DEF	7		2	1 -
E Tagseth MID	7		1	3 -
H Mukhtar MID	7	2	1	-
S Surridge FWD	7	1	1	-
A Muyl FWD	7	1		-
A Nájar DEF	6	1		1 -
A Qasem FWD	6	2		-
T Bunbury FWD	6			-
J Bauer DEF	5	2		-
G Brugman MID	5			-
P Yazbek MID	5			2 -
J Perez MID	4	1		-
J Shaffelburg FWD	3			-
M Corcoran MID	2			1 -
J Gaines DEF	1			-
J Palacios DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	11	3	3
H Mukhtar	H Mukhtar	D Lovitz	S Surridge

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Qasem FWD	2	5		2
J Bauer DEF	2	2		1
H Mukhtar MID	2	11	1	2
S Surridge FWD	1	8	1	3
A Muyl FWD	1	5		1
A Nájar DEF	1	3		1
J Perez MID	1	2
J Shaffelburg FWD				1
G Brugman MID		1
D Lovitz DEF		1	3	1
E Tagseth MID		2	1	1
W Zimmerman DEF		2	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
417	19	52
J Maher	D Lovitz	S Surridge

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Maher DEF	417	5	19
W Zimmerman DEF	408	9	34
E Tagseth MID	367	17	28
A Nájar DEF	281	10	30
D Lovitz DEF	263	19	36
H Mukhtar MID	247	4	17
J Willis GLK	209	1	4
P Yazbek MID	190	6	10
A Muyl FWD	162	10	24
G Brugman MID	151	8	18
S Surridge FWD	137	10	52
M Corcoran MID	108	6	6
A Qasem FWD	95	3	18
J Bauer DEF	87	2	8
J Perez MID	23	2	10
T Bunbury FWD	20	1	6
J Palacios DEF	12	1	2
J Shaffelburg FWD	10	3	4
J Gaines DEF	6	2	4

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Atlanta United v Nashville SC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Atlanta v Nashville Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

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