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St. Mirren v Heart of Midlothian : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00 BST, The Smisa Stadium, Greenhill Road

The Smisa Stadium crowd welcome Heart of Midlothian's travelling contingent on Saturday afternoon, as Stephen Robinson's St. Mirren clash with Steven Naismith's team in the Premiership. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that St. Mirren and Hearts will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookies have it available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Hearts coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Mirren
34%
9/5
13%
15/8
Draw
25%
12/5
5%
12/5
3%
Hearts
40%
29/20
17%
7/5
1%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
8%
Hearts 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
Hearts 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
St. Mirren 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
15/2
St. Mirren 2-1
8%
9/1
17%
17/2
Hearts 2-0
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
10%
8/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
St. Mirren 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
Hearts 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
St. Mirren 3-1
4%
20/1
19%
16/1
Hearts 3-0
3%
22/1
21%
16/1
Hearts 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
St. Mirren 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
10%
St. Mirren 3-0
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
10/11
5%
17/20
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
10/11
6%
17/20
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10
12%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/5
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
7/10
3%
8/11
BTTS - No
44%
21/20
3%
1/1
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
15%
4/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/4
10%
17/5
2%
Home/draw
60%
8/15
6%
11/20
1%
Away/draw
66%
2/5
5%
2/5
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7
1%
2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4
7%
23/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/521/10
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/31/3
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
8%
5/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
1%
1/9
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/33
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
10%
8/1
Home DNB
52%
1/1
16%
21/20
Away DNB
58%
8/11
13%
7/10
St. Mirren win to nil
17%
4/1
17%
-
Hearts win to nil
20%
10/3
15%
-
St. Mirren / St. Mirren
18%
7/2
18%
7/2
2%
St. Mirren / Hearts
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
St. Mirren / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / St. Mirren
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
Draw / Hearts
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
10%
19/5
4%
Hearts / St. Mirren
3%
28/122/1
Hearts / Hearts
21%
3/1
14%
27/10
Hearts / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premiership table
St. Mirren
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Hearts
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Mar 1
-
l
 
0-3A
Jan 5
 Celtic51415 
Nov 23
l
 
2-0A
-
Mar 29
-
Jan 25
Nov 23
l
 
3-1A
 Aberdeen5715 
Nov 30
Oct 6
-
Jan 11
-
Feb 22
Dec 26
Oct 27
 Rangers5510 
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 9
Feb 15
-
Jan 11
-
Oct 5
Nov 30
 Dundee Utd528 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 5
Apr 5
-
-
Mar 15
Dec 7
Sep 28
 Motherwell517 
Jan 2
l
 
3-1A
-
Apr 12
-
Apr 5
Dec 29
d
 
2-2F
 Dundee506 
Dec 7
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 1
-
-
-
-
 St. Mirren H5-25 
Oct 19
Sep 21
Feb 26
-
Feb 15
-
w
 
3-0F
Nov 9
 Hibernian5-35 
Dec 26
Oct 27
-
Mar 1
Apr 12
-
Nov 2
Dec 21
 Ross County5-55 
Sep 28
Dec 29
Mar 15
-
Feb 1
-
Oct 30
Dec 14
 St. Johnstone5-33 
Dec 21
Nov 2
-
Feb 22
Mar 29
-
d
 
2-2F
Jan 2
 Kilmarnock5-92 
Oct 30
Dec 14
Jan 25
-
-
Feb 26
Sep 21
Oct 19
 Hearts A5-71 
-
-
-
-
Win / draw / win form
4
Hearts have lost 4 consecutive league games
7
Hearts have not won in 7 consecutive league games
St. Mirren 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Mirren2 - 2Kilmarnock
St. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
St. Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
St. Mirren2 - 2Hearts
St. Mirren0 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren1 - 2Rangers
St. Mirren1 - 2Hearts
St. Mirren2 - 1Aberdeen
St. Mirren2 - 0St. Johnstone
St. Mirren2 - 0Dundee
St. Mirren0 - 1Rangers
St. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
St. Mirren0 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren0 - 0Motherwell
St. Mirren2 - 0Ross County
St. Mirren1 - 0Livingston
St. Mirren2 - 2Hibernian
St. Mirren4 - 0St. Johnstone
St. Mirren0 - 3Rangers
St. Mirren1 - 0Hearts
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Mirren2 - 2Kilmarnock
ASt. Mirren2 - 2Dundee
HSt. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
ASt. Mirren1 - 3Aberdeen
HSt. Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
ASt. Mirren2 - 3Celtic
HSt. Mirren2 - 2Hearts
HSt. Mirren0 - 1Kilmarnock
ASt. Mirren3 - 1Dundee
HSt. Mirren1 - 2Rangers
ASt. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
HSt. Mirren1 - 2Hearts
ASt. Mirren1 - 1Motherwell
ASt. Mirren2 - 5Kilmarnock
HSt. Mirren2 - 1Aberdeen
ASt. Mirren1 - 1Ross County
HSt. Mirren2 - 0St. Johnstone
ASt. Mirren0 - 1Livingston
HSt. Mirren2 - 0Dundee
ASt. Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
Hearts 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celtic2 - 0Hearts
Motherwell3 - 1Hearts
Dundee3 - 1Hearts
St. Mirren2 - 2Hearts
Celtic3 - 0Hearts
Kilmarnock0 - 0Hearts
St. Mirren1 - 2Hearts
Ross County2 - 1Hearts
Rangers5 - 0Hearts
St. Johnstone0 - 1Hearts
Dundee2 - 3Hearts
Livingston1 - 2Hearts
Hibernian0 - 1Hearts
Celtic0 - 2Hearts
Aberdeen2 - 1Hearts
Kilmarnock0 - 1Hearts
Motherwell1 - 2Hearts
Rangers2 - 1Hearts
Ross County0 - 1Hearts
St. Mirren1 - 0Hearts
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHearts0 - 2Celtic
HHearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
AHearts1 - 3Motherwell
AHearts1 - 3Dundee
HHearts0 - 0Rangers
HHearts3 - 3Rangers
AHearts2 - 2St. Mirren
HHearts3 - 0Dundee
AHearts0 - 3Celtic
AHearts0 - 0Kilmarnock
HHearts4 - 2Livingston
AHearts2 - 1St. Mirren
HHearts1 - 1Kilmarnock
AHearts1 - 2Ross County
HHearts2 - 0Celtic
HHearts1 - 1Hibernian
AHearts0 - 5Rangers
HHearts2 - 0Motherwell
AHearts1 - 0St. Johnstone
AHearts3 - 2Dundee
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at St. Mirren since 2018
St. Mirren
Hearts
Goals: Scored
11
11
Games: Scored
8 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
2 / 10
MIR
3
D
4
HEA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Mirren
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Hearts
St. Mirren1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Hearts
1 - 2Hearts
St. Mirren1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
St. Mirren2 - 0
League games at Hearts since 2018
Hearts
St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
15
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
MIR
1
D
1
HEA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hearts
Hearts2 - 0
0 - 2St. Mirren
Hearts1 - 0
Hearts2 - 0
Hearts5 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hearts4 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Heart of Midlothian of late. It has been 5 Premiership matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against St. Mirren.

St. Mirren 7th Hearts 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that St. Mirren will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
St. Mirren’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Hearts’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281959/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
St. Mirren
PG (predicted goals)
Hearts
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
63%
better
MIR
HEA
view stats
Games scored4
2
Failed to score1
3
Scored first3
0
Goals scored8
2
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.4
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal4
17
Conversion rate for23
6
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+63%
Defence rating
4%
better
MIR
HEA
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first2
4
Goals conceded10
9
Avg. goals conceded2
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against21%
20%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+4%

St. Mirren v Hearts Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5323
E BalcombeT OlusanyaJ BrownS Rooney
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Balcombe GLK5
-
S Rooney DEF5
3
-
J Brown DEF52
1
-
M Fraser  DEF51
-
A Gogic MID5
1
-
R Idowu MID51
1
-
T Olusanya FWD53
1
-
J Ayunga FWD5
-
M Mandron FWD51
1
-
A Iacovitti DEF4
1
-
R Taylor DEF4
1
-
D Adeniran MID4
2
-
C Boyd-Munce MID41
-
E Bwomono DEF3
1
-
S Tanser DEF3
1
-
O Smyth MID32
-
M O'Hara MID31
1
-
J Scott FWD32
-
K Phillips MID2
-
K Veen FWD1
-
Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
L ShanklandF KentM BoatengC Devlin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Dhanda MID5
1
-
B Spittal MID5
-
C Devlin MID5
2
-
M Boateng MID51
-
L Shankland FWD51
2
-
K Vargas FWD5
-
G. Taylor DEF4
1
-
J Penrice DEF4
2
-
F Kent DEF41
1
-
K Rowles DEF4
2
-
J Grant MID4
-
A Forrest FWD4
-
B McKay FWD4
-
Y Oda FWD41
-
D Oyegoke DEF3
1
-
S Kingsley DEF3
1
-
Z Clark GLK2
-
C Halkett  DEF2
-
L Boyce  FWD2
-
A Salazar DEF1
1
-
B Baningime  MID1
-
M. Drammeh FWD1
-